Thursday, November15, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Binghamton, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:53AMSunset 4:43PM Thursday November 15, 2018 5:47 AM EST (10:47 UTC) Moonrise 1:14PMMoonset 11:42PM Illumination 49% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Binghamton, NY
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 42.11, -75.91     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kbgm 150945
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
445 am est Thu nov 15 2018

Synopsis
Things remain quiet through the morning. However, a large
winter storm will move in with snow developing in the afternoon
to early evening, possibly heavy. Northeast pennsylvania and the
southern tier to catskills in new york will have a wintry mix
for a time Thursday night, then back to snow into Friday. The
rest of central new york will be mainly snow for the whole event.

Near term through Friday
415 am update...

incoming winter storm will have a significant impact on the
region this afternoon through early Friday. Winter storm warning
has been issued for bradford-susquehanna in pa, and most of
central ny, where a swath of 5-9 inches of snow is expected.

The remainder of northeast pa, and delaware-sullivan in ny have
been placed in winter weather advisories for combination of 3-6
inches of snow- sleet as well as freezing rain potential of one
to two tenths of an inch.

Models have come into better agreement on thermal profiles and
mass fields for this incoming storm. Confidence has thus
increased in precipitation types and amounts. Quick burst of 2-4
inches of snow is still expected to develop from south to north
this afternoon-early evening, which itself will probably cause
travel issues. Onset will range from just after noon in wilkes-
barre and poconos, to mid afternoon across the twin tiers and
catskills, to late afternoon finger lakes and upper susquehanna
areas, to early evening from syracuse-utica northward.

Sleet and some freezing rain will then mix in tonight, mainly
northeast pa and east of i-81 in central ny. However, depth of
below freezing layer under warm nose aloft will be fairly thick;
unusually so for this early in the season. The biggest point of
uncertainty is how much freezing rain will actually manage to
occur, considering much of it could remain sleet instead due to
thickness of cold layer. Thermal profiles support a window of
freezing rain to be more likely in the wyoming valley pa, to
especially poconos pa-catskills ny, yet even there a decent
amount will probably be sleet. For those areas, we are figuring
on 1-2 tenths of an inch of ice. Further north, primarily sleet
will mix in with the snow, where mixing occurs at all, though a
trace of ice cannot be ruled out. Finally, from central southern
tier ny through finger lakes and syracuse- utica areas, it will
probably remain all snow tonight, and snowfall rates could
actually get robust within a narrow pivoting axis coinciding
with 700mb frontogenesis deformation band. 1-2 inches per hour
may occur at times. It is not out of the question that a narrow
band of around 10 inches total accumulation could occur
somewhere within the warning area, if that axis of higher
snowfall rates ends up persisting with little movement over a
several hour period.

Models are also agreeing that upper wave will move faster to
quickly allow the storm to exit fairly early Friday morning.

Just some lingering scattered snow showers, mixing with rain,
are expected during the day Friday with little additional
accumulation. Temperatures will also climb into a 35-40 degree
range for highs at most locations, allowing for some melting of
the snow-sleet-slop.

Short term Friday night through Saturday night
Friday night... Airmass behind departing system will only be
marginally cold enough for lake effect snow showers. Soundings also
show a fair amount of shear in the steering layer which is around
280 degrees. Best chance for accumulating snow is for northern oneida
county and even here amounts are light. Overnight lows will range in
the upper 20s to middle 30s.

Saturday... As the next surface trough approaches the region late
Saturday the low level flow backs through the morning hours keeping
the best chance for snow rain showers in extreme northern oneida
county with the rest of the region mainly dry. By late day as the
boundary approaches pops will increase into the chance category for
much of the western northern forecast area. Likely pops will still
be confined to northern oneida county. Highs will range in the mid
30s to around 40 making for mixed snow rain showers.

Saturday night... Scattered snow showers are expected across much of
central new york as weak boundary moves through area. Best chance for
accumulating snow will be in the northern forecast area where some
lake enhancement will occur with westerly flow shifting to northwest
overnight. Overnight lows will range in the mid upper 20s.

Long term Sunday through Wednesday
The long term forecast will be dominated by a broad upper level
trough with temperatures expected to run about 10 degrees below
normal.

