Tuesday, November20, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Cleveland, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:02AMSunset 4:37PM Tuesday November 20, 2018 2:39 PM EST (19:39 UTC) Moonrise 3:34PMMoonset 3:48AM Illumination 95% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
LOZ044 Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 936 Am Est Tue Nov 20 2018
.small craft advisory in effect from 1 pm est this afternoon through Wednesday morning...
.gale watch in effect from Wednesday morning through Wednesday evening...
Rest of today..West winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest 15 to 20 knots. Snow showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Tonight..West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest. Snow showers likely. Waves 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet.
Wednesday..Southwest winds to 30 knots becoming northwest and increasing to 35 knot gales in the afternoon. Lake effect snow. Waves 6 to 9 feet building to 11 to 16 feet. Waves occasionally around 20 feet.
Wednesday night..Northwest winds to 30 knots becoming north 15 to 25 knots. Snow showers likely. Waves 10 to 13 feet subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 16 feet.
Thursday..Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less.
Friday..South winds 5 to 15 knots. Partly to mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Saturday..South winds 5 to 15 knots. Rain showers likely with a chance of snow showers during the day, then rain showers likely Saturday night. Waves 1 foot or less. The water temperature off rochester is 46 degrees.
LOZ044 Expires:201811202200;;590231 FZUS51 KBUF 201436 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 936 AM EST Tue Nov 20 2018 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ043-044-202200-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cleveland, NY
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 43.18, -75.83     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kbgm 201747
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
1247 pm est Tue nov 20 2018

Synopsis
Seasonably chilly with a few snow showers and valley rain
showers around this afternoon. Turning colder tonight with
light lake effect snow north of the new york thruway. Then, an
arctic front moves through midday Wednesday with additional snow
showers and squalls likely. Northwest winds become quite gusty
and a quick accumulation of snow could create hazardous travel
conditions. Cold canadian high pressure will move over the
region for thanksgiving bringing near record cold conditons.

Near term through Wednesday
1130 am update... Very little change for this afternoon and
early evening, as the forecast is in good shape.

Scattered rain and snow showers will continue over cny and pa's
northern tier this afternoon, associated with an incoming
short-wave and secondary surface boundary. Amounts continue to
look quite light, with perhaps a coating of additional snowfall
in the higher terrain. Highs will mostly range in the mid-upper
30s, but some of the valleys of nepa could touch 40, where
conditions will be mostly precipitation free and where some
breaks of late afternoon Sun are possible.

Previous discussion... 400 am update... Lingering band of light
snow associated with the waning area of isentropic lift along
the i-88 corridor early this morning is quickly moving out.

Decided to drop the previous winter weather advisories for all
areas, as only an additional inch or less of snow is expected
prior to daybreak.

Shortwave disturbance is evident across lower michigan heading
into ontario at this time. The broad upper level trough and
associated disturbance will move through our area later today
into tonight. This is a weak system and is only expected to
bring scattered snow and lower elevation rain showers late
morning into the evening. Our area will experience weak cold air
advection much of the day, with the the CAA really increase this
evening. Daytime highs reach the mid-30s to lower 40s this
afternoon. Winds turn northwest, between 8-15 mph.

850mb temps slowly fall between -4 to -7c by late afternoon,
then to around -12c tonight. This should allow a lake response
to develop, with periods of snow showers along a 280-290 flow
tonight. The flow backs more southwesterly late tonight ahead of
the next clipper system. Areas north of the ny thruway could
see 1 to 3 inches of snow overnight. Elsewhere, just a few
flurries are expected tonight, under partly to mostly cloudy
skies. Overnight lows dip down into the lower to mid-20s.

Wednesday: starts off with weak warm air advection as the
southwesterly flow increases ahead of the next clipper system,
which passes by well to our north along st. Lawrence valley
region of far northern ny. This clipper will however drag a
powerful arctic frontal boundary through our area midday or
early afternoon. Behind this boundary very strong cold air
advection in the lower levels of the atmosphere will
commence... As 850mb temps fall to around -15c shortly after
sunset. 925 mb temps fall below -10c by 00z Thursday. Steep low
level lapse rates along with small amounts of modeled MLCAPE in
the afternoon indicate a good probability to see convective type
snow showers and squalls both along and behind the arctic
boundary. Approximate start time of the potential snow squalls
would be midday along the ny thruway from syracuse to
utica rome. Then, advancing southward to the southern tier of ny
early afternoon, and finally into NE pa by mid to late
afternoon. These snow showers and squalls could make for
hazardous travel conditions with quickly changing conditions.

Snow squalls could be locally heavy, reducing visibility and
causing snow covered icy roads. Bufkit sounding data indicates a
well mixed boundary layer through about 725mb Wednesday
afternoon, with the potential for strong and gusty northwest
winds increasing. For now, believe winds will be mostly 15-25
mph, with gusts up to 35 mph... But locally higher winds are not
impossible. These winds will also create areas of blowing snow,
especially in central ny. Surface temperatures may bump up
briefly into the upper 20s to mid-30s late morning or midday...

but then fall back through the 20s by late afternoon or early
evening areawide. Lake effect snow showers continue on a 310-330
flow into the early evening hours. May eventually need winter
weather advisories for parts of the area, considering all the
potential hazards (snow squalls, strong winds, blowing snow,
lake effect snow, low wind chills etc)... But for now will just
continue to mention all of this in the latest hwo. If planning
to travel Wednesday afternoon, be prepared for these above
mentioned winter conditions.

