Wednesday, January24, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Cleveland, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:24AMSunset 5:08PM Wednesday January 24, 2018 6:47 AM EST (11:47 UTC) Moonrise 11:26AMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 52% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 623 Am Est Wed Jan 24 2018
.small craft advisory in effect until 4 pm est this afternoon...
Today..Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Lake effect snow showers likely this morning, then scattered snow showers this afternoon. Waves in ice free areas 6 to 9 feet subsiding to 4 to 7 feet. Waves in ice free areas occasionally around 11 feet.
Tonight..Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming north. Scattered snow showers in the evening, then scattered flurries overnight. Waves 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet.
Thursday..North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming light and variable. Mostly Sunny. Waves 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet.
Thursday night..Light and variable winds. Partly cloudy. Waves 3 to 6 feet building to 4 to 7 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
Friday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south 15 to 20 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 4 to 7 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
Saturday..South winds 15 to 25 knots becoming southwest and diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. A chance of rain showers during the day, then rain likely Saturday night. Waves 4 to 7 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
Sunday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest 15 to 20 knots. Rain likely during the day, then snow and rain showers likely Sunday night. Waves 4 to 7 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet. Wave heights are for ice free areas. The water temperature off rochester is 36 degrees.
LOZ044 Expires:201801241600;;922694 FZUS51 KBUF 241123 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 623 AM EST Wed Jan 24 2018 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ043-044-241600-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cleveland, NY
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location: 43.18, -75.83     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 240951
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
451 am est Wed jan 24 2018

Synopsis
Colder, more seasonable temperatures will prevail, for the rest
of the work week. Some light lake effect snow, or flurries, will
also continue into tonight, with little accumulation. High
pressure will bring dry weather, for Thursday and Friday. Over
the weekend, moderating temperatures are expected.

Near term through tonight
420 am update... Colder air is pouring into cny nepa early this
morning, owing to a strong wnw flow in the lower levels of the
atmosphere. In fact, strong cold advection is likely to keep
temperatures dropping past daybreak, with only a small recovery
expected this afternoon (highs in the 20s most areas, perhaps
near 30 over parts of nepa).

Lake-effect streamers off the eastern great lakes are evident
on regional radar loops at this time. However, both observations
and web cams show very light intensity little in the way of
visibility restrictions. Given an expected reduction in moisture
depths with time, very light intensities should continue to
prevail, with total accumulations only on the order of an inch
or so in the most favored areas, through this evening.

Satellite imagery shows an extensive mass of stratocumulus
clouds extending from the upper midwest all the way across
cny nepa this morning. As a result, clouds should have the upper
hand today for most of the region (probably some breaks of
sunshine over parts of nepa by afternoon). As moisture levels
become quite shallow tonight and sinking motion increases,
partial clearing should develop over many areas after midnight.

Lows by daybreak will settle into the single digits and teens.

Short term Thursday through Friday
430 am update... As a large surface high builds across the
northeastern u.S. This period, we're looking for dry weather,
under generally clear-partly cloudy skies.

Thursday will remain fairly cold, with afternoon highs in the
upper teens and 20s, while overnight lows drop into the single
digits and teens once again.

We should see some recovery in temperatures Friday, as warm
advection aloft ensues by then. Afternoon highs should range
from the lower 30s over the southern tug hill region, the mohawk
valley, the catskills, and the poconos, to the upper 30s back
to the west over the finger lakes region.

Long term Friday night through Tuesday
Mild southwest flow aloft continues into Friday night as the
upper level ridge axis shifts east. Conditions will remain dry,
under partly cloudy skies Friday evening... Then increasing
clouds later at night. Overnight lows will dip into the 20s,
from about interstate 81 east, with lower to mid 30s west,
toward the finger lakes. Southerly winds will increase to
between 5 to 15 mph Friday night, with the higher speeds along
the ridge tops. Saturday morning starts off mostly cloudy, with
a chance of rain showers over the northwestern portion of the
forecast area by late morning as a trough of low pressure slowly
approaches from the great lakes region. Saturday afternoon, a
deeper SW flow of moisture begins to develop... Originating from
the gulf of mexico. Rain showers will become likely across the
finger lakes and into the syracuse metro area late in the day.

There will be a slight chance chance of showers as far south and
east as elmira---binghamton and oneonta. Much of NE pa looks to
stay dry through the daylight hours Saturday. Temperatures will
be very mild, with highs reaching the mid-40s to lower 50s. An
area of low pressure will then develop along the plume of
moisture in the ohio valley and track northeast, over central pa
and SE ny Saturday night into Sunday. This will bring a steady
period of rain to the entire area. Some sleet or wet snow may
mix in over the highest elevations in central ny, and especially
northern oneida county late Saturday night into Sunday. P-types
may require further adjustment if the track of the low shifts,
or the amount of cold air (at the surface and aloft) changes.

