Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Beechwood, MI
April 26, 2024 7:17 PM EDT (23:17 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:43 AM Sunset 8:41 PM Moonrise 11:03 PM Moonset 6:52 AM |
LMZ846 Holland To Grand Haven Mi- 405 Pm Edt Fri Apr 26 2024
.small craft advisory in effect from 2 am edt Saturday through Sunday morning - .
Through early evening - Southeast winds around 20 knots. Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tonight - Southeast winds to 30 knots veering south toward daybreak. Rain showers and a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 2 to 3 feet building to 3 to 5 feet after midnight.
Saturday - South gales to 35 knots decreasing to 30 knots late in the day. Partly Sunny with a chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 5 to 7 feet.
Saturday night - Southwest winds to 30 knots decreasing to 15 to 20 knots toward daybreak. Rain showers likely and a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 4 to 6 feet.
Sunday - South winds 15 to 20 knots. Rain showers likely and a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
Sunday night - South winds 15 to 25 knots. Rain showers likely and a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 3 to 5 feet.
Monday - South winds to 30 knots. Rain showers likely and a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 4 to 6 feet.
Tuesday - Southwest winds around 15 knots backing south late in the day. Sunny. Waves 2 to 3 feet.
Wednesday - West winds 15 to 20 knots. Partly Sunny with a chance of rain showers. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
LMZ800
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Area Discussion for - Grand Rapids, MI
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FXUS63 KGRR 261925 AFDGRR
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 325 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Showers and Thunderstorms Tonight
- Slight Risk of Severe Weather Saturday evening
- Multiple Rounds of Showers and Storms Through Mid Week
DISCUSSION
Issued at 325 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024
- Showers and Thunderstorms Tonight
An area of isentropic ascent in strong warm advection pattern is bringing showers and embedded thunder into northern Illinois this afternoon and this will be moving northeast through Lower Michigan tonight. The storms are expected to remain elevated overnight. By Saturday morning the steadier rain is done with just isolated showers through the day as the warm front will focus shower activity north of the forecast area.
- Slight Risk of Severe Weather Saturday evening
Convection will be limited across much of the forecast area through Saturday afternoon under shortwave upper ridging, with a capping inversion noted in model soundings, but we will have to watch the northwest zones for initiation of convection during the evening along a prefrontal trough aligned across central or northern Lake Michigan. There is 30 knots of shear present in this area along with 500 to 1000 J/kg of CAPE, so any convection that initiates could become organized enough to present a severe threat. Main threat at this point would be hail and isolated wind.
There could be an isolated tornado threat with some model guidance showing potential for a triple point low across the northwest zones during the evening.
- Warm With Multiple Rounds of Showers and Storms Through Mid Week
Additional showers and storms are likely Sunday into Monday associated with forcing from an upper-level jet streak and aided by a frontal boundary sitting across northern Michigan and a shortwave from the parent trough ejecting through the region. Convection will be favored across Central Lower for our CWA closer to the warm frontal boundary, with MUCAPE values north of 500 J/kg suggesting there will be an attendant thunder risk. SPC currently has us in general thunder which is reasonable given that the favored region instability is separated from deep later shear and the highest likelihood of showers/storms.
Widespread showers then expand into the remainder of the CWA Sunday night and continue into early Tuesday as a cold front drifts across the area. MUCAPEs suggest thunder chances continue. Rainfall by the time all is said and done Monday night looks to be from 0.3-0.4 inches in the southeast CWA to 1-1.5 inches up towards Ludington.
Dry conditions then take over later Tuesday. as a high pressure system quickly pushes through the area. Conditions then become more active Wednesday as we see a cold front driven through Lower Michigan by a northern stream shortwave followed by additional rain chances into Thursday as a surface low ejects north into the upper Ohio Valley.
Temperature wise, highs in the 70s are expected to continue into mid week. By late week, expect highs to fall back to near normal in the 60s as a thermal trough slides into the central Great Lakes.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/
Issued at 142 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024
A warm front to our south today will move through tonight causing cigs to fall from VFR to MVFR levels from 05-08z. However, some uncertainty to the exact timing of MVFR cig development is expected due to complications of low-level dry air and how long that takes to erode. Rain showers will also move in after 00z leading to occasional MVFR visibilities as well. A few embedded thunderstorms are possible mainly for sites MKG, AZO, GRR, and BTL, where better instability intersects shower activity. Have included PROB30 for thunder for these sites for the move favorable window of TSRA. Widespread rain showers will end from west to east between 12-15z and while isolated showers and storms are possible behind the main grouping confidence is to low to include in the TAFs.
The other notable concern is wind. Southeast winds of 10-20 knots gusting to 25 knots will turn southerly overnight. A strong low- level jet also moves in after 00z meaning TAF sites approach LLWS criteria even outside of convection. Given the borderline conditions given already elevated surface winds will let the next aviation forecaster make the call on inclusion of LLWS when surface observations show how far winds fall this evening.
MARINE
Issued at 325 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024
Hoisted a Small Craft Advisory for later tonight through Saturday night. Southwest winds should hit 25 knots and perhaps 30 knots at times. Marine fog is possible as well with dew points in the mid to upper 50s although the winds may be able to mix out the inversion and disperse the fog to some extent.
GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 2 AM Saturday to 8 AM EDT Sunday for LMZ844>849.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 325 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Showers and Thunderstorms Tonight
- Slight Risk of Severe Weather Saturday evening
- Multiple Rounds of Showers and Storms Through Mid Week
DISCUSSION
Issued at 325 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024
- Showers and Thunderstorms Tonight
An area of isentropic ascent in strong warm advection pattern is bringing showers and embedded thunder into northern Illinois this afternoon and this will be moving northeast through Lower Michigan tonight. The storms are expected to remain elevated overnight. By Saturday morning the steadier rain is done with just isolated showers through the day as the warm front will focus shower activity north of the forecast area.
- Slight Risk of Severe Weather Saturday evening
Convection will be limited across much of the forecast area through Saturday afternoon under shortwave upper ridging, with a capping inversion noted in model soundings, but we will have to watch the northwest zones for initiation of convection during the evening along a prefrontal trough aligned across central or northern Lake Michigan. There is 30 knots of shear present in this area along with 500 to 1000 J/kg of CAPE, so any convection that initiates could become organized enough to present a severe threat. Main threat at this point would be hail and isolated wind.
There could be an isolated tornado threat with some model guidance showing potential for a triple point low across the northwest zones during the evening.
- Warm With Multiple Rounds of Showers and Storms Through Mid Week
Additional showers and storms are likely Sunday into Monday associated with forcing from an upper-level jet streak and aided by a frontal boundary sitting across northern Michigan and a shortwave from the parent trough ejecting through the region. Convection will be favored across Central Lower for our CWA closer to the warm frontal boundary, with MUCAPE values north of 500 J/kg suggesting there will be an attendant thunder risk. SPC currently has us in general thunder which is reasonable given that the favored region instability is separated from deep later shear and the highest likelihood of showers/storms.
Widespread showers then expand into the remainder of the CWA Sunday night and continue into early Tuesday as a cold front drifts across the area. MUCAPEs suggest thunder chances continue. Rainfall by the time all is said and done Monday night looks to be from 0.3-0.4 inches in the southeast CWA to 1-1.5 inches up towards Ludington.
Dry conditions then take over later Tuesday. as a high pressure system quickly pushes through the area. Conditions then become more active Wednesday as we see a cold front driven through Lower Michigan by a northern stream shortwave followed by additional rain chances into Thursday as a surface low ejects north into the upper Ohio Valley.
Temperature wise, highs in the 70s are expected to continue into mid week. By late week, expect highs to fall back to near normal in the 60s as a thermal trough slides into the central Great Lakes.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/
Issued at 142 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024
A warm front to our south today will move through tonight causing cigs to fall from VFR to MVFR levels from 05-08z. However, some uncertainty to the exact timing of MVFR cig development is expected due to complications of low-level dry air and how long that takes to erode. Rain showers will also move in after 00z leading to occasional MVFR visibilities as well. A few embedded thunderstorms are possible mainly for sites MKG, AZO, GRR, and BTL, where better instability intersects shower activity. Have included PROB30 for thunder for these sites for the move favorable window of TSRA. Widespread rain showers will end from west to east between 12-15z and while isolated showers and storms are possible behind the main grouping confidence is to low to include in the TAFs.
The other notable concern is wind. Southeast winds of 10-20 knots gusting to 25 knots will turn southerly overnight. A strong low- level jet also moves in after 00z meaning TAF sites approach LLWS criteria even outside of convection. Given the borderline conditions given already elevated surface winds will let the next aviation forecaster make the call on inclusion of LLWS when surface observations show how far winds fall this evening.
MARINE
Issued at 325 PM EDT Fri Apr 26 2024
Hoisted a Small Craft Advisory for later tonight through Saturday night. Southwest winds should hit 25 knots and perhaps 30 knots at times. Marine fog is possible as well with dew points in the mid to upper 50s although the winds may be able to mix out the inversion and disperse the fog to some extent.
GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 2 AM Saturday to 8 AM EDT Sunday for LMZ844>849.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| HLNM4 - 9087031 - Holland, MI | 0 mi | 47 min | ESE 11G | 63°F | 50°F | 29.96 | ||
| 45029 | 10 mi | 27 min | SSE 14G | 58°F | 46°F | 2 ft | 35°F | |
| SVNM4 - South Haven, MI | 26 mi | 17 min | E 11G | 59°F | ||||
| 45168 | 27 mi | 27 min | SSE 14G | 57°F | 48°F | 1 ft | 30.02 | 39°F |
| 45161 | 30 mi | 37 min | 2 ft | |||||
| MKGM4 - Muskegon, MI | 32 mi | 17 min | SE 13G | 64°F | 29.96 | 28°F | ||
| 45214 | 44 mi | 72 min | 42°F | 2 ft | ||||
| SJOM4 - St. Joseph, MI | 49 mi | 17 min | S 1.9G | 55°F | 30.00 |
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Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KBIV WEST MICHIGAN RGNL,MI | 6 sm | 24 min | SE 15G23 | 10 sm | Overcast | Lt Rain | 61°F | 34°F | 36% | 30.00 |
Grand Rapids/Muskegon, MI,
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