Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Kinderhook, NY
May 20, 2024 6:02 AM EDT (10:02 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:25 AM Sunset 8:17 PM Moonrise 5:34 PM Moonset 3:48 AM |
ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 550 Am Edt Mon May 20 2024
Today - NE winds around 5 kt, becoming E this afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tonight - S winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue - SW winds around 5 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: S 1 ft at 2 seconds.
Tue night - S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: S 1 ft at 2 seconds.
Wed - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Wave detail: sw 1 ft at 2 seconds.
Wed night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 2 seconds.
Thu - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms.
Thu night - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms.
Fri - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri night - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
winds and seas may be higher in and near tstms.
winds and seas may be higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 550 Am Edt Mon May 20 2024
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - High pressure across the area will gradually slide east through the middle of the week, while a frontal system lifts across the plains and into the great lakes Tuesday into Wednesday. The associated cold front moves across the area Thursday night. Weak high pressure returns to the local area thereafter for Friday into Friday night. Another low pressure system may impact the area next weekend.
FXUS61 KALY 200741 AFDALY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 341 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024
SYNOPSIS
Warming trend begins today with mainly dry weather across the region. Tomorrow and Wednesday will feature temperatures well into the 80s to around 90 for may valley areas with a chance for a few afternoon showers or thunderstorms especially for western areas. A cold front brings increasing chances for showers and thunderstorms Wednesday night and Thursday, with cooler and drier weather expected Friday into the weekend.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
As of 3:40 AM EDT...A ridge of high pressure currently extends over our region from the northeast, with upper ridging aloft.
Light southeasterly flow has lead to some patchy low stratus developing across portions of the Hudson Valley and eastern Catskills, with more widespread low stratus to our east across central New England. For the rest of our area, skies are mainly clear which has allowed temperatures to radiatively cool into the upper 40s to low 50s with some patchy fog. We will continue to see patchy stratus and patchy fog through sunrise this morning with overnight lows mainly in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
Today, the upper ridge continues to amplify as it undergoes anticyclonic wave breaking. The surface high remains off to our east and a warm front tracks through our region from the west.
There isn't enough moisture for much if any precip with this warm front, although a spot shower can't totally be ruled out over the high terrain of the Catskills or ADKs this afternoon.
However, most of the region should see partly cloudy skies.
Warming airmass and deep mixing to around 800 mb per BUFKIT forecast soundings suggests highs today reach into the low to mid 80s for the valley areas, especially north and west of Albany where there will be less influence from the southeasterly onshore flow.
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
Tonight, the surface high will be located just to our south, with continued upper ridging overhead. Light southerly flow may result in some additional low stratus again tonight, especially across the Mid Hudson Valley and/or southwestern New England.
Otherwise, partly to mostly clear skies are expected for most of the night with some patchy fog in some of the typical areas.
With a slightly warmer airmass in place, overnight lows will only drop into the 50s for most areas.
By 12z Tuesday, the ridge aloft will have folded over on itself, resulting in more zonal flow aloft for our area. A convectively induced shortwave and associated remnant MCS activity will be tracking to our north near the international border. A few showers or thunderstorms could form across the ADKs along the outflow from this area of storms. Additionally, a separate weak upper impulse approaching from the west during the afternoon and evening could provide enough forcing for a few showers or thunderstorms across the western Mohawk Valley.
Tuesday will be the warmest day so far this year for most areas, with temperatures climbing well into the 80s to around 90 for many valley areas. With upper 50s to low 60s dew points, we could see 1500 to 2000 J/kg of SBCAPE west and north of Albany.
However, the best vertical wind shear should remain north of our area, so at this time the probability for severe weather looks low Tuesday afternoon and evening. If we see more in the way of clouds from the convection to our north, then temperatures could end up a couple degrees cooler than currently forecast for northern areas.
Tuesday night, any showers or thunderstorms should diminish within a few hours of sunset as instability wanes with the loss of daytime heating. There will be a few more clouds around with the upper impulse nearby, and the warmer airmass will result in lows mainly in the 50s to 60s. While our area will generally see tranquil weather Tuesday night, a surface low will be intensifying over the upper midwest as an associated upper trough becomes negatively tilted and closes off aloft. These features will track from the western Great Lakes into southern Canada Wednesday and Wednesday night. The system's cold front looks to approach our area late Wednesday night, although there are still some timing differences in the guidance.
