Friday, November17, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Manitowoc, WI

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:48AMSunset 4:23PM Friday November 17, 2017 6:58 PM CST (00:58 UTC) Moonrise 6:42AMMoonset 5:24PM Illumination 1% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ543 Rock Island Passage To Sturgeon Bay Wi- Sturgeon Bay To Two Rivers Wi-two Rivers To Sheboygan Wi- 646 Pm Cst Fri Nov 17 2017
.small craft advisory in effect through Sunday morning...
Tonight..S wind 15 to 25 kts with gusts to 30 kts becoming W 5 to 15 kts around midnight, then veering N 10 to 20 kts with gusts to 25 kts after midnight. Waves 6 to 10 ft subsiding to 3 to 6 ft overnight. Rain.
Saturday..N wind to 30 kts. A few gusts to 35 kts possible. Waves 3 to 6 ft. A chance of light rain in the morning. A chance of drizzle.
Saturday night..NW wind to 30 kts. A few gusts to 35 kts possible. Waves 3 to 5 ft. Mostly cloudy.
Sunday..W wind 15 to 25 kts. Gusts to 30 kts, mainly in the morning. Waves 2 to 4 ft. Partly cloudy.
LMZ543 Expires:201711180515;;568720 FZUS53 KGRB 180046 NSHGRB Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Green Bay WI 646 PM CST Fri Nov 17 2017 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lake Michigan LMZ541>543-180515-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Manitowoc, WI
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location: 44.09, -87.65     debug


Area Discussion for - Green Bay, WI
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Fxus63 kgrb 180001
afdgrb
area forecast discussion
national weather service green bay wi
601 pm cst Fri nov 17 2017
updated aviation portion for 00z TAF issuance

Update
Issued at 509 pm cst Fri nov 17 2017
area of weak elevated instablity ahead of approaching cold front
and weak shortwave impulse has contributed to some isolated
thunderstorms over the fox valley from near appleton south to fond
du lac. Thunder should be short-lived perhaps the next hour or
so. Updated short-term grids accordingly.

Short term Tonight and Saturday
issued at 220 pm cst Fri nov 17 2017
the main forecast focus remains on precipitation type for tonight
as WAA ongoing changes to CAA behind the passage of a cold front.

Still anticipate some kind of mix across the north this evening
and into central wi after midnight.

The 19z msas surface analysis showed the cold front stretch from
western ontario southwest to the central plains where an area of
low pressure was situated (north-central ks). Gusty south winds
ahead of this front had pulled deeper moisture northward into wi
this afternoon and light rain had broken out over much of the
region. The only exception was far north-central wi where
temperatures hovered at or slightly above freezing and a mix was
still ongoing (rain freezing rain sleet).

A messy forecast is expected across northeast wi tonight as the
initial surge of WAA late this afternoon early evening is replaced
by the onset of CAA behind the passage of the cold front. The
ongoing concern was the potential loss of ice crystals which would
bring freezing drizzle possibility into play over northern wi.

However, some forecast soundings did show that enough moisture
would hold through the column tonight such that precipitation
type would be either rain, snow or a mix as temperatures fall
below freezing. After collaboration with dlh and mqt, have decided
to keep the drizzle freezing drizzle in the forecast after
midnight across the north due to some drying in the lower levels
of the atmosphere. Central wi would see mainly rain this evening,
then mix with snow at or shortly after midnight, eventually to all
snow toward daybreak. East-central wi would remain all rain
through the night. Min temperatures to range from the middle to
upper 20s north- central wi, to the middle 30s east-central wi.

Steady CAA overspreads wi on Saturday as the bulk of the
precipitation should be to our south and east. That being said,
have kept a small pop across the southeast half of the forecast
area for Saturday morning. Precipitation type would be a mix of
rain drizzle east, to light snow over portions of central and far
northeast wi. For this entire event, areas away from lake mi may
see a minor accumulation (one-half inch or less). The arrival of
drier air by Saturday afternoon should bring mixed sunshine,
especially to central wi. An exception would be north-central wi
where weak lake effect snow showers are possible through the day.

Do not see much in the way of diurnal warming (caa), thus max
temperatures to only make the lower 30s north-central, to around
40 degrees east-central wi.

Long term Saturday night through Friday
issued at 220 pm cst Fri nov 17 2017
the long term forecast remains fairly calm, with all the active
weather in the short term. Lake effect showers will be present
Sunday before winds shift and again on Tuesday into Tuesday night
as a clipper system passes through the region.

Winds will diminish overnight Saturday into Sunday as colder
temperatures in the teens and middle 20s move into the region. A
few snow showers will remain in the north over vilas county
throughout the day on Sunday, while partly cloudy conditions
remain elsewhere. Temperatures on Monday will pick back up into
the 40s with southerly flow. A lack of moisture should keep skies
mostly sunny and active weather out of the region. Tuesday a
passing clipper system will bring back northwesterly winds, colder
temperatures towards the midweek, and a chance to see some more
lake enhanced snow showers in northern wisconsin. Dry conditions
then follow into thanksgiving.

Temperatures will be just a few degrees below normal on Sunday,
well above normal on Monday, and then return closer to seasonal
values through the rest of the week after the cold front passes on
Tuesday.

Aviation For 00z TAF issuance
issued at 600 pm cst Fri nov 17 2017
a cold front will continue to push east across the fox valley and
lakeshore areas during the late evening with a wind shift to the
north-northwest. Rain showers ahead of the front will gradually
become less numerous by midnight followed by areas of drizzle
until about daybreak Saturday. CIGS vsbys will continue to lower
this evening with most locations reaching ifr conditions for most
of tonight. As colder air overspreads the region later tonight,
the light rain and drizzle is expected to mix with light snow or
even some patchy freezing drizzle across northern and central wi
as drier air aloft pushes in behind the front. The grb atw mtw taf
sites should remain warm enough to sustain all rain through the
night. Some lingering light rain or drizzle may carry over into
Saturday morning over eastern wi, but a drying trend will be noted
for the rest of the day. CIGS are forecast to rise to MVFR during
the morning and reachVFR conditions by Saturday afternoon.

Marine
Issued at 220 pm cst Fri nov 17 2017
gusty south winds are expected to diminish this evening ahead of
an approaching cold front. This front will sweep across wisconsin
tonight and as a low pressure system tracks through the great
lakes on Saturday, a few gale force gusts are possible as
northwest winds rev up Saturday morning and continue into at least
Saturday evening.

Grb watches warnings advisories
None.

Update... ... ... Esb
short term... ..Kallas
long term... ... Uhlmann
aviation... ... .Esb
marine... ... ... Kallas


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SGNW3 - Sheboygan, WI 24 mi59 min S 25 G 27 41°F 1004.1 hPa (-3.2)41°F

Wind History for Kewaunee MET, WI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Manitowoc, Manitowoc County Airport, WI4 mi63 minS 14 G 217.00 miLight Rain41°F37°F86%1006.4 hPa
Sheboygan County Memorial Airport, WI24 mi66 minS 144.00 miLight Rain Fog/Mist40°F39°F100%1004.6 hPa

Wind History from MTW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmNE3CalmNW4W3NE3SE10S7--S8SE7S14S15
G21
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G26
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G28
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--S14
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1 day agoW18
G28
W15
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W14--W17
G27
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G26
--NW12NW11NW15NW11NW12
G17
N12N11
G20
NW9NW11
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--N7N3NE4N3
2 days agoS15S14
G22
S13
G22
--S10S9S9S10S12S8S6S11S10S6S6SW4SW5W8W10W15
G21
--NW16
G21
--W18
G26

Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Green Bay, WI (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Green Bay, WI
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.