Sunrise 6:09 AM   Sunset 8:18 PM Moonrise 12:44 AM   Moonset 9:08 AM

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This is a Weather Statement Zone, please check the Date to see if it has expired
PZZ310 Coos bay bar- coastal waters from cape blanco or to pt. St. George ca out 10 nm- waters from cape blanco or to pt. St. George ca from 10 to 60 nm- 134 pm pdt Wed may 29 2013 a long-duration moderate to strong north wind event is expected to last from this weekend into early next week. Winds should begin to increase Friday into Saturday - .peaking Sunday with storm force wind gusts possible. Very steep and hazardous waves will accompany this wind event and mariners should prepare for dangerous conditions at sea. The strongest winds and highest seas will occur beyond 5 nm from shore.

PZZ300 217 Am Pdt Mon Apr 29 2024
Synopsis for the southern oregon coastal waters - A front will move through the waters this morning with stronger west winds and low end small craft advisory conditions into Tuesday morning. Low pressure will move north of the waters Tuesday and bring in some high and steep swells Tuesday afternoon and evening. Weak high pressure will then build southwest of the waters Tuesday night into Wednesday.

FXUS66 KMFR 290947 AFDMFR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Medford OR 247 AM PDT Mon Apr 29 2024

DISCUSSION
Satellite imagery this morning looks a lot like it has for the past few mornings...widespread cloud cover along and west of the Cascades with mostly clear skies east of the Cascades and south of the Siskiyous. Radar imagery and surface observations indicate light shower activity along the coast and into the Umpqua Basin. Rinse and repeat is in store through at least midweek as WNW flow aloft maintains onshore flow with multiple disturbances passing through the Pacific Northwest. We'll remain on the southern fringes of these shortwave troughs, so precipitation chances will continue to be highest (60-90% chance)
along the coast and north of the Rogue- Umpqua Divide and into the Cascades north of Lake of the Woods. It'll be dry for areas south and east of those locations (though an isolated shower or two can't be ruled out) with gusty breezes (25-35 mph) developing in the afternoons through Tuesday. Snow levels will hover around 3500-4000 ft today as the next disturbance passes through, but any snow accumulations will be confined to the mountains generally above 4500 feet. Highest amounts will be from about Crater Lake northward, where 2-5" could accumulate. Up to an inch of snow is possible over Highway 140 near Lake of the Woods with a skiff also possible on parts of Highway 97 north of Chiloquin. So, if traveling early this morning, be aware of the potential for some slick spots in those areas.

This system exits to the east this evening, so shower chances diminish, but it will be followed by another upper disturbance that will swing through northern Oregon Tuesday and into Idaho Tuesday night into Wednesday. Similar to the disturbance expected today, PoPs (for showers) will be highest across the north, lowest across the south. Snow levels bottom out near 2500 feet Tuesday morning, but again most, if not all, snow accumulation will be in the mountains north of Crater Lake with even less accumulations expected than today's system. The upper trough will exit to the east Tuesday night into Wednesday, so precip chances drop to almost nil.

A few cold mornings are in store for West Side Valleys both Tuesday and Wednesday mornings, and there will be some potential for frost/freeze conditions. On Tuesday morning, the concern looks to be limited to the Illinois Valley and the typically colder locations.
Confidence in freeze potential for Tuesday morning is limited by potential lingering cloud cover. However, there could be a few hours of clearing just after midnight tonight before cloud cover increases again with the next disturbance moving in on Tuesday. A Freeze Watch remains in effect for this potential, and details can be found at NPWMFR. For Wednesday morning, the frost/freeze potential looks more widespread for West Side Valleys (increasing to 25%-50% chance) due to more widespread clearing of skies. Additional freeze products are likely to follow in the next few shifts.

Heights rise on Wednesday as the upper trough continues to shift to the east, resulting in at least partial sunshine with a dry and slightly milder afternoon (high temps back closer to seasonal normals). However, yet another upper trough coming out of the Gulf of Alaska Wednesday night will skim by to our north on Thursday. As has been the case for recent systems, models are showing most of the precip staying well to our north, but a 20-30% chance of showers persists for areas along the coast and across northern Douglas County. Modest warming will continue with highs in the upper 60s to low 70s west of the Cascades and generally in the mid 60s over the East Side.

Confidence is increasing in the overall pattern expected for late week and into the weekend, though confidence in details remains low at this point. Friday should be a dry day for most as a shortwave ridge passes through the region and temperatures trend warmer by a few degrees compared to Thursday. Details become fuzzy Friday night into the weekend.

Cluster analysis indicates that about 90% of the solutions bring some semblance of a trough affecting the region this weekend, but the question is how deep/strong is the trough? Of that 90% of solutions, about a third of them (dominated by the EC) lean toward a weak trough while the remaining 60% show a deeper/stronger trough, but are split on the location of the trough. These differences make it challenging to be confident in details at this point, but overall, it looks like a general trend of lower temperatures with increasing and more widespread precipitation chances can be expected for the weekend. -Spilde/BR-y

AVIATION
29/06Z TAFs...VFR levels continue across most of northern California and southern Oregon this morning, with isolated MVFR ceilings possible along the Oregon coast or over elevated terrain.

An approaching front will bring rainfall across areas west of the Cascades on Monday morning, with occasional showers possible over northern Klamath and Lake counties. The combination of 3500 to 4000 foot snow levels and westerly flow aloft is expected to limit snow showers to over the Cascades. These rain or snow showers can locally lower visibilities and ceilings as well as obscure elevated terrain.
Activity will decrease through Monday afternoon and evening. -TAD

MARINE
Updated 200 AM MOnday, April 29, 2024...A front will move through the waters this morning with moderate west winds and low end small craft advisory conditions into Tuesday morning. Low pressure will move north of the waters Tuesday and bring in high and steep swells into the waters Tuesday afternoon and evening. Weak high pressure will move over the waters Wednesday, then another front will mover into the waters Wednesday night, and move onshore Thursday. Calmer conditions are expected Friday. -Petrucelli

MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR...Freeze Watch from late tonight through Tuesday morning for ORZ024.

CA...None.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Small Craft Advisory from 5 PM this afternoon to 11 PM PDT Tuesday for PZZ356-376.

Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM PDT Tuesday for PZZ350-370.

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Port Orford
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Mon -- 01:43 AM PDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:10 AM PDT     6.76 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:14 AM PDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:08 AM PDT     Moonset
Mon -- 10:44 AM PDT     -0.56 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:59 PM PDT     4.99 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:17 PM PDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:18 PM PDT     3.96 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Port Orford, Oregon (2), Tide feet

Port Orford
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Mon -- 01:43 AM PDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:03 AM PDT     7.01 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:14 AM PDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:08 AM PDT     Moonset
Mon -- 10:41 AM PDT     -0.45 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:57 PM PDT     5.07 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:17 PM PDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:08 PM PDT     4.00 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Port Orford, Oregon, Tide feet

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Medford, OR,