Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Stottville, NY
April 28, 2024 10:00 AM EDT (14:00 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:51 AM Sunset 7:53 PM Moonrise 12:14 AM Moonset 8:35 AM |
ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 545 Am Edt Sun Apr 28 2024
Today - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: S 1 ft at 2 seconds. Chance of showers early, then slight chance of showers late this morning. Slight chance of showers late.
Tonight - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and slight chance of tstms in the evening, then slight chance of showers after midnight.
Mon - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue - E winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: E 1 ft at 2 seconds. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Tue night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: E 1 ft at 3 seconds. Chance of showers.
Wed - NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Wed night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
winds and seas may be higher in and near tstms.
winds and seas may be higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 545 Am Edt Sun Apr 28 2024
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - A warm front will remain nearby through the afternoon. A weak trough moves through tonight, with high pressure briefly building in Monday. A back door cold front moves through Monday night followed by another frontal system for late Tuesday. The frontal system exits the area on Wednesday as high pressure builds in for Thursday
Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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FXUS61 KALY 281359 AFDALY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 959 AM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024
SYNOPSIS
A warm front approaching from the southwest will keep skies mostly cloudy today with a chance of showers and some rumbles of thunder this afternoon and into this evening. Primarily dry conditions return for Monday as high pressure ridging builds northward across the region. Shower and thunderstorm chances increase once again Monday night through Tuesday as another frontal system approaches. Confidence continues to increase in the expectation of mild temperatures for late April and early May this week.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
UPDATE
As of 10 AM EDT, skies have largely cleared out across much of the region, outside of lingering low clouds across portions of the mid Hudson Valley, NW CT and the Berkshires, and mid level clouds across the SW Adirondacks.
Temps have responded accordingly and are rapidly rising through the 50s in most areas, even into the lower 60s across some higher terrain areas of the Adirondacks and Catskills.
Given the extra heating from this morning's sunshine, have boosted max temps by a few degrees within most valley areas, with mid to locally upper 70s possible within portions of the Hudson River Valley, and lower/mid 70s most other lower elevations and lower/mid 60s even across higher terrain areas.
Dewpoints remain a bit below most model guidance, however are rising into the lower/mid 40s. Dewpoints are in the lower/mid 50s across western NYS, and advecting eastward.
Showers currently located across western NYS are closer to the actual surface warm front, and tracking east. As these encounter greater surface-based instability farther east, expect coverage to increase, along with some embedded thunderstorms. Best chance for afternoon showers/isolated to scattered thunderstorms looks to be along and south of the I-90 corridor, and along/west of I-87, including the Mohawk Valley region.
Although latest forecast mean MUCAPES from HRRRs are generally 250-500 J/kg, there are a few members where MUCAPES reach as high as 750-1000 J/kg. Will have to watch for any possible stronger storms where pockets of greatest instability develop, which might be within the Mohawk Valley southeast into Schoharie County and the eastern Catskills, within an area of slightly greater low level moisture and higher MU CAPES this afternoon.
Gusty winds could occur within any isolated stronger storms, especially given a somewhat inverted-V signature indicated by observed morning soundings, and some forecast soundings from CAMs.
.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION [455 AM EDT]...
A few light showers are still ongoing this morning in the Mohawk Valley and Eastern Catskills with a few embedded rumbles of thunder. The higher lightning density has remained upstream where elevated instability has been slightly greater, but with SPC Mesoanalysis showing a decrease in MUCAPE values, the occurrence of a pop-up thunder- shower has become less frequent over the past couple of hours.
Skies remain mostly cloudy this morning as a low pressure system settles around James Bay and another into the Central Plains. As such, temperatures have remained fairly mild overnight, having not dropped below the 40s.
Throughout the day today, a warm front, currently displaced to the southwest of the region, will advance eastward as its parent low pressure drifts southeastward toward Atlantic Canada.
Moisture and warm air advection will increase ahead of the front, providing fuel to support scattered showers across the region throughout the day. Some embedded rumbles of thunder will also be possible especially this afternoon and this evening as instability increases in the warm sector upon the passage of the front. The stronger instability looks to remain elevated and with lower-end mid- and low-level lapse rates and modest shear, there is no expectation for any developing convection to become severe. However, with increasing moisture throughout the column, the main impact brought on by thunderstorms will be brief, heavy downpours.
With increasing warm air advection and some possible breaks of sun especially in Valley areas, high temperatures today will likely warm to the mid 60s to low 70s.
