Saturday, June24, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fontana-on-Geneva Lake, WI

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:16AMSunset 8:36PM Saturday June 24, 2017 5:30 AM CDT (10:30 UTC) Moonrise 6:03AMMoonset 9:09PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 0 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ646 Wind Point Wi To Winthrop Harbor Il- 327 Am Cdt Sat Jun 24 2017
Today..West wind 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Tonight..West wind 10 to 15 knots. Gusts up to 20 knots. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms through around midnight. Waves around 1 foot.
Sunday..West wind 10 to 15 knots. Gusts up to 20 knots. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves around 1 foot.
Sunday night..West wind 10 to 15 knots. Gusts up to 20 knots. Slight chance of showers through around midnight. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
LMZ646 Expires:201706241615;;735417 FZUS53 KMKX 240827 NSHMKX Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI 327 AM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lake Michigan LMZ646-241615-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fontana-on-Geneva Lake, WI
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location: 42.55, -88.56     debug


Area Discussion for - Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI
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Fxus63 kmkx 240827
afdmkx
area forecast discussion
national weather service milwaukee sullivan wi
327 am cdt Sat jun 24 2017

Today and tonight Forecast confidence is high.

We can expect another day with diurnal cumulus clouds, scattered
showers and even some thunderstorms today. This is due to cyclonic
flow aloft and an approaching shortwave trough. This shortwave is
more potent than the one that went through yesterday. It will
arrive during the late afternoon hours, so added a period of
likely showers and chance of thunderstorms for primarily south
central wi.

By the time it reaches southeast wi, we will be losing the
daytime heating, so there is just not as high of a chance for the
showers storms. Winds will be gusty out of the west once again.

Plan on clearing skies for the overnight hours. Look for
temperatures to drop down to around 50.

Sunday through Monday night Forecast confidence is medium.

Models are in decent agreement with showing several 500 mb
vorticity maxima shifting southeastward through the area Sunday
into Monday. This is within a broad 500 mb trough axis lingering
across the region. Subsequent upward vertical motion from
differential cyclonic vorticity advection is expected. Area
forecast soundings are showing steep low and middle level lapse
rates during this time, with cold 500 mb temperatures.

This results tall and skinny but weak mean layer CAPE by each
afternoon period. This should support chances for showers during
this time, with small chances for thunderstorms Sunday and Monday
afternoon. High pressure should then bring quiet weather for
Monday night.

Steady cold air advection on west to northwest winds Sunday into
Monday will keep temperatures unseasonably cool. Highs should
only reach the middle to upper 60s. Lows should drop into the
upper 40s to lower 50s Sunday night and Monday night.

Tuesday through Friday Forecast confidence is medium.

Models continue to show high pressure sliding to the southeast of
the area Tuesday into Tuesday night. This should bring quiet
weather to the area. Warm air advection during this time should
begin to bring more seasonable temperatures into the area.

Models then show 500 mb flow becoming more zonal Wednesday into
Friday. This allows for an elongated 500 mb vorticity maximum to
push east through the region Wednesday. Warm air advection in the
low levels also brings warmer and more humid air into the region
Wednesday into Wednesday night. Area forecast soundings from gfs
show some elevated and mean layer CAPE at times. Continued to
bring likely pops west to east across the area Wednesday afternoon
into Wednesday night.

Kept pops going for Thursday into Friday, as gfs ECMWF show
another low moving northeast either through of just south of the
area. Both models have a decent amount of QPF with this system. We
will see if this track continues in later model runs. Warm and
humid conditions should remain over the region.

Aviation(09z tafs)
Vfr conditions are expected through the TAF period. A few showers
are possible by midday, but a mid level shortwave pushing into
the area late this afternoon will bring more widespread showers
and scattered thunderstorms to south central wi through early
evening. Shower chances diminish as these showers spread east
toward sunset.

Marine
Winds will be persistently out of the west the next few days, but
should remain below small craft advisory levels. The westerly
flow will keep waves close to shore below 1 foot.

Mkx watches warnings advisories
Wi... None.

Lm... None.

Today tonight and aviation marine... Cronce
Sunday through Friday... Wood


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KNSW3 - Kenosha, WI 40 mi30 min WNW 8.9 G 14 62°F 1011.5 hPa (+0.7)
WHRI2 - Waukegan Harbor, IL 42 mi50 min WNW 11 G 15 63°F
MLWW3 - Milwaukee, WI 50 mi40 min WNW 8.9 G 12 62°F

Wind History for Calumet Harbor, IL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Burlington Municipal Airport, WI17 mi35 minW 310.00 miPartly Cloudy62°F60°F96%1012.2 hPa

Wind History from BUU (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN5NW4NW7W8W7NW10NW14
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NW9NW6W5W6W4W5W5W5W6W5
1 day agoSW7
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S7S3S4CalmN3CalmSW3S9S7S8N9
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmS5SE6S3S5CalmE7E10SE8
G14
SE8E3SE3E3CalmSE3CalmS3CalmCalmCalmSW7

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Midwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Milwaukee, WI
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.