Wednesday, March29, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
North Madison, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:07AMSunset 7:47PM Wednesday March 29, 2017 7:06 PM EDT (23:06 UTC) Moonrise 7:22AMMoonset 8:49PM Illumination 6% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
LEZ167 Lake Erie Open Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on-the-lake Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From Geneva-on-the-lake To Conneaut Oh- 343 Pm Edt Wed Mar 29 2017
Tonight..Northeast winds 10 knots or less becoming east and increasing to 10 to 20 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 3 to 5 feet.
Thursday..East winds 15 to 25 knots increasing to 30 knots. Rain showers likely in the afternoon. Waves 3 to 5 feet building to 5 to 7 feet.
Thursday night..East winds 15 to 25 knots becoming southeast and diminishing to 5 to 15 knots. Rain showers with a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 5 to 7 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet.
Friday..Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northwest 10 knots or less. A chance of Thunderstorms in the morning. Showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Friday night..North winds 5 to 15 knots. Rain showers likely in the evening...then a chance of rain showers overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Saturday..North winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northwest. A chance of rain showers in the morning. Waves 1 to 3 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less.
Sunday..Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming east. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday..East winds 10 to 20 knots. A chance of rain showers... Then rain showers likely. Waves 1 to 3 feet. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
LEZ167 Expires:201703300215;;275285 FZUS61 KCLE 291943 GLFLE OPEN LAKE FORECAST FOR LAKE ERIE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 343 PM EDT WED MAR 29 2017 FOR WATERS BEYOND FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE ON LAKE ERIE .SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE 30.40 INCHES WILL SHIFT TO NEW ENGLAND THURSDAY. LOW PRESSURE 29.40 INCHES WILL MOVE TO THE OHIO VALLEY THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY AND BE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE 30.20 INCHES WILL BUILD ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE LAKE MONDAY. LEZ164>168-300215-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North Madison, OH
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 42.25, -81.22     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kcle 292013
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
413 pm edt Wed mar 29 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will shift to new england on Thursday. Low pressure
will approach from the southern plains on Thursday and drift east
across lake erie on Friday. This system will move off the east coast
Saturday with high pressure expanding across the local area for the
weekend.

Near term /until 6 am Thursday morning/
High pressure located north of the area will shift to new england
overnight. Upper level ridge will build overhead with mid level
moisture streaming around the ridge. Expect to see the thicker cloud
cover across the western great lakes expand overhead and lower after
midnight. Did raise mins a few degrees for tonight as daytime highs
have already surpassed expected highs by a few degrees. Lows will
range from the lower 30s in NW pa to near 40 in the southwestern
counties. Although we could start to see some echos showing up in
the west late tonight, will keep the forecast dry through 6 am given
the lingering dry air in the low levels.

Short term /6 am Thursday morning through Saturday night/
Deep upper level trough over the plains will lift into the mid-
mississippi valley on Thursday then across central ohio on Friday. At
the surface, a warm front will lift north into the area on Thursday
with the typical delays expected near lake erie. Kept
temperatures in the 40s at toledo with the front not lifting
north of the lake until Friday. Moisture advection will ramp up
across the area on Thursday and expect a leading band of showers
to lift northeast across the area from mid-morning through late
afternoon. Better chances of rain and increasing chances of
thunderstorms will arrive from the west late in the day with the
approach of a 500mb jet streak. Widespread rain with scattered
thunderstorms expected Thursday night but will have to monitor
to see what role robust convection plays that will develop upstream
across the mississippi and tennessee valley.

Surface low will move into northwest ohio on Friday morning.

Some breaks will start to develop in the showers as drier air
gets wrapped into the system. Diurnally enhanced showers will
likely fill back in during the afternoon. As the low pulls away
to the east, northerly flow will pull the cold front south
behind it with cooler air returning Friday night and Saturday.

Qpf on Thursday and Friday is expected to range from three
quarters of an inch to an inch and a quarter unless moisture
transport gets disrupted by the upstream convection. The
moisture depth becomes shallow by Saturday morning with clouds
scattering out from the north as high pressure builds in.