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY/
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will persist into this evening, though should not last much past sunset as the loss of diurnal heating will decrease instability throughout the region. Additionally, with a region of high pressure amplifying over the southeast coastal states, mid- to upper-level ridging will expand northward acting to increase subsidence across the area. Clouds will likely stick around for the most part throughout the overnight period as a weak cool frontal boundary pushes south with the further southeastward track of the aforementioned parent low, but a gradual decrease in coverage is expected from south to north. Low temperatures will maintain the current mild trend with mid 40s to upper 50s expected across the area.
The cool boundary looks to gradually track through the region throughout the day Monday, nearly stalling just south of the Capital District as the amplifying ridge counteracts its progress. Primarily dry conditions are expected Monday with clouds continuing to decrease courtesy of increasing subsidence with the building ridge. High temperatures will be just a bit cooler than today for much of the area with intruding cooler air only allowing temperatures to moderate primarily into the 60s with low 70s likely south of the Capital District.
Monday night into Tuesday, shower and thunderstorm chances increase once again as another frontal system moves into the western Great Lakes and extends another warm frontal boundary eastward. Once again elevated instability will increase leading to the likelihood of some embedded rumbles of thunder with developing showers. However, the main difference in this set up is the development of a secondary low pressure center along the boundary which will enhance convergence and increase forcing across the area. As such, showers and thunderstorms are expected to be more widespread than those that will be experienced today.
However, it is still too soon to determine storm severity. At this time, confidence points to a low probability of any severe storms developing Tuesday given the lack of low-level instability and the presence of the mean ridging aloft hindering stronger forcing. We will continue to monitor the situation over the coming days.
Low temperatures Monday night will be in the upper 40s to low 50s. High temperatures Tuesday will then warm to the 60s and 70s.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/
Exiting upper energy and weak cold front with associated showers and a possible rumble of thunder Tuesday night through Wednesday.
Decreasing coverage of showers and clouds through Wednesday afternoon. Highs Wednesday in the 60s with near 70 in the Hudson Valley.
Dry weather with a mix of clouds and sun Thursday with flat upper ridging in our region. Highs Thursday in the 70s with around 70 higher terrain.
The next upper energy and associated increasing warm advection and moisture advection approaches Friday with increasing clouds and coverage of showers, possible a rumble of thunder. Highs Friday in the 70s with around 70 higher terrain.
Potential better coverage of showers ahead of a cold front Saturday, with a continued possible rumble of thunder. Highs Saturday in the mid 60s to lower 70s.
AVIATION /14Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Scattered showers in the vicinity of KALB and KPOU that will affect those areas through about 15Z, so including VCSH. Mostly VFR conditions today at all TAF sites but some intervals of MVFR ceilings at KPOU and KGFL and possibly KALB through about 15Z.
The next period of scattered showers, maybe a rumble of thunder later this afternoon and through the evening but just scattered. So, including PROB30 for showers and MVFR ceilings and visibilities for the late afternoon and evening hours. The chance for showers will end around 06Z but lingering cloud cover is expected with MVFR ceilings and VFR visibilities tonight.
South to southeast winds at 10 Kt or less through mid morning, then south winds at 6 to 12 Kt and some gusts around 15 to 20 Kt at KGFL and KALB this afternoon. Winds shift to southwest to west at 6 Kt or less late this afternoon and evening. Winds shift to northwest to north at around 6 Kt tonight.
Outlook...
Monday Night: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Tuesday: High Operational Impact
Likely SHRA
TSRA.
Tuesday Night: Moderate Operational Impact
Likely SHRA
TSRA.
Wednesday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
Wednesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Thursday Night: Low Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Friday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 959 AM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024
SYNOPSIS
A warm front approaching from the southwest will keep skies mostly cloudy today with a chance of showers and some rumbles of thunder this afternoon and into this evening. Primarily dry conditions return for Monday as high pressure ridging builds northward across the region. Shower and thunderstorm chances increase once again Monday night through Tuesday as another frontal system approaches. Confidence continues to increase in the expectation of mild temperatures for late April and early May this week.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
UPDATE
As of 10 AM EDT, skies have largely cleared out across much of the region, outside of lingering low clouds across portions of the mid Hudson Valley, NW CT and the Berkshires, and mid level clouds across the SW Adirondacks.
Temps have responded accordingly and are rapidly rising through the 50s in most areas, even into the lower 60s across some higher terrain areas of the Adirondacks and Catskills.
Given the extra heating from this morning's sunshine, have boosted max temps by a few degrees within most valley areas, with mid to locally upper 70s possible within portions of the Hudson River Valley, and lower/mid 70s most other lower elevations and lower/mid 60s even across higher terrain areas.
