Wednesday, March22, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Wilmington, VT

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:45AMSunset 7:06PM Wednesday March 22, 2017 8:23 PM EDT (00:23 UTC) Moonrise 3:30AMMoonset 1:26PM Illumination 22% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wilmington, VT
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location: 43.02, -72.88     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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Fxus61 kaly 222336
afdaly
area forecast discussion
national weather service albany ny
736 pm edt Wed mar 22 2017

Synopsis
Well-below normal temperatures will continue tonight as
readings drop into the teens and single digits. Temperatures will
gradually moderate tomorrow, before unsettled conditions arrive for
Friday into the upcoming weekend, with the potential for a variety
of precipitation types.

Near term /until 6 am Thursday morning/
As of 657 pm edt, allowed the wind advisory to expire at 6 pm,
as northwest winds remain gusty but will generally gust to
around 35 mph for the next few hours, which is below advisory
criteria. Otherwise, bitterly cold and brisk conditions in store
for tonight with 500-510dm thickness (1000-500mb) values
overhead in the arctic air mass.

High pressure will continue to build into the region this
evening as an upper level low continues to push off to the east.

Wind speeds will gradually decrease this evening, but a
northwest breeze will persist due to pressure gradient remaining
over the region through the night.

Under the influence of high pressure and clear skies,
temperatures will dip tonight into the teens and single digits
area wide. Winds should stay just breezy enough to keep
temperatures above zero in most locations.

Short term /6 am Thursday morning through Thursday night/
Full sunshine and dry conditions should allow for temps to
rebound into the upper 30s for most valley locations with upper
20s for most higher elevations Thursday afternoon.

Thursday night, mostly clear and cold to start, then clouds
increase after midnight as strengthening mid level warm air
advection develops. There could be some light snow developing
around or just after sunrise, mainly for areas west of the
hudson river. Min temps should be reached early then begin
increasing as strong warm air advection ensues.

Long term /Friday through Wednesday/
As stated in the previous excellent forecast discussion, a very
unsettled pattern through the entire long term period with plenty of
clouds, periods of light precipitation and daytime temperatures
averaging mainly below normal.

On Friday, not much change to the overall pattern as a surface warm
front will be lifting across the region from southwest to northeast.

The surface front, aided by decent warm air advection aloft and
isentropic lift, will produce a widespread area of precipitation
moving west to east. Initially, the precipitation will be in the
form of snow, but both warming temps aloft and in the boundary layer
will allow this precip to changeover to rain across most areas. A
few spots may see some sleet during the transition as well. QPF is
fairly light, so any snowfall amounts look minor, generally an inch
or two. Although the morning will start off in the teens and 20s,
temps will be quickly warming, reaching the mid 30s to mid 40s by
the early afternoon hours.

By the late afternoon and early evening hours, the best forcing will
be shifting north and east of the region, as the surface boundary
lifts northward. However, some lingering rain and drizzle will be
possible in some areas for Friday evening into Friday night,
especially across the higher elevations. Temps will be mainly steady
for Friday night as surface frontal boundary is expected to remain
north of our region.

The front will start to drop back south slowly across the area on
Saturday with some additional rain showers. Although southern areas
may see start off dry, the chance for precip will return throughout
the day. Ahead of the front, temps may briefly warm up into the 40s
(possibly some 50s for areas south of the capital region), before
dropping back down into the 30s behind the boundary. Some question
with respect to just how far south this front gets as the ECMWF is
the most aggressive with the surface high north of the st lawrence
than the GFS with the ggem somewhat inbetween.

As colder air works in behind the boundary, precip may start to
changeover to a wintry mix or some snow for Saturday night,
especially for northern and high terrain areas (along and north of
i90). This cold air will be driven southward into the region thanks
to a cold high pressure area passing across quebec and northern new
england. With forcing mainly limited to just the surface boundary,
precip amounts look fairly light, but a light accumulation of snow
and ice will be possible for Saturday night into Sunday morning, as
temps fall into the mid 20s to mid 30s across the area.

