Tuesday, May23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Angola on the Lake, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 5:42AMSunset 8:41PM Tuesday May 23, 2017 2:55 AM EDT (06:55 UTC) Moonrise 3:37AMMoonset 5:03PM Illumination 6% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ041 Buffalo To Ripley Along Lake Erie- 739 Pm Edt Mon May 22 2017
Tonight..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. Mainly clear. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Tuesday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday night..Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming southeast. Partly to mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 10 knots or less becoming east. A chance of showers in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday night..Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots. Rain. Waves 1 foot or less.
Thursday..Southeast winds 10 knots or less becoming west. Occasional rain during the day...then showers likely Thursday night. Waves 1 foot or less.
Friday..West winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers during the day. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday..Southwest winds less than 10 knots becoming southeast. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
LEZ041 Expires:201705230315;;050536 FZUS51 KBUF 222339 NSHBUF NEARSHORE MARINE FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 739 PM EDT MON MAY 22 2017 FOR WATERS WITHIN FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE WAVES ARE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT - THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVE SPECTRUM. OCCASIONAL WAVE HEIGHT IS THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST 1/10 OF THE WAVE SPECTRUM. LEZ040-041-230315-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Angola on the Lake, NY
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location: 42.69, -79.05     debug


Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
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Fxus61 kbuf 230619
afdbuf
area forecast discussion
national weather service buffalo ny
219 am edt Tue may 23 2017

Synopsis
A weak ridge of high pressure will bring dry weather today through
most of Wednesday with temperatures above normal. Low pressure will
then bring more rain to the region Wednesday night and Thursday with
temperatures closer to normal.

Near term /through today/
A weak ridge of high pressure surface and aloft will continue to
shift over the lower great lakes this morning. Subsidence and drying
associated with this high will continue to support mainly clear
skies. The clear skies and a fairly cool airmass will allow for some
radiational cooling with low temperatures in the upper 40s to around
50 on the lake plains, with low to mid 40s in the cooler sections of
the interior southern tier and lewis county.

The weak surface ridge stretched from the upper ohio valley to new
england will slowly shift northeast. Warm air advection and a weak
mid level shortwave will move northeast across southern ontario with
little direct impact on our area although it will bring scattered
showers and thunderstorms north of the canadian border. While we
will remain dry today, the shortwave will bring some increase in
moisture and cloud cover, with both mid level clouds and diurnal
cumulus developing across the region. Stable lake shadows will allow
more sunshine northeast of lakes erie and ontario. Temperatures will
rebound, with highs in the lower to mid 70s away from lake
influences. Weak synoptic scale flow and strong differential heating
will allow local lake breezes to develop with winds becoming onshore
along all the shorelines in the afternoon, keeping temperatures
cooler within a few miles of the lakes.

Short term /tonight through Thursday night/
Bubble of high pressure becoming centered across new england will
maintain dry weather across the area through the first half of
Wednesday. Overnight lows Tuesday night will fall back into the
upper 40s to lower 50s.

High pressure will exit the region Wednesday as a deepening surface
low slowly tracks into the ohio valley. Model tracks differ
slightly, but most of the guidance eventually tracks this low across
ohio Wednesday night and across lake erie on Thursday. Increasing
moisture transport and lift on the front side of the approaching low
will eventually allow precipiation to blossom across the area. Onset
time may be slowed a bit from continuity based on slower track of
approaching surface low. Warm air advection and slower timing of
precipitation onset should allow high temperatures Wednesday to
reach the lower to mid 70s.

Does look like there will be at least a solid 6 to 12 hour period of
fairly steady rain starting late Wednesday in the far west and
filling in across the rest of the area through Thursday. The steady
rain should taper to more showery weather by Thursday night as the
surface low starts to shift east of the area.

Long term /Friday through Monday/
Our region will be under the influence of a progressive... Northern
branch of a split flow during this period. While this will allow for
fairly frequent shower activity... A closed off gomex will keep
rainfall amounts to a minimum. This pattern will also keep
temperatures from straying too far from normal... But on average...

they will tend to run a few degrees above typical late may values.

Breaking this down on a day to day basis...

a stacked storm system over eastern new york Friday morning will
exit across new england during the afternoon and evening. This will
keep some showers in place over our region... Particularly east of
lake ontario where pops will be raised to likely. Temperatures on
Friday will climb into the 60s.

