Sunday, August19, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Algonac, MI

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Sunrise 6:39AMSunset 8:24PM Sunday August 19, 2018 10:10 AM EDT (14:10 UTC) Moonrise 2:38PMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 56% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ166 Lake Erie Open Waters From Ripley To Buffalo Ny- Lake Erie Open Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on-the-lake Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From Geneva-on-the-lake To Conneaut Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From Conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 910 Am Edt Sun Aug 19 2018
This afternoon..East winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northeast. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tonight..East winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southeast. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Monday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south 15 to 20 knots. A chance of Thunderstorms in the evening, then showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
Tuesday..South winds 15 to 25 knots becoming northwest. Showers and Thunderstorms during the day, then showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms Tuesday night. Waves 3 to 5 feet.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Thursday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. Waves 1 foot or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
LEZ166 Expires:201808192015;;895831 FZUS61 KCLE 191310 GLFLE Open Lake Forecast for Lake Erie National Weather Service Cleveland OH 910 AM EDT Sun Aug 19 2018 For waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on Lake Erie Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. .SYNOPSIS...High pressure 30.10 inches will build southeast out of Canada today and move to New England Monday. Low pressure 29.60 inches will track from the central Plains early Monday into the central Great Lakes by Tuesday morning. The low will then move into southern Quebec by Wednesday morning, forcing a cold front across the lake. A trough averaging 29.90 inches will linger across the lake Wednesday. High pressure 30.20 inches will build east to central Ohio by Thursday evening. LEZ061-164>169-192015-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Algonac, MI
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location: 42.29, -81.9     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 191326
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
926 am edt Sun aug 19 2018

Synopsis
High pressure over great lakes and upper midwest will drift
southeast across the ohio valley today into Monday. Monday night
low pressure will move northeast out of iowa and move through
the central great lakes Tuesday.

Near term through tonight
Lot's of smoke over the area today which is filtering the
sunshine... Especially across the eastern portion of the area.

Have gone with a slightly more pessimistic cloud forecast for
today otherwise no changes.

Original... High pressure will build southeast across the
region today and through tonight. The high will weaken its grip
on the region Monday as it drifts northeast away from new
england. Expecting plenty of Sun today. Monday should begin
sunny to partly cloudy with clouds increasing from the west
through the afternoon as moisture ahead of the low moves into
the area. Did bring in a slight chance pop to grids far west
late afternoon but on balance expect a dry day for most if not
all. Highs today mostly around 80. Highs Monday lower 80s.

Short term Monday through Wednesday night
The focus of the short term period is precip chances as fairly
strong low pressure over the mid mississippi valley tracks northeast
into the central great lakes by Tuesday morning and into southern
quebec by Wednesday. Only minor changes made to the forecast during
the period, with models in fairly good agreement with the overall
pattern. Minor differences still exist with timing onset of precip,
as strong moisture return and decent isentropic lift moves into the
region ahead of the low Monday night. Have opted to continue likely
pops after 06z Tuesday, and low end cat pops progressing west to
east during the day on Tuesday as the attendant cold front pushes
east through the area. Pops will generally diminish from west to east
across the area Tuesday night, but have lingered pops through
Wednesday, especially across northeast oh northwest pa, as a
secondary cold front pushes south through the area along with some
mid level energy. High pressure builds into the region Wednesday
night with dry conditions prevailing. No big changes to temps
through the period, with seasonable conditions ahead of the front
through Tuesday, then below normal temps Wednesday and Wednesday
night behind the front.

Long term Thursday through Saturday
Fairly quiet long term expected as a large area of high pressure
over the region Thursday builds east into new england Friday and off
the atlantic coast on Saturday. This will keep conditions dry across
the region through at least Friday night. Models are in fairly good
agreement with a northern stream wave kicking east through the
northern great lakes and bringing a trailing cold front
towards through the area Saturday Saturday night, so have opted for
slight chance pops late Friday night and Saturday. A modest warming
trend is expected into the weekend with below normal highs Thursday
warming into the low 80s by Saturday.

Aviation 12z Sunday through Thursday
ConditionsVFR at TAF time as high pressure and drier air build
in from the north. So far fog has not been an issue with the
exception of ktol so will leave out otherwise. As for ktol will
have MVFR ifr fog for just 1 hour before improving toVFR.

ExpectVFR conditions for the balance of the forecast.

Outlook... Showers and thunderstorms possible Monday night into
Wednesday.

Marine
Quiet conditions expected today through Monday with high pressure
over the lakes, with east northeast winds generally 10-15 kts or
less. Winds will veer southerly Monday night as strong low pressure
moves northeast into the central lakes by Tuesday morning. Southerly
winds around 20 kts are expected Tuesday ahead of a cold front, with
winds veering quickly, northwest Tuesday night into Wednesday at 20-
25 kts. This will almost certainly bring small craft advisory
conditions, especially Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.

Northwest northerly winds will slowly diminish Wednesday and
Wednesday night as high pressure builds across the lakes, with light
winds slowly backing southerly by Friday as the ridge axis passes to
the east of the lakes.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Tk
near term... Tk kubina
short term... Greenawalt
long term... Greenawalt
aviation... Tk
marine... Greenawalt


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
45132 - Port Stanley 38 mi70 min ENE 9.7 G 12 71°F 75°F1 ft1016.3 hPa (+0.9)
45164 40 mi70 min SSE 5.8 71°F 77°F1016.7 hPa (+1.2)
AGCM4 40 mi40 min 70°F 1016.9 hPa
45147 - Lake St Clair 42 mi70 min E 7.8 G 7.8 73°F 75°F1015.8 hPa (+0.9)
45169 47 mi30 min E 9.7 G 12 71°F 77°F1 ft63°F
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 49 mi40 min ESE 6 G 7 69°F 1016.6 hPa62°F
CLSM4 - St. Clair Shores, MI 53 mi70 min ESE 7 G 9.9 74°F 1017.3 hPa (+1.0)

Wind History for Fairport, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cleveland, Burke Lakefront Airport, OH54 mi77 minE 710.00 miOvercast69°F57°F68%1016.2 hPa

Wind History from BKL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN5NE10NE16NE14NE14N14NE14NE16NE15NE15NE10NE8E6NE6E7E6E5E3E5SE5SE6SE3E4E7
1 day agoW10W8W9W5S10S9SW5SW8S8S8SW6SW6S7S6SW8SW9SW10SW9SW9SW9SW6NW10N5N6
2 days agoS8SE9S11S13
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.