Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Castleton-on-Hudson, NY
May 9, 2024 7:22 AM EDT (11:22 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:36 AM Sunset 8:06 PM Moonrise 6:17 AM Moonset 10:30 PM |
FXUS61 KALY 091045 AFDALY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 645 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024
SYNOPSIS
Mostly cloudy conditions with seasonable temperatures will prevail today, as some showers move in south of the Capital District in the late afternoon. Showers will increase tonight into Friday due to an upper level disturbance and low pressure moving across the northern Mid Atlantic States. Cool conditions continue into the weekend with isolated to scattered light showers with an upper level low being over the Northeast.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
As of 645 AM EDT...A cool start to morning with more clouds than sunshine. Some stratocumulus continue to persist in the wake of the cold front yesterday and with an upper level low north of the region. Some increases to cloud cover with the update this morning.
A mid and upper level trough will be over southeast Canada this morning. Zonal flow will be over NY and New England, as these areas are in the mid and upper level jet confluent region. Low pressure is organizing over the Ohio Valley. The flatter flow will allow for weak ridging to take hold with drier conditions for most of the day. It will be mostly cloudy with cooler temps compared to yesterday.
The latest short range and ensemble guidance indicates drier and slower trends for over running rainfall spreading back into the forecast area. PoPs have been reduced until the late afternoon south of the Capital District. The isentropic lift increases with light rain spreading northward ahead of the low pressure system and warm front. The H500 trough becomes positively tilted over the OH Valley. The tightening low/mid level thermal gradient will increase the FGEN. We have the highest PoPs south of the I-90 corridor towards the early evening. Highs will be seasonal with mid 50s to around 60F over the hills and mtns and mid and upper 60s in the valleys.
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
Tonight...A cool and chilly night is expected with the cyclonic vorticity advection associated with the trough combined with some isentropic lift will bring a period of rain for most of the forecast area. Locations north and east of the Capital Region may see more scattered showers early on. Sfc ridging near southeast Quebec and the Gulf of St Lawrence may limit the northward extent of the showers. Lows will be in the 40s with some upper 30s over the southern Adirondacks and southern Greens.
Friday into Friday night...The mid and upper level low becomes neutral tilted with some Atlantic moisture tapped. The blocking sfc anticylone remains upstream. Periods of showers will continue over most of the forecast area. Low stratus and light showers will will prevail east of the Hudson River Valley/Lake George, but steadier rain is likely to the west. The low pressure system passing to the south and its associated inverted trough will focus the steadier rain over the western zones.
Temps will run below normal with mid 40s to lower 50s over the higher terrain and 50s to around 60F in the valleys. These temps will be a 5-10 degrees below normal. The showers taper Fri night with the sfc wave moving into the western Atlantic. The sfc anticyclone attempts to build in from near New Brunswick.
Cooling down low-levels may allow for some wet snowflakes over the southern Greens/southern Dacks. Lows will be in the 40s with some mid 30s to around 40F reading over the higher terrain.
The next northern stream short-wave approaches from the western Great lakes Region and dives in across PA and NY for the opening of the weekend. This feature will increase clouds and bring some isolated to scattered showers late in the day. The upper level trough trough becomes negatively tilted. The scattered showers may become more widespread Sat night due to the cyclonic vorticity advection. Temps may be slightly warmer than Fri, but still below normal with 50s and lower 60s with cooler readings over the mtns. Lows will be in the 40s once again with some upper 30s over the mountains.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
The long term period opens Sunday morning with the region located beneath the heart of an upper low while northerly low-level flow about the western flank of a surface low over the Canadian Maritimes advects unseasonably cool air into the region. Cyclonic flow will yield persistent chances for rain showers through Sunday afternoon, and temperatures will struggle to rise out of the upper 40s to 50s, some 10 to 15 degrees below normal.
Dry weather will briefly return Sunday night into Monday as the upper low rapidly exits to the northeast while upper heights rise locally. Cold overnight lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s are expected Sunday night, but developing mid- and upper-level flow out of the southwest will see temperatures warm to near or above normal values into the workweek. Afternoon highs Monday through Wednesday will generally reach into the upper 50s to mid 60s in high terrain, and mid 60s to mid 70s at lower elevations, while nighttime lows will dip into the mid 40s to mid 50s Monday through Wednesday nights.
A series of upper shortwaves will bring a return to unsettled and showery weather Monday night and beyond. The first system looks to pass over the region Monday night into Tuesday morning, followed by a second, more potent wave later Tuesday into Wednesday as a surface low develops over the Mid-Atlantic and tracks along the coast to the northeast. There remains significant spread among numerical guidance in the details of these systems, but the most likely outcome at this lead time is scattered to numerous rain showers as each of these systems pass near the region.
AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
Through 12Z Friday, MVFR/low-VFR cigs expected to continue into the morning, before improving to VFR by 15Z as cigs lift and/or coverage lessens in response to diurnal mixing. VFR conditions then continue into the evening with increasing coverage as mid- and high-level clouds move in from the south. No vsby restrictions are expected through 00Z Fri.
A warm front lifting over the region this evening into tonight will see rain showers spread from south to north. Showers may begin as early as 21Z Thu at POU and 00Z Fri at ALB/GFL/PSF, but will more likely hold off until 00Z Fri at POU, and 03-06Z Fri at ALB/GFL/PSF.
Low-level cloud coverage will increase as rain showers onset, with MVFR cigs expected at all terminals. Precipitation intensity is expected to be light, resulting in MVFR vsbys within showers, continuing through the remainder of the period to 12Z Fri.
Northwest to north winds at 5 kt or less will turn out of the north to northeast and increase to 5-10 kt at all terminals for the majority of the period. Flow will continue to turn out of the east to northeast later, after 00-06Z Fri.
Outlook...
Friday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
Saturday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
Saturday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
Sunday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
Sunday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Monday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
Monday Night: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Tuesday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 645 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024
SYNOPSIS
Mostly cloudy conditions with seasonable temperatures will prevail today, as some showers move in south of the Capital District in the late afternoon. Showers will increase tonight into Friday due to an upper level disturbance and low pressure moving across the northern Mid Atlantic States. Cool conditions continue into the weekend with isolated to scattered light showers with an upper level low being over the Northeast.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
As of 645 AM EDT...A cool start to morning with more clouds than sunshine. Some stratocumulus continue to persist in the wake of the cold front yesterday and with an upper level low north of the region. Some increases to cloud cover with the update this morning.
A mid and upper level trough will be over southeast Canada this morning. Zonal flow will be over NY and New England, as these areas are in the mid and upper level jet confluent region. Low pressure is organizing over the Ohio Valley. The flatter flow will allow for weak ridging to take hold with drier conditions for most of the day. It will be mostly cloudy with cooler temps compared to yesterday.
The latest short range and ensemble guidance indicates drier and slower trends for over running rainfall spreading back into the forecast area. PoPs have been reduced until the late afternoon south of the Capital District. The isentropic lift increases with light rain spreading northward ahead of the low pressure system and warm front. The H500 trough becomes positively tilted over the OH Valley. The tightening low/mid level thermal gradient will increase the FGEN. We have the highest PoPs south of the I-90 corridor towards the early evening. Highs will be seasonal with mid 50s to around 60F over the hills and mtns and mid and upper 60s in the valleys.
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
Tonight...A cool and chilly night is expected with the cyclonic vorticity advection associated with the trough combined with some isentropic lift will bring a period of rain for most of the forecast area. Locations north and east of the Capital Region may see more scattered showers early on. Sfc ridging near southeast Quebec and the Gulf of St Lawrence may limit the northward extent of the showers. Lows will be in the 40s with some upper 30s over the southern Adirondacks and southern Greens.
Friday into Friday night...The mid and upper level low becomes neutral tilted with some Atlantic moisture tapped. The blocking sfc anticylone remains upstream. Periods of showers will continue over most of the forecast area. Low stratus and light showers will will prevail east of the Hudson River Valley/Lake George, but steadier rain is likely to the west. The low pressure system passing to the south and its associated inverted trough will focus the steadier rain over the western zones.
Temps will run below normal with mid 40s to lower 50s over the higher terrain and 50s to around 60F in the valleys. These temps will be a 5-10 degrees below normal. The showers taper Fri night with the sfc wave moving into the western Atlantic. The sfc anticyclone attempts to build in from near New Brunswick.
Cooling down low-levels may allow for some wet snowflakes over the southern Greens/southern Dacks. Lows will be in the 40s with some mid 30s to around 40F reading over the higher terrain.
The next northern stream short-wave approaches from the western Great lakes Region and dives in across PA and NY for the opening of the weekend. This feature will increase clouds and bring some isolated to scattered showers late in the day. The upper level trough trough becomes negatively tilted. The scattered showers may become more widespread Sat night due to the cyclonic vorticity advection. Temps may be slightly warmer than Fri, but still below normal with 50s and lower 60s with cooler readings over the mtns. Lows will be in the 40s once again with some upper 30s over the mountains.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
The long term period opens Sunday morning with the region located beneath the heart of an upper low while northerly low-level flow about the western flank of a surface low over the Canadian Maritimes advects unseasonably cool air into the region. Cyclonic flow will yield persistent chances for rain showers through Sunday afternoon, and temperatures will struggle to rise out of the upper 40s to 50s, some 10 to 15 degrees below normal.
