Friday, March24, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Geneva-on-the-Lake, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:17AMSunset 7:43PM Friday March 24, 2017 2:06 AM EDT (06:06 UTC) Moonrise 4:26AMMoonset 3:01PM Illumination 12% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ168 Lake Erie Open Waters From Ripley To Buffalo Ny- Lake Erie Open Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on-the-lake Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From Geneva-on-the-lake To Conneaut Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From Conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 942 Pm Edt Thu Mar 23 2017
Rest of tonight..Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. A chance of rain showers after midnight. Rain showers likely late. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Friday..South winds 10 to 20 knots becoming southwest. A chance of rain showers in the morning. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
Friday night..Southwest winds 10 to 20 knots diminishing to 5 to 15 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Saturday..Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming east and increasing to 10 to 20 knots. A chance of showers in the morning...then showers likely in the afternoon. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday night..East winds 10 to 20 knots diminishing to 5 to 15 knots. Rain showers with a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Sunday..East winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. A chance of Thunderstorms. Rain showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Monday..Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming southeast. Showers likely in the morning...then a chance of showers. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tuesday..Southeast winds 10 knots or less becoming northwest. A chance of rain showers. Waves 2 feet or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
LEZ168 Expires:201703240815;;979323 FZUS61 KCLE 240142 GLFLE OPEN LAKE FORECAST FOR LAKE ERIE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 942 PM EDT THU MAR 23 2017 FOR WATERS BEYOND FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE ON LAKE ERIE .SYNOPSIS...A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH ACROSS LAKE ERIE TONIGHT BECOMING STATIONARY JUST NORTH OF THE LAKE ON FRIDAY. LOW PRESSURE 29.70 INCHES WILL TRACK ALONG THE FRONT NEAR LAKE ERIE ON SUNDAY. A SECOND LOW PRESSURE 29.90 INCHES WILL FOLLOW AND ALSO TRACK NEAR LAKE ERIE BY MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING. LEZ061-166>169-240815-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Geneva-on-the-Lake, OH
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location: 42.65, -81.21     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 240538
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
138 am edt Fri mar 24 2017

Synopsis
High pressure along the east coast will move off the coast
tonight. A warm front over the midwest will lift north of the
area Friday morning. Weakening low pressure will track across
the great lakes this weekend.

Near term /until 6 am this morning/
Dew points away from lake erie continue to be quite low. Really
impressive push of warm advection pivoting across the western
great lakes and moving east tonight. The low level jet is
progged to increase and approach 50 knots near NW oh by
daybreak. The zone of most impressive isentropic ascent will
move quickly across the forecast area later tonight and early
Friday morning. There are scattered showers throughout this zone
crossing indiana. This showers have to overcome the dry
boundary layer but the bigger drops will survive the fall from
mid levels. Better chance for measurable showers north where the
condensation pressure deficits are less. Lightning has been a
little more regular than I originally thought in indiana and
will mention it for the toledo area. Cannot rule out a lightning
flash or two elsewhere but not as good a chance farther east
out ahead of the low level jet.

Temperatures aloft will warm as fast or faster than at the
surface so no real risk of frozen precip. Low temperatures will
likely be realized the first half of the night then temps will
rise with the south wind and increasing clouds. Surface temps
should be above freezing by the time the showers reach northwest
pa before daybreak. Made minor temperature and dew point
adjustments tonight based on current trends and slight
adjustments to speed up the arrival and departure of the
showers.

Short term /6 am this morning through Sunday night/
Spring like weather will return to the area. The next 36 hours
or so should be dry as the surface baroclinic zones moves off
well to the north. Will begin to bring in precip chances on
Saturday but even then the southeast end of the area could
remain dry well into Saturday night. Will eventually need high
precip chances late Saturday night through Sunday. By that time
surface dewpoints will be well into the 50s. There could be some
thunder on Sunday ahead of an approaching cold front. Already
had a mention in the forecast and that seems reasonable. It
should start to dry out from southwest to northeast on Sunday
night but the evening hours should be wet... Especially in the
east.

Temps will be tricky during the period and depend quite a bit on
how much precip develops on Saturday. Readings could make a run
toward the upper 60s in the east... Especially if there are a few
peaks on sunshine.

Long term /Monday through Thursday/
Active weather pattern with a period of above normal temperatures
expected in the long term period. Low pressure is expected to be
centered over the eastern great lakes by Monday morning, exiting the
region. A few lingering showers are possible, especially across the
eastern part of the forecast area, with slight chance/chance pops
reflected in the forecast. Another phasing low will track into the
great lakes/ohio valley region Monday night through Tuesday with
another shot of rain by Monday night, reflected in the grids with
high chance/likely pops. High pressure will settle southeast across
the great lakes by Tuesday night, with generally dry conditions
expected as the associated cold front from the mon. Night/tue. Low
get shunted south along the ohio river. This is expected to bring
dry conditions to the region from Wednesday through Thursday. Precip
chances will increase again just beyond the forecast period as low
pressure moves out of the plains into the region by next
Friday/Saturday. Above normal temps in the upper 50s/low 60s
expected Monday and Tuesday, with a slight cool down to near
normal temps in the upper 40s to mid 50s for Wednesday and
Thursday.

Aviation /06z Friday through Tuesday/
A warm front will begin to lift north across the area this
morning while an upper level feature slides east along the warm
frontal boundary. Showers will move east with the upper level
feature early this morning and then end by day break. Ceilings
should remainVFR through the duration of the rainfall. Main
issue will be the development of wind shear between 1500 and
2000 feet and winds increase to 45 to 50 knots along the warm
front. Once warm front lifts north, stronger winds will mix down
to the surface ending threat for wind shear this morning. As
upper level feature moves east and warm front lifts north, we
should see improving ceilings to 25000 feet. Then, another shot
of low level moisture will push east over the area tonight
dropping ceilings down to around 2500 feet. Winds will diminish
tonight.

Outlook... Areas of non-vfr Saturday and Sunday. NonVFR
possible again Monday night and Tuesday.

Marine
Lake is expected to be relatively quiet through Thursday night and
then begin to increase in intensity from the south to southwest
through Friday. Flow suggests winds will keep highest waves away
from the nearshore waters to avoid small craft advisories at this
time. Winds diminish to light southerly over the weekend but begin
to increase slightly again Saturday night as a backdoor cold front
begins to push south across the lake. Cold front will stall over the
lake and lift north as a warm front Sunday but winds remain light
through Monday.

Cle watches/warnings/advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Kosarik
near term... Kosarik
short term... Kubina
long term... Greenawalt
aviation... Lombardy
marine... Greenawalt


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
GELO1 - Geneva on the Lake, OH 56 mi65 min SSE 11 G 16 44°F
CBLO1 - Conneaut Breakwater Light, OH 58 mi66 min S 14 G 16 44°F 1022.7 hPa
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 61 mi49 min S 17 G 21 47°F 1021.6 hPa11°F

Wind History for Fairport, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Ashtabula - Northeast Ohio Regional Airport, OH66 mi14 minS 810.00 miOvercast41°F10°F29%1023.2 hPa

Wind History from HZY (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE4S46S4SE4E7E9E7SE4SE7S6S9SE4SE5SE7SE8S9S10S8
1 day agoN12
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NW8N9
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NW6NW4W3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoCalmCalmN4CalmCalmCalmW4W5NW5NW4SW3W6W10W9
G16
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W13W12
G18
N10
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G25

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.