Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Ashland, OR
May 4, 2024 4:20 AM PDT (11:20 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:59 AM Sunset 8:15 PM Moonrise 3:17 AM Moonset 3:23 PM |
This is a Weather Statement Zone, please check the Date to see if it has expired
PZZ330 1126 Pm Pdt Fri Aug 9 2013
.thunderstorms over the waters - . Thunderstorms over the waters have weakened but isolated storms will continue overnight. Mariners can expect gusty and erratic winds with the storms along with frequent lightning. If caught on the open water stay below deck if possible - .keep away from ungrounded metal objects. Lat - .lon 4397 12411 4396 12411 4400 12413 4284 12455 4242 12440 4225 12441 4205 12428 4184 12422 4181 12580 4198 12579 4220 12589 4370 12576 4386 12565 4399 12562 4403 12414
PZZ330 1126 Pm Pdt Fri Aug 9 2013
PZZ300 211 Am Pdt Sat May 4 2024
Synopsis for the southern oregon coastal waters - Moderate west winds and fresh short period west swell will continue today. Rain and reduced visibility will give way to showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms. West seas trend less steep through tonight. Then, southwest winds increase Sunday ahead of another front that will move through late Sunday night into Monday. This could bring conditions hazardous to small craft. Seas are likely to remain elevated Monday night into Tuesday with building west- northwest swell.
Area Discussion for - Medford, OR
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FXUS66 KMFR 041101 AFDMFR
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Medford OR 401 AM PDT Sat May 4 2024
DISCUSSION
RADAR is showing rainfall across most of southern Oregon and northern California -- the dry areas include much of Lake and Modoc Counties, but even those areas will begin to see precipitation in the next few hours. This is part of a low pressure system that is moving across our area. Precipitation will remain somewhat steady into the late morning hours before turning more showery in nature in the afternoon with thunderstorms possible over a relatively large portion of our area.
The bigger issue at the moment is snow levels. While snow levels are remaining somewhat high at the moment, they are expected to crash relatively soon as the front continues to move inland. With the heavier precipitation bands occurring as this happens, there could be some sloppy conditions, especially in the Cascades and in Western Siskiyou County, especially above 4000 feet. Will continue the Winter Weather Advisories at this time.
In addition, winds are expected to pick up later this morning for the higher terrain of Lake County to include the Winter Rim and highway 31 between Summer Lake and Paisley. Will continue the wind advisory for those locations as well.
Showers will continue overnight tonight as colder air filters in behind a frontal boundary. This will lead to some freezing temperatures for portions of western and central Siskiyou County where confidence is high with a 90 percent of reaching freezing temperatures in the Scott and Shasta Valleys. Have issued a freeze warning for these areas for tomorrow night. In addition, portions of the Applegate and the southern Illinois Valley might also reach freezing, with a 40% chance. Statistical guidance is showing temperatures a little warmer than freezing. Would like to see one last model run before making a decision either way for these areas.
Temperatures will begin to warm up over the next several days as the low progresses eastward. Showers, however, will remain as additional weak disturbances pass over the area with zonal (west to east) flow. Widespread impacts from these showers are generally not expected. Then, by midweek the pattern changes and a ridge of high pressure returns. This ridge will help us warm up and dry out into the weekend.
AVIATION
04/12Z TAFs...Unfavorable flying conditions are expected through at least 19Z as a potent frontal system moves through. Widespread MVFR ceilings, terrain obscurations and periods of moderate rain and mountain snow can be expected. Local IFR/LIFR can occur as well, especially in times of heavier precip. Some wet snow could even mix in with the rain briefly later this morning in Klamath Falls. Precipitation behind the front will become more showery this afternoon, but we still expect plenty of MVFR along with areas of higher terrain obscured through this evening.
-Spilde
MARINE
Updated 200 AM Saturday, May 4, 2024...Moderate west winds and fresh short period west swell will continue today. Rain and reduced visibility will give way to showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. West seas trend less steep through tonight. Then, southwest winds increase Sunday ahead of another front that will move through late Sunday night into Monday. This could bring conditions hazardous to small craft. Seas are likely to remain elevated Monday night into Tuesday with building west- northwest swell. After that, we expect high pressure to build in mid- late next week with a thermal trough strengthening along the coast. This will bring a return of stronger north winds and steep seas, highest south of Cape Blanco. -Spilde
MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR...Winter Weather Advisory until 11 PM PDT this evening above 4000 feet for ORZ027-028.
Wind Advisory until 5 PM PDT this afternoon for ORZ030-031.
CA...Winter Weather Advisory until 11 AM PDT this morning above 4000 feet for CAZ080.
Freeze Warning from 2 AM to 8 AM PDT Sunday for CAZ080-081.
PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Medford OR 401 AM PDT Sat May 4 2024
DISCUSSION
RADAR is showing rainfall across most of southern Oregon and northern California -- the dry areas include much of Lake and Modoc Counties, but even those areas will begin to see precipitation in the next few hours. This is part of a low pressure system that is moving across our area. Precipitation will remain somewhat steady into the late morning hours before turning more showery in nature in the afternoon with thunderstorms possible over a relatively large portion of our area.
The bigger issue at the moment is snow levels. While snow levels are remaining somewhat high at the moment, they are expected to crash relatively soon as the front continues to move inland. With the heavier precipitation bands occurring as this happens, there could be some sloppy conditions, especially in the Cascades and in Western Siskiyou County, especially above 4000 feet. Will continue the Winter Weather Advisories at this time.
In addition, winds are expected to pick up later this morning for the higher terrain of Lake County to include the Winter Rim and highway 31 between Summer Lake and Paisley. Will continue the wind advisory for those locations as well.
