Tuesday, March28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Minetto, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:51AMSunset 7:30PM Tuesday March 28, 2017 11:59 AM EDT (15:59 UTC) Moonrise 6:27AMMoonset 7:18PM Illumination 1% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
LOZ044 Sodus Bay To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario- 1013 Pm Edt Mon Mar 27 2017
Rest of tonight..South winds 10 knots or less. Patchy fog and a chance of showers late. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday..South winds 10 knots or less becoming north. Patchy fog in the morning...otherwise a chance of rain showers. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday night..North winds 5 to 15 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less building to 2 to 3 feet.
Wednesday..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Becoming mostly Sunny. Waves 2 to 3 feet.
Wednesday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Mainly clear. Waves 2 to 3 feet.
Thursday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southeast. Periods of rain Thursday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Friday..Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Periods of rain during the day...then rain showers likely Friday night. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday..East winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northwest. A chance of rain showers during the day. Waves 2 feet or less.
LOZ044 Expires:201703280900;;188144 FZUS51 KBUF 280213 NSHBUF NEARSHORE MARINE FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1013 PM EDT MON MAR 27 2017 FOR WATERS WITHIN FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE LOZ044-280900-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Minetto, NY
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 43.42, -76.51     debug


Area Discussion for - Buffalo, NY
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kbuf 281457
afdbuf
area forecast discussion
national weather service buffalo ny
1057 am edt Tue mar 28 2017

Synopsis
Showers will exit central ny this afternoon with low clouds and fog
lingering. A light northerly wind tonight will maintain a cloudy sky
across the region, while Wednesday and Thursday should feature
mostly sunny skies. Temperatures will remain seasonable through the
week.

Near term /through tonight/
Surface analysis late this morning shows a weak cold front has
shifted across western ny moving east across central ny. This
boundary is between two areas of low pressure one over the saint
lawrence river valley and another over west virgina. Broad arctic
sourced high pressure centered over manitoba is building south
across the upper and central great lakes. Radars are showing rain
showers across the interior ny southern tier associated with the
southern low and scattered activity pushing though the saint
lawrence river valley with no radar returns behind the front.

In addition a very moist airmass is supporting the widespread low
clouds and patches of fog across the area. Northerly winds off the
lakes will continue this fog through this afternoon.

Rain showers will also diminish through the afternoon and evening as
this surface high pressure nears the region, and surface low
pressures exit to the east. The northerly flow will continue through
tonight with clouds likely to linger as moisture becomes trapped
beneath a subsidence inversion.

Temperatures today are running slightly cooler than yesterday within
the northerly wind flow, with highs in most placed likely to already
have occurred. Tonight the lingering clouds will keep most areas just
above the freezing mark, though thin clouds, or even some late
clearing across the north country will allow for overnight
temperatures to drop to around 30.

Short term /Wednesday through Thursday night/
High pressure transiting hudson bay will extend ridging into the
great lakes region during the mid-week period. This will provide a
period of quiet weather and at least some sunshine. However... Things
start downhill again Thursday night... As a southern stream closed
low ejects from the southern rockies. Associated precipitation will
begin to push into the region from the west on Thursday night.

Wednesday through Thursday... Looks quiet... With an upper level
shortwave ridge axis moving overhead. Shallow cool air will be
pushing into the region on a general northerly low level flow with
850 mb temperatures down to around -8c. This will try to generate to
generate some lake clouds... Especially south of lake ontario, though
a dry airmass will hinder this process. Still... Expect no worse than
partly cloudy skies for Wednesday and Wednesday night with plenty of
locales mostly clear.

Thursday... High level then eventually mid clouds will be thickening
from southwest to northeast... As stronger warm advection shifts into
the mid mississippi valley and southern/eastern great lakes. A
tightening baroclinic zone over the region ahead of a developing
warm front should support at least some showers over the far western
counties later in the afternoon... While dry weather will persist
east of a rochester to canandaigua line.

Thursday night... A surface low will push from the mid mississippi
valley up into the ohio valley while a fairly strong warm front will
push north across our western counties. Fairly widespread rain will
blossom ahead of this feature... So have raised pops to 90 over the
west and to likely across the north country. While some wet snow
could mix in for sites north and east of the tug hill...

accumulations are not anticipated at this point.

