Friday, May24, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Binghamton, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:33AMSunset 8:27PM Friday May 24, 2019 9:31 AM EDT (13:31 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 9:34AM Illumination 70% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Binghamton, NY
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location: 42.11, -75.91     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 241035
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
635 am edt Fri may 24 2019

Synopsis
High pressure will build into the region today and then give way
to an approaching warm front on Saturday. A cold front will
then move through the region this weekend with our next chance
of showers and a few thunderstorms. Another high pressure system
builds into the region for memorial day.

Near term through Saturday night
A few minor adjustments with the sunrise update to account for
trends with the stratus deck located from binghamton and points
to the northeast. Otherwise, forecast on track.

Today and tonight: high pressure is expected to build into the
region today before exiting tonight. However, northwest flow
between these features will bring in clouds and a spotty shower
or two through most of the day from the finger lakes and
southern tier northeastward. NE pa along with the elmira areas
looks to stay just outside the cloud deck. This cloud deck will
only allow high temperatures to rise into the 60s for most
spots today.

Clouds clear out by the evening hours and with high pressure in
place winds become light. As a result, with radiational cooling
temperatures should fall into the 40s tonight. Patchy fog is
also possible given decent ground moisture along with the light
winds before sunrise.

Saturday and Saturday night:
a warm front will likely move through the region on Saturday and be
followed by a cold frontal boundary and associated low pressure
system moving through the area Saturday night. Enough lift and
moisture should be present along and ahead of the front for some
showers moving in from northwest to southeast throughout the day
Saturday. Instability looks limited for anything more than isolated
thunderstorms at this time. However, this looks to be another
fairly dynamic system so if more instability than modeled is
realized strong to severe storms would become a concern. The
highest chances of having some instability ahead of the front
looks to be from steuben county into the finger lakes region.

Highs should get into the 70s. With showers around and a
southwesterly flow ahead of the front temperatures are not
likely to fall much at night, staying in the upper 50s and
60s.

Short term Saturday night through Sunday night
The front is expected to stall near the i-80 corridor Sunday.

Even though much of the deep convection should remain south of
our area, we could see an isolated to scattered coverage of
showers across our area given the kinematics in place. Expect
the coverage of any convection to diminish Sunday night as
ridging starts to strengthen over the southeast.

Long term Monday through Thursday
Ridging, both at the surface and aloft, is expected to increase
across the region for memorial day. This should result in dry and
tranquil weather conditions, with highs expected to mostly be in
the 70s.

The respite from unsettled weather is expected to come to an end
after memorial day as a storm system moves from mid-america into the
great lakes region. As the upper low starts to phase with a
shortwave trough moving across southern canada, a warm front is
expected to lift north across the forecast area, probably during the
day Tuesday. Even though how far north east the front makes it
across our region will ultimately be dependent upon the location and
strength of upper-level ridging over the southeast u.S., indications
are is should move north of the forecast area by Wednesday morning.

The odds of seeing showers, and possibly a few thunderstorms, will
return as this happens.

In addition to the possibility of convection, temperatures in the
80s might be seen in our area by Wednesday afternoon. Naefs data
suggests that boundary layer temperatures could reach 2-3 standard
deviations above climatological means, thanks to ridging anticipated
to be over the eastern part of the country. Based on this, and
anticipated 850 mb temperatures, I have nudged Wednesday's forecast
highs upward a skosh.

Moisture is expected to deepen Wednesday night Thursday as the ridge
axis slides east and low-level flow strengthens. This will allow
the upper trough (to our west) to push a cold front across the
forecast area during the day Thursday. Thunderstorms appear to be a
good possibility with this storm system, especially given the
expected amplitude of the upper trough. Dependent on the timing of
the front, there could be greater uncertainty with the instability
and thunderstorm intensity. And, at least right now, I wouldn't be
surprised to see a few lingering showers into Friday as the upper
trough finishes ejecting across the region.

Aviation 12z Friday through Tuesday
A MVFR stratus deck has developed at all terminals but kavp and
kelm with kbgm and kith on the southwest edge of the deck. This
stratus deck will be very stubborn through most of the day
before lifting and burning off between 18-22z. Although based on
trends the last few hours this deck may scatter out at times. The
probabilities for fuel- alternate ceilings are lower with this
taf set so the tempos in the previous set were removed. Wind
gusts around 20 knots will be possible throughout the day as
well. Patchy fog with some restrictions is also possible toward
sunrise Saturday with lighter winds.

Outlook...

Friday night and Saturday...VFR, some showers with lowering
ceilings Saturday afternoon.

Saturday night... Showers and thunderstorms with associated
restrictions likely.

Sunday through Tuesday... MainlyVFR. A stray shower or
thunderstorm may provide a brief restriction at some terminals Sunday
and or Tuesday.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Mwg
near term... Mwg
short term... Dab
long term... Dab
aviation... Mwg


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 99 mi32 min W 17 G 19 46°F 1015.7 hPa (+2.7)43°F

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Binghamton, Binghamton Regional Airport, NY9 mi39 minNW 12 G 2110.00 miOvercast54°F46°F77%1014.5 hPa

Wind History from BGM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS8S7SW9SW7S6S10
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1 day agoE5NE3CalmCalm4SE44SW5CalmS4S5S5S6S9S7CalmS7S4S5S5S5S6S7S6
2 days agoNW11
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N8NW4NW5NW4NW4NW6NW5NW5NW8W5NW5NW4CalmN3

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Binghamton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.