Monday, January22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Naples, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:32AMSunset 5:11PM Monday January 22, 2018 3:04 PM EST (20:04 UTC) Moonrise 10:33AMMoonset 10:49PM Illumination 35% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ043 Hamlin Beach To Sodus Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 631 Am Est Mon Jan 22 2018
.small craft advisory in effect through late tonight...
Today..East winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Rain likely with areas of drizzle early, then rain from late morning on. Waves 2 feet or less building to 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Tonight..East winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south 10 to 15 knots. Rain. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Tuesday..South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest 15 to 20 knots. A chance of rain in the morning, then a chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less building to 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west. A chance of rain showers in the evening, then snow showers likely overnight. Waves 3 to 5 feet building to 5 to 8 feet. Waves occasionally around 10 feet.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Lake effect snow showers likely during the day, then a chance of snow showers Wednesday night. Waves 5 to 8 feet subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 10 feet.
Thursday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. A chance of snow showers during the day. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Friday..Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less. The water temperature off rochester is 35 degrees.
LOZ043 Expires:201801221600;;824431 FZUS51 KBUF 221139 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 631 AM EST Mon Jan 22 2018 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ043-221600-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Naples, NY
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location: 42.62, -77.4     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 221948
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
248 pm est Mon jan 22 2018

Synopsis
A storm system moving out of the ohio valley will spread rain
across ny and pa overnight into early Tuesday. Colder air behind
the front will generate light snow showers Tuesday night into
Wednesday.

Near term through Tuesday night
245 pm update...

high elevation dense fog continues to hold strong, and the
current thinking is the fog won't break up until the next wave
of rain showers moves in overnight and mixes up the atmosphere.

In the meantime, the valleys will experience patchy, light fog,
while areas of dense fog (1 4 mile to 1 2 mile) will affect the
high elevations.

A cyclone moving out of the ohio valley into michigan will pull
additional warm and humid air into ny pa overnight. Rain will
overspread the region, accumulating around 0.75 to 0.90 inches
overnight. A non- diurnal temperature trend is forecast
tonight, with temperatures holding steady or potentially rising
into the lower-40s.

The cold front will pass through on Tuesday. Rain showers will
change over to snow showers overnight, with little to no
accumulation expected across most of the region. Lake effect
could produce around an inch of new snow over northern oneida
county.

1145 am update...

unseasonably mild, humid air will continue to track into our
forecast area through the next 24 hours.

Dense fog, especially over high elevations, will continue to
reduce visibilities to between 1 4 and 3 4 miles through
evening. The fog will accelerate the snow melt as temperatures
hold in the upper-30s and lower-40s.

Rain will increase tonight in advance of a cyclone moving toward
western new york.

Short term Wednesday through Thursday sheared NW flow off
the lakes with marginally cold air will bring some lake effect
snow showers into the ny zones on Wednesday. Amounts will be
light and temperatures near normal. For Thursday, somewhat
colder air arrives as the upper trough deepens, but flow off the
lake will be less favorable as a surface high builds in. Still
there will be a few lake effect snow showers and flurries well
into the daytime hours Thursday.

Long term Thursday night through Sunday
High pressure builds in for Friday as the upper heights rise.

This will be milder air into the area as the southerly flow
increases. Dry weather continues into Saturday as the southwest
flow strengthens increasing the warm advection continues. Cold
front pushes through Saturday night, followed by colder air for
Sunday. Expect widespread showers along and ahead of the front,
with showers ending quickly behind the front as ridging builds
in.

Aviation 20z Monday through Saturday
Light winds and a steady snow melt will contribute to fog
generation. Fog will be particularly dense at kbgm, where
visibilities will hold around 1 4sm through early evening.

Elsewhere, light fog, patchy drizzle, and scattered showers will
keep mainly MVFR ceilings and visibilities over the terminals
through late this evening.

Ceilings are expected to degrade into ifr territory overnight as
showers increase in advance of a cyclone moving into western new
york.

Outlook...

Tuesday... Flight category reductions continue under periods of
ra.

Tuesday night through Wednesday... Possible continuation of
flight category reductions and a chance of shsn.

Thursday and Friday...VFR under high pressure.

Hydrology
350 am update...

localized flooding due to ice jams is possible mainly Monday
night through Tuesday night. Widespread rain will develop
across the region late Monday night and Tuesday with amounts
ranging from a quarter to three quarters of an inch... And
temperatures will rise into the low 40s today, drop little
tonight then rise to 45 to 50 Tuesday. Also, the snow pack
water equivalent is generally around 1 inch or less. So, the
combination of rain and snowmelt runoff will cause rivers to
rise which may break up the ice currently in place. This may
result in jams downstream. The most rainfall is expected across
the susquehanna river basin in northeast pa and the delaware
basin in ny and pa. However, ice jams can occur along any rivers
in our area. Will continue to monitor the situation and the
possibility of a flood watch.

So far the rivers are steady with little runoff due to the light
rainfall and little snow melt. This will start to change late
today as the snow further ripens and the warm front lifts
through cny with a tenth or two of rain. Better runoff will
occur late tonight into Tuesday. River forecasts for a few
headwaters of the upper susquehanna and delaware rivers get
close to flood stage late Tuesday or Tuesday night.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Djp
near term... Djp
short term... Dgm
long term... Dgm
aviation... Djp
hydrology...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 46 mi185 min E 20 G 24 35°F 1017.3 hPa
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 46 mi47 min 35°F 1013.4 hPa
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 75 mi47 min ESE 8 G 12 38°F 1014.6 hPa36°F

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Dansville, Dansville Municipal Airport, NY17 mi71 minSE 910.00 miPartly Cloudy49°F42°F77%1014.2 hPa
Penn Yan, Penn Yan Airport, NY19 mi72 minS 53.00 miLight Rain Fog/Mist39°F36°F89%1014.7 hPa

Wind History from DSV (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmS4SE3CalmS3SE3S5S4SE5SE4CalmS4S5S5CalmSE6E4E5S5S8S4CalmSE9
1 day ago6CalmNW4CalmCalmCalmS3CalmS3CalmSE7CalmCalmSE5S3SE3S4S6S3SE5SE4CalmSE4SE4
2 days ago--S5S5S544E56S7SE7SE11SE8
G18
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G17
SE8SE5SE64NW10
G18
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W10
G16
W7W8
G17

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Binghamton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.