Total precipitation amounts Saturday through Sunday look to
range from about 0.50 to 0.75 inches for most locations. Colder
air will continue to filter into the region Sunday afternoon and
especially Sunday night. Any left over showers in the NW flow
will gradually change to snow, from NW to SE and over the higher
terrain first. Some lake effect is expected as 850mb
temperatures fall to between -8c to -12c by Monday morning. Lows
early Monday morning will be 25-30, except lower 30s in the
wyoming valley. Cold air continues to deepen and filter into the
cwa Monday night and Tuesday. Again, some light lake effect
snow showers or flurries will be possible during this period.

Lows Monday night will be in the teens (except single digits n.

Oneida county) and highs Tuesday only recover into the
20s... Except some upper teens in the higher terrain of central
ny. The upper level trough then shifts east, heights quickly
rise, and another warming trend is expected by the middle of
next week.

Aviation 10z Wednesday through Sunday
06z update... Lake-effect snow in the vicinity of ksyr and krme
this morning will produce persistent ifr-below alternate
restrictions. Lower ceilings and flurries will bring fuel
alternate-MVFR restrictions to kbgm, kith, and kelm, while kavp
staysVFR.

This afternoon, conditions improve slightly to fuel alternate-
MVFR at ksyr and krme, while these same restrictions continue at
kbgm and kith. Kelm should improve toVFR, while kavp stays
unrestricted.

This evening, fuel alternate-MVFR ceilings continue at kith and
kbgm. In the meantime, conditions improve toVFR at ksyr and
krme after 02-03z, while kavp stays unrestricted.

Gusty w-nw surface winds through the day Wednesday, should
diminish a bit this evening.

Outlook...

Thursday through Saturday...VFR under high pressure.

Saturday night through Sunday... Restrictions likely in light
rain.

Hydrology
445 am update... The main issues at this point center around
isolated ice jams. With cold, mainly dry weather foreseen over
the next few days, both flows and ice movement should be reduced
over time, hopefully leading to less of a tendency for
additional jams to occur.

However, near existing jams and in other areas typically prone
to ice jams, continued vigilance is recommended.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Mlj
near term... Mlj
short term... Mlj
long term... Dgm mjm
aviation... Mlj rrm
hydrology...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 41 mi48 min WNW 25 G 35 23°F 1015.2 hPa (+4.0)17°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 94 mi48 min WNW 21 G 25 24°F 1016.9 hPa (+3.7)
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 95 mi48 min 24°F 1016.7 hPa (+3.9)

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Last
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S7
G11
SE11
G17
S9
G15
SE10
G16
S12
G15
SE9
G12
W14
G20
SW6
G10
W19
G27
SW16
G24
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G24
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G20
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G23
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G31
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G38
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G38
W34
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G43
W31
G41
W30
G39
W28
G36
W27
G40
W25
G35
1 day
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E2
E4
SE3
E3
G6
NE6
NE7
NE5
SE5
G8
E5
G12
SE3
G11
SE5
G12
SE8
G13
SE5
G12
SE3
SE3
G10
SE6
G11
SE12
G20
SE12
G17
SE13
G19
SE14
G19
SE14
G21
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G27
SE16
G24
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G24
2 days
ago
S5
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G9
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SW4
G11
W5
NW4
NE2
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NE2
E3
SE6
G10
S7
G11
SE6
G11
SE7
G11
S5
G9
S4
G8
SE7
G10
E2
SE6
G10
SE8
G12
SE7
G10
SE4
G7
SE9
G12

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Syracuse, Syracuse Hancock International Airport, NY16 mi54 minWNW 13 G 267.00 miLight Snow24°F19°F84%1014 hPa
Griffiss Air Force Base / Rome, NY23 mi55 minWNW 20 G 258.00 miLight Snow and Breezy24°F19°F81%1012.8 hPa

Wind History from SYR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr5N4E10SE6CalmS11S11
G17
S10W22
G34
W11SW9SW16
G21
SW16
G24
SW10SW14SW16
G23
W17
G29
W18
G27
W16
G25
W21
G28
W17
G22
W14W16
G24
W13
G26
1 day agoE6E5E8E10E11E9E9E12E10E8E12NE12NE11NE11NE11CalmE4SE11SE12
G18
SE11SE7SE10SE6
G20
E9
2 days agoW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE5E4NE6E5E6E5E5E5E4E3E5NE4E4E3E3NE3NE3

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.