Long term /Sunday through Wednesday/
Overall upper level pattern still progressive with time. Models
suggest periods of ridging with troughiness moving east across the
lower 48. However, deep trough digging into the pacific northwest
will cause amplification of the ridge in the eastern united states
by mid week.

The forecast area will see transitioning periods of waves of low
pressure alternated with areas of high pressure. So, the current
pattern continues through the early and middle part of next week.

This pattern will still keep the polar jet stream well north of the
area keeping the arctic cold air out of the forecast area for the
time being. Some hints indicate a brief shot of cold air by the end
of the week.

Surface high pressure will exit to the east on Sunday allowing a
southern stream low pressure system to move northeast toward the
area. This system will initially have limited moisture associated
with it but will eventually tap into some gulf moisture by Monday
night and force it north into the area. The low will track east
into the carolinas by Tuesday allowing high pressure to build in
from the north. The high will push east to the mid atlantic coast as
yet another storm system with limited moisture begins to approach
from the west on Wednesday.

Aviation /18z Wednesday through Monday/
One fair weather day giving way to another round of inclement
weather over the next 24 hours. High pressure over the local
area will move east and allow low pressure to move into the
region. Expecting lowering ceilings and visibilities along with
some rain shower activity to move into the area west to east.

Best chance for weather will be in the west during the late
morning tomorrow. Lower chances will be in the east. Ceilings
will drop to ifr/MVFR west by morning. Otherwise, expecting
mostlyVFR over the east through this TAF period.

Outlook... Non-vfr continuing into Friday. Non-vfr possible
Sunday night into Monday.

Marine
Winds on the lake will be increasing from the east northeast and it
appears waves will be high enough for the western basin to support
small craft advisory criteria. So, will hoist a small advisory for
the western 2 lake nearshore zones from 2 am tonight through 5 pm on
Thursday. For the rest of the marine nearshore, winds should be
just offshore to prevent waves from reaching 4 feet. So, will not
issue an advisory for this area. Otherwise, winds are expected to
be fairly light through the rest of the forecast period except
Monday. Winds will increase out of the east-northeast Monday and
will likely need another small craft advisory then. &&

Cle watches/warnings/advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 2 am to 5 pm edt Thursday for lez142-
143.

Synopsis... Kec
near term... Kec
short term... Kec
long term... Lombardy
aviation... Lombardy
marine... Lombardy


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
GELO1 - Geneva on the Lake, OH 30 mi87 min E 4.1 G 5.1 41°F
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 34 mi49 min NE 6 G 7 40°F 1024.2 hPa34°F
CBLO1 - Conneaut Breakwater Light, OH 40 mi67 min E 1.9 G 1.9 41°F 1024 hPa (-0.7)

Wind History for Fairport, OH
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
Last
24hr
W6
W6
NW11
NW11
N4
G7
NW3
W2
G6
W2
NW1
N4
NE2
N6
NE4
NE4
SE3
NE1
NW3
N7
NE9
NE10
N11
NE6
E6
NE6
1 day
ago
SW4
SW2
S2
SE3
SE3
SE4
E5
E4
E6
E4
NE6
NE9
G12
NE6
NE8
G11
E5
G8
N3
G6
N18
N12
N2
--
NW4
W6
W11
W11
2 days
ago
N7
E4
SE5
S6
S11
S17
G24
S12
G15
S11
G14
S11
S8
G11
SW10
G13
SW16
SW19
SW16
SW13
G16
SW17
SW18
SW16
SW17
W11
W7
SW7
W8
SW8

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Ashtabula - Northeast Ohio Regional Airport, OH43 mi74 minENE 810.00 miFair50°F30°F46%1024.7 hPa

Wind History from HZY (wind in knots)
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
Last 24hrNW4NW4NW5NW5NW5NW5NW4NE3N3E3NE3CalmCalmCalmCalm46
G15
N9NE9N7
G15
NE7
G16
E8E8NE5
1 day agoCalmCalmNE3SE3E3SE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE54N6N4N65N7NW9NW7NW6NE4NW4NW5
2 days agoS9
G19
SE10S10S10S10S10S8S7S5S6S8SW8SW6SW7SW6W5W11W7W10W8W4NW4N5N4

Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (19,4,5,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.