Monday, November12, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Butte Falls, OR

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:57AMSunset 4:52PM Monday November 12, 2018 4:07 PM PST (00:07 UTC) Moonrise 11:32AMMoonset 9:05PM Illumination 24% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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This is a Weather Statement Zone, please check the Date to see if it has expired
PZZ330 1126 Pm Pdt Fri Aug 9 2013
.thunderstorms over the waters... Thunderstorms over the waters have weakened but isolated storms will continue overnight. Mariners can expect gusty and erratic winds with the storms along with frequent lightning. If caught on the open water stay below deck if possible...keep away from ungrounded metal objects. Lat...lon 4397 12411 4396 12411 4400 12413 4284 12455 4242 12440 4225 12441 4205 12428 4184 12422 4181 12580 4198 12579 4220 12589 4370 12576 4386 12565 4399 12562 4403 12414
PZZ300 252 Pm Pst Mon Nov 12 2018
Synopsis for the southern oregon coastal waters..Southerly winds will continue tonight through Wednesday as a weak front slowly moves towards the waters. The front will weaken and move inland late Wednesday, then a moderate west swell arrives Wednesday night into Thursday. A thermal trough will develop along the coast Wednesday night and Thursday and result in gusty northerly winds, mainly south of cape blanco. Steep combined seas are possible across the waters on Thursday. Then, on Friday, steep seas and gusty northerly winds may linger across portions of the waters south of cape blanco.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Butte Falls, OR
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location: 42.42, -122.49     debug


Area Discussion for - Medford, OR
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Fxus66 kmfr 130007
afdmfr
area forecast discussion
national weather service medford or
405 pm pst Mon nov 12 2018

Updated aviation discussion
Discussion A high pressure ridge is in place today bringing
warm daytime temperatures and dry conditions. A weak front will
approach the area tonight and Tuesday, then weaken further as it
moves inland on Wednesday. There is only a slight chance for light
rain along the coast. Elsewhere expect dry weather to continue
and the front will only bring some clouds into the area wedensday.

Of note, ahead of the front expect southerly winds to develop over
the area Tuesday. This may result in some patchy smoke moving into
the area from fires to the south. Current high resolution
forecasts from the hrrr indicate smoke expected to move into
siskiyou and modoc counties during the day Tuesday, then patchy
smoke or haze may spread into portions of southern oregon Tuesday
afternoon and Tuesday evening. Winds become more westerly on
Wednesday though so any smoke that moves into the area may shift
east on Wednesday.

Behind the front, a high pressure ridge will rebuild over the
region Thursday into the weekend. This will bring continued warm
daytime temperatures and dry weather to the area through at least
Sunday.

Aviation For the 13 00z tafs...VFR will prevail across the
forecast area, outside of the umpqua basin, for the next 24 hours.

Shallow moisture in the umpqua valley will likely bring local
ifr lifr ceilings visibility back to roseburg again late
tonight Tuesday morning. These ifr lifr conditions will improve to
vfr by late Tuesday morning. Keene spilde

Marine Updated 200 pm pst Monday 12 november 2018... Southerly
winds will gradually increase (but remain below small craft advisory
levels) today as a weak front approaches. This front will very
slowly move into the area and thus sub-advisory south winds and seas
continue through Tuesday. The front finally moves onshore Wednesday,
and we're not expecting any significant impacts to the coastal
waters until late Wednesday night into Thursday when a steep
westerly swell around 10 feet moves in behind the front.

A thermal trough and northerly winds develop Wednesday night into
Thursday. Steep combined seas are possible on Thursday due to a
combination of west swell and wind seas. Small craft advisory level
winds are also possible on Thursday, mainly south of CAPE blanco in
the waters beyond 10 nm from shore. Steep seas and areas of gusty
northerly winds may persist into Friday as the thermal trough
remains in place along the coast. -cc

Fire weather Conditions will remain critically dry through
Wednesday morning, then improve. But, humidities will not be high
and no rain is expected over the next 7 to 8 days, through Tuesday.

East to southeast winds have decreased today. They will increase
slightly at inland locations tonight and continue at 5 to 15 mph
into early Tuesday morning, while southerly winds develop at the
coast and continue into Tuesday evening. These weak to moderate wind
speeds will not reach red flag warning criteria, but relative
humidity recoveries both tonight and Tuesday night will be poor to
moderate again over the higher terrain across the region.

Recoveries will be worst in siskiyou county.

The improvement in conditions on Wednesday will be due to a very
weak front that will bring a slight chance of very light rain to the
coast then pass through the area late Tuesday in Wednesday. Despite
the improvement, conditions will still be drier than normal. Mild
and dry weather will persist through the forecast period, with light
east winds returning Wednesday night. East winds will continue
through the weekend. Strength of winds later in the week through
early next week is uncertain, but they are unlikely to be as strong
as during this past weekend's episode. The pattern may finally
change and bring a chance of rain beyond day 7. -dw

Mfr watches warnings advisories
Or... None.

Ca... None.

Pacific coastal waters... None.

Cc


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Rogue Valley International Airport, OR20 mi75 minN 010.00 miFair69°F8°F9%1026.2 hPa

Wind History from MFR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmNW4CalmCalmCalm3CalmCalmSE3W3S3CalmSE4CalmCalmCalmNW3CalmN33CalmCalmCalm
1 day agoE3S4S4N3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm3S4CalmSE5CalmCalmCalmNE3NE3N43CalmCalmN3
2 days agoCalmS3S5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalmN3CalmCalmCalmW3CalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Brookings, Chetco Cove, Oregon
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Brookings
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Mon -- 03:11 AM PST     5.74 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:03 AM PST     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:16 AM PST     3.66 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:37 AM PST     Moonrise
Mon -- 01:48 PM PST     6.38 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:58 PM PST     Sunset
Mon -- 09:05 PM PST     0.34 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 09:14 PM PST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.34.55.45.75.65.14.543.73.84.24.95.76.26.465.242.71.50.70.30.61.3

Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Medford, OR (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Medford, OR
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.