Thursday, May25, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Cleveland, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:29AMSunset 8:33PM Thursday May 25, 2017 12:56 AM EDT (04:56 UTC) Moonrise 4:42AMMoonset 7:20PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Sodus Bay To The Saint Lawrence River Along Lake Ontario- 434 Pm Edt Wed May 24 2017
Tonight..Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southeast. A chance of rain late. Waves around 1 foot.
Thursday..East winds 5 to 15 knots. Rain. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast. A chance of showers. Waves 1 foot or less.
Friday..Northeast winds 10 knots or less becoming northwest. A chance of showers. Waves 2 feet or less.
Friday night..North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming light and variable. A chance of showers in the evening. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday..Light and variable winds becoming south 5 to 10 knots. A chance of showers Saturday night. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sunday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. Showers likely. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. Showers likely. Waves 2 feet or less.
LOZ044 Expires:201705250315;;148438 FZUS51 KBUF 242034 NSHBUF NEARSHORE MARINE FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 434 PM EDT WED MAY 24 2017 FOR WATERS WITHIN FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE WAVES ARE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT - THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVE SPECTRUM. OCCASIONAL WAVE HEIGHT IS THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST 1/10 OF THE WAVE SPECTRUM. LOZ044-045-250315-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cleveland, NY
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location: 43.18, -75.83     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 242312
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
712 pm edt Wed may 24 2017

Synopsis
A large low pressure system will spread rain, showers and
cooler weather back across the region for Thursday and Friday.

Temperatures will trend slightly warmer over the weekend. Mainly
dry conditions are expected Saturday. This will be followed by
increasing chances for showers Sunday into Monday.

Near term through Thursday
Satellite imagery shows mid-level clouds rapidly increasing
across the region. This will act to support temperatures
tonight, slowing the nocturnal drop off.

Latest mesoscale guidance agrees with the regional radar
depiction in not bringing precipitation into ny pa until after
sunrise.

Minor temperature and wind adjustments were made for the new
grid package.

3 pm update...

satellite imagery shows a large cyclone over the midwest which
was slowly moving eastward. Water vapor channels on the goes-16
shows two small short waves rippling northeast with central ny
and northeast pa in between waves early this afternoon. Hence
there was mainly some thin cirrus overhead with a few cumulus
underneath embedded in a southeasterly low-level flow.

All models concur with the satellite trend that the cyclone in
the midwest moves east tonight reaching the ohio valley by
Thursday morning, into ny and pa by Thursday afternoon and to
the new england coast by Friday morning. As this cyclone reaches
into the ohio valley tonight the low-level southeasterly flow
will accelerate and increase the warm air advection or
isentropic lift. Initially most of central ny and northeast pa
will be dry so it will take some time for the precipitation to
arrive later tonight. However, this flow pattern will allow
clouds to overspread the region this evening.

The main slug of rain will arrive late tonight as lifting from
the upper level wave jet streak left exit region on the east
side of the cyclone combines with the isentropic lift and
moisture advection. This occurs mainly between 12z and 18z
Thursday. By Thursday afternoon, the dry slot from the upper low
will be across much of central ny and northeast pa and the rain
will become more showery in nature with coverage diminishing.

So have categorical pops for rain in the morning tapering to
showers in the afternoon.

Then by Thursday evening, the upper level low works east and
another batch of precipitation will slide into most of northeast
pa to eastern ny. Since the upper level low will be nearly
overhead it will be colder aloft and have added some thunder in
these areas to our forecast as showalter indices are below zero
for the evening. By later Thursday night, the flow turns
northwest with plenty of moisture so we continue wrap around showers
through through the early morning hours of Friday.

Short term Thursday night through Saturday night
220 pm edt update...

by Friday morning the stacked low will be east of the region
and a few showers will be lingering over the region as NW flow
will prevail over the region. This system will have minimal caa
with it as heights will quickly build back behind this system.

By Friday evening the mid and uppr-lvl ridge will start to
build into the region. The NW flow should keep an inversion in
place throughout the afternoon keeping mostly cloudy skies over
the region, thus sfc temps will stay in the low to mid 60s
across much of the area. Nepa may reach the uppr 60s.

By Sat morning the ridge will continue to build eastward and heights
will continue to build over the region. Sfc temps will easily be
able to rebound into the mid to upper 70s on sat. A wave embedded
within the outer edge of the ridge will slide across the region on
sat. This may create a few showers over nepa and central ny.

Long term Sunday through Wednesday
220 pm edt update...

minor chances were made to the previous forecast.

The weather during this period continues to look active as the next
storm system to move into to the region will start to slide
into the great lakes region on Sunday. This next stacked low
looks like it will remain semi-stationary through Wednesday and
create the chance for rain showers each day of the extended
forecast through Wednesday evening. The trend for a wet spring
continues.

Temps during the forecast period will be at or slightly above the
seasonal norm.

Aviation 23z Wednesday through Monday
Vfr conditions will hold overnight as mid-level clouds gradually
lower. Rain will move into our southern terminals around
sunrise, then spread north into syr and rme between 12z and 14z.

Ceilings will drop into MVFR territory when the rain arrives.

Kbgm and kith will likely see ifr ceilings by 15z-18z.

Wind gusts of 20 to 30 knots are forecast for the first half of
Thursday.

Outlook...

Thursday afternoon through Friday night... Rain showers with
associated restrictions likely due to low pressure system.

Saturday through Saturday night... MainlyVFR.

Sunday-Monday... Showers and restrictions becoming likely.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Djn
near term... Djn djp
short term... Kah
long term... Kah
aviation... Djp


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 41 mi39 min ESE 6 G 8.9 67°F 1005.8 hPa49°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 94 mi57 min SE 12 G 20 67°F 1005.4 hPa (+0.0)
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 95 mi39 min 69°F 1004.4 hPa

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Syracuse, Syracuse Hancock International Airport, NY16 mi63 minSE 610.00 miMostly Cloudy64°F50°F60%1006.1 hPa
Griffiss Air Force Base / Rome, NY23 mi64 minE 610.00 miFair62°F50°F65%1007.7 hPa

Wind History from SYR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmE3E4E3E4E4E5E4E4NE3NE73NE5SE7
G17
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1 day agoSW3S3SE3SE3CalmSE3SE3E4SE3W3SW4SW5CalmCalmCalmNW34CalmNE6E4CalmE3E3E3
2 days agoCalmS8SE4SE4E7E6E5CalmCalmSE6E5S8SE4S8S11S8N9NW10NW8NW5W7SW8SW5SW5

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.