Monday, November19, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
North Madison, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:17AMSunset 5:00PM Monday November 19, 2018 11:15 AM EST (16:15 UTC) Moonrise 3:29PMMoonset 3:06AM Illumination 88% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ167 Lake Erie Open Waters From Ripley To Buffalo Ny- Lake Erie Open Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on-the-lake Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From Geneva-on-the-lake To Conneaut Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From Conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 921 Am Est Mon Nov 19 2018
This afternoon..Northwest winds less than 10 knots. A slight chance of rain. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tonight..Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of rain late in the evening. A chance of snow after midnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. A chance of snow showers in the morning, then a chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
Tuesday night..West winds 15 to 25 knots increasing to 30 knots. A chance of snow showers overnight. Waves 3 to 5 feet building to 6 to 9 feet. Waves occasionally around 11 feet.
Wednesday..West winds to 30 knots becoming north and diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. A chance of snow showers during the day. Waves 7 to 10 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 13 feet.
Thursday..Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Friday..South winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of rain showers Friday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
LEZ167 Expires:201811192130;;540980 FZUS61 KCLE 191421 GLFLE Open Lake Forecast for Lake Erie National Weather Service Cleveland OH 921 AM EST Mon Nov 19 2018 For waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on Lake Erie Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. .SYNOPSIS...Low pressure 30.10 inches will move east across the central Great Lakes today. A ridge averaging 30.20 inches will expand across the southern Great Lakes through Tuesday. Low pressure 29.80 inches will move southeast across southern Ontario, Canada Tuesday night to northern New York Wednesday. High pressure 30.60 inches will move southeast through central Ontario, Canada Thursday to Maine by Friday morning. LEZ061-165>169-192130-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North Madison, OH
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location: 42.25, -81.22     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 191423
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
923 am est Mon nov 19 2018

Synopsis
Low pressure will move northeast through the lower ohio valley
today. Tonight a cold front will drop across the area from the
northwest. High pressure will then try to build in from the
southwest for the middle of the week as low pressure passes
north of the great lakes region.

Near term through Tuesday
Update... No changes to the forecast. Large swath of rain and
snow impacting much of the area expected to slowly move to the
east northeast through the afternoon hours.

Original... Low level moisture trapped under an inversion with
drier air aloft has allowed fog to develop with diurnal cooling.

Visibilities had dropped to a quarter to a half mile across a
large portion of the area but have actually improved a bit as
moisture advances into the area from the southwest. Will still
have a dense fog advisory for early today and chip away as
visibilities improve. Otherwise, radar shows rain moving
northeast into the area associated with developing low that will
move northeast through lower ohio valley today. Brought likely
to categorical pops into the southern and southeastern portion
of the area with smaller chances north. This system move east
tonight however a cold front will drop across the area from the
northwest in its wake. Continued with chance pops for snow.

Accums should be light. Tuesday colder air will continue to move
in with 850mb temps dropping to -10c or so by 18z. Winds back
from nnw to W through the day with should disrupt any lake
effect banding that tries to develop although with ample
moisture the first half of the day would expect light snow into
the snowbelt counties. Accums will again by generally light.

Highs today mid to upper 30s. Highs Tuesday more mid 30s.

Short term Tuesday night through Thursday night
Upper level ridge that has been locked in over the western united
states will gradually begin to advance east toward the eastern
united states by Thursday night. Strengthening upper level trough
will occur Wednesday before the upper level ridge has a chance to
eject the trough east and out of the region. An upper level jet
maxima is progged to move southeast across the local area by Tuesday
night and continue into Wednesday and it will bring with it some
moisture. However, the best jet dynamics don't appear to be
favorable for our area. Cyclogenesis will take place at the surface
northwest of the great lakes and the resultant low pressure system
will move southeast and deepen rapidly across the great lakes to
maine by Wednesday afternoon. This storm system will bring a threat
for some snow Tuesday night into Wednesday. The bulk of the
precipitation appears it will fall across the northern and eastern
portions of the forecast area. Little if any chance for snow is
expected across the south. Some residual lake effect will take place
Wednesday night. Then, as high pressure begins to build in from the
west, fair weather will return to the forecast area across the
entire area for Thursday into Thursday night. As high pressure
builds in from the northwest, a fair amount of cold air advection
will take place. This will cause low temperatures to plummet well
into the 20s each and even teens in the east. Highs each day will be
in the middle to upper 30s Wednesday and lower to middle 20s east to
mid 30s west for Thursday.

Long term Friday through Sunday
Over all upper level pattern will change from a tranquil pattern
Friday to another deep trough over the eastern united states. This
troughiness will become the dominant weather feature during the
extended period over the weekend. The upper level troughiness will
result in the development of low pressure north of north dakota that
will move southeast to the ohio valley region by Sunday morning.

Warm air advection will take place ahead of the low along with a
swath of moisture will will cause showers to develop Friday night
into Sunday. The low will then move to the DELMARVA coast and
rapidly intensify as upper level trough becomes negatively tilted.

This low will draw cold air advection south through the great lakes
region by Sunday night. Milder temperatures will return for the
weekend at the expense of more rain across the area.

Aviation 12z Monday through Friday
Widespread lifr fog and low CIGS will persist through morning
and possibly into the afternoon across much of the area. Rain of
a mixture of rain and snow will move northeast into the area
after 12z as low pressure tracks along a cold front in the
lower ohio valley. A cold front moves in from the northwest
overnight and should bring continued restriction in light snow.

Outlook... Expect non-vfr again Tuesday night as low pressure
moving through the central lakes drags another cold front
through the area. Non-vfr possible Wednesday and Wednesday night
cle eri yng cak in lake effect snow.

Marine
Winds will be fairly light through early Tuesday but will then begin
to increase resulting in the possibility for small craft advisory
conditions Tuesday into Wednesday evening. Low pressure will move
southeast across the area Monday night into Tuesday resulting in the
stronger winds and higher waves. High pressure will build into the
area Thursday and Friday causing winds to diminish and waves to
subside. Southerly winds will return by Friday and increase to 10
to 15 knots. This will push the higher waves up toward the canadian
shore.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Tk
near term... Tk riley
short term... Lombardy
long term... Lombardy
aviation... Tk
marine... Oudeman


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
45132 - Port Stanley 15 mi76 min WNW 3.9 G 3.9 38°F 47°F1019.6 hPa (-0.7)
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 34 mi28 min ESE 5.1 G 6 40°F 39°F1018.7 hPa33°F
CBLO1 - Conneaut Breakwater Light, OH 40 mi26 min SSE 1.9 G 4.1 39°F 1019 hPa

Wind History for Fairport, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Ashtabula - Northeast Ohio Regional Airport, OH43 mi23 minSE 410.00 miOvercast37°F35°F93%1019.5 hPa

Wind History from HZY (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmS6S4S3S3CalmS3SW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3SE4
1 day agoW5NW5NW6NW64NW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3SE3SE5SE3E4E4SE4S3
2 days agoSW13SW13
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.