Thursday, November15, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Cedar Grove, WI

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:44AMSunset 4:26PM Thursday November 15, 2018 3:24 PM CST (21:24 UTC) Moonrise 2:06PMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 53% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ643 Sheboygan To Port Washington Wi- 305 Pm Cst Thu Nov 15 2018
.small craft advisory in effect from late tonight through Friday afternoon...
Through early evening..South wind 10 to 15 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
Tonight..Southwest wind 10 to 15 knots rising to 15 to 20 knots late in the evening, then becoming southwest 15 to 20 knots after midnight veering west early in the morning. Chance of snow after midnight. Snow likely, slight chance of rain and light freezing rain early in the morning. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet late in the evening, then building to 2 to 4 feet after midnight subsiding to 1 to 2 feet early in the morning.
Friday..Northwest wind 15 to 25 knots backing west 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 knots. Partly Sunny. Waves 1 to 2 feet building to 2 to 4 feet late in the morning, then subsiding to 1 to 2 feet in the afternoon.
Friday night..West wind 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots becoming northwest 5 to 10 knots after midnight, then becoming 5 to 15 knots early in the morning. Slight chance of rain and snow through around midnight, then snow likely after midnight. Waves around 1 foot.
Saturday..North wind 10 to 15 knots rising to 15 to 20 knots in the late morning and afternoon. Chance of snow in the morning. Waves 1 to 2 feet building to 2 to 4 feet in the late morning and afternoon.
LMZ643 Expires:201811161000;;357833 FZUS53 KMKX 152105 NSHMKX Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 305 PM CST Thu Nov 15 2018 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lake Michigan LMZ643-161000-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cedar Grove, WI
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location: 43.58, -87.85     debug


Area Discussion for - Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI
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Fxus63 kmkx 152058
afdmkx
area forecast discussion
national weather service milwaukee sullivan wi
258 pm cst Thu nov 15 2018

Short term
Tonight and Friday... Forecast confidence is medium.

The moderate frontogenetic snow band from racine to kenosha and
southward continues to gradually weaken with dissipation by late
afternoon expected. Two to three inches of wet snow will likely
be the storm total.

A 110 kt nwly upper jet over the NRN high plains will dig a
strong shortwave trough across SRN wi late tnt along with the
passage of a cold front. A period of light snow is expected with a
low probability of a brief period of light freezing drizzle on the
backside of the snow. Snow accums of 1 2 inch or less are
expected. Breezy wnwly winds and cold advection will prevail with
skies becoming partly cloudy for the afternoon.

Long term
Friday night and Saturday... Forecast confidence is medium:
a shortwave is expected to move through Friday night into early
Saturday, likely bringing some accumulating snow to the forecast
area. There is increasing confidence of a swath of 1 to 3 inches
in the area during this time period. The lingering problem is
pinning down where this swath will set up. Models are still
struggling a bit with the track of the system, though a blend of
the various solutions takes aim at the forecast area. Models are
in good agreement that the system will be weakening, so the best
chance for higher amounts will be in the west. Still time for the
details of this to change, especially considering the how much the
models have been bouncing around the last few days.

Below normal temps will return Saturday behind the departing
system.

Sunday and through Thursday... Forecast confidence is medium:
overall, it looks dry Sunday through Wednesday with high pressure
in control for much of the time. Models do show the potential for
a weak wave or two during this time period, but not enough
agreement among models to go with much in the way of precip
chances.

Temps around 10 degrees below normal Sunday and Monday are
expected to recover to near normal by Wednesday.

Aviation(21z tafs) Cigs under 1 kft and vsbys of 1 4-1 2sm in
the mdt to heavy snow over racine and kenosha will gradually
improve through the afternoon.VFR conditions expected for this
evening followed by another round of light snow and perhaps a
brief period of freezing drizzle for early morning fri. CIGS will
fall to 1-3 kft and vsbys of 2-5sm with the light snow early fri
am. CIGS of 1-3 kft will linger through Fri am and then scatter
for the afternoon.

Marine A small craft advisory is in effect for breezy wnwly
winds with the passage of a cold front beginning at 4 am cst Fri and
lasting until noon south of port washington, but continuing until
6 pm cst north of port washington. Over the open lakes, the
passage of the cold front will result in west to northwest winds
of 25 to 30 knots through fri.

Mkx watches warnings advisories
Wi... None.

Lm... Small craft advisory from 4 am to noon cst Friday for lmz644>646.

Small craft advisory from 4 am to 6 pm cst Friday for lmz643.

Tonight Friday and aviation marine... Gehring
Friday night through Thursday... Ddv


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PWAW3 - Port Washington, WI 13 mi45 min S 8.9 G 11 39°F 1014.9 hPa
SGNW3 - Sheboygan, WI 14 mi25 min S 13 G 14 37°F 1013.7 hPa (-2.8)28°F
MLWW3 - Milwaukee, WI 37 mi35 min SW 5.1 G 6 36°F

Wind History for Kewaunee MET, WI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sheboygan County Memorial Airport, WI14 mi32 minS 1010.00 miFair38°F27°F65%1013.9 hPa
West Bend Municipal Airport, WI18 mi30 minSSE 610.00 miPartly Cloudy37°F26°F65%1012.9 hPa

Wind History from SBM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS7S3S4CalmCalmS3CalmSW3W3W3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS5S9S5S7S5S10
1 day agoW9W6W4CalmW4NW3NW4NW6NW6NW6NW4NW5NW3NW4NW4W4NW5N7N3NE4--S6S5SE6
2 days agoNW8W6W6NW7NW11NW9
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Milwaukee, WI
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.