Monday, November20, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Days Creek, OR

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:12AMSunset 4:45PM Monday November 20, 2017 7:42 AM PST (15:42 UTC) Moonrise 8:58AMMoonset 6:42PM Illumination 4% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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This is a Weather Statement Zone, please check the Date to see if it has expired
PZZ310 Coos bay bar- coastal waters from cape blanco or to pt. St. George ca out 10 nm- waters from cape blanco or to pt. St. George ca from 10 to 60 nm- 134 pm pdt Wed may 29 2013 a long-duration moderate to strong north wind event is expected to last from this weekend into early next week. Winds should begin to increase Friday into Saturday...peaking Sunday with storm force wind gusts possible. Very steep and hazardous waves will accompany this wind event and mariners should prepare for dangerous conditions at sea. The strongest winds and highest seas will occur beyond 5 nm from shore.
PZZ300 652 Am Pst Mon Nov 20 2017
Synopsis for the southern oregon coastal waters.. Winds will then decrease below gale but seas are expected to remain steep and hazardous this week. Winds are expected to increase again to gales late tonight or Tuesday morning and remain moderate to strong through Wednesday. Conditions should improve some late in the week as the windy pattern subsides some.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Days Creek, OR
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location: 43.05, -122.83     debug


Area Discussion for - Medford, OR
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Fxus66 kmfr 201118
afdmfr
area forecast discussion
national weather service medford or
318 am pst Mon nov 20 2017

Discussion Substantial precipitation continues to stream into
the area, and expect rainfall rates over the next 12 hours will be
similar to what we're seeing now. Precipitation will taper off
Tuesday into Wednesday, then by late Thursday expect another round
of precipitation. Then, this weekend has the potential to be very
wet, though details are still being worked out.

Back to today... Snow levels started out the night relatively low,
with several inches falling at diamond lake... But temperatures
there have risen to the mid 30s, and road cameras show rain, or
possible rain snow mix. Snow levels will continue to rise from
this point on, to at least 8000 feet msl by mid morning. Thus, the
main story will be rain. Though Sunday was a cold day, the chance
of freezing rain is low. Temperatures have either risen or been
stagnant across the area over the past few hours, and should
continue this trend tonight. So, we'll continue to monitor
conditions, but currently not concerned. Precipitation amounts
have been the biggest challenge. Observations in the coastal
range have shown rates around a quarter inch per hour, and that
should persist through today, with locally higher rates at times.

The current forecast has a 24 hour total of 3 to 4 inches across
curry county with up to 5 inches possible in the higher terrain.

The flash flood watch for the chetco bar burn scar remains in
effect. Details on this can be found at ffamfr. Currently, we
aren't expected any flooding on mainstem rivers, but small stream
rises expected.

Winds are gusting close to 50 mph in weed and summer lake. Wind
advisories for the usual spots, including the shasta valley,
summer lake winter rim, and warner mountains.

Conditions will calm down Tuesday as a ridge builds in... But this
will be temporary. Winds, especially on the east side, will start
ramping up Wednesday as a low forms in the gulf of alaska. That
low will push a cold front through as early as Thursday, bringing
more precipitation Thursday... Dissipating to showers Friday.

Another cold front will approach Saturday, and likely stall
offshore. There is some disagreement on timing, but models
generally agree that a low will form to the southwest, which
should wrap in plenty of lower lat moisture, and hit the southern
oregon coast as early as Saturday night. This has the potential to
be a very wet system.

Aviation 20 06z TAF cycle... A warm front will move onshore
tonight through Monday morning bringing low ceilings and, eventually
increasing winds across the forecast area. As this transition occurs
there will be the potential of low level wind shear at the primary
airfields, through as late as 19z at kmfr.

Ifr low clouds remaining in some of the valleys west of the cascades
are likely to lift some late tonight, particularly in the medford
area. Exposed areas at the coast will become windy as the front
moves inland, and wind shear is a possibility at north bend with
strong southwest winds aloft and lighter south to southeast winds at
the surface.

Mountain obscuration and MVFR ifr ceilings will spread further
inland early Monday morning, affecting most areas by mid-morning on
Monday. Btl

Marine Updated 200 am pst Monday 20 november 2017... Gales and
very steep seas will continue through early this morning before wind
speed decrease to small craft advisory level but will likely
increase again to gales tonight or Tuesday morning and remain
moderate to strong through Wednesday. Conditions should improve some
late in the week as the windy pattern subsides some.

Next weekend, model brings high northwest swell up to 15 feet into
the coastal waters. Fb

Mfr watches warnings advisories
Or... Wind advisory until 4 pm pst this afternoon for orz030-031.

Flash flood watch through this evening for orz022-024.

Ca... Wind advisory until 4 pm pst this afternoon for caz085.

Wind advisory until 10 pm pst this evening for caz081.

Pacific coastal waters... Gale warning until 7 am pst this morning for pzz350-356-370-376.

Hazardous seas warning until 4 am pst Tuesday for
pzz350-356-376.

Hazardous seas warning from 7 am this morning to 4 am pst
Tuesday for pzz370.

Msc trw fjb


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CHAO3 - 9432780 - Charleston, OR 83 mi67 min S 7 G 16 51°F1007 hPa

Wind History for Charleston, OR
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Roseburg Regional Airport, OR31 mi50 minNNE 310.00 miLight Rain51°F50°F96%1007.5 hPa

Wind History from RBG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmE4SE4CalmCalmCalmCalmW3N3CalmCalmCalmS54S6S5S3CalmCalmNE3CalmS5NE3
1 day agoSE5SE4SE4E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3CalmCalmCalmN3CalmCalm
2 days agoCalmCalmS3CalmS3SE7S7S5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS4CalmS4SE4

Tide / Current Tables for Coos Bay, Oregon
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Coos Bay
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:48 AM PST     6.52 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:17 AM PST     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:05 AM PST     2.75 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 09:04 AM PST     Moonrise
Mon -- 01:57 PM PST     7.66 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:47 PM PST     Sunset
Mon -- 06:47 PM PST     Moonset
Mon -- 08:48 PM PST     -0.25 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
45.46.36.565.143.12.733.95.26.47.37.77.36.14.52.71.10-0.20.31.6

Tide / Current Tables for Reedsport, Umpqua River, Oregon
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Reedsport
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:33 AM PST     5.98 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:17 AM PST     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:01 AM PST     2.50 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 09:05 AM PST     Moonrise
Mon -- 01:42 PM PST     7.03 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:46 PM PST     Sunset
Mon -- 06:46 PM PST     Moonset
Mon -- 08:44 PM PST     -0.22 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.95.25.95.95.44.53.52.82.52.83.74.96.16.876.55.43.82.20.9-0-0.20.41.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Medford, OR (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Medford, OR
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.