Marine Weather and Tides
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.
|Sunrise 6:52AM||Sunset 4:35PM||Tuesday November 13, 2018 9:41 PM CST (03:41 UTC)||Moonrise 1:03PM||Moonset 10:38PM||Illumination 35%|
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Westfield, WIHourly EDIT Help
Area Discussion for - Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI  (on/off)  Help NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
|Fxus63 kmkx 140247|
area forecast discussion
national weather service milwaukee sullivan wi
847 pm cst Tue nov 13 2018
The warm advection mid level clouds well upstream over western mn
look like they will remain north and west of the area through
tonight, and likely even on Wednesday. So, clear and cold is the
storyline for tonight. The forecast is in good shape.
Look for diminishing northwest winds tonight as high pressure
gradually builds into the area. The winds will back to the
southwest then south on Wednesday, increasing in speed across the
northern half of the lake. The increasing trend will continue
Wednesday night into Thursday across all of lake michigan as a
low pressure trough approaches from the northwest, eventually
skirting across southern canada and the northern great lakes.
Winds may gust to gale force levels at times Wednesday night into
early Thursday. Look for the winds to veer back to the west then
northwest later Thursday night into Friday as the trough pushes
east of lake michigan.
Prev discussion (issued 454 pm cst Tue nov 13 2018)
the recently issued discussion for the short term is solid, so no
changes to the forecast at this time. Main challenge will be
watching temp trends under radiational conditions.
vfr conditions are expected through the TAF period. Look for light
west winds to back to the southwest Wednesday morning and south by
Prev discussion... (issued 258 pm cst Tue nov 13 2018)
tonight and Wednesday - confidence... Medium to high.
The coldest night of the season lies ahead. Clear skies this
evening along with diminishing surface winds to around 6 knots or
less will allow temperatures to fall rapidly through the 20s and
teens into the 10 to 15 degree range. 925h temps of -10 to -13c
under these conditions would result in overnight lows dipping into
the single digits across the entire area. However strong upstream
warm air advection over the northern plains and southern canada is
causing an increasing area of mid-high clouds over northern mn.
These clouds will likely carry into parts of southern wi later
tonight. In addition, winds will remain mixy tonight just above
shallow inversion. Hence bumped up temperatures slightly, but still
went below most guidance, with overnight lows dipping into the 8 to
15. Clouds may stick around for a time on Wednesday, however
stronger warm air advection remains to the north of area. With
subsidence remaining over southern wi, leaning toward clouds
thinning and becoming sct-bkn across southern wi. Never the less,
due to lower confidence on Wednesday cloud cover, was not too
optimistic with high temperatures, and kept maxs in the low to mid
Wednesday night through Thursday night... Forecast confidence is|
high pressure will depart Wednesday night into Thursday as a
trough of low pressure approaches. The trough will move through
Thursday night, dragging a weak cold front through southern
wisconsin. Temperatures will be back around normal Thursday under
plenty of sunshine and southerly winds.
Friday and Saturday... Forecast confidence is low to medium:
a shortwave is expected to move through Friday night into early
Saturday, bringing a chance for snow to the forecast area. Models
continue to flop around with this one... Being dry one run... Then
the wettest the next, etc. Obviously still a few details to be
worked out with this one. The overall trend with this system has
been slower... Meaning a better chance for snow vs rain as the
precip would fall more during the later evening and overnight
hours. Snow amounts are still all over the place among models,
ranging from dry to up to 3 inches.
Near normal temps Friday will cool to around 10 degrees below
normal Saturday behind the departing system.
Sunday and through Tuesday... Forecast confidence is medium:
model solutions have diverged a bit for early next week compared
to the solutions 24 hours ago. Overall, it looks dry sun-tue,
though the model timing placement of high pressure and a passing
trough are in fairly poor agreement. The ECMWF does bring a little
snow to the north Monday night, but otherwise this period looks
free of precip.
Temps around 10 degrees below normal Sunday are expected to
recover to near normal by Tuesday.
Aviation (21z tafs)...
vfr conditions expected for this forecast period. Some increase
in mid-high level clouds is expected later tonight and Wednesday
morning due to strengthening upstream warm air advection. Light
and variable winds tonight will turn to the south on Wednesday.
northwest winds will continue to slowly subside tonight as high
pressure ridge approaches from the west. Gusty winds will linger
over the northern open waters but will slowly diminish to 10 to 20
knots. This ridge will pass across lake michigan Wednesday morning,
resulting in lighter west winds turning to the south during the day.
Southern lake michigan will remain in a col between low pressure
passing across southern canada, and a second low pressure system
moving into the tn and ohio valleys. Mainly south winds can be
expected for wed-thu with breezy south winds, expected to remain
below small craft advisory levels over the near shore waters. A
tighter pressure gradient will be over the northern part of lake
michigan beginning Wednesday night and continuing into Friday.
Southwest wind gusts will approach gale levels at times during this
period before turning to the west on Friday.
Mkx watches warnings advisories
tonight Wednesday and aviation marine... mbk
Wednesday night through Tuesday... Ddv
Weather Reporting StationsEDIT (on/off)  Help NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
|Stations||Dist||Age||Wind||Air Temp||Water Temp||Waves||Pressure||DewPt|
|PWAW3 - Port Washington, WI||91 mi||62 min||NW 4.1 G 5.1||20°F||1031.8 hPa|
|SGNW3 - Sheboygan, WI||93 mi||42 min||NW 7 G 8||19°F||1032.2 hPa (+1.2)||9°F|
Airport ReportsEDIT (on/off)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports
|Wautoma, Wautoma Municipal Airport, WI||10 mi||46 min||WNW 6||10.00 mi||Fair||13°F||6°F||74%||1034.2 hPa|
Wind History from Y50 (wind in knots)
|1 day ago||W||W||W||NW||W||W||W||NW||NW||NW||NW||NW||NW||NW||NW||NW|
|2 days ago||S||Calm||Calm||SE||SE||S||S||S||S||SW||SW||SW||SW||SW||SW||SW||SW||W||W||W||W||NW|
EDIT RT Ports Option Weekend mode (on/off) (on/off)  Help
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Weather Map and Satellite Images(on/off)  HelpWeather Map
GOES Local Image of EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop
Other links: Northern Pacific Contential US Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI (22,6,7,8)(on/off)  Help
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