Long term /Friday through Monday/
The pattern will become more active again by the end of the week
after a few dry days. A mid level closed low will meander across the
four corners region through Tuesday, then eject ene across the
southern plains to the ohio valley by Friday. The 12z guidance has
trended a little southward with the track of the ensuing surface
low, but still more than close enough for more rain over the region
through Friday.

This system will slowly pull out next weekend, with a few scattered
showers lingering into Saturday as the trough and surface low move
off the east coast, with northwest flow and wrap around moisture
hanging back across the lower great lakes. Moisture and rain chances
should diminish by Sunday as the trough moves well off the eastern
seaboard. The 12z GFS develops a few showers of rain and wet snow
later Saturday night and Sunday with a weak northern stream trough,
but for now favored the drier ECMWF solution for this time period.

Temperatures will likely run near to slightly above average through
the period, with highs generally in the upper 40s to lower 50s and
lows in the 30s.

Aviation /15z Tuesday through Saturday/
A weak cold front has passed east of wny and is moving across cny.

Shower activity will be clearing east of the TAF sites this
afternoon but widespread ifr CIGS in low clouds and vis in patchy
fog will linger into the afternoon hours. Tonight, an area of high
pressure will be funneling much drier air across the region. This
will thin the low stratus, that may remain MVFR (ifr so. Tier)
through Tuesday night.

Outlook...

Wednesday and into Thursday...VFR.

Thursday night into Saturday... MVFR/ifr with occasional rain
showers.

Marine
Light northerly winds will increase some tonight through Wednesday
as strong canadian high pressure builds across the great
lakes... However winds and waves are expected to remain below
advisory levels. Winds will turn easterly Thursday and Friday
approaching 15-20 knots but higher waves should remain in canadian
waters.

Buf watches/warnings/advisories
Ny... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Smith
near term... Smith/thomas
short term... Rsh/tma
long term... Hitchcock/rsh
aviation... Smith
marine... Smith


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 3 mi47 min W 4.1 G 12 41°F 1013.6 hPa40°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 59 mi59 min NW 8 G 8.9 43°F 1015.2 hPa (+1.3)
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 60 mi47 min 43°F 1014.5 hPa

Wind History for Oswego, NY
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
Last
24hr
SE11
G16
SE11
G15
S11
S10
G14
SE9
G13
SE8
S6
G9
SE5
G9
SE7
G10
S7
G11
S9
G12
S9
G14
S11
G14
S10
G14
S10
G14
S9
G13
S8
G14
S9
G13
S7
G13
S8
G11
S6
G12
S4
S2
W5
G13
1 day
ago
SE10
G16
SE9
G15
SE14
G22
SE16
G23
SE12
G18
SE14
G23
SE8
G17
SE14
G18
SE14
G21
SE9
G24
SE11
G15
SE10
G16
SE14
G21
SE16
G20
SE13
G18
SE9
G15
SE14
G19
SE7
G13
SE13
G17
S13
G19
SE14
G17
SE13
G18
SE14
G19
SE11
G17
2 days
ago
NE14
G18
NE14
NE13
N11
G14
NE13
G16
NE13
G16
NE11
G14
NE4
G7
NE8
G11
NE8
G12
NE7
G10
NE7
G11
NE5
G8
NE3
G8
E4
G8
NE4
NE2
SE7
G11
SE7
G12
SE8
G13
SE10
G16
SE9
G17
SE10
G14
SE11
G17

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fulton, Oswego County Airport, NY8 mi65 minN 07.00 miOvercast47°F44°F90%1013.4 hPa

Wind History from FZY (wind in knots)
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
Last 24hrE4CalmSE3SE3SE4SE44CalmSE3SE4SE3SE4CalmSE3E4E3E3E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoSE7
G16
SE12
G19
SE7
G19
SE8
G17
SE9
G20
SE9
G17
SE8
G19
SE8
G17
SE8
G16
SE7
G16
SE7SE8SE6SE74SE5SE7SE73SE7SE7533
2 days agoN9NE4N5N5N8N9N8N5N6N6NE4NE5NE4CalmNE3Calm--E6E8E9
G15
5SE7
G17
6SE9
G16

Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Buffalo, NY (11,2,3,4)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Montague, NY
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.