Thursday, April27, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Brewerton, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:00AMSunset 8:03PM Thursday April 27, 2017 2:49 PM EDT (18:49 UTC) Moonrise 6:11AMMoonset 8:33PM Illumination 3% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Sodus Bay To The Saint Lawrence River Along Lake Ontario- 443 Am Edt Thu Apr 27 2017
Today..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tonight..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Showers likely with Thunderstorms. Some Thunderstorms may produce gusty winds. Waves 1 foot or less.
Friday..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Friday night..North winds less than 10 knots becoming south. A chance of showers overnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
Saturday..South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north 10 to 15 knots. A chance of rain showers during the day. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Sunday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southeast 15 to 20 knots. A chance of rain showers. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday..South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest. Showers and Thunderstorms likely. Waves 1 to 3 feet. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
LOZ044 Expires:201704271515;;336296 FZUS51 KBUF 270843 NSHBUF NEARSHORE MARINE FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 443 AM EDT THU APR 27 2017 FOR WATERS WITHIN FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE LOZ044-045-271515-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Brewerton, NY
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location: 43.2, -76.08     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 271740
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
140 pm edt Thu apr 27 2017

Synopsis
A southerly flow of mild air will give the area mostly sunny
skies today along with high temperatures ranging from the middle
70s to lower 80s in most area. The passage of a cold front
overnight will produce scattered showers and thunderstorms with
coverage most widespread from the finger lakes region to the
western mohawk valley. Dry conditions will return on Friday.

Near term /until 6 pm this evening/
Updated at 1030 am... Band of low clouds is holding on
stubbournly across the southern tier of ny and northeast pa late
this morning. Still expecting these clouds to burn off later
today but have obviously had to move the timing back a few
hours, with clearing for many areas now not expecting until
early to mid afternoon. Meanwhile lots of sunshine late this
morning is being seen over the finger lakes including the
syracuse area where southerly flow is downsloping off of the
higher terrain to the south. Have lowered temperatures by a few
degrees over areas where clouds will hang on longer, from the
southern tier of ny southward. Previous discussion is below.

410 am update...

goes-16 fog channel shows a stratus deck continuing to back
westward into the region. The stratus currently covers much of
the western catskills, northeast pennsylvania and in central new
york from southern oneida county south across norwich to the
local binghamton area. This deck will slowly move westward for
a couple of more hours then once the Sun rises progress will
stop and start to mix out from west to east. Areas in southern
sullivan and pike counties may stay mostly cloudy for much of
the day.

Surface low pressure in the western great lakes will bring a
southerly flow of mild air to the region. Mostly sunny skies and
t925 around 20c will bring high temperatures in the lake plain
into the lower 80s with readings across much of central new york
into the middle to upper 70s. In the far southeast where low
clouds will linger highs will only reach the upper 60s.

Short term /6 pm this evening through Saturday night/
Tonight... A weakening cold front will move through the region
overnight. Best forcing and moisture with this feature will
reside from the finger lakes region to the western mohawk
valley. Models indicate some CAPE this evening primarily in the
finger lakes region. Soundings show the potential for some
gusty winds with any thunderstorms, mentioned gusty winds in
forecast. Went likely pops in the northern forecast area and
chance elsewhere. Most of the activity will occur between 8pm
and 2am.

Friday... High pressure will briefly reside over the area on
Friday with dry conditions returning and high temperatures in
the 70s.

Friday night through Saturday night... A strong southeast ridge
develops as a deep upper level trof moves from the four corners
region to the mid west. A wave moving through the central great
lakes late Friday night may trigger scattered showers primarily
over the western forecast area after midnight. On Saturday, a
combination of the trailing surface trof as the low lifts into
eastern canada, diurnal instability and mid level waves in
southwest upper level flow will keep the chance for showers and
thunderstorms across the region. Models indicate instability
primarily in the central/southern forecast area so kept mention
of thunder only here. Highs on Saturday will range from around
70 in the north to around 80 in the wyoming valley. Saturday
night may be primarily dry as high pressure in eastern canada
briefly builds south over the area.

Long term /Sunday through Wednesday/
420 am edt update...

no significant changes were made to the previous forecast. The
previous forecast is in great shape. For more information please
read the previous forecast discussion below.

Previous forecast discussion...

used superblend for this period. All three synoptic models show
a major cyclone tracking northeast through the western great
lakes Sunday and Sunday night. A warm front will cross the
region Sunday with a sharp cold front crossing ny and pa Monday
and Monday night. Will keep chance for showers and thunderstorms
across the region on Sunday with mainly showers Sunday night.

Have likely pops for showers and thunderstorms on Monday into
Monday evening with the sharp cold front. Then behind this
system it gets chilly with lingering light rain showers Tuesday.

Aviation /18z Thursday through Tuesday/
Stratus deck has lifted and moved east of the area early this
afternoon. This will set the stage for a mostly sunny afternoon
with just some high clouds andVFR conditions through 6 pm. A
line of showers with scattered thunderstorms will move across
the area from west to east between 7 pm and 11 pm this evening
with periods of MVFR conditions and perhaps some brief ifr
restrictions in heavier showers and thunderstorms. The showers
will be east of the area by midnight with bkn clouds expected
overnight and areas of MVFR conditions. Conditions will improve
toVFR by late morning Friday.

Winds will be southwest to southeast at 10 to 20 kts this
afternoon into this evening. Gusty winds may accompany scattered
thunderstorms this evening, then winds will shift to west at 5
to 10 kts late tonight and continue on Friday.

Outlook...

Friday afternoon and Friday night... MainlyVFR.

Saturday through Monday... AlthoughVFR is likely the majority of
the time, rounds of showers or thunderstorms could bring
occasional restrictions.

Bgm watches/warnings/advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Rrm
near term... Mse/rrm
short term... Rrm
long term... Djn/kah
aviation... Kah/mse


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 29 mi50 min SE 12 G 18 79°F 1004.7 hPa (-2.3)58°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 81 mi50 min SE 13 G 16 75°F 1004.1 hPa (-2.3)
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 82 mi50 min 64°F 1002.9 hPa (-2.5)

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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NE7
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G11
NE5
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G12
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SE13
G21
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SE14
G20
SE18
G25
SE11
G17
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G19
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G14
SE6
G9
SE4
G9
E5
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SE3
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G8
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G11
S1
N4
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NE10
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G12
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G13
NE6
G10
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G13
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G16
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NE6
NE3
SE1
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G12
SE7
G10
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G13
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G16
SE12
G17
SE9
G15
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G13
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G15
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G22
SE12
G17
SE8
G13
SE10
G16

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Syracuse, Syracuse Hancock International Airport, NY6 mi56 minSE 1110.00 miMostly Cloudy78°F60°F54%1005.4 hPa
Fulton, Oswego County Airport, NY20 mi56 minSE 9 G 1610.00 miFair78°F59°F52%1005.3 hPa

Wind History from SYR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr3E3E53NE8E5E7E7E7E8E7E5NE6E5E6E7E8E7SE8SE12E12E11SE11SE7
1 day agoE13
G19
E13E14NE13
G19
E15E16E16
G21
E15
G20
E13
G19
E14E12E11E10NE6NE6NE6E9NE6E7E9E8NE5N8Calm
2 days agoN76--N5N7NW9NW7CalmNE8E5CalmE4E6NE7E8E9E7E8E10NE10E9E11E11E12

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.