No big storms are forecast during this period but embedded mid level
short waves moving through the broad upper trough will trigger
scattered snow showers and some lake effect snow showers. Monday
night and Tuesday night looks the coldest with overnight lows in the
teens to lower 20s. By the end of the period the trough relaxes with
temperatures expected to moderate Wednesday and Thursday.

Aviation 09z Thursday through Monday
06z update...

departing high pressure will keepVFR conditions going through
the morning. However, a large winter storm will cause snow to
develop south to north across the terminals this afternoon-early
evening. Expected arrival of the snow ranges from 19z for kavp
to between 20z-22z for kelm-kbgm-kith, to around or shortly
after 00z ksyr-krme. Fuel alternate to ifr conditions should
abruptly set in as snow begins. In the evening, high confidence
in sleet development for kavp and eventually some freezing rain,
as well as low level wind shear. For kbgm, sleet will mix in
for a time towards 06z Friday; remainder of ny terminals should
stay primarily snow. Surface winds through the period will
generally be east or southeast 4 to 8 knots, though east-
northeast for kavp.

Outlook...

late Thursday night through Friday morning... Gradual exit of
winter storm with snow or mix and significant restrictions.

Friday afternoon through Saturday night... Intermittent
restrictions from lake effect snow showers; mainly ksyr-krme.

Sunday through Monday... Weak passing wave with possible light
snow and associated restrictions.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... Winter weather advisory from 1 pm this afternoon to 8 am est
Friday for paz040-043-044-047-048-072.

Winter storm warning from 1 pm this afternoon to 8 am est
Friday for paz038-039.

Ny... Winter storm warning from 5 pm this afternoon to 10 am est
Friday for nyz009-016>018-036-037-044>046.

Winter weather advisory from 1 pm this afternoon to 8 am est
Friday for nyz057-062.

Winter storm warning from 1 pm this afternoon to 8 am est
Friday for nyz015-022>025-055-056.

Synopsis... Mdp
near term... Mdp
short term... Rrm
long term... Rrm
aviation... Rrm


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 99 mi30 min SE 7 G 12 21°F 12°F

Wind History for Oswego, NY
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
Last
24hr
NW14
G24
NW17
G21
NW10
G20
NW7
G17
NW11
G20
NW11
G17
NW6
G14
NW8
G12
NW13
G22
NW7
G13
NW7
G14
NW8
G16
NW10
G16
NW17
G22
NW19
G24
NW17
G23
N10
G14
N7
G10
SE4
G9
SE5
G8
SE6
SE5
G8
SE5
G12
SE7
G12
1 day
ago
S5
G8
S7
G11
S6
G11
S6
G10
S8
S8
G11
SW7
G11
NW8
G11
W14
NW22
G30
NW27
NW17
G22
NW13
G21
NW12
G16
NW11
G19
NW11
G20
NW9
G16
NW13
G21
NW15
G23
NW24
G34
NW24
G33
NW16
G39
NW17
G29
NW16
G26
2 days
ago
S7
G11
S9
G12
S7
G10
S8
G11
S9
G12
SW9
G13
S9
G13
S11
G15
SW7
G13
S8
G14
S3
G6
SE2
SE2
E2
SE3
S4
SE3
G8
S9
G16
SW6
G11
S6
G11
S7
G13
SW7
G12
SW3

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Binghamton, Binghamton Regional Airport, NY9 mi55 minSSE 310.00 miFair18°F17°F96%1033.4 hPa

Wind History from BGM (wind in knots)
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
Last 24hrNW8
G18
NW10
G20
NW9NW7NW8NW8W9
G19
NW12
G21
NW9
G16
NW11NW7
G15
N5N5CalmNW5N3NE3CalmS3CalmE3S3S4SE3
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmNW5W3NW5NW6NW7NW7NW7NW7NW10NW7NW9
G18
NW11
G19
NW12
G16
NW5NW11W10W10NW7
G15
NW9
G16
NW13
G18
NW12
G19
2 days agoS4SW4SW4SW6SW6S3--S5SW7SW6S4S4S4S6S5S6S7S6SE5SE5S5SE4SE4E3

Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (5,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Binghamton, NY
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.