Saturday, November18, 2017

Marine Weather and Tides
Butte Falls, OR

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:05AMSunset 4:47PM Saturday November 18, 2017 6:07 AM PST (14:07 UTC) Moonrise 7:03AMMoonset 5:24PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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This is a Weather Statement Zone, please check the Date to see if it has expired
PZZ330 1126 Pm Pdt Fri Aug 9 2013
.thunderstorms over the waters... Thunderstorms over the waters have weakened but isolated storms will continue overnight. Mariners can expect gusty and erratic winds with the storms along with frequent lightning. If caught on the open water stay below deck if possible...keep away from ungrounded metal objects. Lat...lon 4397 12411 4396 12411 4400 12413 4284 12455 4242 12440 4225 12441 4205 12428 4184 12422 4181 12580 4198 12579 4220 12589 4370 12576 4386 12565 4399 12562 4403 12414
PZZ300 208 Am Pst Sat Nov 18 2017
Synopsis for the southern oregon coastal waters..High pressure will remain over the coastal waters with mostly light winds and low seas today. South winds will increase again ahead of the next front Sunday with gales and very steep seas likely Sunday afternoon. Winds are expected to decrease some on Monday night but will increase again Tuesday and Wednesday. Unsettled weather will then continue through much of next week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Butte Falls, OR
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location: 42.42, -122.49     debug

Area Discussion for - Medford, OR
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Fxus66 kmfr 181209
area forecast discussion
national weather service medford or
410 am pst Sat nov 18 2017

Discussion High pressure is building into the area, and showers
have ended. Cold temperatures and fog are expected tonight. Frost
advisories and freeze warnings remain in effect for much of the
umpqua basin and the coastal zones inland from the coast for
through mid-morning. It will be even colder elsewhere, but we are
beyond the growing season in other locations. Fog has developed in
many west side valleys and along the coast, and this is only
going to become thicker and more widespread as the night GOES on.

Pretty much all our valley locations are expected to have fog by
sunrise, including the east side valleys. With warm air building
in aloft, there is also some question as to how soon (or if) fog
clears out. Guidance still shows fog decreasing by late morning,
and we'll stick with that for now. However, there is a chance that
some valleys, the umpqua, for example, clear very late or not at
all. This will make for a challenging temperature forecast... If
fog lingers all day, afternoon temperatures will be lower than

Otherwise, today should be a quiet weather day. Tonight into
Sunday morning, we'll see another round of fog and cold
temperatures... Though temperatures will be slightly warmer than
this morning. Frost will again be possible. Fog won't stick around
as long Sunday, as the ridge axis will have shifted eastward...

allowing some mixing. An upper trough front will start
approaching, and on the front side of the trough, a stream of
moisture with tropical origins will bringing heavy precipitation
as early as Sunday evening. This system will be a wet one, but not
absurd for this time of year. From Sunday evening through Monday
evening, expect around 2 inches of rain near brookings... 2 to 3
inches in the coastal range... 1 to 1.5 inches in the illinois
valley... Up to an inch in roseburg... And up to a half inch in
the rogue valley. Snow levels will start relatively low on the
east side... Around 5000 feet due to cold air in place, but the
moist, warm airmass should bump them up to above 8000 Monday

For the 00z run, model agreement is surprisingly good... Showing a
continued wet pattern at least through Thursday, with high snow
levels. Projections start to diverge Friday... But we'll probably
a ridge build in by next weekend, bringing drier conditions.

-msc trw

Aviation 18 12z TAF cycle... Expect MVFR ifr ceilings visibility
in stratus and fog in the valleys along the coast and north of the
umpqua divide this morning, especially around sunrise. These will
expand over the west side valleys and also in the valleys of western
siskiyou county.VFR will prevail east of the cascades, but patchy
fog may develop in some of the deeper valleys, like the klamath
basin.VFR will return to most areas this afternoon, but low
ceilings may last through mid-afternoon in some of the deeper west
side valleys. Fb

Marine Updated 200 am pst Saturday 18 november 2017... High
pressure will remain over the coastal waters with mostly light winds
and low seas today. South winds will increase again ahead of the
next front Sunday with gales and very steep seas likely Sunday
afternoon. Confidence is high that seas will build to around 15 feet
Sunday night from gold beach north, with seas possibly building to
17 feet north of coos bay. Winds could decrease some Monday night
but are expected to increase to near gale again on Tuesday. As a
result we have extended the gale watch through Wednesday. Unsettled
weather will then continue through much of next week. Fb

Mfr watches warnings advisories
Or... Frost advisory until 8 am pst this morning for orz021>023.

Freeze warning until 8 am pst this morning for orz023.

Ca... None.

Pacific coastal waters... Gale watch from Sunday afternoon through
Wednesday afternoon for

Msc fjb trw

Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Rogue Valley International Airport, OR20 mi74 minN 01.00 miFog/Mist27°F27°F100%1027.3 hPa

Wind History from MFR (wind in knots)
Last 24hrE5CalmNE3NW3CalmCalmCalmCalmN5N4NW4CalmCalmN5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoN3SE6SE3SE4S4Calm3NE5N4W7NE4E3CalmCalmN4CalmNW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoCalmW3NE3CalmNW5CalmN3N3N4N3W4CalmCalmN4NW5E6CalmSE3NW5N4NE4CalmN3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Brookings, Chetco Cove, Oregon
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Sat -- 03:42 AM PST     New Moon
Sat -- 04:56 AM PST     2.47 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:09 AM PST     Moonrise
Sat -- 07:11 AM PST     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:51 AM PST     7.33 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:53 PM PST     Sunset
Sat -- 05:32 PM PST     Moonset
Sat -- 05:46 PM PST     -0.39 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
IR Satellite Image from GEOS

GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT

Wind Forecast for Medford, OR (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Medford, OR
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.