Tuesday, May21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bainbridge, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:35AMSunset 8:24PM Tuesday May 21, 2019 11:47 PM EDT (03:47 UTC) Moonrise 10:16PMMoonset 6:48AM Illumination 90% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bainbridge, NY
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location: 42.29, -75.48     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 212333
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
733 pm edt Tue may 21 2019

Synopsis
After a clear but chilly night, we will have a sunny but warmer
day Wednesday as a southerly flow of air develops. Scattered
showers are possible Wednesday night, with thunderstorms likely
Thursday ahead of a cold front.

Near term through Wednesday night
As of 735 pm Tuesday... Forecast remains on-track with high
pressure in control. No changes needed at this time.

Previous discussion...

drier air and a building surface high as finally scattered out
the clouds over the eastern zones. Tonight, winds will die out
as the ridge builds overhead allowing temperatures to tumble.

Does not look like a frost risk however as bottom out in the low
40s and perhaps a few upper 30s. Greenery and wet ground
helping to keep the dew points up as well. Fog should not be a
concern either. Very shallow inversion with very dry air just
above with good winds will keep fog confined to only the deepest
valleys and right near the rivers, if at all.

Sunny and dry for Wednesday as the high pressure slides to the
east and a southerly flo develops. Temperatures should recover
at least 10 degrees for the highs.

Models show some convection developing along the warm front as
it surges northward Wednesday night so will continue with
chance pops for any showers or thunderstorms that slide over the
ridge.

Short term Thursday through Friday night
Active weather pattern, with strong and even a few severe
thunderstorms possible Thursday afternoon and evening across the
region. Drier, breezy and cooler on Friday.

Could see a few lingering showers, mainly east and south
Thursday morning as the remnants of an MCS slide toward the
coast. Then, we likely see breaks of Sun later Thursday morning
into the early afternoon as the southerly flow increases ahead
of the next approaching front. The eastern areas may take a
little longer to get into the surface warm sector, but at this
time it appears most of the CWA will warm up between 75-80 (some
lower 80s in the wyoming valley) by afternoon... Along with dew
points rising near 60. Latest guidance is showing a slight
increasing in the mixed layer instability; perhaps between about
700-1200 j kg. As the front approaches and moves through late in
the afternoon evening a line of broken convection is forecast to
develop and move across the area. Parameters, including deep
layer shear look favorable for some scattered strong to even
severe storms with strong winds and hail the main possible
threats. SPC now has our entire forecast area under a slight
risk for severe storms Thursday afternoon evening. The higher
confidence is in the shear dynamics... And will need to see if
the instability (especially surface based) materializes. There
is still some uncertainty with the exact timing of the convection
and frontal passage, with the gfs ECMWF being faster, but the
12z NAM has now sped up closer to the other guidance. After the
frontal passage Thursday night our area gets into a northwest
flow pattern as a surface low and mid level low develop over new
england. This type of pattern should keep cloud cover around,
and even a few showers into Friday morning along with breezy
northwest winds. Expect some breaks of Sun later in the day
Friday as the low departs and upper level heights rise overhead.

Much cooler with highs in the 60s to near 70... Except 70-75 for
the valleys of NE pa.

Friday night remains generally dry under party cloudy skies as
weak high pressure moves in a weak mid level warm front pushes
in from the west late. Cooler east, with lows around
50... Trending to low and mid-50s west and south. Variable winds
turn southerly late, less than 10 mph.

Long term Saturday through Tuesday
Active weather pattern continues, with systems rounding over
top the upper level ridge impacting the region every other day
through the extending period.

Saturday: upper level ridge axis moves east in the morning with
another cold frontal passage expected later in the day. The
convective set up appears very similar to Thursday's, with
moderate amounts of instability, strong deep layer shear and a
westerly to northwesterly flow regime. SPC now has our area
under a day 5 slight risk outlook for the possibility of a few
severe storms once again. Before the thunderstorm activity it
should warm up well into the 70s, with dew points reaching the
lower 60s. There remains uncertainty in the exact timing of any
thunderstorms activity, and the ultimate strength of these
storms (whether they can actually reach severe levels). Again,
the main factor will be if the atmosphere can destabilize enough.

Rain lingers into late Saturday evening and overnight as
it appears the cold front stalls over our southern eastern
areas. The upper level ridge pokes back up by Sunday, but with
the washed out front near the ny pa border cannot rule out a few
showers or isolated thunderstorms. Warmer across NE pa,
75-82... With low to mid-70s across central ny. Drier Sunday
night into early Monday, then guidance is indicate another short
wave riding over the ridge with another frontal passage possible
later Monday with additional showers and thunderstorms possible.

At this time Tuesday is looking drier under a northwest flow.

Seasonable temperatures Monday and Tuesday with highs in the 70s
and lows in the upper 40s to mid-50s.

Aviation 00z Wednesday through Sunday
Vfr throughout the period with high pressure overhead. Gusty
winds will die down to light and variable before midnight
tonight.

Outlook...

Wednesday night... GeneralVFR.

Thursday... Brief restrictions possible in showers or
thunderstorms.

Friday...VFR.

Saturday... Restrictions possible in afternoon showers or
thunderstorms.

Sunday...VFR.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Dgm
near term... Dgm mpk
short term... Mjm
long term... Mjm
aviation... Mpk


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 98 mi35 min W 13 G 19 49°F 1021.2 hPa38°F

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Binghamton, Binghamton Regional Airport, NY27 mi1.9 hrsNW 510.00 miFair50°F34°F54%1021.1 hPa

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Last 24hr------------------------------------------------
1 day ago------------------------------------------------
2 days ago------------------------------------------------

Tide / Current Tables for Tivoli, Hudson River, New York
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Tivoli
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:16 AM EDT     4.88 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:43 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 11:04 AM EDT     -0.19 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:54 PM EDT     3.94 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:08 PM EDT     0.31 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:09 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.22.53.74.54.94.84.13.1210.2-0.20.21.32.43.23.83.93.7321.20.60.3

Tide / Current Tables for Kingston Point, Hudson River, New York
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Kingston Point
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:47 AM EDT     4.60 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:30 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:43 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 10:34 AM EDT     -0.18 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:24 PM EDT     3.71 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:38 PM EDT     0.29 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:09 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.733.94.54.64.23.42.41.40.5-0.1-0.10.71.82.73.33.73.63.22.31.50.90.40.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Binghamton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.