Friday, August18, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
North Syracuse, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:13AMSunset 8:02PM Friday August 18, 2017 6:01 PM EDT (22:01 UTC) Moonrise 1:38AMMoonset 4:45PM Illumination 12% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 1039 Am Edt Fri Aug 18 2017
This afternoon..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tonight..West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Saturday..West winds 15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers in the morning...then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Saturday night..West winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening... Then a chance of showers overnight. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Sunday..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. Mainly clear. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 2 feet.
Monday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Mainly clear...then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms during the day...then showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms Tuesday night. Waves 2 feet or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. The water temperature off rochester is 47 degrees.
LOZ044 Expires:201708182115;;574719 FZUS51 KBUF 181439 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1039 AM EDT Fri Aug 18 2017 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ043-044-182115-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North Syracuse, NY
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location: 43.14, -76.12     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 181941
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
341 pm edt Fri aug 18 2017

Synopsis
A few showers or thunderstorms, could linger into this evening,
as a cold front passes through the region. Saturday and Sunday
look mostly rain-free, with seasonable temperatures, thanks to
high pressure, building down from eastern canada.

Near term through Saturday
Low clouds associated with this morning's round of showers are
finally eroding across northeast pa and the i-81 corridor in
central ny allowing for some heating and MLCAPE values to reach
near 1000 j kg. A broken line of showers and thunderstorms has
developed across eastern pa; one of these showers was associated
with a rotating thunderstorm over susquehanna county earlier
this afternoon however these showers and storms now appear to be
mainly to the south of luzerne, pike and wayne counties down in
east central pa. Another fairly robust shower has developed
over north central pa and is moving east. This shower or
possibly some redevelopment could still bring an isolated severe
storm to luzerne through pike and sullivan counties through
about 7 pm. Farther north any showers will be isolated in
coverage through early evening fading out comletely by around
sunset.

After some patches of fog and low cloud on Saturday we are
expecting partial sunshine, then another short wave will
approach from the west during the afternoon triggering scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms. Instability and moisture
associated with this system looks to be less than today and
little to no severe weather or flash flood threat is
anticipated with this system.

Short term Saturday night through Sunday night
1230 pm update... Overall, things will be quieting down this
period, as the flow aloft flattens out, and surface ridging
builds into ny pa from the west.

Any lingering early evening showers Saturday should quickly
dissipate with time. Thereafter, rain-free weather is expected,
with skies becoming mostly clear for the second part of the
weekend.

Temperatures will be seasonable, with Sunday's highs mostly in
the upper 70s-lower 80s, along with low humidity levels.

Long term Monday through Friday
1245 pm update... On the large-scale, model agreement is fairly
good this period, indicating a transition towards more
amplification once again next week. This pattern should take
the form of a western canadian-northwest CONUS trough, central
conus-intermountain west ridge, and an eastern canadian-
northeast CONUS trough.

The week should start out generally rain-free and warm from
Monday through much of Tuesday, with highs mostly in the 80s. As
heights aloft begin to fall ahead of the developing eastern
trough mentioned above, a cold front should slowly approach, and
bring increasing chances of showers thunderstorms from later
Tuesday into Wednesday.

Later next week, although we should trend drier behind the
aforementioned cold front, it likely turn much cooler as well.

In fact, by next Thursday Friday, we're looking at highs in the
upper 60s-lower 70s for many areas of cny nepa.

Aviation 20z Friday through Wednesday
Broken line of showers and thunderstorms will move across
northeast pennsylvania through late this afternoon with
scattered showers farther north. Have covered for a shower at
all of the TAF sites through about 23z but most of the time will
be rain-free. Skies will clear this evening then areas of low
clouds and fog will develop between 06z and 13z. Skies will
become partly sunny by afternoon on Saturday with scattered
showers developing again Saturday afternoon into the evening.

Winds will be light from the southwest into this evening, light
and variable tonight then become westerly around 10 kts on
Saturday.

Outlook...

Friday overnight...VFR.

Saturday...VFR. Chance of flight impacts in afternoon showers.

Sunday through Monday...VFR.

Tuesday... Flight impacts possible in thunderstorms.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Mlj
near term... Djn mse
short term... Mlj
long term... Mlj
aviation... Jab mse


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 31 mi43 min WNW 7 G 8.9 81°F 1005.3 hPa69°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 79 mi61 min WSW 15 G 23 83°F 1006.4 hPa (-0.4)
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 80 mi43 min 83°F 1005.8 hPa

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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G9

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Syracuse, Syracuse Hancock International Airport, NY1 mi67 minSW 810.00 miMostly Cloudy86°F66°F53%1004.4 hPa
Fulton, Oswego County Airport, NY21 mi67 minSSW 710.00 miPartly Cloudy83°F68°F61%1004.8 hPa

Wind History from SYR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE8E7E5E7E4E5E7SE9SE8S8S12
G20
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S6CalmSW11
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G18
SW11SW10SW10SW10SW8CalmSW8
1 day agoW10NW7NW4CalmCalmCalmSE3CalmCalmE3SE3E5E3E3E4E3E3E8E5NE7NE6NE6NE9NE6
2 days agoW6W8SW5SW4W3W3CalmS3CalmCalmCalmW3CalmCalmN3NW3NW6NW5NW5NW7NW10NW12NW10NW11

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.