Tuesday, November21, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Kenosha, WI

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:49AMSunset 4:25PM Tuesday November 21, 2017 6:03 AM CST (12:03 UTC) Moonrise 10:23AMMoonset 8:05PM Illumination 8% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ646 Wind Point Wi To Winthrop Harbor Il- 505 Am Cst Tue Nov 21 2017
.small craft advisory in effect through this evening...
Today..West wind 15 to 20 knots veering northwest 10 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 2 feet late in the morning, then building to 2 to 4 feet in the afternoon.
Tonight..Northwest wind 15 to 20 knots easing to 10 to 15 knots early in the morning. Gusts up to 25 knots. Mostly clear. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 2 feet early in the morning.
Wednesday..Northwest wind 10 to 15 knots becoming west 5 to 10 knots in the late morning and early afternoon, then becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots late in the afternoon. Sunny. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Wednesday night..Southwest wind 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots late in the evening, then rising to 15 to 20 knots after midnight becoming southwest 15 to 20 knots early in the morning. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
LMZ646 Expires:201711211700;;740897 FZUS53 KMKX 211105 NSHMKX Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI 505 AM CST Tue Nov 21 2017 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lake Michigan LMZ646-211700-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kenosha, WI
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location: 42.58, -87.87     debug


Area Discussion for - Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI
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Fxus63 kmkx 211132
afdmkx
area forecast discussion
national weather service milwaukee sullivan wi
532 am cst Tue nov 21 2017

Update The forecast is on track for today. The cold front is
moving sewd across central wi into SRN wi this morning. Gusty nwly
winds are expected later this morning into the afternoon. Temps
will fall through the morning and become steady in the lower to
middle 30s for the afternoon.

Aviation(12z tafs) Stratocumulus will develop after sunrise
and in the wake of a cold front. Bkn025-035 is expected by late
morning which will continue into the afternoon. However, enough
dry air and subsidence will lead to decreasing clouds from west to
east across SRN wi during the afternoon. Gusty wly winds this
morning will become nwly by late morning with the passage of the
cold front.

Prev discussion (issued 313 am cst Tue nov 21 2017)
discussion...

today and tonight... Forecast confidence is high.

Strong low pressure will continue ewd across ontario, canada, then
newd across quebec, canada. A 100-120 kt nly jet will drive the
upper trough axis across SRN wi this afternoon with the strong
cold frontal passage this morning. High temps will occur early
this morning then fall through the morning, but becoming steady
in the lower to middle 30s for the afternoon. Wind gusts to 30 mph
are expected. The broken stratocumulus behind the cold front over
mn should also develop sewd via the upper trough being driven swd
by the upper jet. The stratocumulus should then gradually decrease
from west to east during the afternoon but a few flurries could
occur. For tnt, the core of the polar high will track swd through
the great plains but its sfc ridge will extend nwd into the upper
ms river valley by 12z wed. Thus expect winds to become lighter
through the night but not decouple. Lows in the upper teens to
lower 20s expected.

Wednesday - confidence... Medium
some modification of low level thermal trough expected with winds
swinging around to more of a west or southwest direction. The
surface ridge axis starts off the day across ia mn and then leans
more into the oh valley by days end. This will set the stage for
the return flow. Not ready to jump on the wet NAM solution for
Wednesday night in this WAA regime.

Thanksgiving - confidence... Medium
a weak surface 850 trough passes through then the flow reloads
from the southwest as next low approaches from the northern
plains. Looks like a steady period of modifying 925 temps right
into Thursday night.

Friday - confidence... Medium
thermal ridge amplifies ahead of the cold front. Should see many
temps reach the 50 degree mark with gusty southwest winds ahead
of the front. Could go even higher with ample sun, however cloud
cover and rain chances will be on the increase during the
afternoon evening with the frontal boundary working through.

Saturday and Sunday - confidence... Medium
looking at a colder but dry weekend as northwest winds usher in
the chilly airmass. Windiest day is shaping up to be Saturday. As
Sunday wears along the surface ridge axis is proggd to shift
right across the state so that will make for a much lighter wind
regime.

Monday - confidence... Medium
the high will end up in the ohio valley with a renewed southerly
flow setting up yet another low taking shape in the plains. So we
should see some modification to the weekend chill though the south
winds will be gusty and the warmest 925 temps hold off to the west
and southwest of wi.

