Tuesday, May23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Sylvan Beach, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:31AMSunset 8:31PM Tuesday May 23, 2017 11:59 PM EDT (03:59 UTC) Moonrise 3:23AMMoonset 4:50PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 1031 Am Edt Tue May 23 2017
Rest of today..South winds less than 10 knots. Partly to mostly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tonight..Northeast winds less than 10 knots. Partly to mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday..Light and variable winds becoming northeast 15 to 20 knots. Partly to mostly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Wednesday night..East winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming east 10 to 15 knots. Rain. Waves 2 feet or less.
Friday..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Showers likely. Waves 1 foot or less.
Saturday..Northwest winds less than 10 knots becoming southeast. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less. The water temperature off rochester is 51 degrees.
LOZ044 Expires:201705232100;;081862 FZUS51 KBUF 231438 NSHBUF NEARSHORE MARINE FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1031 AM EDT TUE MAY 23 2017 FOR WATERS WITHIN FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE WAVES ARE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT - THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVE SPECTRUM. OCCASIONAL WAVE HEIGHT IS THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST 1/10 OF THE WAVE SPECTRUM. LOZ043-044-232100-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Sylvan Beach, NY
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location: 43.17, -75.82     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 232340
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
740 pm edt Tue may 23 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will bring dry weather and a mix of Sun and clouds
to ny and pa through Wednesday. Low pressure will spread
showers and cooler weather back to our region for Thursday and
Friday.

Near term through Wednesday
735 pm update...

high cirrus has thinned somewhat over the last few hours. Enough
radiational cooling is projected to drop temperatures to around
50 degrees overnight, and that should allow fog to form along
the river valleys.

No further changes were made to the existing forecast package.

130 pm update...

high pressure will yield a mostly clear and seasonable night.

Temperatures will drop to near 50 degrees Wednesday morning,
with enough moisture in the boundary layer to support fog or
low stratus formation. We are leaning toward fog at this
juncture due to the light wind flow. Crossover temperatures are
2 to 4 degrees below Wednesday morning's projected minimums, but
that may be misleading as dew points are projected to rise a
few degrees overnight.

Brief ridging in southwest flow ahead of the approaching
stacked system will push 925mb temperatures into the mid-teens
on Wednesday. Surface highs will push into the mid-70s as a
result.

1130 am update...

temperatures are rebounding after a very cool start to the
morning. Our grids depicted temperatures a little too warm
through noon, so we imported new mesoscale data to better fit
today's diurnal curve.

Otherwise, no changes were necessary. A mix of Sun and clouds
is forecast with temperatures peaking in the lower to middle-
70s.

Short term Wednesday night through Thursday night
228 pm edt update...

by Wed night the next storm system will start to impact the
region. An uppr-lvl trough will start to push into the mid-west
and the system's mid-lvl trough will be located over the ohio
valley. Showers from it's attendant sfc low will start to move
into western ny pa after midnight and then engulf the region by
sunrise. It appears that this system will bring a steady rain
showers across the region. A few rumbles of will be possible
during Thursday afternoon. ATTM it looks like there will be two
waves of precip, a round early thurs morning then a second batch
thurs evening. This system will have minimal CAA with it, thus
sfc temps will not be influenced much by this sfc low and be
able rebound quickly by Friday (into the mid to uppr 60s).

Showers are likely to linger through Thursday night as the sfc low
slowly slides off to the east. Temps are expected to decrease into
the low to mid 50s Thursday night.

Long term Friday through Tuesday
228 pm edt update...

the uppr low mentioned in the previous discussion will be slow to
depart and will continue to keep a slight chance for precip in the
forecast for Friday and Saturday.

An active weather pattern continues throughout the remainder of the
forecast period. Another potent uppr-lvl low will propagate eastward
across the northern plains starting Sunday, and will result in deep
sw flow aloft over the northeast. SW flow aloft will result in the
chance for precip over the region through the remainder of the
forecast period as multiple waves will move over the region
producing an environment conducive for showers.

Temps during the extended will be at or slightly above the seasonal
norm.

Aviation 00z Wednesday through Sunday
A quiet 24 hour period is forecast with high pressure fixed over
the region.VFR conditions and light winds will prevail. The
exception will be the early morning hours of Wednesday when fog
or low stratus is likely to form at kelm, and possibly at kith
and kbgm.

Crossover temperature analysis suggests light fog formation is
likely in the river valleys between 8z and 12z.

Outlook...

late Wednesday night through Friday night... Rain showers with
associated restrictions likely due to low pressure system.

Saturday... MainlyVFR.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Djp
near term... Djp
short term... Kah
long term... Kah
aviation... Djp


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 42 mi41 min ESE 1.9 G 2.9 62°F 1008.6 hPa47°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 94 mi59 min ESE 2.9 G 2.9 61°F 1009.5 hPa (-0.3)
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 96 mi41 min 61°F 1008.3 hPa

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Syracuse, Syracuse Hancock International Airport, NY16 mi65 minE 310.00 miMostly Cloudy59°F51°F75%1008.2 hPa
Griffiss Air Force Base / Rome, NY22 mi66 minENE 410.00 miFair56°F51°F84%1009.1 hPa

Wind History from SYR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW5SW3S3SE3SE3CalmSE3SE3E4SE3W3SW4SW5CalmCalmCalmNW34CalmNE6E4CalmE3E3
1 day agoE8CalmS8SE4SE4E7E6E5CalmCalmSE6E5S8SE4S8S11S8N9NW10NW8NW5W7SW8SW5
2 days agoE6E5E5E6E8E8E9E8E10E13E12SE14
G20
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S8S12SE10S12
G19
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G21
SE10SE4S8
G16
NE4Calm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.