Saturday, September23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Castleton-on-Hudson, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:43AMSunset 6:50PM Saturday September 23, 2017 2:04 PM EDT (18:04 UTC) Moonrise 10:03AMMoonset 8:59PM Illumination 10% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Castleton-on-Hudson, NY
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location: 42.53, -73.77     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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Fxus61 kaly 231741
afdaly
area forecast discussion
national weather service albany ny
141 pm edt Sat sep 23 2017

Synopsis
High pressure at the surface and aloft will remain parked over
the region through the next several days, providing dry
conditions and continued above normal temperatures. Post-tropical
storm jose will remain nearly stationary south of CAPE cod, and
will gradually weaken over the next few days with no impacts
for eastern new york and western new england. Temperatures could
reach record high levels Sunday into Monday, as the ridge
strengthens overhead.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Sunny with light winds through this afternoon. Few changes to
the forecast needed based on current data and trends. Highs in
the 80s but some 70s higher terrain.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Monday night
High pressure will continue to dominate our weather through
Monday night as ridging strengthens both at the surface and
aloft. Increased moisture will begin creeping into the area
overnight tonight, allowing for the potential for fog
development, especially in the river valleys. Temperatures
overnight look to only drop into the low 60s. Fog and overnight
mild temperatures are expected again Monday night.

Sunday and Monday will be very warm and muggy with record high
temperatures possible both days. The question is whether we hit
90 in some areas either day or both days. The high terrain
locations should see temperatures in the mid 80s, whereas the
valley locations could see upper 80s to lower 90s. Currently, we
are forecasting record highs of 90 degrees both days at albany.

Long term Tuesday through Friday
Above normal temperatures and dry weather will open the extended
forecast, but after the mid week temperatures transition to more
seasonable levels with increased chances of showers.

Tuesday into Wednesday... Mid and upper level ridging remains over
the forecast area with hurricane maria near or just off the east
coast. The latest 00z runs of the GFS and canadian ggem are a
little closer to the mid-atlantic coast by wed, while the 00z ecmwf
is a little slower and further offshore. The ridge does begin to
weaken and break down by the mid-week with the approaching cold
front and an upper level trough. Tuesday should be predominately
dry, and humid with sfc dewpts in the 60s. H850 temps are still 1
to 2 standard deviations above normal based on the 00z gefs. Max
temps are still expected to be 15 to 20 degrees above normal with
highs in the mid to upper 80s in the valleys, and upper 70s to lower
80s over the higher terrain. Another warm and muggy night is
expected Tue night with lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. There is
a slight chc of showers over the extreme southeast portion of the
forecast area with any low-level convergence on the outer periphery
of maria's circulation. A cold front continues to approach from the
west wed. The low-level forcing is not strong until you get closer
to the frontal axis. Isolated to scattered showers are possible
late in the day, some of which could be from the outer periphery of
maria once again, especially south and east of the capital district.

Please refer to the national hurricane center for official forecasts
on maria. It will still be humid on wed, and temps will be above
normal, but an increase in clouds will yield highs a tad lower in
the upper 70s to lower 80s in most locations, except for lower to
mid 70s over the higher terrain.

Wed night into thu... Decent consensus from the medium range
deterministic and ensemble guidance that a cold front will move
across the region during this time frame with scattered showers.

Temps will also start to cool down closer to late sept normals. A
strong mid and upper level trough will set up over the great lakes
region and south-central canada with height falls translating
downstream into the northeast. The better chance of showers will be
north and west of the mid-hudson valley on thu. Strong h850 cold
advection will be occurring Thu pm with temps falling to +10c to
+15c from northwest to southeast across the region. After lows in
the 50s to lower 60s with a few upper 40s in the southern
adirondacks, expect highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s over the mtns
and northwest of the capital region, and mid and upper 70s over the
hudson river valley, capital region, southern taconics, southern
berkshires and NW ct.

Thu night into fri... Broad mid and upper cyclonic flow sets up
across the great lakes region into ny and new england. Short-wave
energy translating through the mid and upper level trough will kick
off isolated to scattered lake enhanced and upslope showers
especially north and west of the tri cities. H850 temps will be
back to reality for late sept in the +2c to +7c range across the
region with breezy northwest winds. Lows will be mainly in the 40s
to lower 50s with highs in the mid to upper 60s in the valleys with
a few 70f readings in the mid-hudson valley, and mid 50s to lower
60s over the higher terrain.

