Tuesday, May30, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Kenosha, WI

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:14AMSunset 8:23PM Tuesday May 30, 2017 4:12 AM CDT (09:12 UTC) Moonrise 10:34AMMoonset 12:09AM Illumination 23% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ646 Port Washington To North Point Light Wi- North Point Light To Wind Point Wi- Wind Point Wi To Winthrop Harbor Il- 304 Am Cdt Tue May 30 2017
.small craft advisory in effect from 11 am cdt this morning through this evening...
Today..West wind 10 to 15 knots. Gusts up to 25 knots in the late morning and afternoon. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Tonight..West wind 10 to 15 knots. Slight chance of showers through around midnight. Waves around 1 foot.
Wednesday..West wind 10 to 15 knots. Gusts up to 20 knots late in the morning. Mostly Sunny. Waves around 1 foot.
Wednesday night..West wind 5 to 10 knots. Mostly clear. Waves around 1 foot.
LMZ646 Expires:201705301630;;437931 FZUS53 KMKX 300804 NSHMKX NEARSHORE MARINE FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI 304 AM CDT TUE MAY 30 2017 FOR WATERS WITHIN FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE ON LAKE MICHIGAN LMZ644>646-301630-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kenosha, WI
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location: 42.58, -87.87     debug


Area Discussion for - Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI
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Fxus63 kmkx 300837
afdmkx
area forecast discussion
national weather service milwaukee sullivan wi
337 am cdt Tue may 30 2017

Short term
Today and tonight... Forecast confidence high.

A few vorticity maximums will move across central and SRN wi this
afternoon and tonight as they rotate around the large low pressure
area over NRN ontario, canada. At the sfc, a weak sfc trough will
affect SRN wi for the afternoon and early eve. CAPE values may
rise to a few hundred joules for the afternoon. Went with 40-50
pops for showers and slight chances of thunder. Temps will be
several degrees cooler than yesterday with 1000-500 mb thicknesses
only from 546-549 dm. A few showers will linger into the evening
but then likely dry the remainder of the night.

Wednesday through Thursday night... Forecast confidence is medium.

Models suggest quiet weather for Wednesday into Thursday morning
across the area, with steady warm air advection developing. Highs
should climb from the upper 60s Wednesday into the lower to middle
70s on Thursday.

Models then are in decent agreement with a warm front approaching
the area Thursday night from the southwest. Focused warm air
advection and low level frontogenesis response increase during
this time across the area. Area forecast soundings are showing
modest elevated CAPE as well.

Went with high chance to low end likely pops for Thursday night,
highest in the southern counties. May need to go higher with pops
in later forecasts if consistency remains with the models.

Long term
Friday through Monday... Forecast confidence is medium.

00z ECMWF keeps the warm front over the area Friday into Friday
night, before low pressure slides southeast along it and through
the area on Saturday. The 00z GFS is a little further south with
these features Friday, then sags south into northern illinois on
Saturday. The 00z canadian keeps the front mainly in northern
illinois Friday into Saturday.

Despite the differences in the models during this time, this
appears to be a potentially active period with showers and
thunderstorms across the area. If the ECMWF is correct, there is
potential for strong to severe storms on Friday, as mean layer
capes rise with increasing deep layer shear. Training convection
may occur as well into Saturday, given the movement of the low
along the warm front. The other model solutions would bring a
lower severe weather and heavy rainfall risk, especially the gfs.

For now, kept the blended model pops going.

Models are then generally showing cold air advection for Sunday
into Monday, as the previous system departs. This would bring
cooler temperatures into the area for this period.

Aviation(06z tafs) Vfr conditions today and tonight but sct
showers and isold tstorms are forecast for the afternoon.

Bkn050-070 will develop by late morning or early afternoon and
continue into the evening due to instability. Skies becoming
partly cloudy later tonight.

Marine A small craft advisory is in effect from 11 am until 7
pm for breezy westerly winds. A large low pressure area over
ontario, canada will continue to bring breezy wly winds during the
daylight hours.

Mkx watches warnings advisories
Wi... None.

Lm... Small craft advisory from 11 am this morning to 7 pm cdt this
evening for lmz643>646.

Today tonight and aviation marine... Gehring
Wednesday through Monday... Wood


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KNSW3 - Kenosha, WI 3 mi73 min W 8 G 12 58°F 1011.9 hPa (+0.4)
WHRI2 - Waukegan Harbor, IL 15 mi33 min W 8.9 G 11 56°F
MLWW3 - Milwaukee, WI 32 mi23 min W 8.9 G 12 56°F
45174 33 mi23 min WSW 5.8 G 7.8 55°F 53°F1 ft49°F
45013 36 mi34 min WSW 7.8 G 9.7 54°F 1011.4 hPa
FSTI2 43 mi133 min SSW 7 62°F
OKSI2 48 mi133 min N 1 64°F
CHII2 - Chicago, IL 49 mi23 min W 12 G 13 62°F 47°F

Wind History for Calumet Harbor, IL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Kenosha, Kenosha Regional Airport, WI4 mi20 minWSW 510.00 miFair49°F45°F86%1011.9 hPa
Chicago/Waukegan Regional Airport, IL11 mi18 minVar 310.00 miFair53°F48°F86%1011.5 hPa
Racine, Batten International Airport, WI13 mi20 minWSW 610.00 miFair54°F46°F77%1012 hPa
Burlington Municipal Airport, WI24 mi38 minWSW 510.00 miFair52°F48°F88%1012.2 hPa

Wind History from ENW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW5W10W11W13W16
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W11W7W3N6SW7SW3SW4SW6SW7SW5
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmSW3NW5N5CalmW6NW7W8W9W11
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G21
W7SW5SW6SW5SW5SW4SW5SW6
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmE3E74E7S6S3S6E8E8SE8SE9SE8SE4SE4SE4S3SW3CalmS6SE3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Milwaukee, WI
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.