So, with the cold front off to our west Wednesday, it will be another hot day, with most areas a degree or two warmer than on Tuesday. Feels-like temperatures/heat indices look to max out around 90F, so it looks like we should fall short of heat advisory criteria (95F). With the warm temps and upper 50s to low 60s dew points, instability once again builds potentially in excess of 1500 J/kg. A pre-frontal trough may provide enough forcing for some showers or thunderstorms to develop during the afternoon, especially west of I-87. However, shear still looks relatively weak with the best upper dynamics remaining off to our west, so probability for any strong to severe storms looks low once again. Wednesday night will be warm as well, with overnight lows mainly in the low to mid 60s. If the actual cold front does approach our western areas towards the end of the period, then some additional showers or thunderstorms would be possible, but the exact timing of the front is still uncertain.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
A cold front associated with a low pressure system over Ontario and Quebec looks to cross the region on Thursday. Guidance is beginning to come into better agreement on the timing of the front with the front located across western New York early in the day and cross eastern areas by the afternoon hours. While the main upper-level energy will be displaced well to the north and west, some shortwave energy crossing our region will allow for some showers and thunderstorms along and ahead of the front. With the latest timing of the front, there may be enough of an overlap of instability (500- 1000 J/kg MLCAPE) and shear (30-40 kt 0-6km) for some stronger storms. Will monitor trends in the coming days.
Cooler and less humid air returns behind the front for Friday into Saturday as high pressure returns. An upper-level shortwave will pass by to our north on Friday with any shower activity also staying to the north. Highs Friday and Saturday return to the 60s and 70s.
There are some timing differences with the next upper-level disturbance but chances for showers return either for the second half of the weekend or early next week.
AVIATION /07Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Through 06z/Tue...High pressure will bring dry weather and VFR conditions for much of the upcoming TAF period. The exception will be whether any fog develops at any of the TAF sites for the remainder of the overnight. Some mid-level clouds are also around keeping dewpoint depressions a bit elevated. Will continue with a TEMPO group at KGFL/KPSF/KPOU for possible vsby reductions to IFR/MVFR. Fog is less likely at KALB due to a light southeasterly wind in place as well as some patchy mid-level clouds.
Wind will be south to southeasterly for much of the upcoming TAF period at 5 kt or less.
Outlook...
Tuesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: Low Operational Impact
Slight Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Wednesday Night: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Thursday: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Thursday Night: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA.
Friday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
CLIMATE
Record High Temperature for May 20:
Albany: 91 in 1962 Glens Falls: 90 in 1975 Poughkeepsie: 91 in 1975
Record High Temperature for May 21:
Albany: 92 in 1941 Glens Falls: 93 in 1921 Poughkeepsie: 95 in 1996
Record High Temperature for May 22:
Albany: 97 in 1911 Glens Falls: 98 in 1911 Poughkeepsie: 98 in 1941
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 341 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024
SYNOPSIS
Warming trend begins today with mainly dry weather across the region. Tomorrow and Wednesday will feature temperatures well into the 80s to around 90 for may valley areas with a chance for a few afternoon showers or thunderstorms especially for western areas. A cold front brings increasing chances for showers and thunderstorms Wednesday night and Thursday, with cooler and drier weather expected Friday into the weekend.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
As of 3:40 AM EDT...A ridge of high pressure currently extends over our region from the northeast, with upper ridging aloft.
Light southeasterly flow has lead to some patchy low stratus developing across portions of the Hudson Valley and eastern Catskills, with more widespread low stratus to our east across central New England. For the rest of our area, skies are mainly clear which has allowed temperatures to radiatively cool into the upper 40s to low 50s with some patchy fog. We will continue to see patchy stratus and patchy fog through sunrise this morning with overnight lows mainly in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
Today, the upper ridge continues to amplify as it undergoes anticyclonic wave breaking. The surface high remains off to our east and a warm front tracks through our region from the west.
