Thursday, May23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Newport, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:28AMSunset 8:27PM Thursday May 23, 2019 3:12 AM EDT (07:12 UTC) Moonrise 11:50PMMoonset 8:29AM Illumination 82% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
LOZ045 Mexico Bay To The Saint Lawrence River Along Lake Ontario- 131 Am Edt Thu May 23 2019
Overnight..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south. Scattered showers. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday..South winds 5 to 15 knots. Showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. Some Thunderstorms may produce gusty winds in the afternoon. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday night..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
Friday..West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northwest. Partly to mostly Sunny. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Friday night..West winds 10 knots or less becoming south. A chance of showers overnight. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday..South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms. Some Thunderstorms may produce gusty winds. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Sunday..Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming north. Partly to mostly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Monday..Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming east. A chance of showers Monday night. Waves 2 feet or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
LOZ045 Expires:201905230900;;312224 FZUS51 KBUF 230542 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 131 AM EDT Thu May 23 2019 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ045-230900-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Newport, NY
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 43.17, -75     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kaly 230547
afdaly
area forecast discussion
national weather service albany ny
147 am edt Thu may 23 2019

Synopsis
Isolated to scattered showers early this morning as weak
disturbance moves across the region. A low pressure system will
bring humid conditions for Thursday along with some showers and
scattered thunderstorms, mainly during the afternoon and evening.

Seasonable temperatures and breezy conditions will return for
Thursday night into Friday. Another system approaching from the west
could bring some showers by late Saturday afternoon.

Near term until 6 am this morning
As of 1:40 am... Surface high centered just off the coast of
long island will continue to shift farther out to sea overnight.

A weak disturbance short wave running into the upper ridge over
the region is resulting in some isolated to scattered showers
across the area. The activity is light as it falls from a deck
of mid level clouds. The 00z aly sounding was dry below 700 mb.

Dew points have risen with readings in the mid 30s to upper
40s. The best chances for activity will be south of the capital
district. Based on the upstream activity and guidance a rumble
of thunder may graze the southeastern catskills around sunrise.

Lows overnight in the mid 40s to lower 50s.

Short term 6 am this morning through Saturday
Morning showers across southern areas should depart by mid
morning, with a relative lull in precipitation until early
afternoon. However, models suggest quite a bit of mid level
clouds persisting in most areas during this time, limiting
heating, and also dewpoints are forecast to only slowly rise
into through the 50s.

By afternoon, showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop
across western central nys, closer to greater mid level height
falls and low level forcing ahead of an approaching
cold occluded front. Mid level wind fields are expected to
increase dramatically Thursday afternoon, with h700-h500 winds
reaching 50-60 kt or slightly higher by late afternoon. So,
kinematics will be very strong, but it remains questionable
whether enough thermodynamics will be present to create
sufficient updrafts to work in tandem with the strong deep
layered shear and allow for any discrete storms to become
supercellular. It appears that instability will remain weak,
with mu capes likely only reaching several hundred j kg across
the western mohawk valley SW adirondacks, and less farther south
and east. The weaker instability may not be enough to overcome
the strong mid level wind fields, and could result in highly
tilted updrafts with any discrete cells that can form.

Showers and some thunderstorms will likely move into the region
from the west during the mid to late afternoon, some of which
could contain strong wind gusts if they become tall enough
and or organize into a line. The best chances for this may be if
discrete cells upstream of our region form into a qlcs, which
could then propagate into the mohawk valley SW adirondack region
and possibly points immediately south and east, potentially
mixing down strong winds from aloft due to momentum transfer.

Again, this is a possibility, but not certain, but should this
mode develop, then a better chance for damaging wind gusts would
occur across the mohawk valley SW adirondack region and perhaps
as far S E as the greater capital region of ny and into southern
vt. As for any discrete cells, this potential, albeit small,
would mainly be areas west of the hudson river across the se
catskills and perhaps western mid hudson valley region. SPC has
trimmed the slight risk area westward from earlier issuances
(now only covering extreme western mohawk valley and sw
adirondacks) with marginal risk also trimmed back farther west,
extending to just east of the hudson river.

High temperatures Thursday may reach the lower mid 70s in some
valley areas, especially across the mohawk valley, schoharie
valley and capital region, with mainly 60s to around 70
elsewhere. Gusty south winds will also develop later in the day,
with some gusts possibly reaching 25-35 mph in some north south
valleys including portions of the capital region.

For Thursday night, showers and scattered thunderstorms may
linger into the evening hours, before ending from west to east
before midnight. Breezy and cooler conditions will then filter
into the region behind an occluded front, with some spotty
showers sprinkles possible across the southern adirondacks and
southern vt. Lows mainly in the 50s, with some 40s possible
across higher terrain of the southern adirondacks. Strong
west northwest winds may reach 25-35 mph later at night behind
the front, especially within the mohawk valley capital region
and berkshires.

