Sunday, November18, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Belgium, WI

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:48AMSunset 4:26PM Sunday November 18, 2018 11:27 AM CST (17:27 UTC) Moonrise 3:29PMMoonset 2:30AM Illumination 81% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ643 Sheboygan To Port Washington Wi- 1105 Am Cst Sun Nov 18 2018
Rest of today..West wind 10 to 15 knots becoming west 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots in the afternoon. Sunny. Waves around 1 foot.
Tonight..West wind 10 to 15 knots backing southwest early in the morning. Partly cloudy through around midnight then becoming mostly cloudy. Waves around 1 foot.
Monday..Southwest wind 10 to 15 knots veering west late in the morning, then becoming northwest 5 to 10 knots early in the afternoon rising to 10 to 15 knots late in the afternoon. Slight chance of snow through the day. Slight chance of rain in the afternoon. Waves around 1 foot.
Monday night..North wind 15 to 25 knots becoming 15 to 20 knots after midnight, then becoming 10 to 20 knots early in the morning. Slight chance of snow showers through the night. Waves 3 to 5 feet building to 4 to 6 feet after midnight, then subsiding to 3 to 5 feet early in the morning. A small craft advisory may be needed.
LMZ643 Expires:201811182300;;497969 FZUS53 KMKX 181705 NSHMKX Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 1105 AM CST Sun Nov 18 2018 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lake Michigan LMZ643-182300-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Belgium, WI
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location: 43.44, -87.81     debug


Area Discussion for - Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI
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Fxus63 kmkx 181719
afdmkx
area forecast discussion
national weather service milwaukee sullivan wi
1119 am cst Sun nov 18 2018

Update
No significant changes anticipated through the afternoon.

Aviation(18z tafs)
Light west to southwest winds will prevail through the next 24
hours. Skies will generally be clear this afternoon, with some
high clouds building in late tonight. A cold front will approach
tomorrow afternoon, with lower clouds expected behind that front.

However, this should occur after 18z tomorrow.

Marine
Open waters... Winds will become westerly over the lake this
morning, with some gusts to around 30 knots expected over the
north half of the open waters. Further south, expect gusts to
around 20 knots.

Winds will become northerly tomorrow evening, with gusts 25-30
knots expected overnight. An area of higher waves to 8 feet is
expected to move from north to south along the lake in response.

Winds will then increase from the south to southwest Tuesday into
Wednesday, with gale force gusts possible over the open waters.

Nearshore... Quiet conditions are expected today, with waves
increase tomorrow afternoon and evening. A small craft advisory
may be needed for this time.

Prev discussion... (issued 250 am cst Sun nov 18 2018)
discussion...

today and tonight... Forecast confidence is high:
high pressure will bring a quiet day to southern wisconsin today.

Skies have begun to clear from the northwest and will continue to
do so through the early morning. Sunny skies are thus expected for
the majority of the upcoming day. Despite plenty of sun, temps
will remain below normal due to the chilly airmass in place.

Mid and high level clouds will increase tonight, which should put
a damper on radiational cooling later in the night. Below normal
low temps in the low 20s are still expected though.

Monday and Monday night... Forecast confidence is high.

Surface low pressure will track from northern wi to northern
lower michigan on Monday. A trailing cold front will sweep across
the area during the afternoon... Bringing yet another reinforcing
shot of colder air to the area. Most of the associated weather
will stay to the north... Across central and northern wisconsin.

But, can't completely rule out some light snow with the frontal
passage, so will maintain the small chcs we've had going. No
accumulation is expected. Cold high pressure builds in for Monday
night. However, winds turn north to possibly northeast near lake
michigan Monday night and this could allow some lake effect snow
showers to clip our far southeast later Monday night. The bulk of
that snow should be an indiana illinois problem.

Tuesday and Tuesday night... Forecast confidence is high.

After a cold start with a high pressure ridge overhead in the
morning, low pressure will track just north of lake superior while
the ridge pushes south. This eventually puts us in a southwest
return flow with decent h8 warm air advection in the afternoon. We
won't really benefit much at the surface as the warm air remains
mostly elevated into Tuesday night. A cold front trailing the low
will push south into the area by Wednesday morning, but it will
be washing out due to the persistent elevated WAA it's pushing
into. At this point, any associated weather should stay well north
of the forecast area.

Wednesday through Thursday night... Forecast confidence is high.

The upper level pattern begins evolve from a cold northwest flow
to a zonal one by Wednesday night, eventually going southwest
Thursday night. This signals the start to a noticeably milder, more
normal trend in temperatures later in the week. This period looks
dry under high pressure. Temperatures will also be a bit milder,
but still a few degrees below normal.

Friday through Sunday... Forecast confidence is medium.

A southerly flow will pull a warmer and more moist air mass north
into the region. A low pressure trough approaching from the west
pushes in very slowly late in the week. The canadian gfs ECMWF are
handling a complex mid level trough evolution somewhat differently
resulting in varied timing pressure pattern details at the
surface. For now, it will have to suffice to generalize as a
milder period with chance of precip from time to time. Given the
thermal profile, rain looks to be the dominant precip type.

Mkx watches warnings advisories
Wi... None.

Lm... None.

Update... Boxell
today tonight and aviation marine... Boxell
Monday through Saturday... 99


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PWAW3 - Port Washington, WI 5 mi48 min W 7 G 13 30°F 1025.7 hPa
SGNW3 - Sheboygan, WI 22 mi28 min WSW 8.9 G 12 28°F 1024.7 hPa (-1.9)15°F
MLWW3 - Milwaukee, WI 28 mi38 min W 7 G 8 30°F

Wind History for Kewaunee MET, WI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
West Bend Municipal Airport, WI17 mi33 minW 710.00 miFair28°F17°F64%1024 hPa
Sheboygan County Memorial Airport, WI24 mi35 minW 1010.00 miFair29°F15°F56%1024.8 hPa

Wind History from ETB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN6N6N5N5CalmN3NW3N3NW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW3W3CalmCalmW6W9W12
G16
1 day agoW10
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W9W6NW5W5NW6NW6W5W6NW3CalmW4CalmNW4N3N4NW4N6N4NE4
2 days agoS3SE7S4SE5S4S3S4CalmS6SW6SW7SW8S6SW6SW8W5W9W9W8W9
G17
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W10W9
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Milwaukee, WI
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.