Wednesday, February20, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Burdett, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:53AMSunset 5:45PM Wednesday February 20, 2019 7:08 PM EST (00:08 UTC) Moonrise 7:12PMMoonset 7:49AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Expires:201902210415;;252016 Fzus51 Kbuf 202244 Nshbuf Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 544 Pm Est Wed Feb 20 2019 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Loz043-044-210415- Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 544 Pm Est Wed Feb 20 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through late Thursday night...
Tonight..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest. Rain with possible snow, freezing rain and sleet this evening, then rain after midnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
Thursday..West winds 15 to 25 knots increasing to 30 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 4 to 7 feet building to 6 to 10 feet. Waves occasionally around 13 feet.
Thursday night..West winds 15 to 25 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 5 to 9 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 11 feet.
Friday..Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. Partly to mostly Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Friday night..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Rain Saturday night. Waves 2 feet or less.
Sunday..South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west and increasing to 40 knot gales. Rain showers during the day, then rain and snow showers likely Sunday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 12 to 16 feet. Waves occasionally around 20 feet.
Monday..Northwest gales to 35 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. A chance of snow showers. Waves 11 to 15 feet subsiding to 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 19 feet. The water temperature off rochester is 35 degrees.
LOZ044


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Burdett, NY
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location: 42.42, -76.71     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 202249
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
549 pm est Wed feb 20 2019

Synopsis
Dual low pressure systems will move through the region tonight
bringing a wintry mix. High pressure will build into the region
for a short duration on Friday before another low pressure
system brings the next round of precipitation later this
weekend.

Near term through Thursday night
Two low pressure systems will continue tracking to the north. The
first area of low pressure will move the great lakes with the second
area of low pressure tracking up the east coast. Late this
afternoon, where precipitation is lightest it has been in the form
of a wintry mix. Areas of steadier precipitation, where snowflake
production is more efficient, precipitation has been in the form of
snow. Based on the observations, the primary changeover line is
near avoca and stretches westward toward bradford. This line should
come northeastward late this afternoon and evening. However,
precipitation types may still change a bit based on intensity. Given
lighter precipitation on average this afternoon this forecast lowers
snowfall totals for the remainder of the day quite a few locations
in the southern tier northward could see less than an inch of snow.

Temperatures will continue to warm throughout the night as well.

Leaned toward the nam-hires with the temperatures which gets most
locations to freezing gradually through the overnight with the 700-
800 mb layer warming above freezing early in the evening. With that
said, precipitation tonight should change from freezing rain to
rain. Lowered QPF amounts given the continued dry air in place.

Still a tenth of an inch in glaze could occur in a few spots leading
to slick surfaces. The winter weather advisory will continue given
the threat for incing.

With a few breaks in the clouds and continued warm air advection
Thursday highs should get well into the 40's. Some lingering light
lake effect precipitation is possible focused in oneida county
through Thursday night. Any additional snow accumulation looks to be
minor. With a increased pressure gradient from the departing lows
and approaching high some westerly wind gusts of around 20-25 mph
are likely tomorrow afternoon which matches projections from bufkit.

Clearing will continue to be slow Thursday night with temperatures
falling back into the mid 20's.

Short term Friday through Friday night
High pressure extending from the great lakes will keep our
weather clear for Friday and Friday night. Temperatures will peak
between 35 and 40 degrees on Friday, then fall into the upper-teens
and lower-20s Friday night.

Long term Saturday through Wednesday
Saturday... A powerful storm spinning into the ohio valley will
spread mixed precipitation into our southern forecast area Saturday
morning. Temperatures will climb into the 40s during the day and
change the precipitation to rain as it spreads across the region.

Colder temperatures Saturday night will cause a mix of rain and
sleet to fall, especially along and east of i-81.

Sunday... The cyclone will track into northern michigan on Sunday and
pull very mild air and rain showers into ny and pa. Temperatures
will climb above 50 degrees by Sunday afternoon before the cyclone
drags a strong cold front across our region and changes the rain
showers over to snow showers late Sunday night. The cyclone and cold
front will be accompanied by very gusty winds. Stay tuned for
statements regarding the potential wind event.

Monday and Tuesday... Polar air behind the cyclone will pour
into ny and pa during this period. Scattered lake effect snow
showers are anticipated. A weak wave moving through the mid-
atlantic will bring a chance for widespread light snow Tuesday
night.

Aviation 00z Thursday through Monday
A mix of sleet, freezing rain, and wet snow will keep a mix of
MVFR and ifr restrictions over the terminals for much of the
overnight period. In addition, a low level jet will create llws
conditions, mainly between 03z and 10z. The lowest ceilings and
visibilities will be at kbgm, where ceiling heights will remain
below 1000 feet through early Thursday.

Precipitation will continue through the overnight period and
taper off as light rain showers after midnight when temperatures
warm above freezing. Ceilings and visibilities will slowly rise
by dawn.VFR conditions are expected for most of the afternoon
when drier air arrives.

West winds will gust around 20 knots on Thursday.

Outlook...

Thursday night...VFR except at krme where lake effect snow is
possible.

Friday and Saturday...VFR under high pressure.

Saturday night through Monday... Restrictions likely with rain,
perhaps a brief wintry mix at the start through Sunday. Ceilings
slowly improving on Monday.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... Winter weather advisory until 7 am est Thursday for paz038>040-
043-044-047-048-072.

Ny... Winter weather advisory until 7 am est Thursday for nyz009-
015>018-022>025-036-037-044>046-055>057-062.

Synopsis... Mwg
near term... Bjt mwg
short term... Djp
long term... Djp
aviation... Djp


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 73 mi39 min SSE 12 G 21 27°F 1020 hPa22°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 75 mi69 min SSE 12 G 17 32°F
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 76 mi39 min 33°F

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Ithaca, Ithaca Tompkins Regional Airport, NY13 mi73 minSSE 146.00 miFog/Mist26°F24°F92%1021.3 hPa
Elmira, Elmira / Corning Regional Airport, NY19 mi76 minno data9.00 miOvercast29°F23°F78%1021.6 hPa
Penn Yan, Penn Yan Airport, NY24 mi76 minSSE 14 G 1910.00 miOvercast29°F24°F82%1020.1 hPa

Wind History from ITH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE4E3E4E5E6E5E7E7E4E5E6E3E5E4SE10SE8SE8SE10S14
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G24
1 day agoNW12W11W10W10NW7W13W12W13NW6NW11
G15
W10NW8NW8NW11NW10NW8NW12NW13
G19
NW12NW7N7NW3N3NE3
2 days agoCalmCalmSE3CalmSE8SE5SE4SE4CalmCalmCalmNW8NW13NW16
G20
NW13NW13
G21
NW18
G21
NW14
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NW14NW15NW12
G20
NW9NW7NW7

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Binghamton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.