Friday-Friday night, breezy and cool for Friday, with clouds and
some showers sprinkles possible across northern areas due to the
passage of main upper level trough cold pool. Better chances for
clearing will be across southern areas. Highs mainly in the 60s,
although some lower 70s could occur late in the day in some
valley areas, while some higher elevations across the
adirondacks and southern vt remain in the 50s. Gusty
west northwest winds may reach 25-35 mph. Clearing for Friday
night, and cool with lows mainly in the 40s to lower 50s. Some
30s could occur across the SW adirondacks and eastern catskills
if skies remain clear long enough.

Saturday, the next fast moving frontal system will approach from
the great lakes region later in the day or at night. Expect
increasing clouds during Saturday, with chances for showers
increasing in the afternoon. Some thunder could also occur,
although initial instability parameters look fairly limited
through sunset. Highs mainly in the mid 60s to lower 70s,
although could be warmer if more sunshine occurs through the
morning hours.

Long term Saturday night through Wednesday
The extended forecast period begins unsettled for the middle portion
of the memorial day holiday weekend, but high pressure looks to
build in late Sunday pm into Monday. If the ridge holds on, then
fair weather may continue into early Tuesday before unsettled
weather returns for the mid-week.

Saturday night into Sunday... A prefrontal sfc trough and a cold
front will bring an increase of showers and thunderstorms
across the forecast area Saturday night. The better instability
looks to be from the capital region north and west early in the
evening. A slight to low chance of thunderstorms was kept in
until midnight. The higher pops were maintained from roughly the
capital region north and west. Lows Sat night will be on the
mild side with 50s to around 60f. The latest medium range
guidance has the cold front moving through the forecast area in
the late morning into the early pm. We kept a slight chance of
showers with perhaps a thunderstorm over the higher terrain in
the pm especially over the southern greens and southern
adirondacks. Overall, we will favor a clearing trend for the
afternoon and lean towards the latest 12z ECMWF and wpc
guidance. Highs will be close to normal with mid 70s to around
80f in the lower elevations, and mid 60s to mid 70s over the
hills and mtns.

Sunday night into Monday... High pressure builds in from the
southeast ontario and the central and eastern great lakes region
with west to northwest flow aloft. A cool and pleasant night is
expected with lows in the upper 40 to upper 50s. The weak sfc high
settles over ny and new england by memorial day. H850 temps will be
near normal based on the latest GEFS guidance, and will be in the
+13c to +15c range with highs in the mid and upper 70s over the
valley locations, and mid 60s to lower 70s over the higher terrain.

A weak warm front starts to move towards the region late in the day
ahead of a quick moving short-wave trough. The latest 12z ec keeps
the sfc ridge in control, while the latest GFS has a few showers
over the southern adirondacks. We placed a slight chance of showers
from the hudson river valley eastward for the afternoon, and a very
low chance to west. This short-wave does not have a lot of low-
level moisture to work with, so an increase of clouds may be all
that occurs during the day.

Monday night into Tuesday... A weak sfc anticyclone may settles back
in across the region in the wake of the short-wave trough and weak
cold front late Mon night. A low chance of showers was kept in the
forecast early in the evening. The question will be how quickly a
warm front and strong low pressure system approaches from the upper
midwest and great lakes region. The 12z GFS is more aggressive than
the latest 12z ecmwf, with some spread in the ensemble guidance
brining showers back into the region by Tue pm. Low confidence
forecast here with the better chance of showers from the capital
region north and east. Lows Monday night will be in the 40s north
and west of albany, and upper 40s to lower 50s south and east. Highs
Tuesday will depend on the amount of sunshine and placement of the
warm front. We did not stray too far from the superblend with 60s
to lower 70s over most the region.

Tuesday night into Wednesday... A strong subtropical ridge attempts
to build in centered over the gulf of mexico and florida. Mid and
upper level heights try to increase over ny and new england. If the
warm front lifts through the entire area quickly, then we could be
in a warm and more humid air mass that the latest 12z ecmwf
mos mexmos, as well as the 12z GEFS 850 hpa temps +1 to +2 std devs
above normal are indicating. We kept a slight or low chance of
showers in across the region with the highest pops over the northern
most zones. We went a little higher than the superblend with upper
70s to around 80f in many of the valley areas, and mid upper 60s to
lower mid 70s over the higher terrain. Sfc dewpts increase into
the mid 50s to lower 60s.

Aviation 06z Thursday through Monday
Isolated to scattered showers are expected through the overnight, as
a weak disturbance moves through mainly from around kalb southward
to kpou. With the air mass in place initially relatively dry,VFR
conditions will persist with CIGS in the 5-10 kt ft agl range.

Then, a frontal system will bring some showers and scattered
thunderstorms during the afternoon to early evening hours. Time
frame for tsra will be from 19z this afternoon to around 01z Friday.

Amount of instability is uncertain, so will mention prob30 for
thunder at all TAF sites.VFR conditions should persist, although
MVFR will occur within any tsra.