Ridging will build across the lower great lakes late Friday night
and Saturday. While the models are not convinced that dry weather
will prevail during this time frame... Am fairly confident that the
aforementioned ridging and lack of mid level moisture will translate
into fair dry conditions. This should also help Saturday afternoon
temperatures climb into the 70s across most of the western counties.

As the ridge pushes east of our region Sunday and Monday... The next
longwave trough will dig across the upper portions of the
mississippi valley and great lakes region. This will result in
deteriorating conditions... Particularly late Sunday into Monday. In
other words... As it stands now we should be able to get through most
of Sunday before the skies 'open' again. Given the inconsistencies
between the medium range ensembles though... Confidence is lower than
normal.

Aviation /06z Tuesday through Saturday/
A weak ridge of high pressure will build over the lower great lakes
region through today and tonight withVFR. Weak warm advection and
diurnal cumulus will bring some increase in cloud cover as a
disturbance moves north of lake ontario but CIGS will remainVFR
with light southwest winds. The high pressure will continue to bring
vfr and fair weather through tonight.

Outlook...

Wednesday...VFR.

Wednesday night...VFR/MVFR with a chance of showers.

Thursday...VFR/MVFR with showers likely.

Friday...VFR/MVFR with a chance of showers.

Saturday... MainlyVFR.

Marine
Weak high pressure will build over the lower great lakes today
through Wednesday, providing light winds and light wave action
through the middle of the week. A storm system will pass over our
region Wednesday night through Friday but winds and waves will
remain below advisory levels.

Buf watches/warnings/advisories
Ny... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Smith
near term... Church/hitchcock/smith
short term... Tma
long term... Rsh
aviation... Smith
marine... Smith


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PSTN6 - 9063028 - Sturgeon Point, NY 0 mi38 min 51°F 1014.5 hPa
BUFN6 - 9063020 - Buffalo, NY 16 mi38 min S 5.1 G 6 55°F 1014 hPa48°F
DBLN6 - Dunkirk, NY 21 mi56 min S 8 G 11 55°F 1015.1 hPa (-1.0)
NIAN6 - 9063012 - Niagara Intake, NY 27 mi38 min 52°F 1014.6 hPa
YGNN6 - Niagara Coast Guard , NY 40 mi56 min SSE 6 G 8.9 54°F 1013.5 hPa (-1.4)
45139 - West Lake Ontario - Grimsby 46 mi116 min SW 7.8 G 7.8 55°F 45°F1013.6 hPa (-1.1)
OLCN6 - Olcott Harbor, NY 48 mi56 min S 6 G 8.9 52°F 1014.6 hPa (-1.3)

Wind History for Buffalo, NY
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Last
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S12
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G14
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G15
S7
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G12
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G17
SW17
G22
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SW18
G25
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G24
SW28
SW19
G26
W17
G21
SW11
G16
SW11
G15
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G10
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G7
1 day
ago
NE5
E6
G9
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G7
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S3
N2
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NE3
NE2
NW4
--
NE2
W1
SE6
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G16
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G13
S9
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G16
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G19
S12
G19
S9
G15
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G11
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2 days
ago
NE8
G15
NE8
G12
NE6
G12
NE8
G15
E8
G13
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G15
E7
G13
NE9
G15
NE9
G14
E8
G12
NE7
G13
NE9
G18
NE13
G19
NE15
G20
NE9
G17
E8
G13
E12
G17
E9
G17
E7
G14
E10
G14
E5
NE6
G9

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Dunkirk, Chautauqua County / Dunkirk Airport, NY18 mi63 minSSW 910.00 miFair55°F44°F67%1014.9 hPa
Buffalo, Greater Buffalo International Airport, NY24 mi62 minS 510.00 miA Few Clouds49°F42°F77%1014.7 hPa

Wind History from DKK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS12
G21
S12
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S13S11W6SW12
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W17
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G30
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G24
SW11
G18
SW10SW8SW7SW4SW5S7S7S9
1 day agoCalmSE6SE12
G15
SE8SE10CalmNW6CalmS8S7S15
G20
S11S13
G16
S10S14
G18
S9S19
G25
S19
G25
S17
G28
S16
G25
S17
G26
S21
G28
S19
G26
S19
G27
2 days agoNE6NE9NE9NE8NE9NE11
G17
NE11NE14NE14
G19
E12
G17
NE13N14N15N15NE15NE17
G26
NE11
G22
NE3E8N5E8SE8SE9
G17
SE8

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Buffalo, NY (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Buffalo, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.