Once again, the front looks to return back north as a warm front on
Sunday, as surface low pressure moves across the ohio valley and
great lakes. Although warmer air aloft should move easily back into
the region, the low-level cold air may be a little tougher to
dislodge this time due to the nearby surface high pressure area.

Most areas should change back over to rain at some point on Sunday,
although some sheltered valley areas could see a more prolonged
period of sleet and/or freezing rain. Temperatures should return
back into the mid 30s to mid 40s across the area on Sunday.

The low pressure area will continue to move eastward-northeastward,
per global model consensus. However, the GFS is stronger with the
surface wave development over the great lakes region with the ecmwf
less aggressive yet offers a very soggy pattern with periods of light
rain/drizzle.

The other aspect to this forecast is with the snowpack in place and
occasional precipitation and milder air could be areas of fog
development. This would need to be addressed with future updates as
conditions become more certain.

Aviation /00z Thursday through Monday/
P6sm skc conditions expected to prevail through the 24 hour taf
period ending 00z Friday with high pressure and a very dry air
mass in place.

Winds this evening will be northwest around 10-15 kt with gusts
around 20-25 kt, decreasing to around 5-12 kt after midnight.

Outlook...

Thursday night: moderate operational impact. Slight chance of sn.

Friday: high operational impact. Likely ra... Sn.

Friday night: moderate operational impact. Chance of ra.

Saturday: moderate operational impact. Chance of ra.

Saturday night: moderate operational impact. Chance of ra... Sn.

Sunday: high operational impact. Likely ra... Sn.

Sunday night: high operational impact. Likely ra... Sleet.

Monday: moderate operational impact. Chance of ra... Sleet.

Fire weather
A deep snow pack remains in place across eastern new york and
western new england. Temperatures will be below normal tonight
and tomorrow with a very cold air mass building over the
region. There is the potential for several rounds of
precipitation beginning early Friday morning and continuing
into next week, with a variety of precipitation types possible.

Hydrology
No precipitation is expected through tomorrow, with below
normal temperatures expected. There is a potential for several
rounds of precipitation Friday into the upcoming week, with a
variety of precipitation types possible. Precipitation amounts,
types, and temperatures are uncertain at this time, but it
appears temperatures will warm Friday and Saturday before
returning to below normal values for the second half of the
weekend.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed
and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the
advanced hydrologic prediction service /ahps/ graphs on our
website.

Aly watches/warnings/advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Ma... None.

Vt... None.

Synopsis... Kl
near term... Jpv/jvm
short term... Kl/jvm
long term... Frugis/bgm
aviation... Jpv
fire weather... Kl/jvm
hydrology... Kl/jvm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 88 mi54 min 25°F 1028 hPa3°F

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bennington Morse State Airport, VT21 mi30 minNNW 10 G 1910.00 miFair18°F-9°F28%1027.1 hPa

Wind History from DDH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW5SW5SW3S3W7
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1 day agoS4S4SW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS4S3CalmCalmCalmCalmNW55W9
G14
4W12
G21
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G18
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G16
SW6
2 days agoSW3SW5CalmCalmS4S5S3S5S3S4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm43W9W114W10W4W3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Troy, Hudson River, New York
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Troy
Click for MapNote: Values for the Hudson River above the George Washington bridge are based upon averages for the six months May to October

Wed -- 01:04 AM EDT     4.53 feet High Tide
Wed -- 03:31 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:54 AM EDT     0.85 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:29 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 01:40 PM EDT     5.57 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:09 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:33 PM EDT     0.70 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
4.34.54.33.52.62.11.71.20.91.52.84.14.95.45.5543.12.41.60.90.81.73

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Albany
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:55 AM EDT     4.37 feet High Tide
Wed -- 03:31 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:44 AM EDT     0.69 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:30 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 01:32 PM EDT     5.40 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:10 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:24 PM EDT     0.54 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
4.24.443.22.41.91.50.90.71.52.84.14.85.35.34.73.72.82.21.30.60.71.83

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.