Wednesday, September20, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Victor, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:55AMSunset 7:11PM Wednesday September 20, 2017 3:38 AM EDT (07:38 UTC) Moonrise 6:10AMMoonset 6:43PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ043 Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 1029 Pm Edt Tue Sep 19 2017
Overnight..East winds less than 10 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 10 knots or less becoming north. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Wednesday night..North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast. Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Thursday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Thursday night..Northeast winds 10 knots or less becoming east. Clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Friday..East winds less than 10 knots becoming south. Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Saturday..Southwest winds 10 knots or less. Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sunday..Southwest winds 10 knots or less. Mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less. The water temperature off rochester is 65 degrees.
LOZ043 Expires:201709200915;;643822 FZUS51 KBUF 200229 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1029 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ043-044-200915-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Victor, NY
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location: 43, -77.5     debug


Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
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Fxus61 kbuf 200611
afdbuf
area forecast discussion
national weather service buffalo ny
211 am edt Wed sep 20 2017

Synopsis
Warm temperatures and dry conditions will persist through the
remainder of the week and the coming weekend, as high pressure will
remain in place across the region.

Near term through today
Satellite imagery shows that skies have largely cleared out
across the region with just some thin high clouds associated
with a stalled frontal boundary. With clear skies and light
winds temperatures will fall and patchy fog will again develop.

Expect fog to develop not only in the river valleys, but south
of lake ontario where dew points are the highest. Similarly,
look for lows to run in the lower 60s across most locales, with
mid to upper 50s in the cooler areas of the southern tier and
north country.

Look for much of the same on Wednesday, as high pressure will remain
in control across the region. Patchy stratus should mix out
giving way to abundant sunshine. 850mb temps will be just a
little warmer will result in Wednesday running a couple of
degrees warmer, with highs in the low 80s.

Short term tonight through Saturday night
Two words will summarize this time period... Dry and warm.

There will be an amplifying upper level pattern in place during this
time period with equally anomalous height departures found over each
half of the country. For our interest here in the lower great lakes
region... H5 heights will average close to 590dm... Which is 2-3 std
higher than where they should be for this time of year. The staunch
summer-like ridge... Which will be centered over the mid-west and
lower great lakes... Will support unusually warm conditions as well.

H85 temperatures that will start off in the mid teens c Wednesday
night will further warm to the upper teens c by the weekend.

This will encourage additional day to day warming so that by
Saturday... MAX temps will be in the mid to upper 80s f. Given
the increasingly dry antecedent conditions... Its not out of the
question that select locations in the genesee valley (ie.

Dansville) and in the typically warmer valleys of the southern
tier would reach 90. If this were mid summer... When the sun
angle would be more than 20 deg greater... Then we would likely
be talking about increasingly uncomfortable conditions and
possibly some oppressive heat (esp this weekend). Luckily for
us... The gulf of mexico will be cut off..So dew points for much
of the period will generally range from the upper 50s to lower
60s.

Meanwhile the nights will feature mainly clear skies with the
resulting favorable radiational cooling producing fog in open...

outlying areas... And particularly in the southern tier valleys. Mins
will range from the mid and upper 50s across the southern tier and
parts of the north country to the low to mid 60s across the lake
plains.

Long term Sunday through Tuesday
It can be stated with high confidence that we can look forward to
continued fair weather during this period... Along with continued mid
summer warmth (temperatures that will be more typical of late july-
early august).

An anomalously amplified pattern will be locked in across the
country during this time frame... With 590dm heights over the lower
great lakes averaging some 2-3 std above typical late sept values.

The associated subsidence and lack of significant moisture will keep
sunny skies over our region by day... With h85 temps in the upper
teens c supporting widespread afternoon MAX temps in the mid to 80s.

The warmer valleys will experience highs in the upper 80s. These
temperatures will average some 15 to 20 degrees above normal.

Meanwhile at night... Mins will continue to range from the mid and
upper 50s across the southern tier and parts of the north country to
the low to mid 60s across the lake plains.

Aviation 06z Wednesday through Sunday
Patchy fog will develop across the region overnight, and will be the
main aviation hazard through about sunrise this morning. Typical
southern tier valley fog will be the most prevalent overnight,
impacting jhw. Meanwhile more patchy fog, which will be a bit more
sporadic, will impact iag buf roc and art at times overnight.

Fog should rapidly dissipate after 12-13z on Wednesday, with
mostly clear skies, apart from passing high clouds in western
new york. After this, expect widespreadVFR conditions during
the day.

Outlook...

Wednesday night through Sunday... MainlyVFR. Local ifr
conditions each late night and early morning with southern tier
valley fog.

Marine
High pressure will remain in place across the lower great lakes
right through next weekend. This will provide a long stretch of very
light winds and flat wave action for the rest of the week and next
weekend with ideal boating conditions, but not much wind for sailing.

Buf watches warnings advisories
Ny... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Wood
near term... Apffel wood
short term... Rsh
long term... Rsh
aviation... Church
marine... Hitchcock thomas


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 19 mi38 min W 1.9 G 2.9 65°F 1016.9 hPa (+0.3)
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 20 mi50 min 1016 hPa
45012 - Lake Ontario Buoy - 20NM North Northeast of Rochester, NY 43 mi48 min NE 7.8 G 9.7 70°F 70°F1015.7 hPa (+0.0)
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 61 mi50 min SSE 5.1 G 6 1015.3 hPa

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Rochester, Greater Rochester International Airport, NY12 mi45 minN 09.00 miFair60°F59°F96%1016.2 hPa

Wind History from ROC (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW4W4S6SW5S4SW4S8SW74SW5Calm6NE10NE8E8E7E6E3E3E4CalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmSW3CalmCalmSW3W5SW3CalmCalmCalmSE3W5CalmNE11NE8NE6NE4E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoSW4W4SW4SW3SW4SW4SW3CalmCalmCalmSW4CalmCalmNE9NE10NE6E4E4SE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Buffalo, NY (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Buffalo, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.