Friday, January19, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Gardiner, OR

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:41AMSunset 5:14PM Friday January 19, 2018 3:31 AM PST (11:31 UTC) Moonrise 9:17AMMoonset 7:57PM Illumination 7% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
This is a Weather Statement Zone, please check the Date to see if it has expired
PZZ310 Coos bay bar- coastal waters from cape blanco or to pt. St. George ca out 10 nm- waters from cape blanco or to pt. St. George ca from 10 to 60 nm- 134 pm pdt Wed may 29 2013 a long-duration moderate to strong north wind event is expected to last from this weekend into early next week. Winds should begin to increase Friday into Saturday...peaking Sunday with storm force wind gusts possible. Very steep and hazardous waves will accompany this wind event and mariners should prepare for dangerous conditions at sea. The strongest winds and highest seas will occur beyond 5 nm from shore.
PZZ300 242 Am Pst Fri Jan 19 2018
Synopsis for the southern oregon coastal waters..Westerly swell will gradually subside but remain very high and very steep through tonight. SWell dominated seas will stay high and steep but diminish briefly to 11 to 13 feet late Saturday afternoon into Saturday evening. Another strong front will move through late Saturday night into Sunday, bringing south gales, possible storm force winds for the northern outer waters, and very high seas. High pressure will bring brief improvement Monday. But, seas will remain elevated and another strong front is expected Tuesday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Gardiner, OR
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 43.73, -124.12     debug


Area Discussion for - Medford, OR
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus66 kmfr 190558
afdmfr
area forecast discussion
national weather service medford or
958 pm pst Thu jan 18 2018

Update Updated the aviation discussion.

Aviation 19 06z TAF cycle... A slight chance of thunderstorms will
continue from the coastal waters to the coastal range overnight with
a band of light to moderate precipitation west of the cascades and a
weaker band east of the cascades. The coverage of showers and snow
showers will diminish after 15z with a majority of showers during
the remainder of the day and evening occurring near the coast. The
freezing level will remain near 3500 to 4000 ft msl through Friday
evening. The showery air mass will result in variable conditions
with mainlyVFR CIGS and vsbys, but areas of MVFR with mountain
obscuration. There is also brief or local valley ifr possible early
Friday morning. -dw

Marine Updated 830 pm pst Thursday 18 jan 2018... Westerly swell
will gradually subside but remain very high and very steep through
Friday night. Swell dominated seas will stay high and steep but
diminish Saturday into Saturday evening. Another strong front will
move through late Saturday night into Sunday, bringing south gales
and very high seas. High pressure will bring brief improvement
Monday. But, seas will remain high and another strong front will
move through Tuesday. The continuing series of fronts will likely
bring high and steep seas through the week. -dw

Prev discussion issued 833 pm pst Thu jan 18 2018
update... Steady widespread snowfall continues in the cascades
and eastward, with snow levels below 4000 feet. Roadcams have
shown heavy snowfall with poor visibility in many areas, including
hwy 140 and hwy 97 at times. It is important to either take
caution when traveling, or avoid travel in these areas tonight.

Precipitation rates have been slightly higher than expected,
prompting us to add a few areas to the winter weather advisory
(wsw). Precipitation amounts have been updated over the next 12
hours to account for this trend. West of the cascades, showers are
prevailing, and snow levels will drop to 2700 to 3000 feet late
tonight. Showers will continue into Friday, though with the
exception of the coast and coastal mountains, precipitation rates
will diminish substantially. Saturday will serve as a relative
break from weather, then a healthy frontal system will move in
Sunday and bring another round of snow in the mountains and east
side, and rain in west side valleys. For more information see
previous discussion. -msc
prev discussion... Issued 203 pm pst Thu jan 18 2018
discussion... A short wave will rotate around the base of the
trough into our forecast area this evening. This trough is quite
unstable with plenty of cold air aloft and satellite imagery shows
plenty of cold air cumulus. A few lightning strikes at the coast
is possible. As the trough moves inland, it will also generate
widespread showers across our area. Snow levels will range from
around 3500 feet over the umpqua divide to around 4500 feet over
the cascades and east side. Snow levels lowers to 2700-3500 foot
range tonight and could lower to 2500 feet by Friday morning. Time
height forecast of the cascades show plenty of vertical lift and
confidence is high on accumulating snow at crater lake as well as
at mount ashland. Scattered showers will continue into Friday
after this main short wave has moved through. There will also be a
moderate onshore flow and curry county and the coastal range could
see another 1 to 1.5 inches of rain from Friday through Friday
night.