Dewpoints remain a bit below most model guidance, however are rising into the lower/mid 40s. Dewpoints are in the lower/mid 50s across western NYS, and advecting eastward.
Showers currently located across western NYS are closer to the actual surface warm front, and tracking east. As these encounter greater surface-based instability farther east, expect coverage to increase, along with some embedded thunderstorms. Best chance for afternoon showers/isolated to scattered thunderstorms looks to be along and south of the I-90 corridor, and along/west of I-87, including the Mohawk Valley region.
Although latest forecast mean MUCAPES from HRRRs are generally 250-500 J/kg, there are a few members where MUCAPES reach as high as 750-1000 J/kg. Will have to watch for any possible stronger storms where pockets of greatest instability develop, which might be within the Mohawk Valley southeast into Schoharie County and the eastern Catskills, within an area of slightly greater low level moisture and higher MU CAPES this afternoon.
Gusty winds could occur within any isolated stronger storms, especially given a somewhat inverted-V signature indicated by observed morning soundings, and some forecast soundings from CAMs.
.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION [455 AM EDT]...
A few light showers are still ongoing this morning in the Mohawk Valley and Eastern Catskills with a few embedded rumbles of thunder. The higher lightning density has remained upstream where elevated instability has been slightly greater, but with SPC Mesoanalysis showing a decrease in MUCAPE values, the occurrence of a pop-up thunder- shower has become less frequent over the past couple of hours.
Skies remain mostly cloudy this morning as a low pressure system settles around James Bay and another into the Central Plains. As such, temperatures have remained fairly mild overnight, having not dropped below the 40s.
Throughout the day today, a warm front, currently displaced to the southwest of the region, will advance eastward as its parent low pressure drifts southeastward toward Atlantic Canada.
Moisture and warm air advection will increase ahead of the front, providing fuel to support scattered showers across the region throughout the day. Some embedded rumbles of thunder will also be possible especially this afternoon and this evening as instability increases in the warm sector upon the passage of the front. The stronger instability looks to remain elevated and with lower-end mid- and low-level lapse rates and modest shear, there is no expectation for any developing convection to become severe. However, with increasing moisture throughout the column, the main impact brought on by thunderstorms will be brief, heavy downpours.
With increasing warm air advection and some possible breaks of sun especially in Valley areas, high temperatures today will likely warm to the mid 60s to low 70s.
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY/
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will persist into this evening, though should not last much past sunset as the loss of diurnal heating will decrease instability throughout the region. Additionally, with a region of high pressure amplifying over the southeast coastal states, mid- to upper-level ridging will expand northward acting to increase subsidence across the area. Clouds will likely stick around for the most part throughout the overnight period as a weak cool frontal boundary pushes south with the further southeastward track of the aforementioned parent low, but a gradual decrease in coverage is expected from south to north. Low temperatures will maintain the current mild trend with mid 40s to upper 50s expected across the area.
The cool boundary looks to gradually track through the region throughout the day Monday, nearly stalling just south of the Capital District as the amplifying ridge counteracts its progress. Primarily dry conditions are expected Monday with clouds continuing to decrease courtesy of increasing subsidence with the building ridge. High temperatures will be just a bit cooler than today for much of the area with intruding cooler air only allowing temperatures to moderate primarily into the 60s with low 70s likely south of the Capital District.
Monday night into Tuesday, shower and thunderstorm chances increase once again as another frontal system moves into the western Great Lakes and extends another warm frontal boundary eastward. Once again elevated instability will increase leading to the likelihood of some embedded rumbles of thunder with developing showers. However, the main difference in this set up is the development of a secondary low pressure center along the boundary which will enhance convergence and increase forcing across the area. As such, showers and thunderstorms are expected to be more widespread than those that will be experienced today.
However, it is still too soon to determine storm severity. At this time, confidence points to a low probability of any severe storms developing Tuesday given the lack of low-level instability and the presence of the mean ridging aloft hindering stronger forcing. We will continue to monitor the situation over the coming days.
Low temperatures Monday night will be in the upper 40s to low 50s. High temperatures Tuesday will then warm to the 60s and 70s.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/
Exiting upper energy and weak cold front with associated showers and a possible rumble of thunder Tuesday night through Wednesday.
Decreasing coverage of showers and clouds through Wednesday afternoon. Highs Wednesday in the 60s with near 70 in the Hudson Valley.
Dry weather with a mix of clouds and sun Thursday with flat upper ridging in our region. Highs Thursday in the 70s with around 70 higher terrain.
