Sunday, March26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
North Syracuse, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:53AMSunset 7:26PM Sunday March 26, 2017 12:56 PM EDT (16:56 UTC) Moonrise 5:18AMMoonset 4:53PM Illumination 1% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Sodus Bay To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario- 636 Am Edt Sun Mar 26 2017
.small craft advisory in effect from 4 pm edt this afternoon through Monday morning...
Today..East winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southeast 15 to 20 knots. Rain showers likely early...then a chance of rain showers. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tonight..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Rain. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday..Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest less than 10 knots. Rain in the morning...then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday night..Southwest winds less than 10 knots. A chance of showers overnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday..Southeast winds less than 10 knots becoming northwest 10 to 15 knots. Rain showers likely during the day...then a chance of rain showers Tuesday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Partly to mostly cloudy. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
Thursday..North winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northeast. Partly cloudy. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 feet or less.
LOZ044 Expires:201703261515;;101592 FZUS51 KBUF 261036 NSHBUF NEARSHORE MARINE FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 636 AM EDT SUN MAR 26 2017 FOR WATERS WITHIN FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE LOZ044-261515-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North Syracuse, NY
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location: 43.14, -76.12     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 261349
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
949 am edt Sun mar 26 2017

Synopsis
A nearby frontal complex, will continue to act on the moist air
mass over the region, and produce periods of rain during the
next few days. Cold air in parts of the catskills may result in
isolated patches of freezzing rain this afternoon and overnight.

Near term /until 6 pm this evening/
950 am update... Updated pops to reflect the current conditions
and latest mesoscale forecasts. Also adjusted temperatures with
the cold air holding fast over the areas east of i81. Expect the
rain to continue to move east and for temperatures to slowly
rise this afternoon, especially over the areas west of i81.

Previous forecast discussion continues below.

4 am update... Colder air has continued to settle into the
region this morning, as a cold front has slipped well southward
into the mid-atlantic states. At the same time, an area of light
rain is expanding across cny and parts of nepa, associated with
a passing short-wave. Although most areas will see readings in
the mid-upper 30s this morning, temperatures will be solidly at
or below 32f in our far eastern zones (oneida, otsego,
delaware, and sullivan counties). Thus, a freezing rain advisory
is in effect for these areas until 10 am. Even elsewhere,
spotty light freezing rain over higher elevations may occur, and
thus a special weather statement has been issued.

This afternoon, precipitation is expected to diminish, as the
short-wave pulls off to the east. Skies will remain cloudy, with
plenty of low-level moisture still in place.

Late afternoon highs will range from the mid 30s in the southern
tug hill, mohawk valley, and catskills, to the mid 40s in the
finger lakes region.

Short term /6 pm this evening through Tuesday/
415 am update... Later tonight into Monday morning, another slug
of steadier rainfall is expected to impact the region, tied to
the next approaching short-wave, and also a northeastward moving
warm frontal boundary. During this time frame, parts of the
catskills may still see readings near 32f, and thus spotty
freezing rain is possible at the onset. However, milder air will
be pushing into the region, so we anticipate any freezing
precipitation to be short-lived.

Much of Monday afternoon and Monday night may end up
precipitation-free in between systems, with just spotty light showers
or patchy drizzle. By this time, the warm front will be through
much of cny/nepa, so after late day highs in the mid 40s-mid 50s
Monday, readings will only fall a few degrees Monday night.

On Tuesday, the next short-wave is progged to move in from the
west, and combine with a slowly approaching surface cold front.

Consequently, showers will break out, and a few thunderstorms
are not out of the question, with some low to mid-level
instability developing (ml CAPE of 200-500 j/kg possible).

Temperatures Tuesday will be quite mild, with afternoon highs
ranging from the mid 50s-mid 60s over the majority of the
forecast area.

Long term /Tuesday night through Saturday/
A shortwave trough will swing across the region tues night and
continue the chance for rain showers to linger. High pressure at
the sfc and anti-cyclonic flow aloft will shift over the region
wed morning which will create a decent break from our wet
pattern. Sfc high pressure will settle over the region through
Friday morning, thus dry weather is expected to prevail through
then. The next storm system to possibly impact the area will be
a sfc low and potentially move into the region as early as
Friday morning. There are still model discrepancies on the
timing and track of this system, thus decided to keep low pops
in the forecast for this next system at this time.

Aviation /14z Sunday through Thursday/
A stalled front will continue to bring a mix of ifr and MVFR
flight conditions to the region this morning. Cold air still
clings to the sfc, thus some fzra continues to fall this am.

Fzra shouldn't last too long as sfc temps are forecast to rise
by mid-morning. There will be a brief lull in precip this
afternoon and possibly some improvement in flight conditions
before additional rain moves back into the region late tonight.

Winds will be light and variable for the next couple of hours,
then become e/se around 10 to 15 knots by mid day and continue
through much of the forecast period. Kavp will remain light and
variable through the period.

Outlook...

Sunday night through Tuesday... Restrictions likely from waves
of rain as frontal boundary waffles over the area.

Wednesday/Thursday... MainlyVFR.

Hydrology
245 pm edt Saturday... A rain on snow melt situation is underway
this weekend, and is expected to increase early next week as
temperatures in the 50s-60s become more widespread across the
region. This warmth will also be accompanied by an increase in
surface dewpoints into the 40s.

Model averaged QPF suggests roughly an inch of precipitation
across the area through Monday night. This alone would not be
enough to trigger any flood worries, however, the almost 2.5" of
liquid water content across the headwaters of the upper
susquehanna, delaware and the oneida-syracuse river basins does
get our attention. After melting, and rainfall contribution, the
operational hydrologic model simulations are getting a few
areas of the upper susquehanna and her tributaries to minor
flood stage by the middle of next week. Mmefs ensemble spreads
do also suggest potential for widespread minor flooding and
some chance to reach moderate at a few forecast points. There
remains considerable uncertainty, and time, to not raise any
public flags at this point, however, we have started core
partner decision support for early-look resource and risk
management planning efforts.

Bgm watches/warnings/advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... Freezing rain advisory until 10 am edt this morning for nyz009-
037-046-057-062.

Synopsis... Dgm/mlj
near term... Dgm/mlj
short term... Mlj
long term... Kah
aviation... Kah
hydrology...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 31 mi39 min SE 14 G 19 40°F 1024.7 hPa28°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 79 mi57 min SE 13 G 19 44°F 1023.4 hPa (-2.0)
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 80 mi39 min 44°F 1022.2 hPa

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Syracuse, Syracuse Hancock International Airport, NY1 mi63 minENE 1110.00 miOvercast37°F28°F70%1026.1 hPa
Fulton, Oswego County Airport, NY21 mi63 minESE 7 G 1610.00 miOvercast38°F27°F65%1025.8 hPa

Wind History from SYR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmNW3NW6NW5NW4W3CalmCalmW5SE3CalmE4E6E6E10E8E8E10E11E12E11E15NE14
G20
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1 day agoS7S7SE5SE5S8S10S5NE3CalmCalmN4N3NW5NW3W5W6W6W4NW4NW4NW3NW5NW3N4
2 days agoW6Calm5SW10NW4SW3CalmCalmE6E4E4E7E5E8SE8SE7S45S12S7S11S7S11S12

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.