Short term Wednesday night through Thursday night
The main theme for this period will be record to near record cold as
an arctic airmass moves through the region. Wednesday night lows will
generally range from 5 to 15 degrees. Highs on thanksgiving will
mainly reside in the teens and thanksgiving night will be even
colder with lows mainly in the single digits.

Wednesday night following the arctic front scattered snow showers
some possibly heavy will be over central new york and northern tier
of pennsylvania with heavier lake effect snow showers southeast of
lake ontario with a steering flow 300 310. By late evening low level
flow becomes northwest resulting in a shorter lake fetch, this
combined with limited moisture will weaken the activity as it moves
into the finger lakes region and southern tier. Snow accumulations
around 2 inches will be possible early from onondaga county across
madison northern chenango and into otsego. Snow accumulations once
the wind shifts to the northwest will be less than one inch.

Thanksgiving with be mostly sunny with surface high pressure over
the region. A few morning flurries will be possible in the finger
lakes but no accumulation is forecast. A starry but frigid night is
likely thanksgiving night.

Long term Friday through Tuesday
The extended forecast will start dry with temperatures gradually
modifying as upper level ridging begins and high pressure moves off
the east coast. Highs Friday will range in the mid 20s to around 30
with lows Friday night in the teens to lower 20s.

Saturday, low pressure moving into the mid atlantic region will
spread precipitation across the area. The GFS is faster with onset
then the ECMWF so will mention a light wintry mix from i81 west
during the morning but by afternoon temperatures modify enough for
just rain. The rain will continue into Saturday night before
tapering off. Highs on Saturday will be in the 40s with lows
Saturday night in the mid upper 30s.

On Sunday area will reside between systems although scattered rain
showers are still possible.

Sunday night into Tuesday, a more significant system will track from
the mid west northeast across the ohio valley and into new england.

Another wet period looks likely Monday into Monday night. Highs
Sunday and Monday will be in the lower to middle 40s.

By Tuesday mainly scattered rain showers are expected behind
departing low. Highs will range from the mid 30s to lower 40s.

Aviation 18z Tuesday through Sunday
Variable cloud and visibilities will continue until at least 22z
as light snow and rain showers continue to move across central
ny and northeast pa this afternoon ahead of a weak cold front.

Most terminals will predominately beVFR with patchy MVFR to ifr
ceilings and visibilities in snow and rain showers. Conditions
should gradually improve to mostlyVFR by 22z as a weak front
passes by and leads to some low-level dry air advection. The
winds will then back to the west to southwest tonight with
mainlyVFR ceilings. The next significant cold front will affect
just krme, kith and ksyr late in the terminal period with ifr
in snow showers. Kbgm could also see an ifr snow shower late in
the period. Confidence is high in at least ifr conditions
all terminals Tuesday with the frontal passage but most of the
terminals won't see this until after 18z Wednesday.

West-northwest winds less than 10 kts this afternoon, turning
southwesterly later tonight and then back to northwest at
ksyr krme late in the terminal period at 10-15 knots gusting
over 20 knots. Rest of tafs stay southwest Wednesday morning 5
to 10 knots.

Outlook...

Wednesday afternoon through Wednesday night... Possible snow
squalls and brief lifr, yet significant restrictions as an
arctic front slides through the region, followed by lake effect
snow showers and flurries. Gusty west-northwest winds 15-30 kts.

Thursday...VFR, except for intermittent restrictions from lake
effect flurries ksyr-kith-kelm-kbgm.

Friday...VFR.

Saturday Sunday... Restrictions perhaps redeveloping in lower
cigs and light rain.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Mjm
near term... Mlj mjm
short term... Mlj rrm
long term... Mlj rrm
aviation... Djn


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 41 mi40 min NW 16 G 19 34°F 1013.8 hPa (+0.4)31°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 94 mi40 min NW 15 G 19 35°F
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 95 mi40 min 35°F

Wind History for Oswego, NY
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
Last
24hr
W11
W8
G11
W5
G9
S3
G9
S3
G8
S2
G8
SE4
G9
S3
G8
S4
G8
S5
G9
S4
G8
S5
G10
S4
G9
S4
G8
S6
G9
S6
G10
S6
G10
S5
G9
S9
G12
S6
G10
S6
G9
W8
G15
NW5
NW15
1 day
ago
S9
G13
S7
G10
S8
G11
S9
G13
SE9
G14
S10
G15
S9
G13
S10
G14
S10
G14
S9
G13
S9
G13
S9
G13
S8
G13
S8
G12
S7
G11
SW6
G9
W15
G21
W13
G17
W9
G12
SW7
W10
G15
W7
G16
W10
G13
W11
2 days
ago
W21
G27
W24
G30
W23
G28
W25
NW21
NW19
NW17
G22
NW17
NW14
G17
NW11
G14
N10
G14
N6
G11
N6
N4
SE5
G9
SE5
G8
SE6
SE5
G9
S8
G12
S8
G13
S10
G14
S9
G12

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Syracuse, Syracuse Hancock International Airport, NY16 mi46 minWSW 88.00 miLight Drizzle35°F30°F85%1013 hPa
Griffiss Air Force Base / Rome, NY23 mi47 minW 75.00 miLight Snow Fog/Mist34°F33°F97%1013.1 hPa

Wind History from SYR (wind in knots)
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
Last 24hrSW5CalmSW3CalmCalmE3E3E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW7W10W7SW8
1 day agoE6E6E5E6NE4E5E5E7E3NE3E3E5E5CalmCalmCalmSW3W5W7W7W7W7W11W4
2 days agoW12SW10SW12W12W13W12W7W7NW8NW6NW6W3CalmCalmCalmE3E3E3E5SE4S4CalmE4E5

Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (14,3,4,5)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.