Wednesday, April25, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Cleveland, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.

Sunrise 6:03AMSunset 8:00PM Wednesday April 25, 2018 7:49 PM EDT (23:49 UTC) Moonrise 2:15PMMoonset 3:08AM Illumination 81% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Sodus Bay To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario- 746 Am Edt Wed Apr 25 2018
.small craft advisory in effect from this evening through Thursday evening...
Today..Southeast winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast. Occasional rain. Patchy fog this afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tonight..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west and increasing to 15 to 25 knots overnight. Patchy fog in the evening. Rain showers. Waves 1 foot or less building to 4 to 7 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
Thursday..West winds 15 to 20 knots. Showers. Waves 4 to 7 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
Thursday night..West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south 5 to 15 knots. Mainly clear. Waves 3 to 6 feet subsiding to 1 to 2 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet.
Friday..Southeast winds less than 10 knots becoming southwest and increasing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of rain showers Friday night. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday..West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest 10 to 15 knots. A chance of rain showers. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 5 feet, then subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Sunday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west 10 to 15 knots. A chance of rain showers. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet.
LOZ044 Expires:201804251515;;474641 FZUS51 KBUF 251146 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 746 AM EDT Wed Apr 25 2018 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ044-251515-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cleveland, NY
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location: 43.18, -75.83     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 251948
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
348 pm edt Wed apr 25 2018

Synopsis
A passing low pressure system will bring occasional rain through
this evening, followed by gradually diminishing showers late
tonight into Thursday. Other passing disturbances will produce
showers at times Friday into Saturday, followed by dry and
warming conditions early next week.

Near term through Thursday night
3 pm update...

low pressure over delaware will move northeast while a cold
front sweeps east from southeast ontario and the ohio valley. A
deep southeast flow continues to pump moisture into the area off
the atlantic. An area of rain from nepa to upper susquehanna and
mohawk valleys will lift northeast ahead of the front. The front
will pass through the area this evening with showers. The
showers will be heaviest and longest lasting in the finger lakes
to the western mohawk valley. This is where the best forcing
will be ahead of an upper level low.

Late tonight the showers taper off but continue into Thursday
afternoon before ending. Most of the showers will be in cny
especially along and north of the thruway. Moisture will be wrap
around as the upper level trough moves through. 850mb fall to
around +2c so showers remain rain.

Rain for this event has gotten to around an inch where the band
is from hazleton to cooperstown. Some minor river and stream
rises but nothing to worry about.

Lows tonight in the lower 40s. Highs Thursday from the lower 50s
northeast to around 60 scranton to elmira. Cooler Thursday night
with partial clearing. Lows mostly upper 30s but lower 40s
wyoming valley.

Short term Friday through Saturday
Unsettled weather will continue into Friday as a short wave digs
into the lakes and another wave moves up along the east coast.

The forecast area will be between these two systems as scattered
showers slowly fill in across the area, aided by afternoon
heating.

Cold front drops through the area Friday night leaving
us in a weak cold advection pattern under an upper trough.

Expect increases daytime instability and showers, especially as
the base of the upper trough swings through.

Both days will have below normal daytime temperatures with
clouds, rainfall amounts will generally be light.

Long term Saturday night through Wednesday
Showers taper off Saturday night into early Sunday as high
pressure builds in. Some isolated showers may linger into Sunday
afternoon over the extreme northern and eastern parts of the
forecast area.

Ridge continues to build through the end of the forecast period
bringing temperatures well above normal. Highs would be well
into the 70s and close to 80 at least in the valleys and away
from the lakes.

430 am update... Again, the existing forecast seems to be on
target, so not much was changed.

Global models remain consistent from earlier runs, in showing a
large-scale upper trough over eastern canada and the
northeastern CONUS this weekend. This trough is progged to lift
out and get replaced by upper ridging over the eastern conus
next week.

In general, this means cool, showery weather to start the
weekend, with slow improvement starting as early as Sunday. By
Monday-Tuesday, a notable trend towards drier, much warmer
conditions is still foreseen.

Aviation 19z Wednesday through Monday
Low pressure moving up the east coast and a cold front passing
this evening will keep MVFR and some ifr conditions through
tonight. Some improvement Thursday morning withVFR expected
late Thursday all sites.

For now mostly fuel alternate ceilings andVFR vsbys. A SW to ne
band of rain is slowly lifting north into bgm rme which will
bring lower vsbys. Elsewhere only isolated showers. Bgm due to
its elevation has ifr CIGS now through the night.

With the cold front some ifr vsbys in cny from 22z to 03z. With
and behind the cold front CIGS will drop to ifr except maybe
elm. Around 05z showers end and vsbys improve and CIGS start to
improve everywhere. Winds will help mix the low levels.

Improvement to MVFR CIGS around 12z except rme.

East to northeast winds at 5 kts now will become light and
variable around 22z. Around 02z winds shift to NW at 5 kts.

Thursday west winds will increase to 10 to 15 kts with some
higher gusts.

Outlook...

Thursday afternoon and Thursday night... MVFR ceilings scatter
out in afternoon;VFR into Thursday night. Moderate confidence.

Friday to Saturday night... Some restrictions possible from rain
showers at times. Moderate confidence.

Sunday to Monday...VFR. High confidence.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Tac
near term... Tac
short term... Dgm
long term... Dgm mlj
aviation... Tac


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 41 mi50 min Calm G 1 48°F 1005.9 hPa (-0.7)48°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 94 mi50 min NNW 12 G 13 43°F 1007.5 hPa (-1.0)
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 95 mi50 min 45°F 1006.9 hPa (-0.7)

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Last
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E1
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G8
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1 day
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NE1
G7
SE2
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G12
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G14
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G16
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G12
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G15
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G23
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G21
S10
G18
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N7
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SE1
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G9
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G6
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G14
NW6
G12
NE5
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NE6
G10
N4
G8
NE8
G12
NE8

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Syracuse, Syracuse Hancock International Airport, NY16 mi56 minN 010.00 miOvercast53°F53°F100%1005.3 hPa
Griffiss Air Force Base / Rome, NY23 mi57 minN 02.00 miLight Rain Fog/Mist53°F52°F96%1006.1 hPa

Wind History from SYR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS7S11
G18
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S10S10SE5E4NE7E6E8E7E9E10NE11E10E9E9E9E7E7E5N3Calm
1 day agoSE6SE5SE5SE4SE4S7S10S10SE3S9E5E7E6SE10
G16
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G19
S10
G17
S13
G19
S8
G18
S11
G18
S10S8S7S6S9
2 days agoN5CalmS3SE3CalmSE3E3SE3SE4E4CalmNE4CalmE3NE433NW3N5NE74N5NE74

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.