Thursday, October19, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Brewerton, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:22AMSunset 6:15PM Thursday October 19, 2017 10:34 AM EDT (14:34 UTC) Moonrise 5:59AMMoonset 5:37PM Illumination 1% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Sodus Bay To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario- 629 Am Edt Thu Oct 19 2017
.small craft advisory in effect from 6 pm edt this evening through Friday morning...
Today..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west. Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
Tonight..West winds 15 to 25 knots. Mainly clear. Waves 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet.
Friday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west 5 to 15 knots. Sunny. Waves 3 to 6 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet.
Friday night..Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming south. Clear. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Sunday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers during the day, then showers likely Monday night. Waves 2 feet or less.
LOZ044 Expires:201710191515;;084279 FZUS51 KBUF 191029 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 629 AM EDT Thu Oct 19 2017 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ044-191515-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Brewerton, NY
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location: 43.2, -76.08     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 191046
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
646 am edt Thu oct 19 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will yield plenty of sunshine and mild
temperatures over the next few days. Temperatures will rise
into the 70s this weekend. The pattern will become more
unsettled and cooler next week.

Near term through Friday
250 am update...

weather conditions in the near term remain relatively quiet
with the main concern being the very mild temperatures and the
potential for isolated patches of valley fog this morning and
Friday morning.

Ridge of high pressure at the surface to the south across the
mid atlantic region coupled with a very dry air mass will keep
weather conditions quiet today and Friday. There is a weak upper
s W currently moving through the central great lakes this
morning and is expected to sweep quickly through the northeast
today. This feature will mainly act to increase mid and high
level cloud cover, and also inhibit the formation of fog this
morning. A layer of stronger winds just above the surface is
helping to keep the boundary layer well mixed and limit the amt
of fog. This layer of wind will partially mix down to the
ground today and produce SW wind gusts around 15 to 20 mph.

There is some evidence that the winds will continue into tonight
and act to inhibit fog once again.

The added cloud cover today will not hinder the amt of heating
with temperatures warming into the upper 60s and lower 70s. A
slightly cooler NW flow on the back side of the departing upper
trough Friday will keep temperatures a few degrees cooler than
Thursday... Only in the mid to upper 60s. Still very pleasant for
mid-late oct. The air mass gets even drier Friday night with
skies remaining mostly clear and the very dry conditions
inhibiting fog once again.

Short term Friday night through Sunday
4 am update... It still appears that a strong upper ridge will
hold over the eastern states this weekend, with an unseasonably
warm SW flow in place across cny nepa. Thus, rain-free weather
should persist, with daytime highs ranging from the upper 60s-
mid 70s.

Long term Sunday night through Wednesday
4 am update... In the big picture, the eastern CONUS ridge
should break down next week, as an upper trough axis nudges
eastward from the middle of the country and amplifies. In
general, this should spell an end to our warm, dry stretch,
with cooler, more seasonable temperatures developing over time.

Still at issue is exactly when the more persistent showers
arrive across cny nepa. The GFS remains the most aggressive,
developing showers from w-e by later Monday or Monday evening.

In the meantime, the ec is much slower, holding most of the
showers off until later Tuesday or Tuesday night. At this point,
we've gone with a compromise solution, first indicating the
likelihood of showers during the day Tuesday. This also matches
well with our surrounding offices.

Aviation 12z Thursday through Monday
Vfr conditions for the next 24 hours. Mainly clear skies most of
the day then some mid and high clouds in ny after 22z.

River valley fog at elm looks questionable again late tonight
with a well mixed boundary layer, however given the presence of
patchy valley fog this morning and brief periods of ifr-MVFR
vsbys at kelm, will add a tempo group for fog at kelm between
09-12z Friday.

South winds this morning around 5 kts or less will increase out
of the southwest 8 to 12 kts with gusts up to 17 kts between
15-23z. Winds become light or calm again this evening.

Outlook...

Friday to Sunday... MostlyVFR. Possible early morning
restrictions in fog at kelm Saturday and Sunday.

Monday... MostlyVFR but possible restrictions at times due to
showers.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Bjt djp
near term... Bjt
short term... Mlj
long term... Mlj
aviation... Bjt tac


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 29 mi47 min S 14 G 20 61°F 1017.8 hPa42°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 81 mi35 min SSW 11 G 15 61°F 1018.6 hPa (-0.4)
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 82 mi47 min 60°F 1017.5 hPa

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Syracuse, Syracuse Hancock International Airport, NY6 mi41 minS 13 G 1810.00 miPartly Cloudy63°F44°F50%1018.8 hPa

Wind History from SYR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW7W74SW8SW7SW9W7S3E3E5SE6SE7SE7SE5S4SE6SE6S3E3SE5SE5S5S7S13
G18
1 day agoS7S8SW6SW12SW8
G18
W9SW10S8S5S7SW3SW5SW9SW10SW9SW8SW6SW6SW5SW5SW5SW5SW4W8
2 days agoNW11NW105W10NW15NW12W13
G23
NW5W8W11W8N5CalmNW3CalmCalmCalmCalmSE3SE4CalmSE4SE3E5

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.