Sunrise 5:49 AM   Sunset 8:06 PM Moonrise 2:41 AM   Moonset 1:45 PM

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LOZ045 Mexico Bay To The Saint Lawrence River Along Lake Ontario- 1036 Pm Edt Thu May 2 2024
Overnight - Southeast winds less than 10 knots becoming east. Mainly clear. Waves 2 feet or less. Friday - East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less. Friday night - Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southeast. A chance of showers overnight. Waves 2 feet or less. Saturday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 2 feet or less. Saturday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet. Sunday - South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest and diminishing to 5 to 10 knots. Showers likely during the day, then a chance of showers Sunday night. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Monday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less. Tuesday - East winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of showers during the day, then showers likely Tuesday night. Waves 1 foot or less.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

LOZ005
No data

FXUS61 KBGM 030206 AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 1006 PM EDT Thu May 2 2024

SYNOPSIS
Dry weather will continue through Friday along with above normal temperatures. A brief cool down with rain showers is expected for the weekend, especially Saturday night.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
1000 PM Update...
At 7 PM, conditions, upwind satellite, and model trends supported a longer period of clear sky this evening followed by a more gradual increase in high thin clouds. Sky forecast was adjusted accordingly, with low temperatures down another 1-2 degrees given a bit more radiational cooling under weak high pressure overnight. Sheltered valleys of the Susquehanna headwater valleys could reach down to around 40 degrees.
Forecast still on track as of 10 PM so no additional adjustments needed.

Previous discussion...
Dry weather and mostly clear skies is expected tonight along with lows in the 40s.

High pressure moves east of the area on Friday, resulting in a southeasterly return flow. This will bring slightly warmer conditions to the area. Increasing moisture may bring some cloud cover, but skies should still at least be partly sunny.
Highs are expected to be in the 70s for most of the area.

A slow moving cold front will approach the area Friday night, which will allow for increasing clouds. By late Friday night/early Saturday morning, a few rain showers may reach areas west of I-81, but the majority of the rain showers should hold off until the daytime on Saturday. Lows are expected to be in the mid 40s to mid 50s.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
1245 PM Update...

A slow-moving cold front sweeping across the area Saturday will bring rounds of rain showers Saturday and into Sunday night.
Temperatures will decrease from the mid- to high-70s Friday to the high-50s to mid-60s Saturday and Sunday as that slow-moving cold front moves through Central NY and NE PA. Currently, total precipitation ranges from up to an inch in northern portions of Central NY to up to a half of an inch elsewhere Saturday morning through Sunday evening. Additionally, there are chances for non-severe afternoon thunderstorms on Sunday, mainly for the Twin Tiers and NE PA. These are subject to change as model guidance attempts to predict the speed of progression the front moves. The slower the front progresses, the higher the total precipitation will likely be. We'll keep monitoring the progression of this front as we head into the weekend.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
1245 PM Update...

Lingering showers can be expected Monday as the aforementioned slow-moving cold front exits our area. A weak warm front is expected to move into the area heading into the mid-week, with temperatures increasing back to the mid- to high-70s by Wednesday. Overall a generally quiet weather pattern with some nuisance rain showers, and chances for afternoon thunderstorms.

AVIATION /02Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
VFR conditions continue at all terminals through 00Z Saturday, with a couple small possible exceptions. Guidance is hinting that KRME and KELM could briefly see fog during the few hours up to and including dawn. Crossover temperatures at KELM, that is the lowest dewpoints from afternoon, was in the lower 40s which lends to low confidence in valley fog occurring. Temperature itself would also need to also hit low 40s overnight for better confidence, but the forecast low is 45, thus valley fog seems unlikely. KRME on the other hand shows a moist near-surface layer in model soundings, to the point that light mist is probable enough for a TEMPO group. High pressure settling in will cut winds this evening, but will lightly pick up out of the southeast on Friday as high pressure departs.

Outlook...

Friday night...Mainly VFR, but a few showers/brief restrictions possible west of KSYR-KBGM.

Saturday through Sunday night...A couple passing frontal boundaries will result in scattered showers and restrictions, especially Saturday night onward. Isolated thunder.

Monday through Tuesday...Mostly dry Monday to midday Tuesday, but increasing chance of rain and restrictions Tuesday afternoon through night. Embedded thunder also possible late Tuesday.

BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NY...None.

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Albany
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Thu -- 12:03 AM EDT     4.57 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:08 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:47 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:55 AM EDT     0.80 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 12:37 PM EDT     5.42 feet High Tide
Thu -- 01:21 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 07:34 PM EDT     0.43 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:57 PM EDT     Sunset
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Troy
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Thu -- 12:11 AM EDT     4.57 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:08 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:47 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:05 AM EDT     0.80 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 12:45 PM EDT     5.42 feet High Tide
Thu -- 01:21 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 07:44 PM EDT     0.43 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:57 PM EDT     Sunset
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Troy, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet

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