Wednesday, June19, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Scar, ME

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Sunrise 4:58AMSunset 8:27PM Wednesday June 19, 2019 1:04 PM EDT (17:04 UTC) Moonrise 10:27PMMoonset 6:57AM Illumination 95% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ153 Casco Bay- 1005 Am Edt Wed Jun 19 2019
This afternoon..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 foot or less. Patchy fog.
Tonight..SE winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 foot or less. Patchy fog in the evening, then areas of fog after midnight. A chance of showers with patchy drizzle after midnight.
Thu..E winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Areas of fog in the morning. A chance of showers with patchy drizzle in the morning, then rain in the afternoon with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Thu night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft, building to 2 to 3 ft after midnight. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Fri..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Rain likely in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Fri night..NW winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Showers likely in the evening.
Sat..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Sun..NW winds around 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Sun night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
ANZ100 1005 Am Edt Wed Jun 19 2019
Synopsis for stonington me to merrimack river ma out to 25 nm.. An onshore southeast wind expected today and Thursday with areas of fog. Low pressure moves out of the ohio valley on Thursday and tracks across the gulf of maine Thursday night. Northwest winds begin behind the low on Friday. &&


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Scar, ME
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location: 43.56, -70.28     debug


Area Discussion for - Gray/Portland, ME
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Fxus61 kgyx 191415
afdgyx
area forecast discussion
national weather service gray me
1015 am edt Wed jun 19 2019

Synopsis
A weak frontal boundary drops into northern new hampshire and
northwest maine this afternoon and could trigger a few showers
and thunderstorms as it does so. A cool onshore wind will keep
coastal areas cool while inland areas warm up into the 70s to
near 80 degrees. Low pressure moves out of the ohio valley and
toward new england on Thursday, tracking across the gulf of
maine Thursday night. This will bring a widespread rainfall to
the region. The low moves away on Friday with rain ending and
drier air moving into the area from canada. This will bring a
rather nice weekend as temperatures will be near to below normal
with plenty of sunshine.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
1000 am update...

quick update to drop remaining headlines for the fog advisory.

Fog has lifted across southern and coastal sections and stratus
continues to mix out in southern interior sections of maine and
new hampshire. Expect this stratus to continue retreating toward
the coast through early afternoon... But will likely hug the
coast this afternoon before returning this evening. Have
adjusted sky and vsby grids based on current obs. Aside from a
few temp TD tweaks, no other changes planned attm.

800 am update...

quick update to drop a few zones on the northern side of the
dense fog advisory where visibility has improved. No other
changes planned attm.

Prev disc...

onshore flow has pushed maritime clouds fog into coastal areas
of maine and new hampshire early this morning. This will
continue to make slow progress inland but will be held up by the
higher terrain. Dense fog advisory will remain in effect for the
areas most likely to see dense fog this morning. It is possible
this may need to be expanded. Once the Sun comes out we will
start to erode the fog from inland areas first and then
eventually toward the coast later in the morning. In inland
areas where there will be plenty of sunshine, temperatures
today will warm into the 70s to near 80 degrees. But coastal
areas will hang on to the clouds for much of the day and the
temperature may hold in the 60s. Meanwhile, a weak front drops
into the saint lawrence valley this afternoon, likely triggering
some showers and thunderstorms. For the most part this activity
will be more abundant north of the canadian border, but some
showers and storms will be possible in northwest maine and
northern new hampshire as well especially toward evening as the
front gets closer.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Thursday
Should see most of the shower and thunderstorm activity die down
with the loss of heating this evening into tonight, however with
the front near the area cannot rule out some scattered showers
continuing. Meanwhile, onshore flow will likely allow the
maritime clouds and possibly fog drizzle to move onto the coast
again as early as late this afternoon. This may spread to an
even wider area tonight than it has this morning. With clouds
and a lot of moisture around, temperatures will only drop into
the upper 50s to low 60s tonight.

