Tuesday, January23, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Mariaville Lake, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:16AMSunset 4:59PM Tuesday January 23, 2018 2:53 AM EST (07:53 UTC) Moonrise 11:49AMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 40% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mariaville Lake, NY
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 42.83, -74.06     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kaly 230555
afdaly
area forecast discussion
national weather service albany ny
1255 am est Tue jan 23 2018

Synopsis
A frontal boundary will lift slowly north of the region
as a warm front this morning with light mixed precipitation changing
to rain, especially north of the mohawk valley and capital region. A
low pressure system and its cold front will bring periods of rain to
eastern new york and western new england later this morning. As the
cold front moves through tonight, colder more seasonable air will
return with brisk conditions for mid week.

Near term until 6 am this morning
As of 1255 am est... We have canceled a portion of the winter wx
advisory for freezing rain, as temps have moved above freezing
and there is a major lull in the pcpn.

The winter wx advisory has been continued for the eastern
adirondacks, lake george northern saratoga region, washington
co., and southern vt until 7 am. Again, there is a major break
in the pcpn based on the kenx and regional radars and
observations. The next surge of warm advection pcpn remains
upstream across western ny and pa. It will gradually move back
in from the west to southwest to the north to northeast based on
the latest 3-km hrrr and 3-km nam. The pops were removed,
retooled and retrended with this update. The best chance for
freezing rain will be east of the southern greens and eastern
adirondacks.

Overnight lows are expected to be in the upper 20s to upper 30s
with temperatures rising toward daybreak.

Short term 6 am this morning through Wednesday night
Flood watch in effect from 7 am est Tuesday until 7 am est
Wednesday, mainly for ice jams...

the main bout of rainfall is expected through around 1 pm
Tuesday. Areas of moderate to locally heavy rain will be
possible, especially from the mohawk river valley and points s
and e. In fact, there could be some elevated convective elements
enhancing rainfall rates for a brief time during the morning
hours, especially across the mid hudson valley into NW ct. Will
have to watch in case any training of heavier rain elements
develop, which would increase rainfall amounts even more.

Although river flooding is not anticipated just from the rain
and snowmelt, the rising river stream levels from runoff could
be enough to dislodge ice jams which have been frozen in place
over the past 10 days. Therefore, a flood watch has been issued,
mainly to heighten awareness that ice jams frozen in place could
dislodge and or cause new flooding in some areas.

Although there will be a strong low level jet translating across
the region, a stable boundary layer should preclude most of this
from mixing to the surface. However, some higher terrain of
western new england, especially across the southern greens,
berkshires and taconics, where some wind gusts up to 45 mph
could occur Tuesday morning.

Although the steadiest rain should taper off from W to E around
or shortly after noontime, as the main upper level energy
crosses the region later in the afternoon, additional showers
should occur. In fact, can not rule out some embedded
thunderstorms, perhaps with graupel gusty winds, later in the
afternoon (especially southern areas).

Temperatures will likely spike into the 40s 50s in valley areas
from albany south and east late morning through early afternoon,
before falling later in the day. For higher elevations, mainly
40s are expected for highs, before falling back through the 30s
late in the day. Rain showers could change to snow across higher
terrain later in the day, with an inch or two possible.

For Tuesday night-Wednesday, strong winds and lake
effect enhanced snow will be the main story. Wind gusts of 35-45
mph appear likely, ESP across higher elevations, and within
close proximity to the mohawk valley capital region and
berkshires late Tuesday night through at least Wednesday
morning. If the chances for even higher gusts increase, then
wind advisories may be needed later in time. Also, lake
effect enhanced snowfall could produce localized amts of 2-4
inches across portions of northern herkimer hamilton cos. Snow
showers could extend farther S and E as well, with a couple of
inches possible across higher terrain in southern vt. It will
turn colder, with Tuesday night lows mainly in the teens and
20s, and Wednesday highs only a few degrees above morning lows.

Wednesday night, colder with gradually diminishing winds. Lows
in the single digits teens.

Long term Thursday through Monday
The long term period starts out dry and ends fairly active Saturday
night and Sunday.

A large ridge of high pressure will be across the region Thursday
and Friday before moving off the eastern seaboard on Saturday. A
warm front will be lifting through the region on Saturday but there
is limited moisture with the frontal boundary, so will keep Saturday
dry for now. By Sunday a cold front approaches from the west moving
into the eastern great lakes Sunday morning and then moving into the
forecast area during the afternoon. Expect increasing chances for
precipitation Saturday night and Sunday with precipitation starting
out as a mixture of snow and rain with mostly rain by Sunday
afternoon.

Highs on Thursday will be in the teens and 20s in most areas with
highs on Friday in the mid 20s to lower 30s. Highs on Saturday and
Sunday will be in the upper 30s to mid 40s. Lows Thursday night will
be in the negative single digits to mid teens with lows Friday night
will be in the teens and lower 20s. Lows Saturday night will be in
the upper 20s to mid 30s.