Dry weather will briefly return Sunday night into Monday as the upper low rapidly exits to the northeast while upper heights rise locally. Cold overnight lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s are expected Sunday night, but developing mid- and upper-level flow out of the southwest will see temperatures warm to near or above normal values into the workweek. Afternoon highs Monday through Wednesday will generally reach into the upper 50s to mid 60s in high terrain, and mid 60s to mid 70s at lower elevations, while nighttime lows will dip into the mid 40s to mid 50s Monday through Wednesday nights.
A series of upper shortwaves will bring a return to unsettled and showery weather Monday night and beyond. The first system looks to pass over the region Monday night into Tuesday morning, followed by a second, more potent wave later Tuesday into Wednesday as a surface low develops over the Mid-Atlantic and tracks along the coast to the northeast. There remains significant spread among numerical guidance in the details of these systems, but the most likely outcome at this lead time is scattered to numerous rain showers as each of these systems pass near the region.
AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
Through 12Z Friday, MVFR/low-VFR cigs expected to continue into the morning, before improving to VFR by 15Z as cigs lift and/or coverage lessens in response to diurnal mixing. VFR conditions then continue into the evening with increasing coverage as mid- and high-level clouds move in from the south. No vsby restrictions are expected through 00Z Fri.
A warm front lifting over the region this evening into tonight will see rain showers spread from south to north. Showers may begin as early as 21Z Thu at POU and 00Z Fri at ALB/GFL/PSF, but will more likely hold off until 00Z Fri at POU, and 03-06Z Fri at ALB/GFL/PSF.
Low-level cloud coverage will increase as rain showers onset, with MVFR cigs expected at all terminals. Precipitation intensity is expected to be light, resulting in MVFR vsbys within showers, continuing through the remainder of the period to 12Z Fri.
Northwest to north winds at 5 kt or less will turn out of the north to northeast and increase to 5-10 kt at all terminals for the majority of the period. Flow will continue to turn out of the east to northeast later, after 00-06Z Fri.
Outlook...
Friday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
Saturday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
Saturday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
Sunday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
Sunday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Monday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
Monday Night: Moderate Operational Impact
Chance of SHRA
TSRA.
Tuesday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.
ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KALB ALBANY INTL,NY | 15 sm | 31 min | NNE 06 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 54°F | 46°F | 77% | 29.77 |
Castleton-on-Hudson
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:07 AM EDT 0.18 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:39 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 06:14 AM EDT 5.93 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:17 AM EDT Moonrise
Thu -- 12:52 PM EDT -0.06 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:45 PM EDT 4.51 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:04 PM EDT Sunset
Thu -- 10:29 PM EDT Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:07 AM EDT 0.18 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:39 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 06:14 AM EDT 5.93 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:17 AM EDT Moonrise
Thu -- 12:52 PM EDT -0.06 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:45 PM EDT 4.51 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:04 PM EDT Sunset
Thu -- 10:29 PM EDT Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Castleton-on-Hudson, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.2 |
| 1 am |
| 0.6 |
| 2 am |
| 1.8 |
| 3 am |
| 3.3 |
| 4 am |
| 4.6 |
| 5 am |
| 5.5 |
| 6 am |
| 5.9 |
| 7 am |
| 5.7 |
| 8 am |
| 4.7 |
| 9 am |
| 3.6 |
| 10 am |
| 2.5 |
| 11 am |
| 1.4 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 1 pm |
| -0.1 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 4 pm |
| 2.8 |
| 5 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 6 pm |
| 4.3 |
| 7 pm |
| 4.5 |
| 8 pm |
| 3.9 |
| 9 pm |
| 3 |
| 10 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.4 |
New Baltimore
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:39 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 05:57 AM EDT 6.03 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:17 AM EDT Moonrise
Thu -- 12:25 PM EDT 0.24 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:28 PM EDT 4.61 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:04 PM EDT Sunset
Thu -- 10:29 PM EDT Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 05:39 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 05:57 AM EDT 6.03 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:17 AM EDT Moonrise
Thu -- 12:25 PM EDT 0.24 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:28 PM EDT 4.61 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:04 PM EDT Sunset
Thu -- 10:29 PM EDT Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
New Baltimore, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.5 |
| 1 am |
| 1.3 |
| 2 am |
| 2.6 |
| 3 am |
| 4 |
| 4 am |
| 5 |
| 5 am |
| 5.8 |
| 6 am |
| 6 |
| 7 am |
| 5.6 |
| 8 am |
| 4.5 |
| 9 am |
| 3.3 |
| 10 am |
| 2.3 |
| 11 am |
| 1.2 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 3 pm |
| 2.4 |
| 4 pm |
| 3.3 |
| 5 pm |
| 4.1 |
| 6 pm |
| 4.5 |
| 7 pm |
| 4.5 |
| 8 pm |
| 3.8 |
| 9 pm |
| 2.9 |
| 10 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.4 |
Albany, NY,
NOTICE: Some pages have affiliate links to Amazon. As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases. Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE. To contact me click HERE. For my YouTube page click HERE