Long term Thursday night through Tuesday
Main story in the extended will be an anomalously strong surface
low pressure developing across the northeast. Naefs guidance is
placing it somewhere in the 2 to 3 sigma below normal surface
pressure for this time of year... So a significant nor'easter for
june. We do have a couple of things working in our favor... With
flow aloft more wly than sly resulting in a lack of signal for
an atmospheric river. This mitigates the heavy rain threat
somewhat. That being said... It is june and pwat values will be
on the higher side combined with stronger than normal synoptic
forcing with the low pressure. So I do not want to rule out the
threat entirely. I will continue to mention the threat in the
hwo... But cap precip intensity at moderate for now until a more
detailed assessment can be made about forcing. Some of those
details will be driven by convection that develops today... And
subtle changes could lead to big QPF differences. Global
guidance is in favor of a NRN qpf axis... While convection
allowing models favor s. Considering that convection is expected
to play an important role in system evolution I shifted the
highest pop and QPF swd from previous forecasts. This would
paint the axis along SRN nh and coastal WRN me. QPF between 1
and 2 inches we should be able to handle without flooding if it
occurs over a long enough time period.

As low pressure continues to ramp up in the gulf of me Fri wind
turn offshore and will be on the gusty side for a june
afternoon. Breezy and cooler conditions continue into Sat before
ridging starts to work back into the area sun. The ridge axis
looks to center over the area early next week just ahead of the
next S WV trof. H8 temps pushing 15c will mean some of our
warmest temps of the season so far. If realized we should see
fairly widespread 80s... Pushing upper 80s in SRN nh.

Aviation 14z Wednesday through Sunday
Short term... Lifr ceilings and fog disperses quickest in inland
areas this morning, though even the coast should clear out by
late morning. Some showers and thunderstorms are possible in
northern areas this afternoon and evening. Meanwhile, the low
clouds and fog should move back onto the coast late this
afternoon and this evening, likely bringing widespread ifr to
lifr conditions mainly south of the mountains.

Long term... As the next storm system moves into the region areas
of ifr or lower will develop both in low clouds N of the warm
front and in shra ra. Right now the best chance for ra is
looking like Thu evening. Thu afternoon and evening some tsra
are possible... With chances increasing the farther S you get. As
winds turn offshore into Fri the ra will lighten up and cigs
lift... Allowing a return to MVFR andVFR. Dry offshore flow
continues thru the weekend withVFR conditions.

Marine
Short term... Light winds and seas expected, however, moisture
moving across the gulf of maine will lead to areas of fog
continuing.

Long term... Low pressure will move thru the gulf of me Thu night
into fri. Offshore winds will increase behind the system fri.

Sca conditions may linger into Sat morning before winds and seas
diminish.

Gyx watches warnings advisories
Me... None.

Nh... None.

Marine... None.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CASM1 - 8418150 - Portland, ME 7 mi70 min 62°F 53°F
44007 - PORTLAND 12 NM Southeast of Portland,ME 8 mi74 min S 5.8 G 7.8 58°F 58°F2 ft1011.5 hPa (-0.6)58°F
WEXM1 - Wells Reserve, ME 21 mi64 min ESE 2.9 64°F 61°F
WELM1 - 8419317 - Wells, ME 22 mi64 min SSE 5.1 G 7 60°F 55°F1012.1 hPa (-0.3)
44030 - Buoy B0102 - Western Maine Shelf 27 mi120 min SSE 3.9 G 5.8 59°F 58°F1 ft1012.2 hPa
BGXN3 - Great Bay Reserve, NH 45 mi79 min S 1.9 69°F 1013 hPa64°F
IOSN3 - Isle of Shoals, NH 45 mi64 min SE 6 G 6 59°F 1011.6 hPa (+0.0)59°F

Wind History for Wells, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Portland, Portland International Jetport, ME7 mi73 minVar 510.00 miOvercast64°F60°F87%1011.8 hPa

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Last 24hrE5E3E6E4E5E5E6SE4SE3S3CalmCalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW3Calm355SE8
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2 days agoS7S5S6S5S5S5S5CalmSW4S3CalmCalmCalmN7NW7NW6NW7N5NW6N6N8
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Tide / Current Tables for Richmond Island, Maine
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Richmond Island
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Wed -- 12:52 AM EDT     10.19 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:57 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 07:19 AM EDT     -0.36 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:34 PM EDT     8.92 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:23 PM EDT     0.97 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 10:26 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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9.810.29.57.75.12.60.6-0.3-0.11.33.55.87.78.88.87.863.8211.22.44.46.7

Tide / Current Tables for Portland Head Light, Maine
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Portland Head Light
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:53 AM EDT     10.09 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:56 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 07:20 AM EDT     -0.36 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 01:35 PM EDT     8.83 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:24 PM EDT     0.96 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 10:26 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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9.710.19.47.65.12.60.6-0.3-0.11.23.45.77.68.78.77.85.93.8211.12.34.36.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Gray/Portland, ME (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Portland, ME
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.