Aviation 06z Tuesday through Saturday
There is a lull in the precipitation at this time, but plenty of low-
level moisture remains in place, with mainly ifr conditions
occurring. Some slightly drier air in the low levels resulting in
MVFR conditions at kgfl, but should see conditions deteriorating to
ifr before sunrise. Ifr and lifr will occur at kalb kpou kpsf
through the night.

Rain, moderate to locally heavy at time, will develop around 11z-12z
across the region in advance of a cold front approaching from the
west. The steady moderate rain will last through the rest of the
morning into the early afternoon. A few rumbles of thunder will also
be possible. Expect conditions to remain ifr lifr during this time.

After the cold front passage, gradual improvement to MVFRVFR with
scattered showers then expected late this afternoon into this
evening.

Low-level wind shear will be an issue from early this morning into
early this afternoon, as a strong southerly jet moves overhead. Wind
speeds at 2000 ft agl will be around 40-50 kt during this time. Will
mention the llws at all terminals. The jet should push east of the
region by mid afternoon.

Surface winds will be east-southeast around 10 kt or less, then
becoming southwest around 10 kt in wake of the cold front passage.

There will be some occasional gusts around 20 kt during the evening.

Outlook...

tonight: moderate operational impact. Windy chance of shra... Shsn.

Wednesday: moderate operational impact. Windy no sig wx.

Wednesday night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Thursday: low operational impact. Breezy no sig wx.

Thursday night to Saturday: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Hydrology
Ongoing flooding due to ice jams will continue to be addressed
with areal flood warnings in warren county, as some lingering
issues continue due to existing ice jams which froze in place.

Temperatures will continue to run above normal into Tuesday.

The mildest night and day will be on Tuesday with highs mainly
in the 40s to lower 50s with a much colder and more seasonable
airmass returning Tuesday night and through the remainder of the
week.

A low pressure system and its cold front will bring a moderate
to locally heavy rainfall to the area. The rain is expected to
be light today and into early tonight with the bulk of the rain
occurring Tuesday morning into early afternoon. QPF amounts are
forecast at this time to range from three quarters of an inch to
an inch an a quarter. The highest amounts are expected north
and east of albany and the capital region, extending into the
mid hudson valley and NW ct.

The rain is expected to cause rises on rivers and streams, which
may move and dislodge ice and may cause flooding near ice jams.

Mostly within bank rises are expected based on the latest nerfc
forecasts and the mmefs. However, the rising river stream
levels from runoff could be enough to dislodge ice jams which
have been frozen in place over the past 10 days. Therefore, a
flood watch has been issued, mainly to heighten awareness that
ice jams frozen in place could dislodge and or cause new
flooding in some areas.

Our latest winter spring flood potential outlook (esfaly) was
issued this past Friday.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including
observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please
visit the advanced hydrologic prediction service AHPS graphs
on our website.

Aly watches warnings advisories
Ct... Flood watch from 7 am est this morning through Wednesday
morning for ctz001-013.

Ny... Flood watch from 7 am est this morning through Wednesday
morning for nyz038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-082>084.

Winter weather advisory until 7 am est this morning for nyz033-
041>043-083-084.

Ma... Flood watch from 7 am est this morning through Wednesday
morning for maz001-025.

Winter weather advisory until 7 am est this morning for maz001.

Vt... Flood watch from 7 am est this morning through Wednesday
morning for vtz013>015.

Winter weather advisory until 7 am est this morning for
vtz013>015.

Synopsis... Kl wasula
near term... Wasula
short term... Kl
long term... 11
aviation... Jpv
hydrology... Kl wasula


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 57 mi83 min 36°F 1016 hPa35°F

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Albany International Airport, NY15 mi62 minSSE 79.00 miOvercast38°F34°F86%1014.2 hPa

Wind History from SCH (wind in knots)
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
Last 24hrCalmNW4N3CalmCalmCalmCalm--------------------NE5------NE3--E6
1 day agoW10
G20
W10W4W4CalmCalmW4--------------------NW10W8W10W10W6W5--
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm------------------CalmNE3CalmW8W10W12
G20
W12
G22

Tide / Current Tables for Troy, Hudson River, New York
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Troy
Click for MapNote: Values for the Hudson River above the George Washington bridge are based upon averages for the six months May to October

Tue -- 03:56 AM EST     0.07 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:17 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:19 AM EST     4.90 feet High Tide
Tue -- 10:47 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 04:26 PM EST     0.73 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:56 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 09:30 PM EST     4.82 feet High Tide
Tue -- 11:39 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.21.20.70.30.10.623.54.54.94.84.1321.41.10.80.91.83.24.34.84.84.3

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Albany
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:46 AM EST     -0.09 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:17 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:11 AM EST     4.74 feet High Tide
Tue -- 10:47 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 04:15 PM EST     0.57 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:56 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 09:21 PM EST     4.66 feet High Tide
Tue -- 11:39 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.910.50.1-0.10.62.13.64.44.74.63.82.61.71.20.90.60.81.93.34.34.64.64

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (2,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.