Wednesday, November14, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Glide, OR

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:04AMSunset 4:51PM Wednesday November 14, 2018 1:23 AM PST (09:23 UTC) Moonrise 12:56PMMoonset 10:56PM Illumination 38% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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This is a Weather Statement Zone, please check the Date to see if it has expired
PZZ310 Coos bay bar- coastal waters from cape blanco or to pt. St. George ca out 10 nm- waters from cape blanco or to pt. St. George ca from 10 to 60 nm- 134 pm pdt Wed may 29 2013 a long-duration moderate to strong north wind event is expected to last from this weekend into early next week. Winds should begin to increase Friday into Saturday...peaking Sunday with storm force wind gusts possible. Very steep and hazardous waves will accompany this wind event and mariners should prepare for dangerous conditions at sea. The strongest winds and highest seas will occur beyond 5 nm from shore.
PZZ300 826 Pm Pst Tue Nov 13 2018
Synopsis for the southern oregon coastal waters..Light southerly winds will continue into Wednesday as a weakening front moves toward the waters. A moderate west swell arrives Wednesday night into Thursday. A thermal trough develops along the coast Thursday, bringing the return of gusty northerly winds, mainly south of cape blanco. Steep combined seas are possible across all the waters on Thursday. Then, on Friday, steep seas and gusty northerly winds will linger across parts of the waters south of cape blanco.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Glide, OR
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location: 43.52, -122.83     debug


Area Discussion for - Medford, OR
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Fxus66 kmfr 140438
afdmfr
area forecast discussion
national weather service medford or
838 pm pst Tue nov 13 2018

Update Middle to high level clouds have overspread the area
this evening ahead of a weak front that is slowly making its way
closer to the coastline. The front will wash out as it moves
onshore tomorrow, likely producing little more than light rain
along the coast north of CAPE blanco. The current forecast
reflects this well, so no updates were necessary this evening.

For more information on this front and the rest of the forecast,
see the previous discussion below. -bpn

Aviation For the 14 00z tafs...VFR will persist through tonight
for all TAF locations. High level clouds will stream over the area
associated with an approaching front that will weaken as it moves
slowly inland overnight tonight. This high level cloud cover could
be enough to preclude any fog development in the umpqua basin
tonight. However, if there are any breaks in the cloud cover, it's
possible for ifr lifr conditions to develop quickly. Confidence was
not high enough to include this in the forecast.

Also, smoke from wildfires burning in california is forecast to move
north and could affect portions of far northern california and
southern oregon late tonight. Smoke should be high enough in the
atmosphere to not reduce vsbys, but could produce someVFR mfr decks
if low enough. Br-y smith

Marine Updated 830 pm pst Tuesday 13 november 2018... A weak
front will approach the area into Wednesday with light southerly
winds. Seas will build Wednesday afternoon into Thursday as a steep
northwesterly swell moves in, peaking Thursday afternoon and
evening.

In addition to the northwest swell, the thermal trough redevelops
Thursday, bringing the return of increased northerly winds and the
resultant choppy wind driven seas south of CAPE blanco Thursday into
Friday. Combined seas and increased winds will likely lead to
conditions hazardous to small craft by late Thursday morning. Swell
will begin to diminish late Thursday night into Friday, but choppy
wind driven seas will continue into Friday. Conditions will improve
Saturday and into the weekend as the thermal trough weakens and
moves offshore. -sandler

Prev discussion issued 249 pm pst Tue nov 13 2018
short term... A dry and stable air mass is in place today with an
upper level ridge over the region. This ridge will weaken on
Wednesday as a weak front moves into the coast but then will rebuild
Thursday and Friday.

Today and tonight, a weak front will slowly approach from the
northwest. Ahead of this front expect southerly winds aloft,
which will bring some haze into the area. Also some patchy smoke
may move into siskiyou and modoc counties later today and
tonight.

On Wednesday, the front will weaken and dissipate as it moves
into the coast. Overall, model forecasts support dry conditions
continuing over the area on Wednesday except for slight chance for
light rain along the douglas and northern coos coast and some
light rain over the coastal waters. Some mid level clouds will
move into the area Wednesday and the upper level ridge will weaken
slightly. Winds aloft will turn northwesterly behind the front
late Wednesday and Wednesday night. So expect any smoke that moves
into the area to shift east during this time.

Behind the front, Thursday into Friday, models show a high
pressure ridge strengthening over the region once more. This will
bring a continued dry air mass over the area. A surface thermal
trough will develop along the coast during this period as well and
result in breezy offshore east to northeast winds over the
mountains late Thursday through Friday along with gusty northerly
winds across the southern coastal waters.

Long term... Saturday 12z onward...

the area of high pressure will begin to break down as a strong short
wave moves in from the west Saturday into Sunday. We can expect an
uptick with winds on the ridges and peaks as this trough moves in.

We're not expecting any precipitation with this short wave moving
in. This is usually the case with a ridge of high pressure sitting
over the area for an extended period of time.

The next system is expected to move into the region in the middle of
next week before thanksgiving. Right now model guidance is bullish
on precipitation, but this doesn't look like an atmospheric river
type of event when we see a lot of moist air moving into the area.

Right now, we would favor more of a drier forecast that what the
models are putting out. On the other hand, we should see some
measurable precipitation across southern oregon and northern
california.

-smith

Mfr watches warnings advisories
Or... None.

Ca... None.

Pacific coastal waters... None.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CHAO3 - 9432780 - Charleston, OR 81 mi48 min SE 2.9 G 5.1 49°F1029.1 hPa

Wind History for Charleston, OR
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Roseburg Regional Airport, OR35 mi31 minN 08.00 miFair37°F34°F89%1030.1 hPa

Wind History from RBG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3CalmNW3W3CalmNW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3CalmSW3CalmCalmSW5SW5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm3CalmCalm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN6CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Reedsport, Umpqua River, Oregon
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Reedsport
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Wed -- 06:52 AM PST     5.42 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:09 AM PST     Sunrise
Wed -- 12:14 PM PST     3.24 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:01 PM PST     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:51 PM PST     Sunset
Wed -- 05:19 PM PST     5.36 feet High Tide
Wed -- 11:01 PM PST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.611.82.83.94.75.35.45.24.643.53.33.43.84.455.35.34.94.13.22.31.5

Tide / Current Tables for Gardiner, Umpqua River, Oregon
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Gardiner
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Wed -- 06:37 AM PST     5.42 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:09 AM PST     Sunrise
Wed -- 11:59 AM PST     3.24 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:01 PM PST     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:51 PM PST     Sunset
Wed -- 05:04 PM PST     5.36 feet High Tide
Wed -- 11:01 PM PST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.71.223.14.14.95.35.454.53.93.43.23.43.94.65.15.45.24.73.932.11.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Medford, OR (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Medford, OR
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.