Sunday, September24, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Angola, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:04AMSunset 7:09PM Sunday September 24, 2017 6:55 PM EDT (22:55 UTC) Moonrise 10:24AMMoonset 8:54PM Illumination 19% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ041 Buffalo To Ripley Along Lake Erie- 431 Pm Edt Sun Sep 24 2017
Tonight..Northwest winds less than 10 knots. Clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday..Southeast winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast. Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday night..Northeast winds 10 knots or less becoming south. Mainly clear in the evening...then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday..South winds less than 10 knots becoming west. Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds less than 10 knots. Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northwest. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less building to 2 to 4 feet.
Thursday..Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Friday..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest. A chance of showers. Waves 2 feet or less.
LEZ041 Expires:201709250300;;876864 FZUS51 KBUF 242040 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 431 PM EDT Sun Sep 24 2017 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ040-041-250300-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Angola, NY
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location: 42.63, -79.05     debug


Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
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Fxus61 kbuf 242119
afdbuf
area forecast discussion
national weather service buffalo ny
519 pm edt Sun sep 24 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will keep dry and very warm weather across our
region through the first half of the week. An approaching cold
front may finally bring a chance of showers late Wednesday and
Wednesday night, with much cooler temperatures arriving late this
week in the wake of the cold front.

Near term through Monday
During this period... Ridging at all levels will remain anchored
firmly overhead. Strong subsidence and plentiful dry air aloft
will maintain clear to mainly clear skies through tonight... With
only a little cirrus then rounding the ridge and pushing into the
area from the west on Monday. About the only real blemish on the
forecast will be the redevelopment of the usual southern tier
valley fog later on tonight... Along with some patchier lighter
fog in other rural areas.

With respect to temperatures... 850 mb temps between +18c and +20c
will be supportive of highs mostly in the upper 80s across the
lower elevations this afternoon... Though local lake breezes will
help to keep the lakeshores a bit cooler. Such highs will be very
close to daily records (88 in buffalo... 90 in rochester... And 88
in watertown). With higher dewpoints in place... Lows tonight will
be a bit milder than the past few nights and will range from the
upper 50s lower 60s across the north country and interior portions
of the southern tier to the mid 60s elsewhere. Finally for Monday...

slightly warmer temps aloft should allow for afternoon highs to
mostly range from the mid 80s across the higher terrain to the
upper 80s around 90 across the lower elevations... With only the
immediate lakeshores again being a little cooler. Our current
record high temps for the 25th were set in 2007 at all three of
our major climate sites and are 87 at buffalo... 92 at rochester...

and 89 at watertown.

Short term Monday night through Wednesday night
The region will remain underneath ridging at the surface and aloft
to begin the period. This will maintain the dry weather pattern with
much above normal temperatures. 850 mb temperatures will be around
+18c Tuesday, supporting another day of unseasonably hot
temperatures with most highs generally in the mid to upper 80s, with
a few spots making another run at the 90 degree mark. The warmest
readings are expected across inland areas away from local lake
breeze circulations. It also remain very humid, with dewpoints in
the mid to upper 60s. This will make it feel uncomfortably hot,
despite the calender date with heat index values pushing into the
90s if not the air temperatures.

Ridging will weaken Wednesday as a trough moves over the upper great
lakes by late in the day. Even so, temperatures will remain well
above normal Wednesday with highs in the 80s. This is still about 15
degrees above normal for this time of year.

The latest global long range models are settling on a Wednesday
night timing for the weak cold front and also depicting a rather
anemic moisture pattern along it, while passing through the eastern
great lakes, suggesting only scattered light showers for the area.

Long term Thursday through Sunday
Our stretch of summer-like weather comes to an end on Thursday
behind a cold front. Temperatures are forecast to fall back to more
typical levels for this new fall season lasting through next
weekend. The front is forecast to be east of western and north-
central ny by Thursday morning. A ridge of high pressure will shift
over our region with any lingering showers east of lake ontario
coming to an end leaving dry and much cooler conditons settling in
through the day. 850mb temps will fall back to around +5c to +6c
resulting in high temps in the low to mid 60s Thursday and low temps
in the mid to upper 50s.

A much sharper longwave trough axis and secondary surface cold front
is shown in the models to drop across our region Friday or Friday
night. This will bring a chance of rain showers and another shot of
cold air advection. 850mb temps could drop to or a few degrees below
zero c Friday night or Saturday night with a north to northwesterly
flow over the lakes. Expect this airmass to contribute to some lake
enhancement behind the cold front with a chance of showers south of
the lakes Friday night into Saturday. Saturday night into Sunday, a
dry central canadian sourced airmass is expected to move over the
great lakes with dry weather expected on Sunday. Temps Friday and
over the weekend with again top out in the low to mid 60s with
cool overnight lows dipping into the 40s.

Given this pattern, there still remains a chance that some locations
will not receive any measurable rainfall for the remainder of
september. In buffalo it has been 16 days since there has been
measurable precipitation, and although this may be extended we still
have a long ways to go to reach the record. The longest dry stretch
without measurable precipitation in buffalo is 30 days set back in
the fall of 1924.

Aviation 21z Sunday through Friday
Vfr conditions will largely prevail through the period as ridging
at all levels remains parked directly overhead. The only exception
to this will come overnight through mid-Monday morning as lifr
river valley fog redevelops across the southern tier... And
patchier lighter fog and localized ifr MVFR conditions form
elsewhere.

Outlook...

Monday night through Tuesday...VFR - except local ifr MVFR
conditions in southern tier valley fog later Monday night and
early Tuesday.

Wednesday through Friday... MainlyVFR with a chance of showers
late Wednesday afternoon... Wednesday night... And again on Friday.

Marine
High pressure will remain in place across the lower great lakes
right through the first half of the week. This will provide a long
stretch of very light winds and flat wave action with ideal boating
conditions, but not much wind for sailing.

Buf watches warnings advisories
Ny... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Hitchcock jjr
near term... Jjr
short term... Tma
long term... Smith
aviation... Jjr
marine... Hitchcock


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PSTN6 - 9063028 - Sturgeon Point, NY 4 mi38 min 80°F 1019 hPa
45142 - Port Colborne 15 mi56 min WNW 3.9 G 3.9 78°F 76°F1018.7 hPa (-1.0)
DBLN6 - Dunkirk, NY 19 mi56 min ENE 2.9 G 2.9 78°F 1019.4 hPa (-1.0)
BUFN6 - 9063020 - Buffalo, NY 19 mi38 min SSE 2.9 G 2.9 77°F 1018.6 hPa70°F
NIAN6 - 9063012 - Niagara Intake, NY 31 mi38 min 87°F 1019.5 hPa
YGNN6 - Niagara Coast Guard , NY 44 mi56 min ESE 2.9 G 4.1 87°F 1018.6 hPa (-1.0)

Wind History for Buffalo, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Dunkirk, Chautauqua County / Dunkirk Airport, NY15 mi63 minNE 410.00 miFair82°F69°F65%1019.2 hPa

Wind History from DKK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmS3CalmS4S4S4S4S3S3CalmS3S3S3SE3CalmCalmNW4NW3NW6N5N6N5N4NE4
1 day agoCalmS3CalmCalmS3CalmS4S6S4S4CalmCalmCalmS3S4SW3S3CalmNW6NW6SW3NW53SW3
2 days agoCalmCalmS4E3CalmNE3CalmE4CalmN3CalmCalmCalmSE3CalmE3N54NW8N8N8NE7NE4NE3

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Buffalo, NY (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Buffalo, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.