Thursday, January18, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Mattydale, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:29AMSunset 5:01PM Thursday January 18, 2018 12:43 AM EST (05:43 UTC) Moonrise 8:25AMMoonset 6:39PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 252 Pm Est Wed Jan 17 2018
.small craft advisory in effect through late Saturday night...
Tonight..Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 3 to 6 feet building to 5 to 8 feet. Waves occasionally around 10 feet.
Thursday..West winds 15 to 25 knots. Scattered snow showers. Waves 5 to 8 feet subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 10 feet.
Thursday night..West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest. Snow showers likely. Waves 3 to 6 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet.
Friday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Snow showers likely in the morning, then scattered snow showers in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Friday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 25 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet.
Saturday..Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 4 to 7 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
Sunday..Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming east 10 to 15 knots. A chance of rain showers Sunday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Monday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south and increasing to 15 to 25 knots. Rain showers likely. Waves 1 to 3 feet. The water temperature off rochester is 35 degrees.
LOZ044 Expires:201801180415;;597335 FZUS51 KBUF 171952 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 252 PM EST Wed Jan 17 2018 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ043-044-180415-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mattydale, NY
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location: 43.11, -76.16     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 180329
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
1029 pm est Wed jan 17 2018

Synopsis
A mainly dry period is forecast through the weekend along with
moderating temperatures. By the weekend high temperatures will
be in the lower to middle 40s.

Near term through Thursday
1000 pm update... Temperatures continue to fall below guidance
late this evening, with very good radiational cooling conditions
and fresh snow pack. Some of the rural valley locations both in
central ny and NE pa have already fallen to around 0 degrees,
especially where winds are calm or very light. Do not think
temperatures will fall very much more overnight, perhaps 1-3
degrees at best in most locations. Overnight lows were updated
and a forecast update was sent.

800 pm update... A ridge of high pressure is building into
the region from the ohio valley. Latest observations and goes
east satellite imagery reveals mainly clear skies this evening
across our forecast area. Some clouds and lake effect snow
showers are skirting far northern oneida county. Winds are
generally light, less than 10 mph areawide. With today's fresh
snow cover temperatures have already fallen quickly into the
single digits and lower teens this evening. Expect temperatures
to hold steady or fall a few more degrees overnight; as
temperatures aloft gradually warm (850mb temps near 0 to -3c by
morning). Made minor adjustments to tonight's lows based on
current trends and the latest near term model guidance. This
gave lows between about 0 to 10 above for the entire area.

After mid-morning Thursday the low level flow veers more
westerly (275-285) and this will bring a better chance of snow
showers to oneida county, with some scattered flurries possible
further south across the syracuse metro area and even the
northern finger lakes susquehanna region. Little or no
accumulation is expected, except perhaps around 1 inch in
northern oneida county. High temperatures on Thursday will be
seasonably cool, in the lower to mid-20s, except around 30 in
the wyoming valley of northeast pennsylvania.

Previous discussion...

330 pm update
surface ridging overnight will lead to mainly clear skies and
cold conditions. Westerly flow over lake ontario will bring
scattered flurries and snow showers to northern oneida county
but any accumulations will be less than an inch. Overnight lows
will range from the single numbers to lower teens.

On Thursday a brief flat upper level ridge will reside over the
region as the next short wave moves through the central great
lakes. Scattered lake effect snow showers and flurries will
continue over northern oneida county but accumulations will
remain light due to lack of moisture and low inversion. For the
remainder of the area partly to mostly sunny skies are expected
with highs in the middle to upper 20s.

Short term Thursday night through Saturday
Thursday night, a mid level short wave will move through the
region possibly bringing scattered flurries and snow showers to
the northern areas of central new york. More persistent snow
showers are possible in northern oneida county although any
accumulations will be light. By Friday the low level flow backs
with any flurries snow showers confined to areas southeast of
lake ontario. High temperatures will moderate into the lower to
middle 30s under southwest flow.

Friday night Saturday... A flat upper level ridge will develop
over the northeast as a trough digs into the southern rockies.

Surface high pressure will give the area a moderating southwest
flow. Highs temperatures will generally range in the lower to
middle 40s under partly sunny skies.

Long term Saturday night through Wednesday
310 pm update...

a gradual ridging in the upper atmosphere will push milder
temperatures through ny and pa. After a mainly fair weather
pattern Saturday night and Sunday, a strong storm will pull
northward through the central united states early Monday,
dragging additional warm air and moisture into ny.

Temperatures will rise into the 40s Sunday through Monday.

A mix of rain and snow is forecast over the eastern forecast
area early Monday, then rain showers will fall through the
afternoon.

Showers will continue into Tuesday before tapering off Tuesday
night. The passage of the cold front will knock temperatures
down into the 30s, still milder than normal for late january.

Aviation 04z Thursday through Monday
Vfr conditions and light winds are forecast through Thursday
afternoon. A scattered cirrus shield tonight will slowly lower
to mid clouds after 15z.

MVFR ceilings may work their way into krme late Thursday.

Outlook...

Friday... GenerallyVFR conditions expected. Some localized
restrictions in snow showers possible.

Saturday Sunday... PrimarilyVFR.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Rrm
near term... Mjm rrm
short term... Rrm
long term... Djp
aviation... Djp


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 31 mi43 min S 8 G 9.9 14°F 1020.1 hPa (-2.0)7°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 77 mi43 min WSW 13 G 22 20°F 1020.3 hPa (-2.4)
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 78 mi43 min 19°F 1019.8 hPa (-2.1)

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Syracuse, Syracuse Hancock International Airport, NY2 mi49 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds4°F3°F96%1021 hPa
Fulton, Oswego County Airport, NY21 mi49 minN 08.00 miFair5°F1°F87%1021.2 hPa

Wind History from SYR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmE4CalmW13W13W9W10W10W10W12W12SW8SW8W8W8SW7SW7SW9SW8SW6SW5CalmCalmCalm
1 day agoE6E5E4E4NE4E3E4E5E4CalmCalmCalmSW6SW4W4W3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE4CalmCalm
2 days agoCalmE5E5E5E5E5E5E8E6E10E11E9E9E12E12E12E13E12E9E9E10E7E7E7

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.