Tuesday, March28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Angola, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:00AMSunset 7:39PM Tuesday March 28, 2017 11:59 AM EDT (15:59 UTC) Moonrise 6:37AMMoonset 7:28PM Illumination 1% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ041 Buffalo To Ripley Along Lake Erie- 1031 Am Edt Tue Mar 28 2017
Rest of today..Northeast winds 10 knots or less becoming north. Areas of fog late this morning. A chance of showers late this morning. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tonight..North winds 10 knots or less. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday..North winds 5 to 10 knots. Becoming mostly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 10 knots or less. Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Thursday..East winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of rain showers during the day...then rain Thursday night. Waves 2 feet or less.
Friday..Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming east. Rain during the day...then a chance of rain showers Friday night. Waves 1 foot or less.
Saturday..North winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. A chance of rain showers during the day. Waves 2 feet or less.
LEZ041 Expires:201703282100;;213622 FZUS51 KBUF 281434 NSHBUF NEARSHORE MARINE FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1031 AM EDT TUE MAR 28 2017 FOR WATERS WITHIN FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE LEZ040-041-282100-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Angola, NY
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location: 42.63, -79.05     debug


Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
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Fxus61 kbuf 281457
afdbuf
area forecast discussion
national weather service buffalo ny
1057 am edt Tue mar 28 2017

Synopsis
Showers will exit central ny this afternoon with low clouds and fog
lingering. A light northerly wind tonight will maintain a cloudy sky
across the region, while Wednesday and Thursday should feature
mostly sunny skies. Temperatures will remain seasonable through the
week.

Near term /through tonight/
Surface analysis late this morning shows a weak cold front has
shifted across western ny moving east across central ny. This
boundary is between two areas of low pressure one over the saint
lawrence river valley and another over west virgina. Broad arctic
sourced high pressure centered over manitoba is building south
across the upper and central great lakes. Radars are showing rain
showers across the interior ny southern tier associated with the
southern low and scattered activity pushing though the saint
lawrence river valley with no radar returns behind the front.

In addition a very moist airmass is supporting the widespread low
clouds and patches of fog across the area. Northerly winds off the
lakes will continue this fog through this afternoon.

Rain showers will also diminish through the afternoon and evening as
this surface high pressure nears the region, and surface low
pressures exit to the east. The northerly flow will continue through
tonight with clouds likely to linger as moisture becomes trapped
beneath a subsidence inversion.

Temperatures today are running slightly cooler than yesterday within
the northerly wind flow, with highs in most placed likely to already
have occurred. Tonight the lingering clouds will keep most areas just
above the freezing mark, though thin clouds, or even some late
clearing across the north country will allow for overnight
temperatures to drop to around 30.

Short term /Wednesday through Thursday night/
High pressure transiting hudson bay will extend ridging into the
great lakes region during the mid-week period. This will provide a
period of quiet weather and at least some sunshine. However... Things
start downhill again Thursday night... As a southern stream closed
low ejects from the southern rockies. Associated precipitation will
begin to push into the region from the west on Thursday night.

Wednesday through Thursday... Looks quiet... With an upper level
shortwave ridge axis moving overhead. Shallow cool air will be
pushing into the region on a general northerly low level flow with
850 mb temperatures down to around -8c. This will try to generate to
generate some lake clouds... Especially south of lake ontario, though
a dry airmass will hinder this process. Still... Expect no worse than
partly cloudy skies for Wednesday and Wednesday night with plenty of
locales mostly clear.

Thursday... High level then eventually mid clouds will be thickening
from southwest to northeast... As stronger warm advection shifts into
the mid mississippi valley and southern/eastern great lakes. A
tightening baroclinic zone over the region ahead of a developing
warm front should support at least some showers over the far western
counties later in the afternoon... While dry weather will persist
east of a rochester to canandaigua line.

Thursday night... A surface low will push from the mid mississippi
valley up into the ohio valley while a fairly strong warm front will
push north across our western counties. Fairly widespread rain will
blossom ahead of this feature... So have raised pops to 90 over the
west and to likely across the north country. While some wet snow
could mix in for sites north and east of the tug hill...

accumulations are not anticipated at this point.

Long term /Friday through Monday/
The pattern will become more active again by the end of the week
after a few dry days. A mid level closed low will meander across the
four corners region through Tuesday, then eject ene across the
southern plains to the ohio valley by Friday. The 12z guidance has
trended a little southward with the track of the ensuing surface
low, but still more than close enough for more rain over the region
through Friday.

This system will slowly pull out next weekend, with a few scattered
showers lingering into Saturday as the trough and surface low move
off the east coast, with northwest flow and wrap around moisture
hanging back across the lower great lakes. Moisture and rain chances
should diminish by Sunday as the trough moves well off the eastern
seaboard. The 12z GFS develops a few showers of rain and wet snow
later Saturday night and Sunday with a weak northern stream trough,
but for now favored the drier ECMWF solution for this time period.

Temperatures will likely run near to slightly above average through
the period, with highs generally in the upper 40s to lower 50s and
lows in the 30s.

Aviation /15z Tuesday through Saturday/
A weak cold front has passed east of wny and is moving across cny.

Shower activity will be clearing east of the TAF sites this
afternoon but widespread ifr CIGS in low clouds and vis in patchy
fog will linger into the afternoon hours. Tonight, an area of high
pressure will be funneling much drier air across the region. This
will thin the low stratus, that may remain MVFR (ifr so. Tier)
through Tuesday night.

Outlook...

Wednesday and into Thursday...VFR.

Thursday night into Saturday... MVFR/ifr with occasional rain
showers.

Marine
Light northerly winds will increase some tonight through Wednesday
as strong canadian high pressure builds across the great
lakes... However winds and waves are expected to remain below
advisory levels. Winds will turn easterly Thursday and Friday
approaching 15-20 knots but higher waves should remain in canadian
waters.

Buf watches/warnings/advisories
Ny... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Smith
near term... Smith/thomas
short term... Rsh/tma
long term... Hitchcock/rsh
aviation... Smith
marine... Smith


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PSTN6 - 9063028 - Sturgeon Point, NY 4 mi48 min 39°F 1014.3 hPa
BUFN6 - 9063020 - Buffalo, NY 19 mi48 min N 13 G 15 44°F 1013.9 hPa40°F
DBLN6 - Dunkirk, NY 19 mi60 min N 9.9 G 9.9 39°F 1014.6 hPa (+1.0)
NIAN6 - 9063012 - Niagara Intake, NY 31 mi48 min 43°F 1015.2 hPa
YGNN6 - Niagara Coast Guard , NY 44 mi60 min WNW 4.1 G 4.1 40°F 1015.2 hPa (+1.7)

Wind History for Buffalo, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Dunkirk, Chautauqua County / Dunkirk Airport, NY15 mi67 minN 50.15 miFog42°F42°F100%1014.8 hPa

Wind History from DKK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW11
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SW11SW11W9SW7W3CalmS4S6S6S5S3CalmCalmCalmCalmSE4S3CalmCalmN5NE7
1 day agoS17
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2 days agoNE8E8N9NE12NE9NE11NE9E11NE10NE10NE12NE11NE10NE8NE10NE10NE10NE8NE5NE5E3NW3N4Calm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
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GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Buffalo, NY (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Buffalo, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.