Monday, May22, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Cleveland, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 5:32AMSunset 8:30PM Monday May 22, 2017 5:34 PM EDT (21:34 UTC) Moonrise 2:49AMMoonset 3:37PM Illumination 8% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 1021 Am Edt Mon May 22 2017
Rest of today..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west and increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Showers likely late this morning... Then scattered showers this afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tonight..West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest 5 to 15 knots. Mainly clear in the evening...then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tuesday..South winds 10 knots or less becoming west. Partly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday night..Light and variable winds. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday..Light and variable winds becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers during the day...then showers likely Wednesday night. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms. Waves 2 feet or less.
Friday..North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northwest. A chance of showers. Waves 1 foot or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. The water temperature off rochester is 50 degrees.
LOZ044 Expires:201705222115;;029261 FZUS51 KBUF 221421 NSHBUF NEARSHORE MARINE FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1021 AM EDT MON MAY 22 2017 FOR WATERS WITHIN FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE WAVES ARE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT - THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVE SPECTRUM. OCCASIONAL WAVE HEIGHT IS THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST 1/10 OF THE WAVE SPECTRUM. LOZ043-044-222115-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cleveland, NY
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location: 43.18, -75.83     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 221840
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
240 pm edt Mon may 22 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will clear skies out tonight, allowing for a cool
and clear Tuesday morning. The next chance for showers will come
late Wednesday night or Thursday, as another wave of low
pressure tracks into ny state.

Near term /through Tuesday night/
212 pm update...

showers are exiting the region at this time. The possibility for
isolated redevelopment exists through late afternoon before high
pressure nosing into ny and pa clears skies out for the
overnight.

With the ground saturated and very cool temperatures forecast
for tonight, it is likely fog will form Tuesday morning,
especially in the valleys.

The mid-week low swinging into the great lakes and ny is
forecast to move slower than previously thought, keeping our
weather dry through Tuesday night.

1025 am update...

the area of showers moving out of western new york is rapidly
diminishing in scope and intensity. As a result, we lowered pop
coverage through mid-afternoon and populated the grids with the
latest hrrr and rap guidance, which appear to be handling the
situation well.

We are currently assessing maximum temperatures, which may need
to be raised if the rain doesn't fill in or we receive a few
breaks of sunshine.

.Short term /Wednesday through Thursday/
230 pm update... Model consensus has continued to throttle back
on the eastward movement of the next deep upper trough/upper low
to develop towards the middle of the week, within the persistent blocky
flow regime. As a result, it now appears that Wednesday will be
rain-free.

By later Wednesday night and Thursday, it looks more likely that
rain will spread into the region. Confidence in the
aforementioned upper trough/upper low evolution is high, but
confidence in the exact precipitation structure and amounts are
lower. One scenario points toward heavier rain axes both well
to our east along the coast and also to our west through western
ny/pa, while another brings a more consolidated shot of rain
through cny/nepa. These details may not be hashed out for
another day or two, so for now, we'll simply advertise likely
probabilities for rain.

Wednesday looks seasonably warm, with highs mostly in the 70s,
while highs Thursday should be limited to the 60s, with clouds
and precipitation anticipated.

Long term /Thursday night through Sunday/
240 pm update... The above mentioned upper low will be slow to
depart Friday, so thus showers, or even a period of steadier
rain, is likely to persist.

It still looks like we'll see improvement for at least the start
of the holiday weekend, as the upper trough lifts out into the
north atlantic, and the flow becomes more zonal aloft. From this
early vantage point, Saturday and Sunday look mostly rain-free,
with temperatures moderating back into the upper 60s and 70s.

Aviation /19z Monday through Saturday/
Showers are exiting the terminals earlier than expected this
afternoon. MVFR ceilings will rise intoVFR territory between
20z and 23z as winds become light and variable.

A chance for ifr fog exists early Tuesday morning at kelm.

Outlook...

Tuesday night and Wednesday...VFR.

Wednesday night through Friday... Rain/showers with associated
restrictions likely.

Bgm watches/warnings/advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Djp
near term... Djp
short term... Mlj
long term... Mlj
aviation... Djp


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 41 mi46 min W 14 G 20 53°F 1013.3 hPa46°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 94 mi34 min WSW 13 G 25 60°F 1015.2 hPa (+1.0)
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 95 mi46 min 61°F 1014.2 hPa

Wind History for Oswego, NY
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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SE9
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N10
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Syracuse, Syracuse Hancock International Airport, NY16 mi40 minN 910.00 miMostly Cloudy62°F57°F84%1012.1 hPa
Griffiss Air Force Base / Rome, NY23 mi41 minE 910.00 miPartly Cloudy61°F57°F90%1013 hPa

Wind History from SYR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE11
G21
SE10SE4S8
G16
NE4CalmE8CalmS8SE4SE4E7E6E5CalmCalmSE6E5S8SE4S8S11S8N9
1 day agoN5N8N8NW4CalmCalmE6E5E5E6E8E8E9E8E10E13E12SE14
G20
SE12
G19
S8S12SE10S12
G19
S11
2 days agoN11N7N5NW7NW6NW4NW4N4CalmCalmNE3N5N3N5NE8E54NE65444E53

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.