Friday, July28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Angola, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:02AMSunset 8:41PM Friday July 28, 2017 12:52 PM EDT (16:52 UTC) Moonrise 10:50AMMoonset 10:52PM Illumination 26% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ041 Dunkirk To Buffalo Along Lake Erie- 650 Am Edt Fri Jul 28 2017
Today..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tonight..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Mostly cloudy in the evening...then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Saturday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Saturday night..Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots. Mainly clear. Waves 1 to 3 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less.
Sunday..North winds less than 10 knots. Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday..West winds less than 10 knots. Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday..West winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
LEZ041 Expires:201707281515;;954989 FZUS51 KBUF 281050 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 650 AM EDT Fri Jul 28 2017 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ041-281515-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Angola, NY
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location: 42.63, -79.05     debug


Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
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Fxus61 kbuf 281441
afdbuf
area forecast discussion
national weather service buffalo ny
1041 am edt Fri jul 28 2017

Synopsis
Notably less humid conditions will be in place for the next several
days as an expansive area of canadian high pressure builds across
the great lakes. While western and north-central new york will be
able to enjoy fine weather through the weekend, an unusually well
organized mid summer storm system will dump excessive rains over
parts of pennsylvania and the mid atlantic region.

Near term through tonight
High pressure remains centered over northern lake superior. This
feature will allow for mainly dry weather through this afternoon and
tonight. Satellite and surface obs show a considerable mix of
lingering low and mid level clouds beneath thin broken high level
clouds drifting across the central and eastern great lakes.

A steady northeast flow over western and central new york will bring
in some relatively cooler air over our region. Cold air advection
will lower 850 mb temperatures to between 10c and 12c which
will limit highs today at the surface to the lower 70s.

Dewpoints will also begin to lower through the afternoon making
for more comfortable humidity levels. While skies will become
mostly sunny across the north country, mostly cloudy conditions
will be more prevalent south of lake ontario. This will be
particularly so across the southern tier where low level
moisture from a passing mid atlantic storm system will become
trapped under the expanding high pressure ridging. There is a
chance of a few showers in the western southern tier where the
hrrr is most aggressive with trying to sneak some precipitation
north of the pa border.

Tonight, our region will remain between the the center of high
pressure over the michigan up and a strengthening coastal storm
moving off the delmarva. This will keep a northeast flow steady
through the night while skies become more clear across upstate ny
with the depart of the coastal storm. No precipitation is expected
and the steady winds should prevent much of any fog development. A
drier airmass will allow for a cool night with temps dipping into
the 50s.

Short term Saturday through Sunday night
It is shaping up to be a beautiful weekend across western and
north- central new york as upper level ridging will be building
into the region on the backside of a filling cutoff low that
will be slowly making its way off the mid-atlantic coast. Cirrus
associated with this feature will cloud skies to start the day
on Saturday, but this should slide off to the southeast through
the morning, with widespread sunshine expected by the afternoon.

Fair skies will persist throughout the rest of the weekend, as
upper level ridging and associated surface high pressure will
remain in place across the great lakes.

The fair skies will be complimented by pleasant temperatures
throughout the weekend, as a seasonably mild airmass will be in
place across the region, with generally light northerly flow
prevailing. Highs will run in the 70s during the days, with 50s at
night, and dewpoints will remain in the 50s, as dry air to our north
is advected into the area, making it feel quite comfortable outside.

The ridging will remain over the forecast area at least through
Monday, resulting in what should be at least one more pleasant day
across the region. Temperatures will begin to warm as the upper
level ridge crests the region, and highs on Monday will creep back
above the 80 degree mark across portions of the forecast area, with
lows falling into the low to mid 60s across most areas, with the
exception of the cooler spots of the southern tier, where upper 50s
are expected.

Long term Monday through Thursday
After a quiet weekend and start to the week, things will
gradually become more unsettled across the region, as the upper
level ridging over the lower great lakes is replaced once again
by troughing. An initial weak shortwave crossing the area may
aid in bringing a few diurnal lake-breeze driven showers
Tuesday afternoon, with another round of showers possible
Wednesday afternoon as heights begin to fall ahead of a more
substantial upper level trough over the upper great lakes.

