Sunrise 5:46 AM   Sunset 8:08 PM Moonrise 3:26 AM   Moonset 4:20 PM

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LOZ044 Expires:202405050315;;624841 Fzus51 Kbuf 042005 Nshbuf
nearshore marine forecast national weather service buffalo ny 405 pm edt Sat may 4 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
loz043-044-050315- hamlin beach to mexico bay along lake ontario including irondequoit bay- 405 pm edt Sat may 4 2024
Tonight - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers late this evening. Showers likely after midnight, then periods of rain late. Waves 2 feet or less. Sunday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south. Periods of rain. Waves 2 feet or less. Sunday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. A chance of showers. Waves 2 feet or less. Monday - West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest. Partly to mostly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less. Monday night - West winds less than 10 knots. Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less. Tuesday - Southeast winds 10 knots or less becoming east. Showers likely Tuesday night. Waves 1 foot or less. Wednesday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms during the day, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms Wednesday night. Waves 1 foot or less. Thursday - East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. Showers likely. Waves 2 feet or less.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
the water temperature off rochester is 48 degrees.

LOZ005
No data

FXUS61 KBGM 050720 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 320 AM EDT Sun May 5 2024

SYNOPSIS
Showers across the region will end late today or this evening.
On Monday high pressure builds in with dry weather that lasts into Tuesday. Low pressure systems will bring additional showers from Wednesday through the end of next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/
3 am update...

Rain has moved into the entire area now and will continue into the afternoon as a slow moving warm front moves east. The front will push through this afternoon. Tonight rain showers will be lighter as a dying front moves through with limited moisture.
Monday there could be a few lingering light showers from the southern tier into NEPA. Rainfall totals will be around half an inch for most but along I90 in Oneida County amounts could be over an inch. In Oneida a little better low level convergence and lift. Still nothing to worry about in respect to flooding.

Highs today in the 50s for most but some clearing may get into the central southern tier and Finger Lakes late afternoon so highs there around 60. Tonight lows from the upper 40s to mid 50s. Monday more sunshine so highs from the upper 60s to the mid 70s.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
245 PM Update...

A weak surface trough will slowly exit the region to the east Monday morning. Lingering showers are expected to remain across the Twin Tiers into the early afternoon hours, with a possible rumble of thunder east of I-81 in NEPA. A ridge of high pressure over the north central US will amplify Monday morning, generating a surface high over the Great Lakes. This will slide eastward during the day Monday, bringing NW flow and dry air into the region. Highs on Monday will be in the upper 60s to mid 70s.

High pressure overhead Monday night will bring, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and very light to calm winds. This will be a nice setup for radiational cooling, dropping temperatures into the low to mid 40s. Currently not seeing any frost for our growing zones, but we will have to monitor this as we get closer.

Tuesday will be a wonderfully pleasant spring day as the ridge and accompanying surface high moves overhead, bringing dry weather and mostly sunny skies. Winds shift to WSW during the afternoon, allowing some warmer temps to push into the Twin Tiers. Highs will reach the mid to upper 70s here, with low to mid 70s to the north.

Tuesday night will not be as cool as the night before as SW winds advect in a warm, moist airmass accompanied by increased cloudiness. Temps will fall into the mid 50s for most, with upper 50s in the Wyoming Valley and upper 40s in the Tug Hill and Catskills.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
245 PM Update...

The nice, dry weather does not stick around for long as a positively tilted upper level trough will sit over the eastern US, pushing shortwave after shortwave through the region during this period.

The first shortwave will push through Wednesday, bringing in a warm front during the morning hours and scattered rain showers to the region. Guidance is showing very low chances( <20%) of CAPE reaching 500 j/kg across the Twin Tiers during the afternoon. Rain showers will continue through the afternoon, with a slight chance of an isolated thunderstorm over NEPA.

The upper level trough will drift eastward through the end of the week, pushing multiple shortwaves and associated rain showers through the area Thursday through Sunday. The upper level trough will move overhead Friday, keeping temps cool for the weekend as a Canadian airmass slides in from the north.

AVIATION /07Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
140 AM Update...

Rain showers have moved north to all of the sites now. SYR/RME are still VFR but should fall to MVFR cigs by 08z, then to fuel alternate by 10z. RME will fall to IFR cig and MVFR vsby around 14z. SYR falls to IFR cig around 01z as the rain ends.

The other sites are all MVFR fuel alternate. IFR cigs by 08z at BGM/AVP and 09z at ELM and 13z at ITH. IFR continues through this evening despite rain ending around 00z.

Southeast winds mostly at 5 to 10 kts early this morning except ITH/BGM 10 gust 20. During the day most sites 10 gust 20 kts except AVP/ELM at 5 to 10 kts still.

Outlook...

Overnight tonight...Widespread IFR to even LIFR restrictions continue areawide.

Monday...Lingering Ceiling restrictions in the morning, then becoming VFR.

Monday Night and Tuesday...Mainly VFR expected.

Tuesday night through Thursday... Periods of showers with some restrictions.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NY...None.

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Albany
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Sun -- 03:10 AM EDT     5.44 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:20 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:43 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:53 AM EDT     0.22 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:37 PM EDT     5.19 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:14 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 08:00 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:10 PM EDT     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Albany, New York, Tide feet

Castleton-on-Hudson
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Sun -- 02:53 AM EDT     5.24 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:20 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:43 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:24 AM EDT     0.32 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:20 PM EDT     4.99 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:14 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:59 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:41 PM EDT     0.09 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Castleton-on-Hudson, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet

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Albany, NY,