Sunrise 5:46 AM   Sunset 8:08 PM Moonrise 3:27 AM   Moonset 4:21 PM

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LOZ044 Expires:202405051530;;652208 Fzus51 Kbuf 050758 Nshbuf
nearshore marine forecast national weather service buffalo ny 358 am edt Sun may 5 2024
for waters within five nautical miles of shore
waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.
loz043-044-051530- hamlin beach to mexico bay along lake ontario including irondequoit bay- 358 am edt Sun may 5 2024
Today - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south 10 to 15 knots. Periods of rain through early afternoon, then scattered showers late. Waves 2 feet or less. Tonight - Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. Showers likely. Patchy fog overnight. Waves 2 feet or less. Monday - West winds 10 knots or less becoming northwest. Patchy fog in the morning. Waves 2 feet or less. Monday night - Light and variable winds. Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less. Tuesday - Southeast winds 10 knots or less becoming east. Showers likely Tuesday night. Waves 1 foot or less. Wednesday - South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms during the day, then a chance of showers Wednesday night. Waves 2 feet or less. Thursday - East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. Showers likely. Waves 2 feet or less.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
the water temperature off rochester is 48 degrees.

LOZ005
No data

FXUS61 KBGM 051945 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 345 PM EDT Sun May 5 2024

SYNOPSIS

A cold front will slowly move through the region Monday sweeping away the low clouds, showers and any fog. High pressure builds into the region but only for a short stay Tuesday. Additional systems with some showers move through for the rest of the week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/

A cold front will slowly move through the region tonight. However, the main shortwave ahead of the front will shift east of the region of this evening. This will lead to a decrease in shower coverage across the region from west to east. The overall flow looks weak, leading to light winds. The light winds coupled with clouds and lingering moisture may result in some fog development as well overnight. Temperatures may also hold fairly steady as a result of the clouds and fog through most of the night.

The cold front only slowly moves through the area Monday so low clouds and fog will be hard to clear out especially in NE PA.
However, some sunshine is expected by the afternoon allowing temperatures to push 70. Clear skies and light winds under high pressure Monday night. A fairly favorable setup for raditional cooling as a result of the above mentioned with temperatures falling fairly quickly to around 40. This looks to be just warm enough to prevent any frost but fog may be possible again though.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
250 PM Update...

High pressure will continue to slide into the area from the Great Lakes on Tuesday. Mostly clear skies and dry conditions will make for a very lovely Tuesday. Winds will remain light and variable during the day as the center of the surface high moves overhead. Plenty of sunshine will allow temperatures to climb into the 70s, even with a cooler airmass overhead.

The ridge and surface high will move east of the area by late afternoon as the next low pressure system moves into the Great Lakes region. This low will bring a wind shift to SWerly, and push a weak warm front into the region during the evening hours. Rain showers are expected to develop over the area by the mid evening through Wednesday morning as the low tracks over CNY. Temperatures overnight will fall into the mid to upper 50s.

The warm front doesn't push too far north as the low quickly track across the region and drags a weak cold front through the area by late morning. Soundings show some pretty dry air in the mid and upper level of the atmosphere accompanying this front so additional showers and an isolated thunderstorm will be possible along the front, but should not linger once the it passes. The warm front retreats to NEPA, where temperatures will climb into the upper 70s to low 80s. In NY, where the cold front and rain has more impacts, temps will only reach the upper 60s to low 70s.

Weak mid-level ridging moves into the area Wednesday night, which will keep conditions dry, but should pull in some cooler Canadian air. Temps are expected to fall into the upper 40s to low 50s. The Wyoming Valley should remain in the mid 50s.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
315 PM Update...

Active weather continues for the end of the work week as a low pressure slowly moves across the Ohio Valley on Thursday and weak low pressure develops off the Delmarva Peninsula on Friday, continuing to trek to the ENE. Rain showers and cooler temperatures are expected Thursday and Friday. A transient ridge moves over the region Saturday behind the departing trough, keeping conditions cool and mostly dry. There will be a chance for a few isolated afternoon showers as a weak shortwave moves into the area from the west. Sunday should see more showers as another trough moves into the region. The GFS and Euro are handing this very differently, with the GFS having a much deeper and stronger trough dig into the southern US and slowly rotate from positive to negative over the eastern US while the Euro has a flatter and much more transient trough. Because of this uncertainty, NBM PoPs were relied upon, bringing a chance (30-50%) of rain to the area Sunday.

AVIATION /20Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Generally MVFR and IFR ceilings as a result of fairly widespread showers. Ceilings should lower to IFR this evening at all TAF sites. More uncertainity is present with the visibility as data is split on MVFR visibilities from stratus or IFR/LIFR from fog overnight. For now, leaned more toward a stratus deck for the overnight hours. Ceilings look to be very slow to lift on Monday. While mainly light outside of isolated 15-20 knot gusts this afternoon, the winds will shift from southerly to westerly and northwesterly tonight.

Outlook...

Monday afternoon through Tuesday...Mainly VFR expected, ceilings lift slowly between 18-22Z Monday.

Tuesday night through Friday... Periods of showers with some restrictions.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NY...None.

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Albany
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Sun -- 03:10 AM EDT     5.44 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:20 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:43 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:53 AM EDT     0.22 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:37 PM EDT     5.19 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:14 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 08:00 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:10 PM EDT     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Albany, New York, Tide feet

Castleton-on-Hudson
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Sun -- 02:53 AM EDT     5.24 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:20 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:43 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:24 AM EDT     0.32 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:20 PM EDT     4.99 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:14 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:59 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:41 PM EDT     0.09 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Castleton-on-Hudson, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet

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