Monday, June26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Gray, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:00AMSunset 8:29PM Monday June 26, 2017 6:21 PM EDT (22:21 UTC) Moonrise 7:57AMMoonset 10:36PM Illumination 8% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ153 Casco Bay- 518 Pm Edt Mon Jun 26 2017
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 foot or less, then 1 to 2 ft. Patchy fog after midnight with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tue..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Patchy fog in the morning. A chance of showers in the afternoon. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the morning.
Tue night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers in the evening.
Wed..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Wed night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Thu..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Thu night..S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Showers likely with a chance of tstms.
Fri..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
Fri night..SW winds up to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat..SE winds up to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ100 518 Pm Edt Mon Jun 26 2017
Synopsis for stonington me to merrimack river ma out to 25 nm.. High pressure over the mid atlantic coast will shift east into the atlantic this evening, with a south to southwesterly flow developing over the gulf of maine behind it. A weak cold front will move in from the west Tuesday night with high pressure sliding by to the south again through Thursday. Low pressure will enter the region Thursday night into Friday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Gray, ME
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location: 43.87, -70.27     debug


Area Discussion for - Gray/Portland, ME
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Fxus61 kgyx 262122 aaa
afdgyx
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service gray me
522 pm edt Mon jun 26 2017

Synopsis
A series of upper level disturbances will cross the region this
week, bringing chances for showers or thunderstorms, especially
in the mountains. Otherwise temperatures will be near normal
with lower humidity into mid week. Warmer and more humid
conditions move in at the end of the week, with a chance of
showers and thunderstorms Thursday night into Friday. More
chances for some storms will accompany a low pressure system
Saturday.

Near term until 6 am Tuesday morning
Update... Showers and some storms are expanding ewd into the
forecast area at this hour. I have adjusted pop to likely for
the areas I expect should see some precip in the next several
hours. Latest hrrr runs show convection mainly affecting nh
before weakening as it moves e. I also expect some diurnal trend
down in intensity of convection after sunset.

Previous discussion... A short wave trough will approach from
the west for the rest of this afternoon and evening triggering
scattered showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly across nh.

This scattered precipitation will continue to progress east
with time, bringing the chance for a shower to western me and
the mountains during the overnight period.

Cloud cover and low surface dew points may prevent fog in many
areas. However, have added patchy fog over some of the more
vulnerable inland valleys, especially in nh.

Overnight lows will be mostly in the 50s, but it will be chilly
with some mid to upper 40s in the mountains.

Short term 6 am Tuesday morning through Tuesday night
Low level lapse rates increase on Tuesday along with cape
values. This will be in response to a mid level short wave which
will be more vigorous than the previous impulses over the last
day or two. Showers and scattered thunderstorms will be more
widespread on Tuesday. With a cold pool aloft, there remains
the potential for small hail or gusty winds in a few of the
stronger storms. Will continue to highlight this possibility in
the hwo, however confidence not sufficiently high enough at this
time to add this hazard categorically to the afternoon forecast.

Temperatures will continue to remain below normal for this time
of the year. Look for highs in the 70s, except it will be chilly
with 60s along the midcoast region and in the mountains.

Showers and scattered storms will continue through Tuesday
evening. Thereafter, any chance for precipitation will be
limited to the region of best dynamics which will once again be
the northern mountain regions. Temperatures will remain below
normal with overnight lows in the mid 40s north to mid 50s
south.

Long term Wednesday through Monday
The deterministic models are in decent agreement on the longwave
pattern into the upcoming holiday weekend. We begin the period
with an upper trough draped across the northeast conus. This
trough lifts out by early Thursday and is replaced by a low
amplitude nearly zonal flow with several difficult to time weak
embedded shortwave impulses. By early in the upcoming holiday
weekend... One of these impulses will carve out a broad low
amplitude trough centered over the eastern plains western great
lakes. This trough axis will gradually migrate eastward into the
great lakes and new england by the tail end of the holiday
weekend. In the dailies... A weak surface trough crosses the area
Wednesday accompanied by scattered convection. For Thursday and
Thursday night a warm front will advance into new england as low
pressure approaches from the great lakes. This east-west oriented
boundary will stall across northern new england... Then meander a
bit north and south across the forecast area Friday through Monday
as a series of weak lows track along it. This will be a period of
warm and humid weather... With daytime heating and passing shortwave
energy contributing to several rounds of convection during the
period.

Aviation 21z Monday through Saturday
Short term...VFR conditions are expected most areas overnight
although there will be scattered showers and possibly a
thunderstorm over nh and westernmost me. There may be some
patchy valley fog, mainly over nh and in the western mountains
of me.

Showers and scattered thunderstorms will be a little more
widespread on Tuesday into Tuesday evening with brief periods
of conditions in the precipitation.

Long term...

wed - thu... Sct MVFR in -shra -tsra.

Fri - sat... Areas of MVFR in shra tsra with LCL ifr psb vcnty of
the coast in fog.

Marine
Short term... Winds and seas will remain below SCA thresholds in
the near short term portion of the forecast.

Long term...

thu pm - fri... Small craft conditions are possible outside the
bays.

Gyx watches warnings advisories
Me... None.

Nh... None.

Marine... None.

Near term... Legro


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CASM1 - 8418150 - Portland, ME 15 mi52 min 69°F 54°F1013 hPa
44007 - PORTLAND 12 NM Southeast of Portland,ME 25 mi92 min SSW 9.7 G 12 59°F 55°F2 ft1013 hPa (+0.0)55°F
WEXM1 - Wells Reserve, ME 40 mi82 min SSE 1 72°F 55°F
WELM1 - 8419317 - Wells, ME 41 mi52 min S 6 G 11 62°F 54°F1013.4 hPa
44030 - Buoy B0102 - Western Maine Shelf 48 mi78 min S 7.8 G 9.7 62°F 57°F2 ft1013 hPa

Wind History for Wells, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Auburn-Lewiston, ME12 mi26 minW 410.00 miFair72°F48°F44%1014.7 hPa
Portland, Portland International Jetport, ME15 mi31 minW 610.00 miPartly Cloudy75°F46°F37%1013.1 hPa

Wind History from LEW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN4E3CalmNW3CalmCalmCalmCalmSE5CalmN3NW4NW4W5W10NW10W7NW8NW8NW8W7NW8SW5W4
1 day ago------------------CalmCalmCalmCalmNW4NW73356SW9SW8
G17
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2 days agoSE8S7SE6SE5SE3SE4S5SE5SE6S6S6S6S9NW6CalmW3SW4W3NW8CalmSW4------

Tide / Current Tables for Prince Point, Maine
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Prince Point
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:00 AM EDT     11.94 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:00 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:26 AM EDT     -1.77 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:57 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 01:44 PM EDT     10.51 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:40 PM EDT     -0.45 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:34 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
11.211.911.29.162.6-0.2-1.6-1.502.75.98.510.110.59.47.14.21.5-0.1-0.40.83.26.3

Tide / Current Tables for South Freeport, Casco Bay, Maine
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South Freeport
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:12 AM EDT     11.67 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:36 AM EDT     -1.69 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:57 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 01:55 PM EDT     10.22 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:49 PM EDT     -0.38 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:34 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
10.711.611.29.46.53.10.2-1.4-1.6-0.32.25.27.99.710.29.57.44.71.90.1-0.40.62.75.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Gray/Portland, ME (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Portland, ME
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.