Monday, May20, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Wallingford, VT

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:20AMSunset 8:16PM Monday May 20, 2019 4:39 PM EDT (20:39 UTC) Moonrise 10:13PMMoonset 6:49AM Illumination 97% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wallingford, VT
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location: 43.43, -73     debug


Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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Fxus61 kbtv 202004
afdbtv
area forecast discussion
national weather service burlington vt
404 pm edt Mon may 20 2019

Synopsis
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will come to an end this evening
as a surface trough moves east of the area and daytime heating
wanes. A cold front will cross the region overnight, bringing cooler
weather along with mainly mountain showers on Tuesday. Drier
conditions are expected on Wednesday with high pressure building
over the region.

Near term through Tuesday night
As of 403 pm edt Monday... A severe thunderstorm watch remains in
effect until 9 pm for orange, rutland, and windsor counties.

Isolated showers and thunderstorms are occurring in these locations
at this hour. These areas still have capes 500-1000 j kg and could
still see some stronger storms that may produce damaging winds,
brief downpours, and marginally severe hail. Otherwise, just seeing
a few showers out there. The prefrontal trough has moved through,
and poor mid-level lapse rates have precluded any significant
convection. This will be the trend through the early evening hours.

Any lingering showers will subside around sunset as we lose daytime
heating and the prefrontal trough moves east of our area. A cold
front will move out of canada and across the north country
overnight, turning winds more to the west northwest and bringing
another batch of showers to the region, particularly the higher
elevations. Cooler air follows the frontal passage; anticipate lows
will be in the mid 40s to around 50.

Showers will reblossom Tuesday as the upper low swings down over the
region. They will be most prevalent over northern vermont as this
area will be closest to the low. Thick cloud cover and the cold pool
aloft will keep temperatures on the cool side, especially in the
northeast kingdom where highs will only be around 50. Elsewhere,
temperatures will top out in the mid 50s to around 60. Gusty north
to northwest winds are expected as well, as the colder air aloft and
daytime heating result in ample mixing. Gusts of 30 to 40 mph are
possible. The showers will quickly subside Tuesday evening as
daytime heating is lost and drier air works in behind the upper low.

Lows will range from the upper 30s in the northeast kingdom to the
mid 40s in the champlain and st lawrence valleys.

Short term Wednesday through Wednesday night
As of 403 pm edt Monday... For Wednesday, an upper trough will move
east away from the north country while ridging amplifies over the
area. We should see temperatures gradually moderate throughout the
day with highs in the 60s for much of the area with 50s across
mountain summits. The air mass overhead is quite dry with pwats down
to a third of an inch. Thus, zero pops expected for Wednesday, and
dewpoints have been nudged closer to 850mb dewpoints in the
afternoon once mixed layer develops. We will be mostly sunny with
some upper clouds streaming in for the end of the day. Overnight
lows will settle into the 40s.

Long term Thursday through Monday
As of 403 pm edt Monday... The long term begins with upper ridge
beginning to decay in advance of a compact shortwave on Thursday.

The low track is quite interesting as increasingly northerly flow
aloft shunts the system southeast across the north country and then
off the new england coast. Good convergence and excellent upper jet
dynamics will be available with good 700mb vertical motion
indicated. We will see precipitation move west to east Thursday
afternoon and move out overnight. Modest surface instability of
about 500 j kg CAPE is forecast, mainly over northern new york, so
expect chances for thunder across this region. Instability quickly
decreases into vermont, so have generally left thunder out of
vermont for now. For Friday, orographic showers possible early, but
the region will be mostly dry to start the weekend.

The next system comes through Saturday. The moisture content of the
system is better, but overall dynamics are placed a bit further
north following the low track. A piece-meal cold front will move
southeast across the region on Saturday increasing precipitation
chances. Sunday looks mostly dry, as well as Monday. Although some
diurnally driven convection could occur Monday. Temperatures in the
long term will be near to above normal with highs in the upper 60s
to mid 70s and also near to above average generally in the 50s.

Aviation 20z Monday through Saturday
Through 18z Tuesday...VFR MVFR to prevail through the period
with showers expected, mainly over the higher terrain sites.

Ceilings will lower to 1500-2500 ft overnight with a cold
frontal passage, along with showers. Local ifr possible at kslk
as clouds dip below 1000 ft. Anticipate improvement toward 12z
Tuesday as daytime heating and cold air advection aloft allows
for mixing rising ceilings. Winds will become west overnight and
then northwest tomorrow, becoming gusty to 25-30 kt.

Outlook...

Tuesday night:VFR. No sig wx.

Wednesday:VFR. No sig wx.

Wednesday night:VFR. No sig wx.

Thursday:VFR. Chance shra, slight chance tsra.

Thursday night: MVFR ifr conditions possible. Chance shra, slight
chance tsra.

Friday: mainly MVFR, with local ifr possible. Slight chance shra.

Friday night:VFR. Chance shra.

Saturday: mainlyVFR, with local MVFR possible. Likely shra.

Btv watches warnings advisories
Vt... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Hastings
near term... Hastings
short term... Haynes
long term... Haynes
aviation... Hastings


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Rutland-Southern Vermont Regional Airport, VT8 mi44 minSSE 510.00 miMostly Cloudy71°F64°F79%1003.8 hPa

Wind History from RUT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW9SE6W6S8E66S7
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Tide / Current Tables for Troy, Hudson River, New York
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Troy
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Mon -- 01:06 AM EDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:27 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:54 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:59 AM EDT     5.93 feet High Tide
Mon -- 01:43 PM EDT     -0.26 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:22 PM EDT     4.58 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:14 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.10.51.93.54.75.65.95.54.43.32.31.10-0.20.623.244.54.43.72.82.1

Tide / Current Tables for Albany, New York
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Albany
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Mon -- 12:56 AM EDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:28 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:51 AM EDT     5.93 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:54 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 01:33 PM EDT     -0.26 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:14 PM EDT     4.58 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:13 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.10.72.23.74.85.65.95.44.33.12.10.9-0.1-0.10.92.23.34.14.64.43.52.72

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Burlington, VT (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Burlington, VT
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.