Tuesday, May21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Westfield, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:49AMSunset 8:38PM Tuesday May 21, 2019 3:13 AM EDT (07:13 UTC) Moonrise 10:34PMMoonset 7:06AM Illumination 95% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ040 Buffalo To Ripley Along Lake Erie- 131 Am Edt Tue May 21 2019
Overnight..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Sunny. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming east. Mainly clear in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday..East winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southeast. Partly to mostly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south. A chance of showers. Waves 1 foot or less.
Thursday..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 2 feet or less.
Friday..Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming south. A chance of showers Friday night. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms during the day, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms Saturday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
LEZ040 Expires:201905210900;;205400 FZUS51 KBUF 210538 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 131 AM EDT Tue May 21 2019 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ040-041-210900-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Westfield, NY
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location: 42.32, -79.61     debug


Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
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Fxus61 kbuf 210610
afdbuf
area forecast discussion
national weather service buffalo ny
210 am edt Tue may 21 2019

Synopsis
Skies will continue to clear across the region today as an area of low
pressure drifts farther away from the region. High pressure with mainly
clear skies will build towards our region tonight, and drift to our
east tomorrow allowing for clouds to gradually build back across the
region. Temperatures will remain seasonably cool today across the
region, but will moderate back to near normal Wednesday and then warm
further towards the weekend.

Near term through today
Latest IR satellite imagery displays clearing now reaching portions of
wny, this as surface high pressure edges towards the western great
lakes. Expect clearing to continue through the remainder of the night
across wny, with clouds likely to hang on through the morning hours
east of lake ontario which will lie closer to the upper level low
spinning near new england.

High pressure will build across the great lakes Tuesday. Any lingering
stratocumulus across higher terrain will fade away in the morning
leaving a good deal of sunshine. Despite the sun, the cool airmass will
only support highs in the upper 50s to lower 60s. There will still be
some breeze, especially southeast of lake ontario where winds may gust
in the 20-25 mph range.

Short term tonight through Thursday night
Ridging will amplify over the area in response to a
strengthening anti-cyclone over the southeastern u.S. This will
gradually all for surface high pressure to advance across and
eventually east of the area, forcing first southeasterly flow on
Wednesday before things turn more southwesterly. This will allow
for a dry and warmer day on Wednesday as flow across the CWA is
all over-land. Beyond that time, southwesterly flow will bring
some influence of lake-cooled air into portions of the cwa, most
notably the buffalo area.

In addition to some lake-influenced air making it into the cwa,
the advancement of the surface high to the east and return flow
around the western side of it coincides with the progression of
the mid-level ridge axis to our east. As this occurs, the polar
jet does manage to sag a bit farther south. As a result, short
wave activity will start to make it into the western great lakes
later in the period, which may start to influence the western
and northern reaches of our CWA late in the short term.

Long term Friday through Monday
A sprawling 500 hpa ridge that will build to heights of 594 dm will
continue to take residence over the southeast u.S. Through the long
term period. A deepening trough over the west coast and
intermountain west will initiate active weather over the western
half of the country. Active weather from the western trough will
trek northeast over the southeast ridge resulting in mostly weak
waves of low pressure to pass over near the western and north
central ny area for most of this period.

The best chance for showers and storms will likely move through
our region around Saturday as the most pronounced trough is set
to overtop the ridge at that time. Dewpoints Saturday will
likely surpass 60f, giving a touch of humidity to the airmass.

Temperatures Thursday through Sunday will be around to above normal,
with afternoon temperatures in the 70s for much of the region.

Aviation 06z Tuesday through Saturday
For the 06z TAF cycle a deck of stratus in the MVFR range across higher
terrain (kjhw) and near the 3k foot level at lower elevations will
continue to fade over the next 6 to 12 hours.

High pressure over the western great lakes will push drier air across
the region today, clearing the western TAF sites over the next 3 - 6
hours, while a deck of strato-cu lingers east of lake ontario (kart)
through the midday hours of today.

Later this afternoon and tonight an area of surface high pressure will
drift across the TAF region with light winds andVFR flight conditions.

Outlook...

Wednesday... MainlyVFR.

Thursday... MainlyVFR with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.

Friday...VFR.

Saturday...VFR MVFR with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms.

Marine
Low pressure over quebec will continue to pull away from the region
tonight and then move into the canadian maritimes on Tuesday.

Moderate westerly winds will continue to produce small craft
advisory conditions through the first half of tonight on lakes erie
and ontario, the niagara river, and saint lawrence river. Small
craft advisory conditions will persist on the eastern half of lake
ontario through much of Tuesday as moderate wnw winds continue. High
pressure will then bring a return to lighter winds Tuesday night and
Wednesday.

Tides coastal flooding
Moderate westerly flow will continue across the lower lakes
tonight with higher waves on lake ontario, combining with very
high lake levels to bring an increased risk of lakeshore
flooding on the east half of lake ontario, especially east of
sodus bay. Winds will begin to diminish some by Tuesday, but
still may be high enough to continue the increased lakeshore
flooding on lake ontario east of sodus bay.

For monroe, orleans, and niagara counties, the westerly winds
will be shore parallel tonight and Tuesday, which will likely
not increase lakeshore flooding and erosion as much as the
eastern portion of the lake.

Buf watches warnings advisories
Ny... Lakeshore flood warning until 8 am edt this morning for nyz007.

Lakeshore flood warning until 11 am edt this morning for
nyz004>006.

Beach hazards statement through this afternoon for nyz001>003.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 8 pm edt this evening for
loz043>045.

Small craft advisory until 5 am edt early this morning for
loz042.

Synopsis... Thomas
near term... Hitchcock thomas
short term... Fries
long term... Fries
aviation... Thomas
marine... Ar hitchcock
tides coastal flooding...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DBLN6 - Dunkirk, NY 18 mi74 min W 8.9 G 11 46°F 1018.9 hPa (+0.9)
EREP1 28 mi56 min NNW 11 G 12
45142 - Port Colborne 34 mi74 min WNW 7.8 G 7.8 44°F 42°F2 ft1018.4 hPa (+0.8)
PSTN6 - 9063028 - Sturgeon Point, NY 39 mi62 min 46°F 1017.9 hPa
BUFN6 - 9063020 - Buffalo, NY 54 mi56 min W 7 G 8.9 46°F 54°F1018.1 hPa34°F

Wind History for Buffalo, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Dunkirk, Chautauqua County / Dunkirk Airport, NY22 mi21 minW 410.00 miFair45°F39°F80%1019.1 hPa

Wind History from DKK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr------------------------------------------------
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Buffalo, NY (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Buffalo, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.