Thursday currently appears to be the most promising day for
widespread rainfall of the period, as a slow-moving cold front
is forecast to advance across the region as a deep upper level
trough digs across the great lakes.

We should see a gradual warm-up through the middle of the coming
week, as a return flow around high pressure over the southeast
begins to advect warmer and more moist air into the great lakes.

Temperatures will return to the 80s in both Tuesday and Wednesday
afternoon, and dewpoints returning to the 60s will bring mugginess
back into the air. Thursday may run a little cooler, in the mid to
upper 70s, pending the anticipated widespread precipitation. The more
humid airmass eluded to above will result in warmer nights, with
lows in the low to mid 60s.

Aviation 15z Friday through Tuesday
High pressure over lake superior will allow for mainly dry weather
this afternoon and tonight along withVFR cig vis. The position of
the high will also bring a steady northeasterly flow through
tonight. There may be a few isolated showers that try to sneak
into the western southern tier of ny around midday, but
confidence is too low to include in kjhw TAF at this time. Any
low mid clouds around this afternoon will become mainly thin
high clouds tonight with some clearing occuring late from north
to south. No fog expected tonight as winds will remain steady
from the northeast overnight.

Outlook...

Saturday through Monday...VFR with only the chance for late night
ifr MVFR vsbys across the southern tier.

Tuesday... MainlyVFR. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.

Marine
Northeasterly flow has set up over the eastern great lakes as an
area of high pressure has centered over lake superior. This flow
will continue through Saturday morning at generally 15-20 knots,
while producing waves of 2 to 4 feet for the lake ontario nearshore
waters west of sodus bay.

On lake erie, winds will yield the highest waves on the western
waters of the lake, with waves 3-5 feet from ripley to dunkirk.

Otherwise, high pressure over the eastern great lakes will bring
fine boating conditions continuing through the weekend.

Tides coastal flooding
A storm system developing over the middle atlantic states
today into Saturday will combine with high pressure over the
upper great lakes to produce some elevated northeasterlies on
lake ontario. Recent model guidance has backed off on the
strength of the northeast winds, now only 15-20 knots, such
that the risk for additional significant erosion and flooding
along the south shore of the lake is now reduced. Have cancelled
the lakeshore flood watch for niagara county to wayne county
with waves only expected to reach 2-4 feet.

Buf watches warnings advisories
Ny... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 2 pm this afternoon to 2 am edt
Saturday for lez040.

Small craft advisory until 6 pm edt Saturday for
loz030-042-043.

Synopsis... Smith tma
near term... Smith tma
short term... Wood
long term... Wood
aviation... Smith tma
marine... Smith tma
tides coastal flooding... Smith


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PSTN6 - 9063028 - Sturgeon Point, NY 4 mi52 min 70°F 1013.6 hPa (+0.3)
45142 - Port Colborne 15 mi112 min ENE 16 G 18 69°F 73°F2 ft1013.4 hPa (+0.5)
DBLN6 - Dunkirk, NY 19 mi52 min NE 20 G 22 70°F 1012.8 hPa (-0.3)
BUFN6 - 9063020 - Buffalo, NY 19 mi52 min NNE 11 G 17 69°F 1013.7 hPa (+0.0)61°F
NIAN6 - 9063012 - Niagara Intake, NY 31 mi52 min 69°F 1015.3 hPa (+0.3)
YGNN6 - Niagara Coast Guard , NY 44 mi52 min ENE 8.9 G 14 69°F 1014.9 hPa (+0.3)

Wind History for Buffalo, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Dunkirk, Chautauqua County / Dunkirk Airport, NY15 mi59 minNNE 1310.00 miMostly Cloudy72°F64°F76%1013.2 hPa

Wind History from DKK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN6NW5N4CalmN33NW4N3SE3CalmCalmCalmCalmN3E3NE3NE4NE4NE6NE6E8NE10NE11NE13
1 day agoNW73NW6N6NW5NW3W3CalmS5S5S4S6S7S7S8S8SW6SW5S4SW4S4S445
2 days agoN10NE11NE9NE8NE6NE10N6NE4E3CalmCalmSE4S3SE5SE7S3S3CalmCalmCalmS3S856

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Buffalo, NY (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Buffalo, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.