The next upper energy and associated increasing warm advection and moisture advection approaches Friday with increasing clouds and coverage of showers, possible a rumble of thunder. Highs Friday in the 70s with around 70 higher terrain.
Potential better coverage of showers ahead of a cold front Saturday, with a continued possible rumble of thunder. Highs Saturday in the mid 60s to lower 70s.
AVIATION /14Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
Scattered showers in the vicinity of KALB and KPOU that will affect those areas through about 15Z, so including VCSH. Mostly VFR conditions today at all TAF sites but some intervals of MVFR ceilings at KPOU and KGFL and possibly KALB through about 15Z.
The next period of scattered showers, maybe a rumble of thunder later this afternoon and through the evening but just scattered. So, including PROB30 for showers and MVFR ceilings and visibilities for the late afternoon and evening hours. The chance for showers will end around 06Z but lingering cloud cover is expected with MVFR ceilings and VFR visibilities tonight.
South to southeast winds at 10 Kt or less through mid morning, then south winds at 6 to 12 Kt and some gusts around 15 to 20 Kt at KGFL and KALB this afternoon. Winds shift to southwest to west at 6 Kt or less late this afternoon and evening. Winds shift to northwest to north at around 6 Kt tonight.
Outlook...
Monday Night: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Tuesday: High Operational Impact
Likely SHRA
TSRA.
Tuesday Night: Moderate Operational Impact
Likely SHRA
TSRA.
Wednesday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
Wednesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Thursday Night: Low Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Friday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY | 23 mi | 91 min | WSW 1.9 | 51°F | 30.18 | 44°F | ||
| TKPN6 | 24 mi | 43 min | S 8G | 52°F | 51°F | 30.18 | 46°F | |
| NPXN6 | 36 mi | 91 min | S 8 | 52°F | 30.21 | 46°F | ||
| NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT | 85 mi | 43 min | S 5.1G | 51°F | 53°F | 30.23 | ||
| BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT | 86 mi | 43 min | S 2.9G | 51°F | 30.16 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
Coxsackie
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:13 AM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 01:28 AM EDT 1.03 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:53 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 07:50 AM EDT 5.24 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:35 AM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 02:22 PM EDT 0.97 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:52 PM EDT Sunset
Sun -- 07:58 PM EDT 3.92 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:13 AM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 01:28 AM EDT 1.03 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:53 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 07:50 AM EDT 5.24 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:35 AM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 02:22 PM EDT 0.97 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:52 PM EDT Sunset
Sun -- 07:58 PM EDT 3.92 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Coxsackie, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1.3 |
| 1 am |
| 1.1 |
| 2 am |
| 1.1 |
| 3 am |
| 1.6 |
| 4 am |
| 2.7 |
| 5 am |
| 3.8 |
| 6 am |
| 4.7 |
| 7 am |
| 5.1 |
| 8 am |
| 5.2 |
| 9 am |
| 4.8 |
| 10 am |
| 3.8 |
| 11 am |
| 2.7 |
| 12 pm |
| 2 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 2 pm |
| 1 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 5 pm |
| 2.6 |
| 6 pm |
| 3.4 |
| 7 pm |
| 3.8 |
| 8 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 9 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 10 pm |
| 3 |
| 11 pm |
| 2.1 |
Hudson
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:13 AM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 12:25 AM EDT 0.60 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:54 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 06:11 AM EDT 4.45 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:35 AM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 01:23 PM EDT 0.36 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:02 PM EDT 3.46 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:51 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:13 AM EDT Moonrise
Sun -- 12:25 AM EDT 0.60 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:54 AM EDT Sunrise
Sun -- 06:11 AM EDT 4.45 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:35 AM EDT Moonset
Sun -- 01:23 PM EDT 0.36 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:02 PM EDT 3.46 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:51 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Hudson, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.6 |
| 1 am |
| 0.7 |
| 2 am |
| 1.2 |
| 3 am |
| 2.3 |
| 4 am |
| 3.4 |
| 5 am |
| 4.2 |
| 6 am |
| 4.4 |
| 7 am |
| 4.4 |
| 8 am |
| 4 |
| 9 am |
| 3.3 |
| 10 am |
| 2.4 |
| 11 am |
| 1.4 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 4 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 5 pm |
| 2.9 |
| 6 pm |
| 3.3 |
| 7 pm |
| 3.5 |
| 8 pm |
| 3.4 |
| 9 pm |
| 3 |
| 10 pm |
| 2.3 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.5 |
Albany, NY,
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