Thursday, September21, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Stottville, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:41AMSunset 6:54PM Thursday September 21, 2017 5:12 PM EDT (21:12 UTC) Moonrise 7:59AMMoonset 7:58PM Illumination 1% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 407 Pm Edt Thu Sep 21 2017
Tonight..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Fri..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Scattered showers in the morning.
Fri night..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Sat..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Sat night..N winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun..N winds around 5 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun night..S winds around 5 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon..NE winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon night..SE winds around 5 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 407 Pm Edt Thu Sep 21 2017
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. Tropical storm jose will remain nearly stationary southeast of long island for the next several days, become post-tropical on Friday if not sooner, then dissipate this weekend. High pressure build late Friday into Saturday then remains over the region into early next week. Hurricane maria is expected to pass offshore of the east coast and the move farther offshore mid to late next week as a cold front approaches. Please refer to national hurricane center products for more details on jose and maria.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Stottville, NY
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location: 42.33, -73.76     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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Fxus61 kaly 212004
afdaly
area forecast discussion
national weather service albany ny
404 pm edt Thu sep 21 2017

Synopsis
High pressure at the surface and aloft will remain parked over
the region through the next several days, providing dry
conditions and continued above normal temperatures. Tropical
storm jose will remain nearly stationary south of CAPE cod, and
will gradually weaken over the next few days with no impacts for
eastern new york and western new england. Temperatures could
reach record high levels Sunday into Monday, as the ridge
strengthens overhead.

Near term through Friday
As of 400 pm edt... Drier air in the process of working into the
region from the north and east late this afternoon. Dewpoints
will continue to drop into the 50s this evening. Still dealing
with high level cirrus clouds along the far northwest periphery
of jose, but has been relatively thin allowing for filtered
sunshine and decent warming.

Despite cirrus around tonight, the drier air will result in
cooler temperatures than recent nights with lows mainly in the
50s with some cooler 40s in the adirondacks. As a result, not
much fog development expected as well due to a slight northerly
breeze persisting in most spots.

Friday should feature plenty of filtered sunshine through high
clouds similar to today, but expected less in the way of low
stratus clouds due to drier air in place. Temperatures will once
again be above normal but with lower humidity levels (dewpoints
in the 40s and 50s). A northerly breeze around 5-10 mph will
persist.

Short term Friday night through Sunday
Tranquil conditions expected Friday night with a ridge of high
pressure at the surface and aloft entrenched over the region.

Continued dry air mass in place will result in low temps
similarly cool to Thursday night. There could be more fog
development though in favored locations near bodies of water, as
winds speeds will be lighter than recent nights.

The heat is on for the weekend, with temperatures expected to
soar into the lower mid 80s on Saturday and even warmer upper
80s expected on Sunday. The upper level ridge is forecast to
strengthen further, with the 500 mb 590 decameter height contour
forecast to be nearby. These anomalous 500 mb height values are
+1 to +3 stdev for late september. No precipitation is expected
through the period with strong subsidence associated with the
ridge.

Low temps will be warmer Saturday night, as low level moisture
starts to increase. More fog development will be possible as
well, especially near bodies of water.

Long term Sunday night through Thursday
With hurricane maria expected to take a similar path as jose up
the western atlantic, we will continue to experience high
pressure and subsidence, resulting in unseasonably warm
temperatures and dry conditions, with high readings Sunday
starting out in the near- record territory of upper 70 to upper
80s. The good news is the heat won't last. A backdoor cold front
will wash out over our region while maria cools the land by
dragging in ocean air off the north atlantic on an easterly
flow. The result will be daytime highs becoming cooler from one
day to the next.

By Thursday... Highs will range from only the upper 60s to
around 80 degrees, still much above normal. Overnight lows will
be in the upper 50s to mid 60s range Monday and Tuesday nights,
and the mid 50s to lower 60s Tuesday and Wednesday nights... Some
15 degrees above normal. As far as precipitation goes, showers
from maria could reach as far as the southern vermont, the
capital region, and the catskills on south Tuesday night. A
relatively dry cold front from the northwest will sweep through
Wednesday night, but a great lakes trof could keep showers going
in the western adirondacks through Thursday.