Aviation 18z Saturday through Thursday
A strong ridge of high pressure will remain in place over the
region providing continued dry conditions. Sunny skies andVFR
will prevail through the rest of the day and into the evening.

A slight increase in low level moisture along with calm winds
should result in some fog developing overnight. Ifr conditions
will be possible at favored sites kgfl kpsf. Less confident of
thicker fog at kalb kpou, so will mention just MVFR vsby for
now developing late tonight.

Vfr conditions will return around 12z-13z Sunday with abundant
sunshine once fog dissipates.

Winds will become north to northwest around 3-8 kts through
this afternoon, becoming calm tonight.

Outlook...

Sunday night: no operational impact. Patchy fg.

Monday: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Monday night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Tuesday: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Tuesday night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Wednesday: moderate operational impact. Chance of shra.

Wednesday night: moderate operational impact. Chance of shra.

Thursday: moderate operational impact. Chance of shra.

Fire weather
High pressure at the surface and aloft will remain parked over
the region through the next several days, providing dry
conditions and continued above normal temperatures. Post-tropical
storm jose will remain nearly stationary south of CAPE cod, and
will gradually weaken over the next few days with no impacts
for eastern new york and western new england. Temperatures could
reach record high levels Sunday into Monday, as the ridge
strengthens overhead.

Rh values will be in the 80 to 100 percent range Saturday
night and Sunday night. Rh values will drop to 40 to 60 percent
this afternoon and Sunday afternoon.

North to northeast winds will become light and variable
Saturday through Sunday.

Hydrology
No widespread hydrologic issues are expected through the next
week. An extended stretch of fair and warm weather is forecast
well into next week as high pressure dominates.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including
observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please
visit the advanced hydrologic prediction service AHPS graphs
on our website.

Climate
Record high temperatures will be possible Sunday and Monday.

Here is a list of the current record highs for september 24 25:
albany ny:
september 24th Sunday: 87 degrees 1961
september 25th Monday: 89 degrees 1970
daily records date back to 1874
glens falls ny:
september 24th Sunday: 86 degrees 1961
september 25th Monday: 84 degrees 2007
records date back to 1949
poughkeepsie ny:
september 24th Sunday: 91 degrees 1959
september 25th Monday: 89 degrees 1970
records date back to 1949, however data is missing
from january 1993 through july 2000.

Aly watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Ma... None.

Vt... None.

Synopsis... Nas jvm
near term... Nas jvm
short term... Jvm
long term... Wasula
aviation... Jpv
fire weather... Nas jvm
hydrology... Nas jvm
climate...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 36 mi95 min 88°F 1017 hPa74°F
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 98 mi47 min N 8.9 G 17 79°F 72°F1016.4 hPa
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 99 mi53 min N 8.9 G 13 83°F 71°F1015.7 hPa

Wind History for New Haven, CT
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NE5
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Albany International Airport, NY16 mi74 minVar 410.00 miA Few Clouds78°F55°F45%1018.3 hPa
Schenectady Airport, NY24 mi80 minN 015.00 miFair79°F55°F45%1018.6 hPa

Wind History from ALB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN11N8N6N4N3NW5N5N6N3N3N5N3N4CalmNW5CalmN3N3N5NW55N74N6
1 day agoN7
G16
N10N7N5NE4NE10N7N9N6N5N5CalmCalmNW3N4N4N4N3N6N6N8N9N11
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2 days agoN11
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N9N7N5N4N5N4N5NW4N5NW3N4N4SW3CalmN3N3N5N7N10NE6NE5N8N8

Tide / Current Tables for Castleton-on-Hudson, Hudson River, New York
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Castleton-on-Hudson
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Sat -- 01:38 AM EDT     -0.21 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:43 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:28 AM EDT     4.32 feet High Tide
Sat -- 10:02 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 01:57 PM EDT     -0.24 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:50 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 07:58 PM EDT     4.78 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:59 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.90-0.10.723.13.84.34.23.52.51.710.2-0.20.31.62.93.84.54.84.43.42.4

Tide / Current Tables for New Baltimore, Hudson River, New York
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New Baltimore
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:11 AM EDT     0.09 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:43 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:11 AM EDT     4.42 feet High Tide
Sat -- 10:02 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 01:30 PM EDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:50 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 07:41 PM EDT     4.88 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:59 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.80.10.41.42.63.54.14.44.23.32.31.70.90.20.212.33.44.24.74.84.23.22.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.