Thursday, June20, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
North Syracuse, NY

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6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 5:23AMSunset 8:48PM Thursday June 20, 2019 7:14 PM EDT (23:14 UTC) Moonrise 10:28PMMoonset 7:20AM Illumination 88% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Expires:201906202115;;796198 Fzus51 Kbuf 201756 Nshbuf Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo Ny 156 Pm Edt Thu Jun 20 2019 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Loz043-044-202115- Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 156 Pm Edt Thu Jun 20 2019
This afternoon..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Showers. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tonight..North winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest. Occasional showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Friday..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west. A chance of showers in the morning. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Friday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Saturday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Mainly clear. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Sunday..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms Sunday night. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday..South winds 10 knots or less. Showers and Thunderstorms likely during the day, then showers likely Monday night. Waves 1 foot or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. The water temperature off rochester is 54 degrees.
LOZ044


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North Syracuse, NY
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location: 43.14, -76.12     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 202244
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
644 pm edt Thu jun 20 2019

Synopsis
Low pressure system will continue to generate showers and
thunderstorms across the region through tonight. Some storms may
contain heavy rain and gusty winds. High pressure will take
over Friday through most of the weekend, with dry weather and
warming temperatures before the next system moves into the area
on Monday with more showers and storms through Tuesday.

Near term through Friday night
640 pm update... Believe that the heavy rain threat is over for
most of ny and have only kept sullivan county in the flash flood
watch. Still some flood potential across all of our pa counties
this evening as surface low pressure tracks eastward across
central pa tonight and exits the east coast tomorrow morning.

350 pm update...

main concern in the near term remains focused on the continued
threat for flash flooding... Mainly across the southern tier of
ny and NE pa through this evening. A flash flood watch remains
in effect for this area until 1 am Sat morning.

There is also a flash flood watch in effect for most of central
ny into steuben county until 6 pm... But the greatest risk of
flooding for this area has likely passed.

Strong surface low that tracked to the E NE just south of lake
ontario into NRN ny today was able to produce a relatively
large area heavy rain with a broad area of a half to 1
inch... And embedded 1 to 3 inch amounts. Several locations saw
either minor small stream flooding issues or brief urban poor
drainage flooding. There was also a brief flare up of a strong
thunderstorm across NRN steuben county... But for the most part
the severe storm threat was limited or non-existent. For the
rest of the evening the primary area of concern will be NE pa
where some of the convection along the cold front may intensify
enough to trigger a few more strong storms with wind gusts.

There may also be an uptick in rainfall rates with the
convection as well. The boundary layer will begin to collapse
close to sunset... Which may act to enhance the precipitation
efficiency and bring up rates enough to trigger some minor
flooding issues.

The front should be completely out of the area before
midnight... With the bulk of the deep moisture being shunted off
to the east. The air mass moving in behind the front will be
a bit drier... But not completely void of moisture. A trailing
mid level wave will ride in from the west late tonight and be
able to interact with the moisture enough to produce more rain
showers through the overnight hours. Rainfall rates will be much
lower and the threat for additional flooding should be very
low.

A cooler and drier air mass will filter in from the north
through the day Friday as heights build aloft and a surface high
builds in across the central ERN great lakes. Temperatures will
be able to warm into the upper 60s and lower 70s with NW winds
around 10 to 20 mph making it feel a bit cooler than that. Sky
cover should be able to clear off by the afternoon with plenty
of Sun for most of the forecast area.

Temperatures Friday night will likely be able to cool into the
upper 40s and lower 50s with mostly clear skies and a light nw
wind continuing.

Short term Saturday through Sunday
350 pm update...

weather conditions Saturday through Sunday will be quiet as high
pressure dominates the area. Sky conditions will be mostly sunny
on Saturday with highs topping out in the lower to mid 70s.

Conditions even on Sunday will also likely be quiet most of the
day with cloud cover increasing west to east through the
afternoon into the evening hours.

Long term Sunday night through Thursday
350 pm update...

there is fairly good consensus among model guidance of a
surface low tracking newd through the central great lakes and a
warm front lifting north across pa ny later on Monday through
Tuesday with scattered showers and storms. The surface low will
get caught up in a broad cyclonic flow aloft across ERN canada
and remain slow-moving into the middle to latter half of the
week. This setup may end up producing periods of rain showers
and a few thunderstorms across the region during this time.

There does not appear to be a large significant moisture source
with this system, so any precip will likely be on the lighter
side. Most of the days will not be complete rain-outs... But will
likely see a chance of showers storms through the week.

Aviation 00z Friday through Tuesday
A ne-sw oriented line of showers and storms continues to track
across the region with some intensification possible... Which
could impact bgm and avp terminals this afternoon through
approximately 23z. All other terminals should be under mainly
scattered light rain showers through the rest of the day with
some low clouds and light fog developing tonight. Another batch
of light rain is expected to move west to east through the area
between 05z-11z. Conditions will improve after 12z from NW to se
with most locations seeing either high-end MVFR orVFR
conditions after 15z.

Outlook...

Friday afternoon through Sunday...VFR as high pressure takes
charge; but valley fog possible late each night at kelm.

Sunday night through Tuesday... Chance of showers and
restrictions moving in.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... Flash flood watch until 1 am edt Friday for paz038>040-043-044-
047-048-072.

Ny... Flash flood watch until 1 am edt Friday for nyz062.

Synopsis... Bjt
near term... Bjt mpk
short term... Bjt
long term... Bjt
aviation... Bjt mdp


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 31 mi63 min N 11 G 14 60°F 1000.2 hPa59°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 79 mi75 min NW 7 G 8 62°F
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 80 mi63 min 64°F 1000.7 hPa

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Syracuse, Syracuse Hancock International Airport, NY1 mi21 minNW 910.00 miOvercast69°F62°F78%999.7 hPa
Fulton, Oswego County Airport, NY21 mi21 minN 12 G 1710.00 miOvercast66°F62°F87%1000.6 hPa

Wind History from SYR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN6N6CalmCalmS3E6E4E3E4E5NE5E4E3E5E6NE4E3SW13W6NW11W9W11NW10NW9
1 day agoN8NW3SW3W3CalmSE3SE3E3CalmCalmN4CalmCalmS4CalmCalmNE4CalmCalmNW4NE7N6N5N5
2 days agoN6N3CalmCalmE3CalmCalmCalmE4SE4NE3E4E3N4E3E4Calm3CalmN6CalmCalmNE3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.