Friday, May24, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Burdett, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:34AMSunset 8:30PM Friday May 24, 2019 5:41 AM EDT (09:41 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 9:37AM Illumination 72% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Expires:201905240930;;366837 Fzus51 Kbuf 240548 Nshbuf Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 148 Am Edt Fri May 24 2019 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Loz043-044-240930- Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 148 Am Edt Fri May 24 2019
.small craft advisory in effect until 11 am edt this morning...
Overnight..West winds 15 to 20 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet.
Friday..West winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Partly to mostly Sunny. Waves 3 to 6 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet.
Friday night..West winds 10 knots or less becoming southeast. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less.
Saturday..Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday night..South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. Waves 2 feet or less.
Sunday..West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming north. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms during the day. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Monday..Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming southeast. Partly cloudy, then becoming mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 foot or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. The water temperature off rochester is 45 degrees.
LOZ044


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Burdett, NY
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location: 42.42, -76.71     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 240737
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
337 am edt Fri may 24 2019

Synopsis
High pressure will build into the region today and then give way
to an approaching warm front on Saturday. A cold front will
then move through the region this weekend with our next chance
of showers and a few thunderstorms. Another high pressure system
builds into the region for memorial day.

Near term now through Saturday night
Today and tonight: high pressure is expected to build into the
region today before exiting tonight. However, northwest flow
between these features will bring in clouds and a spotty shower
or two through most of the day from the finger lakes and
southern tier northeastward. NE pa along with the elmira areas
looks to stay just outside the cloud deck. This cloud deck will
only allow high temperatures to rise into the 60s for most
spots today.

Clouds clear out by the evening hours and with high pressure in
place winds become light. As a result, with radiational cooling
temperatures should fall into the 40s tonight. Patchy fog is
also possible given decent ground moisture along with the light
winds before sunrise.

Saturday and Saturday night:
a warm front will likely move through the region on Saturday and be
followed by a cold frontal boundary and associated low pressure
system moving through the area Saturday night. Enough lift and
moisture should be present along and ahead of the front for some
showers moving in from northwest to southeast throughout the day
Saturday. Instability looks limited for anything more than isolated
thunderstorms at this time. However, this looks to be another
fairly dynamic system so if more instability than modeled is
realized strong to severe storms would become a concern. The
highest chances of having some instability ahead of the front
looks to be from steuben county into the finger lakes region.

Highs should get into the 70s. With showers around and a
southwesterly flow ahead of the front temperatures are not
likely to fall much at night, staying in the upper 50s and
60s.

Short term Sunday through Sunday night
The front is expected to stall near the i-80 corridor Sunday.

Even though much of the deep convection should remain south of
our area, we could see an isolated to scattered coverage of
showers across our area given the kinematics in place. Expect
the coverage of any convection to diminish Sunday night as
ridging starts to strengthen over the southeast.

Long term memorial day through Thursday
Ridging, both at the surface and aloft, is expected to increase
across the region for memorial day. This should result in dry and
tranquil weather conditions, with highs expected to mostly be in
the 70s.

The respite from unsettled weather is expected to come to an end
after memorial day as a storm system moves from mid-america into the
great lakes region. As the upper low starts to phase with a
shortwave trough moving across southern canada, a warm front is
expected to lift north across the forecast area, probably during the
day Tuesday. Even though how far north east the front makes it
across our region will ultimately be dependent upon the location and
strength of upper-level ridging over the southeast u.S., indications
are is should move north of the forecast area by Wednesday morning.

The odds of seeing showers, and possibly a few thunderstorms, will
return as this happens.

In addition to the possibility of convection, temperatures in the
80s might be seen in our area by Wednesday afternoon. Naefs data
suggests that boundary layer temperatures could reach 2-3 standard
deviations above climatological means, thanks to ridging anticipated
to be over the eastern part of the country. Based on this, and
anticipated 850 mb temperatures, I have nudged Wednesday's forecast
highs upward a skosh.

Moisture is expected to deepen Wednesday night Thursday as the ridge
axis slides east and low-level flow strengthens. This will allow
the upper trough (to our west) to push a cold front across the
forecast area during the day Thursday. Thunderstorms appear to be a
good possibility with this storm system, especially given the
expected amplitude of the upper trough. Dependent on the timing of
the front, there could be greater uncertainty with the instability
and thunderstorm intensity. And, at least right now, I wouldn't be
surprised to see a few lingering showers into Friday as the upper
trough finishes ejecting across the region.

Aviation 08z Friday through Tuesday
A MVFR stratus deck is expected to develop towards sunrise at
all terminals but kavp and kelm. This stratus deck will be very
stubborn through most of the day Friday lifting and burning off
but should do so between 18-22z. Fuel-alternate ceilings are
possible for a time in the mid to late morning hours but the
confidence is only moderate so tempo groups were used for this.

Wind gusts around 20 knots will be possible throughout the day
Friday as well.

Outlook...

Friday night and Saturday...VFR, some showers with lowering
ceilings Saturday afternoon.

Saturday night... Showers and thunderstorms with associated
restrictions likely.

Sunday through Tuesday... MainlyVFR. A stray shower or
thunderstorm may provide a brief restriction at some terminals Sunday
and or Tuesday.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Mwg
near term... Mwg
short term... Dab
long term... Dab
aviation... Mwg


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 73 mi48 min W 20 G 23 47°F 1011.7 hPa44°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 75 mi42 min W 12 G 18 57°F
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 76 mi48 min 57°F 1012.7 hPa

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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SE10
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W21
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W7
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Ithaca, Ithaca Tompkins Regional Airport, NY13 mi46 minWNW 12 G 1710.00 miFair54°F46°F77%1012.8 hPa
Elmira, Elmira / Corning Regional Airport, NY19 mi49 minW 1010.00 miFair58°F46°F65%1013.5 hPa
Penn Yan, Penn Yan Airport, NY24 mi49 minW 10 G 1810.00 miFair56°F46°F70%1013.4 hPa

Wind History from ITH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE7SE9S8SE8S8S6S5S7S8S11
G15
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G25
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NW9NW6NW10NW14NW12
G17
1 day agoE4E4CalmCalmW334E4CalmNW5CalmE5SE7S7SE5S6S9S8E7SE7SE8SE8S7SE6
2 days agoNW8NW7NW10
G17
W13W12W15
G21
W16
G25
NW14
G22
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NW9NW6NW5CalmCalmNE3E3CalmNE3NE4E5

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Binghamton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.