Saturday is expected to be a relatively quiet day as the next
storm moves into the coastal waters. Models show occasional light
shower from the umpqua basin north and south to southeast winds
will enhance downslope flow into southern jackson county.

Extended discussion Sunday through Thursday... Confidence remains
high we'll remain fairly active during the forecast period. Any
relative break in the action may be far and few in between. Right
now it looks we'll get a relative break on Monday. Even then it
won't be a 100% dry.

There remains good agreement with the timing of the front on Sunday.

There are still some differences with the timing of the front, but
overall the models are in much better agreement compared to
yesterday. The ECMWF is still a bit slower with the arrival of the
front compared to the other operational models.

Winds are still going to be the main impact on Sunday, especially in
the shasta valley and eastside. These areas will at least reach
advisory levels with high wind warning criteria possible in the
south end of the shasta valley near weed and higher elevations like
summer lake east of the cascades. There is good agreement winds will
be aligned just right for gusty winds to develop in the rogue
valley. In fact the south end of the rogue valley from around
phoenix to ashland could reach advisory criteria. Winds in the
shasta and rogue valleys are expected to be strongest from late
Sunday morning into Sunday evening, but this could change depending
on the timing of the front, so watch for updates. Meanwhile winds
will be strongest east of the cascades from Sunday afternoon through
Sunday evening.

Gusty winds are also expected along the coast and headlands Sunday
morning. The models have trended a but stronger with the magnitude
and pressure gradient between arcata and north bend. So we could be
looking at high wind potential there.

The highest precip amounts on Sunday are going to be in the usual
areas. The coast and coastal mountains and the cascades. The front
won't move onshore Sunday evening, therefore snow levels during the
day will end up higher. They should start out around 3500 feet
Sunday morning then rise to around 4500 feet Sunday afternoon. This
is when the bulk of the precipitation will come in. For now road
snow concerns will be confined to the highway 140 near lake of the
woods, diamond lake, crater lake and mount ashland ski area. Siksyou
summit and mount shasta region could pick up couple of inches at
best Sunday morning with little or nothing Sunday afternoon as snow
levels come up. Keep in mind the details on this could change.

The front will move through the area Sunday night. Winds will
decrease over most locations. Snow levels will come down, but by
then precipitation will also be on the decrease which should limit
the amount of accumulating snow. However, we'll still have to deal
with accumulating snow Sunday evening around diamond lake, crater
lake, lake of the woods and highway 89 east of mount shasta. Siksyou
summit could pick up and additional inch or two Sunday evening.

Were still lined up to catch a relative break in the action Monday.

Moist northwest flow on Monday will result in showers mainly
confined to the coast.

The jury is out for Monday night through Tuesday. The models show
moisture spreading into southeast oregon and northwest california
late Monday night. However there is a new development, in particular
with the ecmwf. The ECMWF shows a surface low rapidly developing
overnight Monday, moving inside of 130w sometime Tuesday morning,
then moving onshore near newport oregon Tuesday evening. If this
pans out, we could be looking at strong winds along the coast,
headlands, shasta valley and maybe eastside. The GFS has a weaker
surface low and also has it positioned farther north which would not
have nearly the same impact. Of note: the canadian solution is
almost similar to yesterday's ECMWF and GFS solution which showed
weak ridging.

Wednesday through Thursday looks cooler and unsettled with snow
levels possibly getting down between 2000 and 2500 feet. No big
storms, but a cool trough will be near by with moist northwest flow.