Please refer to the national hurricane center for forecasts
on hurricane maria.

Aviation 20z Thursday through Tuesday
High level cirrus clouds from jose are circulating across the
region and will continue to do so as jose lingers south of cape
cod in weak steering currents. Some radiational fog should
develop again late tonight at kgfl as is the norm during fall
fog season. The winds will become light and variable to calm
tonight. Winds on Friday expected to be from a northerly
direction at 5 to 15 knots.

Outlook...

Friday to Tuesday: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Fire weather
High pressure at the surface and aloft will remain parked over
the region through the next several days, providing dry
conditions and continued above normal temperatures. Tropical
storm jose will remain nearly stationary south of CAPE cod, and
will gradually weaken over the next few days with no impacts for
eastern new york and western new england. Temperatures could
reach record high levels Sunday into Monday, as the ridge
strengthens overhead.

Relative humidity values will increase to around 80 to 100
percent tonight, then decrease to minimum values of 30 to 45
percent Friday afternoon. Rh values Friday night will increase
to between 80 and 100 percent.

Winds tonight through Friday night will be northerly around 5
to 10 mph. Some higher gusts near 20 mph will be possible during
the daylight hours, especially over the higher terrain.

Hydrology
No widespread hydrologic issues are expected through the next
week. An extended stretch of fair and warm weather is forecast
well into next week as high pressure dominates.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including
observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please
visit the advanced hydrologic prediction service AHPS graphs
on our website.

Climate
Record high temperatures will be possible Sunday and Monday.

Here is a list of the current record highs for september 24 25:
albany ny: september 24th Sunday: 87 degrees 1961 september
25th Monday: 89 degrees 1970 daily records date back to 1874
glens falls ny: september 24th Sunday: 86 degrees 1961 september
25th Monday: 84 degrees 2007 records date back to 1949
poughkeepsie ny: september 24th Sunday: 91 degrees 1959 september
25th Monday: 89 degrees 1970 records date back to 1949, however
data is missing from january 1993 through july 2000.

Aly watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Ma... None.

Vt... None.

Synopsis... Jpv
near term... Jpv
short term... Jpv
long term... Elh
aviation... Snd
fire weather... Jpv
hydrology... Iaa jpv
climate... Iaa


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 23 mi42 min 85°F 1016 hPa72°F
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 85 mi42 min NE 9.9 G 15 75°F 73°F1015.2 hPa
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 86 mi42 min N 5.1 G 8.9 76°F 72°F1014.6 hPa

Wind History for New Haven, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pittsfield Municipal Airport, MA26 mi78 minN 710.00 miA Few Clouds75°F61°F62%1014.9 hPa

Wind History from PSF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmNW4CalmN5NE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW3CalmW3CalmCalmN7NE9NE9
G17
N65NW6N7N7NE7
1 day agoNE7
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2 days agoE7SE10NE3CalmE3E4E6CalmNE3CalmNE4CalmNE4NE3NE6NE6NE11NE9NE8NE11NE10
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Tide / Current Tables for Coxsackie, Hudson River, New York
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Coxsackie
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:19 AM EDT     4.39 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:41 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:58 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:20 AM EDT     -0.46 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:49 PM EDT     4.45 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:53 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 07:58 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 11:43 PM EDT     -0.24 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.21.32.43.344.44.23.32.41.50.5-0.4-0.30.61.82.83.74.34.43.92.921.10.1

Tide / Current Tables for Hudson, Hudson River, New York
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Hudson
Click for MapNote: Values for the Hudson River above the George Washington bridge are based upon averages for the six months May to October

Thu -- 04:14 AM EDT     4.88 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:41 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:58 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 10:54 AM EDT     -0.29 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:43 PM EDT     4.93 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:53 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 07:58 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 11:15 PM EDT     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.92.33.54.44.94.742.91.80.90-0.30.31.634.14.84.94.43.52.41.30.5-0.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.