There isn't enough moisture for much if any precip with this warm front, although a spot shower can't totally be ruled out over the high terrain of the Catskills or ADKs this afternoon.
However, most of the region should see partly cloudy skies.
Warming airmass and deep mixing to around 800 mb per BUFKIT forecast soundings suggests highs today reach into the low to mid 80s for the valley areas, especially north and west of Albany where there will be less influence from the southeasterly onshore flow.
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
Tonight, the surface high will be located just to our south, with continued upper ridging overhead. Light southerly flow may result in some additional low stratus again tonight, especially across the Mid Hudson Valley and/or southwestern New England.
Otherwise, partly to mostly clear skies are expected for most of the night with some patchy fog in some of the typical areas.
With a slightly warmer airmass in place, overnight lows will only drop into the 50s for most areas.
By 12z Tuesday, the ridge aloft will have folded over on itself, resulting in more zonal flow aloft for our area. A convectively induced shortwave and associated remnant MCS activity will be tracking to our north near the international border. A few showers or thunderstorms could form across the ADKs along the outflow from this area of storms. Additionally, a separate weak upper impulse approaching from the west during the afternoon and evening could provide enough forcing for a few showers or thunderstorms across the western Mohawk Valley.
Tuesday will be the warmest day so far this year for most areas, with temperatures climbing well into the 80s to around 90 for many valley areas. With upper 50s to low 60s dew points, we could see 1500 to 2000 J/kg of SBCAPE west and north of Albany.
However, the best vertical wind shear should remain north of our area, so at this time the probability for severe weather looks low Tuesday afternoon and evening. If we see more in the way of clouds from the convection to our north, then temperatures could end up a couple degrees cooler than currently forecast for northern areas.
Tuesday night, any showers or thunderstorms should diminish within a few hours of sunset as instability wanes with the loss of daytime heating. There will be a few more clouds around with the upper impulse nearby, and the warmer airmass will result in lows mainly in the 50s to 60s. While our area will generally see tranquil weather Tuesday night, a surface low will be intensifying over the upper midwest as an associated upper trough becomes negatively tilted and closes off aloft. These features will track from the western Great Lakes into southern Canada Wednesday and Wednesday night. The system's cold front looks to approach our area late Wednesday night, although there are still some timing differences in the guidance.
So, with the cold front off to our west Wednesday, it will be another hot day, with most areas a degree or two warmer than on Tuesday. Feels-like temperatures/heat indices look to max out around 90F, so it looks like we should fall short of heat advisory criteria (95F). With the warm temps and upper 50s to low 60s dew points, instability once again builds potentially in excess of 1500 J/kg. A pre-frontal trough may provide enough forcing for some showers or thunderstorms to develop during the afternoon, especially west of I-87. However, shear still looks relatively weak with the best upper dynamics remaining off to our west, so probability for any strong to severe storms looks low once again. Wednesday night will be warm as well, with overnight lows mainly in the low to mid 60s. If the actual cold front does approach our western areas towards the end of the period, then some additional showers or thunderstorms would be possible, but the exact timing of the front is still uncertain.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
A cold front associated with a low pressure system over Ontario and Quebec looks to cross the region on Thursday. Guidance is beginning to come into better agreement on the timing of the front with the front located across western New York early in the day and cross eastern areas by the afternoon hours. While the main upper-level energy will be displaced well to the north and west, some shortwave energy crossing our region will allow for some showers and thunderstorms along and ahead of the front. With the latest timing of the front, there may be enough of an overlap of instability (500- 1000 J/kg MLCAPE) and shear (30-40 kt 0-6km) for some stronger storms. Will monitor trends in the coming days.
Cooler and less humid air returns behind the front for Friday into Saturday as high pressure returns. An upper-level shortwave will pass by to our north on Friday with any shower activity also staying to the north. Highs Friday and Saturday return to the 60s and 70s.
There are some timing differences with the next upper-level disturbance but chances for showers return either for the second half of the weekend or early next week.