Winds will initially be light and variable, becoming southerly
around 8-13 kt by later this morning. Occasional gusts around 20 kt
will also occur. Winds will shift to the west-southwest this evening
behind the frontal system.

Outlook...

Thursday night: high operational impact. Breezy likely shra... Tsra.

Friday: low operational impact. Breezy no sig wx.

Friday night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Saturday: moderate operational impact. Breezy. Likely shra... Tsra.

Saturday night: moderate operational impact. Breezy.Chance of shra... Tsra.

Sunday: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Sunday night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Memorial day: low operational impact. Slight chance of shra.

Fire weather
Wind gusts of 25-35 mph possible Thursday...

clouds will increase tonight with some showers possible late as
a low pressure system approaches from the great lakes region. A
frontal system associated with this low will bring humid
conditions for Thursday along with some showers and scattered
thunderstorms, mainly during the afternoon and evening.

Seasonable temperatures and breezy conditions will return for
Thursday night into Friday. Another frontal system approaching
from the west could bring some showers by late Saturday
afternoon.

Rh values will climb to 70-90 percent tonight, then fall to
55-65 percent Thursday afternoon.

Winds will become light variable after sunset, then become south
to southwest and increase to 10-20 mph by Thursday afternoon,
with some gusts of 25-35 mph possible.

Spotty showers will develop after midnight, with a better chance
for showers and scattered thunderstorms Thursday afternoon and
evening as a frontal system moves across.

Hydrology
Some showers will develop late tonight, with showers and
scattered thunderstorms expected Thursday afternoon and evening
as a frontal system moves across. Total rainfall amounts for
late tonight through Thursday night are expected to range from
one quarter to one half inch for most areas, except up to three
quarters of an inch across portions of the mohawk valley and
southwest adirondacks. Rainfall amounts may remain under one
quarter of an inch across portions of the mid hudson valley and
nw ct.

This rainfall should not have significant impacts on
rivers streams. However, brief heavy downpours could lead to
temporary ponding of water in poor drainage urban and low lying
areas.

Additional showers and embedded thunderstorms are possible late
Saturday into Saturday night with another fast moving frontal
system passing through.

Please visit our advanced hydrologic prediction service ahps
web page for specific area rivers and lakes observations and
forecasts.

Aly watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Ma... None.

Vt... None.

Synopsis... Iaa kl wasula
near term... Iaa kl wasula
short term... Kl
long term... Wasula
aviation... Jpv
fire weather... Iaa kl
hydrology... Iaa kl


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 83 mi61 min SSE 12 G 17 61°F 1017.3 hPa46°F

Wind History for Oswego, NY
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
Last
24hr
SW3
S2
S2
S1
E1
NE2
N5
NE10
W7
N4
N5
N4
N4
NE5
NE4
G7
NE2
E4
G7
SE3
SE3
SE5
G9
SE5
G8
S8
G13
S11
G14
S13
G16
1 day
ago
W21
W21
G26
W21
W22
W21
G26
W20
W15
W17
W17
W16
G22
W17
G22
W13
G18
W15
G22
W14
G18
W13
G16
W11
G18
W16
W14
G18
W7
G13
W11
G16
W7
G10
SW3
G8
SW3
S4
G7
2 days
ago
S9
G14
S9
S8
G11
S9
G14
SW7
G12
W7
W8
G11
W8
W10
G13
W16
W17
G21
W16
G22
W16
G23
W17
G23
W21
G29
W17
G24
W14
G20
W15
G20
W15
G20
W19
W21
W20
G25

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Griffiss Air Force Base / Rome, NY22 mi80 minE 710.00 miOvercast61°F43°F52%1020.2 hPa

Wind History from RME (wind in knots)
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW4N8SE35SW4W3Calm3SW5E4E5E6E8E8E5E7E7E5
1 day agoW9W12W13W11W11NW11
G19
NW13
G21
NW12
G22
NW12
G23
W17
G22
NW11
G22
NW20
G27
NW21
G27
NW15
G24
NW16
G22
NW15NW10NW8NW4CalmCalmNW4N4Calm
2 days agoE4SE6S4Calm3SW4SW10W8W11W15
G19
W7NW19
G25
NW12W15
G23
NW16
G27
NW17
G24
W17
G22
W17
G23
W18
G25
W15
G21
W12NW13
G22
W16W8

Tide / Current Tables for Troy, Hudson River, New York
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Troy
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:26 AM EDT     0.54 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:09 AM EDT     5.54 feet High Tide
Thu -- 09:25 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 04:05 PM EDT     0.04 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:18 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:37 PM EDT     4.31 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
2.31.81.20.60.71.83.24.45.25.55.34.43.22.31.50.600.51.72.93.74.24.33.7

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Albany
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:17 AM EDT     0.54 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:01 AM EDT     5.54 feet High Tide
Thu -- 09:26 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 03:55 PM EDT     0.04 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:18 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:29 PM EDT     4.31 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
2.21.71.10.60.823.44.55.25.55.24.23.12.21.40.400.71.93.13.84.24.23.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (3,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.