Aviation(09z tafs)... Stratocumulus will develop after sunrise
and in the wake of a cold front. Bkn025-035 is expected by late
morning which will continue into the afternoon. However, enough
dry air and subsidence will lead to decreasing clouds from west to
east across SRN wi during the afternoon. Gusty wly winds this
morning will become nwly by late morning with the passage of the
cold front.

Marine... A small craft advisory is now in effect until 9 pm tnt
for brisk wly winds becoming nwly by late this morning. The
pressure gradient and unstable conditions over the lake will help
maintain wind gusts into this evening. High waves are expected
over the open waters.

Mkx watches warnings advisories
Wi... None.

Lm... Small craft advisory until 9 pm cst this evening for lmz643>646.

Update... Gehring
today tonight and aviation marine... Gehring
Wednesday through Monday... Collar


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KNSW3 - Kenosha, WI 3 mi64 min SW 12 G 21 45°F 1003 hPa (+0.3)
WHRI2 - Waukegan Harbor, IL 15 mi84 min WSW 18 G 22 45°F
MLWW3 - Milwaukee, WI 32 mi44 min SW 15 G 18 44°F
FSTI2 43 mi124 min SW 38 45°F
45007 - S MICHIGAN 43NM East Southeast of Milwaukee, WI 45 mi74 min WSW 25 G 31 46°F 48°F8 ft1002.6 hPa (+0.0)
OKSI2 48 mi124 min W 8 46°F
CHII2 - Chicago, IL 49 mi44 min SW 24 G 30 46°F 32°F

Wind History for Calumet Harbor, IL
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Last
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S12
G18
S11
G17
S13
G19
S12
G18
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G23
S13
G19
S17
G22
S19
G25
S17
G23
S15
G23
S14
G22
S14
G23
S17
G27
S18
G26
S16
G22
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G29
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G25
S21
G27
S17
G23
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G21
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G23
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G20
S15
G21
SW13
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1 day
ago
W7
G11
NW12
G17
W10
G19
W12
G18
W9
G14
SW9
G14
SW13
G18
SW10
G15
SW7
G15
W9
G13
W8
G15
SW8
G13
SW7
G10
SW6
G11
SW8
G11
SW4
G7
SW8
G13
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G13
SW7
G12
SW7
G10
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G13
SW9
G12
S9
G12
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G15
2 days
ago
N11
G14
N12
G19
N9
G17
NW16
G23
N19
G27
NW24
G31
NW20
G31
NW19
G30
NW12
G18
NW15
G22
NW18
G29
NW17
G24
NW15
G25
NW14
G24
NW13
G19
NW15
G22
NW13
G21
NW7
G14
NW15
G21
W10
G15
W8
G17
W12
G17
NW8
G14
NW11
G16

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Kenosha, Kenosha Regional Airport, WI4 mi71 minSW 13 G 2310.00 miFair43°F30°F63%1002.9 hPa
Chicago/Waukegan Regional Airport, IL11 mi69 minSW 15 G 2110.00 miFair44°F32°F63%1003.3 hPa
Racine, Batten International Airport, WI13 mi71 minSW 13 G 2110.00 miFair43°F32°F65%1002.9 hPa
Burlington Municipal Airport, WI24 mi74 minSW 710.00 miFair40°F35°F83%1002.7 hPa

Wind History from ENW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW8SW11SW12
G22
SW15
G23
SW13
G25
SW15
G25
SW13
G24
SW17
G28
SW15
G28
SW13
G22
SW17
G28
SW20
G29
SW16
G28
SW17
G33
SW21
G33
SW19
G30
SW19
G25
SW14
G22
SW13
G31
SW14
G26
SW15
G26
SW15
G22
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G23
SW12
1 day agoW12NW8
G18
NW14
G19
NW13W12
G19
W16
G23
NW15
G22
W12W13W12
G20
W8SW9SW9W12SW11SW12SW12SW12SW12
G19
SW8SW10
G19
SW9SW11SW10
2 days agoNE7N7N11
G19
N11
G18
N9
G18
N10
G19
N15
G22
N13
G25
N14
G27
N15
G25
NW11
G18
N13
G22
NW10
G21
NW9NW9
G21
N10
G24
NW16
G23
NW11
G18
NW11
G22
NW12
G26
NW8
G17
NW11NW11NW14
G25

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Milwaukee, WI
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.