AVIATION /07Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Through 06z/Tue...High pressure will bring dry weather and VFR conditions for much of the upcoming TAF period. The exception will be whether any fog develops at any of the TAF sites for the remainder of the overnight. Some mid-level clouds are also around keeping dewpoint depressions a bit elevated. Will continue with a TEMPO group at KGFL/KPSF/KPOU for possible vsby reductions to IFR/MVFR. Fog is less likely at KALB due to a light southeasterly wind in place as well as some patchy mid-level clouds.
Wind will be south to southeasterly for much of the upcoming TAF period at 5 kt or less.
Outlook...
Tuesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: Low Operational Impact
Slight Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Wednesday Night: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Thursday: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Thursday Night: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA.
Friday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
CLIMATE
Record High Temperature for May 20:
Albany: 91 in 1962 Glens Falls: 90 in 1975 Poughkeepsie: 91 in 1975
Record High Temperature for May 21:
Albany: 92 in 1941 Glens Falls: 93 in 1921 Poughkeepsie: 95 in 1996
Record High Temperature for May 22:
Albany: 97 in 1911 Glens Falls: 98 in 1911 Poughkeepsie: 98 in 1941
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KALB ALBANY INTL,NY | 24 sm | 71 min | SSE 05 | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 61°F | 54°F | 77% | 30.01 |
New Baltimore
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:05 AM EDT 5.05 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:48 AM EDT Moonset
Mon -- 05:28 AM EDT Sunrise
Mon -- 09:19 AM EDT 0.92 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:15 PM EDT 4.27 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:34 PM EDT Moonrise
Mon -- 08:15 PM EDT Sunset
Mon -- 09:31 PM EDT 0.71 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:05 AM EDT 5.05 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:48 AM EDT Moonset
Mon -- 05:28 AM EDT Sunrise
Mon -- 09:19 AM EDT 0.92 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:15 PM EDT 4.27 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:34 PM EDT Moonrise
Mon -- 08:15 PM EDT Sunset
Mon -- 09:31 PM EDT 0.71 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
New Baltimore, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 3.3 |
| 1 am |
| 4.1 |
| 2 am |
| 4.8 |
| 3 am |
| 5 |
| 4 am |
| 4.8 |
| 5 am |
| 4 |
| 6 am |
| 3.3 |
| 7 am |
| 2.5 |
| 8 am |
| 1.6 |
| 9 am |
| 1 |
| 10 am |
| 1.1 |
| 11 am |
| 1.9 |
| 12 pm |
| 2.8 |
| 1 pm |
| 3.5 |
| 2 pm |
| 4 |
| 3 pm |
| 4.3 |
| 4 pm |
| 4.1 |
| 5 pm |
| 3.4 |
| 6 pm |
| 2.7 |
| 7 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.5 |
Castleton-on-Hudson
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:21 AM EDT 4.95 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:48 AM EDT Moonset
Mon -- 05:27 AM EDT Sunrise
Mon -- 09:46 AM EDT 0.62 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:32 PM EDT 4.17 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:34 PM EDT Moonrise
Mon -- 08:15 PM EDT Sunset
Mon -- 09:58 PM EDT 0.41 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:21 AM EDT 4.95 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:48 AM EDT Moonset
Mon -- 05:27 AM EDT Sunrise
Mon -- 09:46 AM EDT 0.62 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:32 PM EDT 4.17 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:34 PM EDT Moonrise
Mon -- 08:15 PM EDT Sunset
Mon -- 09:58 PM EDT 0.41 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Castleton-on-Hudson, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 2.8 |
| 1 am |
| 3.7 |
| 2 am |
| 4.5 |
| 3 am |
| 4.9 |
| 4 am |
| 4.8 |
| 5 am |
| 4.1 |
| 6 am |
| 3.4 |
| 7 am |
| 2.6 |
| 8 am |
| 1.8 |
| 9 am |
| 0.9 |
| 10 am |
| 0.6 |
| 11 am |
| 1.2 |
| 12 pm |
| 2.2 |
| 1 pm |
| 3.1 |
| 2 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 3 pm |
| 4.1 |
| 4 pm |
| 4.1 |
| 5 pm |
| 3.6 |
| 6 pm |
| 2.8 |
| 7 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.9 |
Albany, NY,
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