Thursday, February21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
South Hill, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:52AMSunset 5:46PM Thursday February 21, 2019 4:46 PM EST (21:46 UTC) Moonrise 8:27PMMoonset 8:22AM Illumination 94% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Expires:201902211615;;279061 Fzus51 Kbuf 211125 Nshbuf Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 625 Am Est Thu Feb 21 2019 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Loz043-044-211615- Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 625 Am Est Thu Feb 21 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through Friday morning...
Today..West winds to 30 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 4 to 7 feet building to 7 to 11 feet. Waves occasionally around 14 feet.
Tonight..West winds to 30 knots becoming northwest 15 to 25 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 7 to 11 feet subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 14 feet.
Friday..Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. Partly to mostly Sunny. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 2 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Friday night..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Saturday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Rain Saturday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Sunday..South winds to 30 knots becoming west and increasing to 45 knot gales. Rain during the day, then rain showers likely with a chance of snow showers Sunday night. Waves 3 to 5 feet building to 17 to 22 feet. Waves occasionally around 28 feet.
Monday..West gales to 40 knots becoming northwest and diminishing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of snow showers. Waves 15 to 20 feet subsiding to 5 to 8 feet. Waves occasionally around 26 feet. The water temperature off rochester is 35 degrees.
LOZ044


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near South Hill, NY
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location: 42.42, -76.53     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 212011
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
311 pm est Thu feb 21 2019

Synopsis
Colder northwest flow will bring a few snow showers or flurries
to central new york overnight. A high pressure ridge then
brings dry weather to the entire area Friday through Saturday
before the next low pressure system brings a round of
precipitation later this weekend. Strong, gusty winds are
anticipated for much of the region Sunday into Monday.

Near term through Friday night
300 pm update...

generally quiet and seasonable weather expected for the near
term period.

Mostly cloudy north this evening, trending to mostly clear over
northeast pa. Temperatures fall back into the 30s with northwest
winds 10-20 mph.

A reinforcing cold front moves through tonight veering the flow
northwesterly, with 850mb temperatures falling to around -11c.

It will become mostly cloudy area wide overnight. There will be
just enough moisture around, enhanced by lake ontario and the
finger lakes for a few light snow showers or flurries in central
ny. Any snow amounts will be very light; less than a half inch.

Colder with lows in the 20s. NW winds 8-15 mph, slowly decrease
overnight.

Friday: chilly northwest flow remains over the forecast area.

Stubborn lake effect flurries and clouds linger through at least
the morning hours for central ny, with partly cloudy skies for
ne pa. Should see some breaks of Sun during the afternoon across
much of central ny, as the cloud deck thins and scatters with
high pressure moving in from the west. Highs will reach into the
30s. Lighter NW winds between 5 to 10 mph.

Friday night: mostly clear, chilly and quiet as a surface high
builds directly over the forecast area. Lows in the 10s to
around 20. Winds light and variable.

Short term Saturday through Monday
3pm update...

Saturday... After a quiet start to the day, a powerful storm spinning
toward the ohio valley will spread rain into our forecast area
Saturday afternoon. Temperatures will climb into the lower-40s
during the day, but colder temperatures Saturday night will cause a
mix of rain and freezing rain or sleet to fall along our eastern ny
counties, mainly over the western catskills.

Sunday... The cyclone will track into northern michigan on Sunday and
pull very mild air and rain showers into ny and pa. Temperatures
will climb into the lower-50 Sunday afternoon with warmer
temperatures possible along the lake plain, before the cyclone drags
a strong cold front across our region and changes the rain showers
over to snow showers late Sunday night. The cyclone and cold front
will be accompanied by very gusty winds. At this time, the models
suggest potential for wind gusts in excess of 40 mph over a large
portion of the forecast area. Higher wind speeds are likely from the
central southern tier through the finger lakes and into the high
terrain of the western mohawk valley and western catskills. Stay
tuned for statements regarding the potential wind event.

Monday... Polar air behind the cyclone will pour into ny and pa
during this period. Scattered lake effect snow showers are
anticipated over northern sections of ny. Temperatures will reach
the lower or middle-30s on Monday, then fall into the teens Monday
night.

.Long term Tuesday through Thursday
300 pm update
some lingering lake effect snow showers are possible on
Tuesday, mainly in the morning in cny, then ending as high
pressure slides to the east and winds shift to a more easterly
direction. Then a weak wave may move into the area from the
midwest, which may bring a chance of light snow Tuesday night
into Wednesday. There is still quite a bit of uncertainty
regarding the track, timing, and strength of this system. Then
some lake effect snow showers are possible Wednesday night in
cny. High pressure then likely builds in for Thursday, bringing
drier conditions.

Temperatures during this period will remain seasonable with highs
generally in the mid 20s to mid 30s and lows generally in the teens
and lower 20s.

Aviation 20z Thursday through Tuesday
West-northwest flow over the area this afternoon, with sct to
bkn CIGS 3-5k ft agl across central ny, and few to sct mid level
clouds over NE pa. Most terminals should stayVFR through at
least sunset. Then, another cold front slides down from the
north, with increasing cloud cover later this evening into the
overnight period. This will likely bring a period of MVFR cigs
(2-3 k ft agl) back to the ny terminals... But occasional fuel
alternate CIGS cannot be ruled out, especially INVOF kith and
kbgm overnight. Could also see some sct light snow showers or
flurries at ksyr, kbgm and kith overnight... But am not expecting
much in the way of visibility restrictions (6-10sm). The MVFR
stratus cloud deck hangs around through the morning hours
Friday... Perhaps lifting scattering some by Friday afternoon.

West winds 10-20 kts this afternoon, gradually decrease to
around 10 kts overnight and into Friday.

Outlook...

late Friday through Saturday... BecomingVFR as high pressure
builds overhead.

Saturday night through Sunday morning... Restrictions likely
with rain, perhaps briefly mixed with sleet at first. Low level
wind shear likely Saturday night from strong ssw low level jet.

Sunday afternoon through Monday... Rain showers changing back to
snow showers but also mainly impacting the ny terminals with
intermittent restrictions. Strong gusty winds expected,
especially ksyr.

Monday night and Tuesday: mainlyVFR conditions.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Mjm
near term... Mjm
short term... Djp
long term... Bjg
aviation... Mjm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 72 mi53 min W 17 G 23 37°F 1016.3 hPa29°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 81 mi47 min WSW 13 G 22 39°F
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 83 mi53 min 39°F

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Ithaca, Ithaca Tompkins Regional Airport, NY5 mi51 minNW 11 G 1610.00 miPartly Cloudy39°F26°F60%1017.4 hPa

Wind History from ITH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE15SE14SE17
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--S18
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S14S12
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S12S11S8SW8SW4W10W8W13NW10W14
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1 day agoNW3N3NE3E4E3E4E5E6E5E7E7E4E5E6E3E5E4SE10SE8SE8SE10S14
G19
SE8SE14
G20
2 days agoNW9NW7NW7NW12W11W10W10NW7W13W12W13NW6NW11
G15
W10NW8NW8NW11NW10NW8NW12NW13
G19
NW12NW7N7

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Binghamton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.