Sunrise 6:00 AM   Sunset 8:19 PM Moonrise 3:42 AM   Moonset 4:43 PM

  Print   HELP   Reset   Save   Recall

This is a Weather Statement Zone, please check the Date to see if it has expired
PZZ330 1126 Pm Pdt Fri Aug 9 2013.thunderstorms over the waters - . Thunderstorms over the waters have weakened but isolated storms will continue overnight. Mariners can expect gusty and erratic winds with the storms along with frequent lightning. If caught on the open water stay below deck if possible - .keep away from ungrounded metal objects. Lat - .lon 4397 12411 4396 12411 4400 12413 4284 12455 4242 12440 4225 12441 4205 12428 4184 12422 4181 12580 4198 12579 4220 12589 4370 12576 4386 12565 4399 12562 4403 12414

PZZ300 210 Pm Pdt Sun May 5 2024
Synopsis for the southern oregon coastal waters - Expect scattered showers and dominant fresh swell today. Southwest winds will increase to near gale force with another front tonight into Monday morning. Moderate swell-dominated seas follow Monday into Tuesday. A thermal trough will develop Tuesday afternoon with gusty north winds and steep wind-driven seas peaking late Wednesday, but persisting into Thursday night. The thermal trough will weaken late in the week.

FXUS66 KMFR 052319 AFDMFR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Medford OR 419 PM PDT Sun May 5 2024

New Aviation Section

.AVIATION (00z TAFs)...

A period of VFR will ensue until the front arrives later tonight.
Once the front arrives, we will see precipitation chances return and MVFR conditions. North Bend is the most likely (~70%) terminal to reach MVFR, but the other terminals will be close at ~30-50% chances for MVFR conditions. Precipitation will be mostly in the form of rain showers, and coverage is expected to be isolated across the area. Lastly, the eastside of the Cascades will be breezy, so expect Klamath Falls to see sustained wind speeds around 20 mph gusting to around 30 mph both this afternoon and tomorrow afternoon.

-Guerrero

PREV DISCUSSION
/Issued 249 PM PDT Sun May 5 2024/

SHORT TERM
Through Wednesday morning
Upper flow aloft around a low pressure system to the east of our area counties to bring showery activity across northern California and southern Oregon. For this afternoon, radar indicates that a wide area of showers remains over Lake, Modoc, and eastern Klamath counties with generally scattered showers elsewhere. This activity will decrease steadily overnight, with 20-40% chances of showers remaining over the Coos County coast and the Cascades through this evening.

Cold overnight temperatures remain in the forecast for Monday morning. There is high confidence in the temperatures for the Shasta and Scott valleys returning to at or below freezing tonight. A Freeze Warning has been issued for these areas from 2 AM through 9 AM on Monday morning to communicate this expected hazard. Similar to Sunday morning, the chance for near or at freezing temperatures in the southern Rouge and Illinois valleys remains, but is slight (5- 10%) and is not enough to support additional warnings for those areas.

A warm front will bring another round of activity on Monday, with showers arriving on the Oregon coast in the early hours of the morning and moving eastward through the day. Amounts look inconsequential, with a quarter to half an inch of rain over coastal areas and 2 to 6 inches of snow over the Cascades through Monday.
This front will also bring gusty winds, especially to areas east of the Cascades. A Wind Advisory will be in effect on Monday from 11 AM to 8 PM for northeast Lake County as gusts exceeding 40 mph are expected in this area.

Post-frontal showers will continue over the Oregon coast and the Cascades through the day Tuesday, but conditions look to be stable otherwise. Temperatures will start to warm as the upper trough moves away to the east. Afternoon gusty winds will be present east of the Cascades again, but are not forecast to reach Advisory levels.
-TAD

LONG TERM...Wednesday through Sunday night.
The boundary between the short term and the long term is very appropriate today, with the the slow-moving trough exiting our region, and broad high pressure centered offshore building in for an extended stay. Lingering low level moisture is expected to produce early morning stratus in Douglas and Josephine counties, including Roseburg, Cave Junction, and Grants Pass. Otherwise, after another chilly morning, a pronounced warming and drying trend will get underway during Wednesday.

This warming will be most significant in southern Curry County with a Chetco effect of downslope warming expected to produce highs in the lower 70s for Brookings on Wednesday, lower 80s on Thursday, and lower 70s into Friday morning before the low level flow turns onshore. The peak of this warming trend at the coast is expected on Thursday. Elsewhere, today's highs at 20 to 25 degrees below normal, in the lower 50s on the west side and lower 40s on the east side, will seem a distant memory with Wednesday highs near normal at other portions of our coast, and several degrees below normal for inland sites. The warming will be kicked up a notch or two for the remainder of the long term, Thursday through Sunday, with lows above normal, and highs around 10 to 20 degrees above normal. The swing in temperatures from this weekend to next weekend will be in excess of 30 degrees, with the peak of this very strong warming trend expected at inland locations on Saturday.

A trough is likely to approach the area on Sunday, Day 7, with only slight cooling. The speed and position of this trough will be the main determinants in whether a risk of showers and thunderstorms develops on Sunday or holds off until Monday/Day 8.

AVIATION
05/18Z TAFs
The worst conditions today will be along and east of the Cascade Crest as MVFR/IFR conditions can be expected due to snow showers reducing visibility and from lower Ceilings.
Klamath Falls and other areas east of the Cascades will have some gusty west winds (up to 30 kt at times).

West of the Cascades, expect mostly a mix of VFR/MVFR, with MVFR ceilings/visibilities most likely in heavier showers primarily along the coast and in Douglas County. Area wide, higher terrain will experience obscuration at times.

A lessening in shower activity is expected from 00z to 06z, before another front moves onshore during the 06z TAF window. Gusty southerly winds and renewed shower activity should be expected when the front moves through.
-Miles

MARINE
Updated 130 AM Sunday, May 5, 2024
Fresh swell dominates the sea state right now. Seas will become more chaotic as another front moves through late tonight into early Monday morning.
The resulting southwest winds should build near, but remain under, gale force. Moderate swell-dominated seas follow Monday into Tuesday. A thermal trough will develop Tuesday afternoon with gusty north winds and steep wind-driven seas, strongest south of Cape Blanco. Wind speeds will peak late Wednesday, but strong northerly winds will persist into Thursday night. The thermal trough will weaken Friday into next weekend. -DW/Miles

MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR...Wind Advisory from 11 AM to 8 PM PDT Monday for ORZ031.

CA...Freeze Warning from 2 AM to 9 AM PDT Monday for CAZ080-081.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM PDT Monday for PZZ350-356-370-376.

toggle option: (graph/table)

Wedderburn
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:29 AM PDT     0.29 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:46 AM PDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:06 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:27 AM PDT     5.44 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:24 PM PDT     0.71 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:47 PM PDT     Moonset
Sun -- 08:22 PM PDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:34 PM PDT     6.87 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Wedderburn, Rogue River, Oregon, Tide feet

Brookings
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:17 AM PDT     0.32 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 04:46 AM PDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:06 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:19 AM PDT     5.72 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:12 PM PDT     0.77 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:46 PM PDT     Moonset
Sun -- 08:21 PM PDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:26 PM PDT     7.23 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Brookings, Chetco Cove, Oregon, Tide feet

Full Color Weather Map

Link to Loop


Other links: GEOS-West     Contential US     Full GOES-East

Medford, OR,