-petrucelli

Mfr watches warnings advisories
Or... High surf advisory until 4 am pst Saturday for orz021-022.

High surf warning until 11 pm pst this evening for orz021-022.

Winter weather advisory until 10 am pst Friday for orz030.

Winter weather advisory until 10 am pst Friday for orz027-028.

Ca... Winter weather advisory until 10 am pst Friday for caz080.

Winter weather advisory until 10 am pst Friday for caz085.

Pacific coastal waters... Gale watch from Saturday evening through
Sunday afternoon for pzz350-356-370-376.

Hazardous seas warning until 4 am pst Saturday for
pzz350-356-370-376.

Msc fjb dw


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46261 6 mi121 min 52°F18 ft
46260 13 mi121 min 52°F20 ft
46229 - UMPQUA OFFSHORE, OR (139) 23 mi38 min 53°F17 ft
CHAO3 - 9432780 - Charleston, OR 29 mi55 min SE 1.9 G 6 52°F1014.2 hPa

Wind History for Charleston, OR
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
Last
24hr
SW6
G18
SW5
G8
SW5
G15
S4
G11
SW3
G7
S4
G9
SW4
G9
SE2
SE2
G5
SW1
G4
S3
G8
SE2
G8
S1
G4
S2
G8
SE4
G7
W4
SE2
G6
SE2
G6
SE3
G8
S1
G4
S2
S1
G5
S2
G5
SE2
G5
1 day
ago
S2
SE3
S4
G7
S2
G5
SE4
SE3
E3
G10
SW6
G17
S7
G27
SW4
G10
S8
G16
SW8
G26
SW5
G14
SW8
G17
SW5
G17
S3
G16
SW3
G16
SE2
G8
SE3
G11
S5
G11
S3
G12
SW4
G9
SW5
G19
SW5
G12
2 days
ago
S2
G5
SE2
G5
SE2
G8
S2
G5
SE1
G5
SE2
G7
SE2
SE2
SE2
G5
SE2
G5
E3
SE1
SE1
W2
S1
SE2
S3
S2
SE2
SE2
S3
G6
S3
SE1

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Southwest Oregon Regional Airport, OR22 mi35 minSSE 810.00 miMostly Cloudy42°F39°F92%1014.6 hPa

Wind History from OTH (wind in knots)
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
Last 24hrW19
G28
S8S6S11
G16
S9S11
G17
SW14S6SE7S11S9
G16
S8SE11S10SE6E6SE11SE9SE11SE12SE9S7SE8S8
1 day agoSE6SE8SE6SE6SE5S6SE8S8S10
G18
S12S21
G36
S20
G26
SW15
G21
S11
G17
S15
G23
SW14
G20
S11S11S9S8S10S13S9S9
2 days agoS7SE6SE6SE5SE4S7S8S5S6SE6SE6SE5E3CalmSE5CalmSE5SE4SE6SE7SE7S6S7SE5

Tide / Current Tables for Gardiner, Umpqua River, Oregon
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Gardiner
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:01 AM PST     6.06 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:44 AM PST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:22 AM PST     2.70 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 09:16 AM PST     Moonrise
Fri -- 01:57 PM PST     6.91 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:10 PM PST     Sunset
Fri -- 07:57 PM PST     Moonset
Fri -- 09:00 PM PST     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.54.85.76.15.854.13.22.72.83.54.55.76.66.96.65.64.32.71.30.3-00.41.4

Tide / Current Tables for Florence, Siuslaw River, Oregon
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Florence
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:49 AM PST     5.93 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:45 AM PST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:11 AM PST     2.70 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 09:16 AM PST     Moonrise
Fri -- 01:45 PM PST     6.77 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:09 PM PST     Sunset
Fri -- 07:57 PM PST     Moonset
Fri -- 08:49 PM PST     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.74.95.75.95.54.83.83.12.72.93.64.75.86.66.76.35.33.92.41.10.200.51.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Medford, OR (6,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Medford, OR
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.