Showers will continue overnight tonight as colder air filters in behind a frontal boundary. This will lead to some freezing temperatures for portions of western and central Siskiyou County where confidence is high with a 90 percent of reaching freezing temperatures in the Scott and Shasta Valleys. Have issued a freeze warning for these areas for tomorrow night. In addition, portions of the Applegate and the southern Illinois Valley might also reach freezing, with a 40% chance. Statistical guidance is showing temperatures a little warmer than freezing. Would like to see one last model run before making a decision either way for these areas.
Temperatures will begin to warm up over the next several days as the low progresses eastward. Showers, however, will remain as additional weak disturbances pass over the area with zonal (west to east) flow. Widespread impacts from these showers are generally not expected. Then, by midweek the pattern changes and a ridge of high pressure returns. This ridge will help us warm up and dry out into the weekend.
AVIATION
04/12Z TAFs...Unfavorable flying conditions are expected through at least 19Z as a potent frontal system moves through. Widespread MVFR ceilings, terrain obscurations and periods of moderate rain and mountain snow can be expected. Local IFR/LIFR can occur as well, especially in times of heavier precip. Some wet snow could even mix in with the rain briefly later this morning in Klamath Falls. Precipitation behind the front will become more showery this afternoon, but we still expect plenty of MVFR along with areas of higher terrain obscured through this evening.
-Spilde
MARINE
Updated 200 AM Saturday, May 4, 2024...Moderate west winds and fresh short period west swell will continue today. Rain and reduced visibility will give way to showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. West seas trend less steep through tonight. Then, southwest winds increase Sunday ahead of another front that will move through late Sunday night into Monday. This could bring conditions hazardous to small craft. Seas are likely to remain elevated Monday night into Tuesday with building west- northwest swell. After that, we expect high pressure to build in mid- late next week with a thermal trough strengthening along the coast. This will bring a return of stronger north winds and steep seas, highest south of Cape Blanco. -Spilde
MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR...Winter Weather Advisory until 11 PM PDT this evening above 4000 feet for ORZ027-028.
Wind Advisory until 5 PM PDT this afternoon for ORZ030-031.
CA...Winter Weather Advisory until 11 AM PDT this morning above 4000 feet for CAZ080.
Freeze Warning from 2 AM to 8 AM PDT Sunday for CAZ080-081.
PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...None.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
CECC1 - 9419750 - Crescent City, CA | 84 mi | 51 min | SSW 11G | 51°F | 54°F | 29.65 | ||
46027 - ST GEORGES - 8NM West Northwest of Crescent City, CA | 92 mi | 31 min | NW 21G | 48°F | 53°F | 4 ft | 29.67 |
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Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KMFR ROGUE VALLEY INTL MEDFORD,OR | 14 sm | 27 min | no data | 10 sm | Overcast | Lt Rain | 48°F | 46°F | 93% | 29.53 |
Brookings
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:23 AM PDT 1.38 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:23 AM PDT Moonrise
Sat -- 06:08 AM PDT Sunrise
Sat -- 09:11 AM PDT 5.61 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:25 PM PDT 0.39 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:29 PM PDT Moonset
Sat -- 08:20 PM PDT Sunset
Sat -- 09:49 PM PDT 6.73 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:23 AM PDT 1.38 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:23 AM PDT Moonrise
Sat -- 06:08 AM PDT Sunrise
Sat -- 09:11 AM PDT 5.61 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:25 PM PDT 0.39 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:29 PM PDT Moonset
Sat -- 08:20 PM PDT Sunset
Sat -- 09:49 PM PDT 6.73 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Brookings, Chetco Cove, Oregon, Tide feet
12 am |
4.1 |
1 am |
2.9 |
2 am |
1.9 |
3 am |
1.4 |
4 am |
1.5 |
5 am |
2.1 |
6 am |
3.1 |
7 am |
4.3 |
8 am |
5.2 |
9 am |
5.6 |
10 am |
5.4 |
11 am |
4.6 |
12 pm |
3.5 |
1 pm |
2.2 |
2 pm |
1.1 |
3 pm |
0.5 |
4 pm |
0.5 |
5 pm |
1.3 |
6 pm |
2.6 |
7 pm |
4.1 |
8 pm |
5.5 |
9 pm |
6.5 |
10 pm |
6.7 |
11 pm |
6.2 |
Crescent City
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:19 AM PDT 1.38 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:22 AM PDT Moonrise
Sat -- 06:08 AM PDT Sunrise
Sat -- 09:10 AM PDT 5.61 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:21 PM PDT 0.39 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:29 PM PDT Moonset
Sat -- 08:19 PM PDT Sunset
Sat -- 09:48 PM PDT 6.73 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:19 AM PDT 1.38 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:22 AM PDT Moonrise
Sat -- 06:08 AM PDT Sunrise
Sat -- 09:10 AM PDT 5.61 feet High Tide
Sat -- 03:21 PM PDT 0.39 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:29 PM PDT Moonset
Sat -- 08:19 PM PDT Sunset
Sat -- 09:48 PM PDT 6.73 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Crescent City, California, Tide feet
12 am |
4.1 |
1 am |
2.9 |
2 am |
1.9 |
3 am |
1.4 |
4 am |
1.5 |
5 am |
2.2 |
6 am |
3.2 |
7 am |
4.3 |
8 am |
5.2 |
9 am |
5.6 |
10 am |
5.4 |
11 am |
4.6 |
12 pm |
3.4 |
1 pm |
2.1 |
2 pm |
1 |
3 pm |
0.4 |
4 pm |
0.5 |
5 pm |
1.3 |
6 pm |
2.6 |
7 pm |
4.2 |
8 pm |
5.6 |
9 pm |
6.5 |
10 pm |
6.7 |
11 pm |
6.2 |
Medford, OR,
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