Friday, May24, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
North Madison, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:53AMSunset 8:46PM Friday May 24, 2019 5:41 AM EDT (09:41 UTC) Moonrise 12:12AMMoonset 9:56AM Illumination 72% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ167 Expires:201905241430;;370591 Fzus61 Kcle 240750 Glfle Open Lake Forecast For Lake Erie National Weather Service Cleveland Oh 350 Am Edt Fri May 24 2019 For Waters Beyond Five Nautical Miles Of Shore On Lake Erie Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum.
Synopsis..High pressure 30.20 inches will build across the lake today. A warm front will lift northeast across the lake by Saturday morning. A cold front drops southeast across the lake Saturday night. High pressure 30.00 inches moves east across the central great lakes Sunday. A warm front approaches from the south Monday night. Lez164>167-241430- lake erie open waters from the islands to vermilion oh- lake erie open waters from vermilion to avon point oh- lake erie open waters from avon point to willowick oh- lake erie open waters from willowick to geneva-on-the-lake oh- 350 am edt Fri may 24 2019
Today..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tonight..East winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southeast. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Saturday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Sunday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Monday..Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers Tuesday night. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 5 feet, then subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
LEZ167


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North Madison, OH
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location: 42.25, -81.22     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 240816
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
416 am edt Fri may 24 2019

Synopsis
High pressure will drift east across the great lakes today. A
warm front will lift northeast across the area tonight into
early Saturday as low pressure moves through the upper midwest
into central quebec. A cold front will drop south across the
area Sunday and will return north as a warm front Monday night.

Near term through Saturday
A relatively quiet end of the week is expected as high pressure
centered over the great lakes drifts east today. Ridging will
remain anchored over the area into tonight with a surface warm
front well south of the area across the ohio valley. Went with a
dry forecast across the area today, despite some of the higher
res models showing the potential for upstream convection diving
southeast into west central ohio later this morning midday.

Expect much of the activity to be dissipated by that point,
with any remaining organized activity south of the forecast
area. There is some potential for a pop up shower across the
northeast part of the forecast area this afternoon as a remnant
mcv tracks along the ridge across lake erie into NW pa western
ny, but confidence too low for a forecast mention given
relatively stable conditions. Temperatures will be on the cooler
side today with some flow off the lake. Went with highs in the
low mid 70s away from the lake, possibly reaching the upper 70s
across the far south. Temps will hold in the 60s near the lake.

Forecast temps are close to the warmest MOS and consensus raw
model guidance.

The ohio valley warm front will quickly lift north through the
area late tonight overnight. Precip activity will increase to
the north and west along a robust low level jet corridor nosing
through the southern great lakes. Expecting most of the upstream
activity to overtop the ridge and track north of the area
through the overnight into Saturday morning, but will carry some
low chance slight chance pops across the far north lake erie
during this time. Saturday will start out dry for most of the
area, but pops will increase through the day, especially late
afternoon into the evening hours across the northwest. Some weak
convergence across the east with modest destabilization may lead
to some early day convection, but the better forcing will be
east of the area by this time. Lows tonight will range from the
mid 60s southwest to the mid 50s northeast. Went on the warmer
end of guidance for highs on Saturday with mid upper 80s across
ohio and low 80s across NW pa, given decent insolation and good
waa through the peak heating period.

Short term Saturday night through Monday night
Saturday night will see decent chances for thunderstorms as a cold
front sags southward across the region. Upper level jet energy
combined with sufficient instability should allow for a few strong
to severe thunderstorms. Current indications are that the severe
threat would mainly be strong damaging winds between 21z and 03z.

The cold front should take all of this convection south of the cwa
by midnight with high pressure returning. This frontal boundary will
stall across southern ohio early Monday but will return as a warm
front Monday night. Showers and a few thunderstorms will be possible
with the warm advection associated with this boundary.

Saturday night will be warm with lows in the lower to mid 60s.

Slightly cooler on Sunday with highs in the 70s. Seasonable
temperatures Monday night with lows in the 50s.

Long term Tuesday through Thursday
Warm front will attempt to lift north of the region on Tuesday as
low pressure moves toward the upper great lakes. At this time we
will keep some low chances of showers and thunderstorms going for
Tuesday and Tuesday night with the better chances closer to the
lake. If the front ends up north of the lake these chances will be
removed over the next couple days. A stronger storm system will take
shape Wednesday night into Thursday and move across the great lakes
region. Each model has slightly different timing with the approach
of this next cold front Wednesday night into Thursday so confidence
is low with any of the details.

Temperatures will remain warm Tuesday into Wednesday with highs in
the 80s at most locations. If cloud cover becomes thick enough
across NW oh on wedneday highs may be held in the middle 70s.

Thursday should be cooler in the wake of a cold front with highs in
the 70s.

Aviation 06z Friday through Tuesday
Vfr conditions expected through the period as high pressure
drifts east across the great lakes region. A warm front will
lift northeast towards the area tonight, with some increased
low mid level cloud cover late in the period. A few
showers storms are possible along the front, but should mainly
stay north of the region, so no precip in the forecast at this
time. Light northerly winds will become increasingly variable
and will remain light through the period as the ridge axis
passes through the region.

Outlook... Non-vfr possible in thunderstorms Saturday and Sunday.

Marine
High pressure will be in control of the lake today with light winds.

An onshore flow will persist through the day along the south shore.

There will be a couple storm system that interact with the lake
tonight through Monday night. The first will lift a warm front
across the lake tonight with a southerly wind expected across the
entire lake by Saturday morning. Winds should shift to the southwest
through Saturday afternoon as a cold front sags toward the lake.

Will have to monitor geneva-on-the-lake to ripley for waves building
close to the 4 foot threshold for a few hours Saturday evening into
the overnight. The cold front will then stall over southern ohio
Sunday night with high pressure briefly ridging across the lake. The
stalled boundary over southern ohio will lift northward toward the
lake Monday night as the next storm system moves across the central
plains.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Greenawalt
near term... Greenawalt
short term... Mm
long term... Mm
aviation... Greenawalt
marine... Mm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
45132 - Port Stanley 15 mi101 min W 5.8 G 5.8 51°F 48°F1 ft1018 hPa (+1.0)
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 34 mi47 min W 4.1 G 6 55°F 59°F1018.4 hPa52°F
45164 44 mi41 min 52°F1 ft

Wind History for Fairport, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Ashtabula - Northeast Ohio Regional Airport, OH43 mi48 minN 010.00 miFair48°F46°F96%1018.4 hPa

Wind History from HZY (wind in knots)
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1 day agoSE10SE11SE13SE10SE14
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2 days agoCalmCalm3NW4CalmNW63NW4NE54N6NE733NE3CalmCalmCalmE4E5CalmE5E5SE7

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.