Wednesday, May24, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Blue Hill, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 4:55AMSunset 8:08PM Wednesday May 24, 2017 11:18 PM EDT (03:18 UTC) Moonrise 4:29AMMoonset 6:37PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ052 Intra Coastal Waters From Schoodic Point, Me To Stonington, Me- 626 Pm Edt Wed May 24 2017
.small craft advisory in effect from Thursday afternoon through Friday evening...
Tonight..S winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming sw late this evening... Then becoming E after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Thu..E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Thu night..E winds 15 to 20 kt...increasing to 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Rain.
Fri..NE winds 20 to 25 kt...diminishing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Rain.
Fri night..N winds 15 to 20 kt...diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of rain in the evening.
Sat..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt...diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat night..SE winds around 5 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sun..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of rain through the night.
Mon..E winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming se after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Rain likely through the day...then a chance of rain through the night.
ANZ005 626 Pm Edt Wed May 24 2017
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm.. High pres will move into the maritimes on Thu. Low pres will approach Thu night and track through the gulf of maine on Fri.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Blue Hill, ME
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location: 44.24, -68.56     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 250148
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
948 pm edt Wed may 24 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will build north of the area through Thursday.

Low pressure will approach from the southwest Thursday afternoon
and track across the gulf of maine on Friday.

Near term through Thursday
930 pm update... No real changes to the forecast, tweaked cloud
cover down based on current satellite trends. Nice night.

630 pm update... No significant changes were needed with this
update. Seeing partly to mostly cloudy skies across much of our
forecast area at this hour, along with a few light sprinkles
over some of the higher terrain of the north woods. Overall the
forecast has this covered, so have only made tweaks to temps,
winds, sky, and pops to match current trends.

Previous discussion... High pressure will slowly build in from
the northeast this evening and will bring partial clearing. The
high will move away later tonight and at the same time low
pressure will approach from the southwest. This will cause
clouds to thicken again by Thursday morning and continue to
thicken during the day. Expect showers to spread into the
southwestern corner of the region by late in the afternoon.

Short term Thursday night through Saturday
The models are in good agreement through the period. An
occluded frontal system with a low over southern pa, with the
front wrapped around the low across central maine to a triple
point in the northern gulf of maine will be the primary weather
producer through the period. The GFS and gem suggest a secondary
low over CAPE cod. By Friday morning the parent low moves to
cape cod, the secondary low moves east to southwest nova scotia.

Friday evening the parent low track east along the downeast
coast, to southwest nova scotia. Saturday morning the occlusion
clears the area and higher pressure build in through the end of
the period.

Loaded a blend of the GFS gem nam ECMWF to smooth out the minor
differences in the models. Loaded nawave4 for seas in the
coastal waters. Loaded windgust by factor tool. For QPF used
gfs.

Long term Saturday night through Wednesday
A weak high pressure ridge will be in place over the area at the
start of the period. A low northwest of lake superior and its
associated front will be the next weather system to affect our
area. Sunday morning the cold front associated with the low
extends from southern james bay through lake huron. The warm
front extends southeast from james bay into new brunswick.

Sunday evening all three models are indicating a second low
forming along the coast DELMARVA nj. Monday morning the low
along the coast moves north to CAPE cod bring warm frontal type
weather into southern maine. Monday evening the models shows
these two system combining into one over maine. The coastal low
in the northern gulf of maine south of bar harbor. The cold
front extending south along the us coast. The parent low now
stationary southwest of james bay, with a co-located upper level
low height center. Tuesday morning the GFS and gem move the low
from the gulf of maine to northeast new brunswick, northern
maine will remain in wrap around precipitation, southern maine
will clear out as the cold front moves through. Wrap around
showers will persist across northern maine through the end of
the period, as the slowly filling upper low over canada drifts
southeast central quebec.

Loaded a blend to smooth out the differences in the models,
however the solution leans more towards the GFS solution. Used
nawave4 for seas in the coastal waters. Used windgust by factor
tool.

Aviation 02z Thursday through Monday
Near term: expectVFR conditions tonight into Thursday
afternoon. MVFR ifr conditions expected in kbgr and kbhb by late
afternoon.

Short term: lMVFR to ifr conditions at all sites from the start
of the period to Saturday morning. Clearing will begin at fve
and car early Saturday morning as a low moves east into nova
scotia. Clearing will spreading to pqi and hul before sunrise.

Vfr conditions will further spread to bgr and bhb shortly after
sunrise Saturday.VFR conditions will persist at all sites
through Sunday morning. Fve and car will be MVFR in scattered
showers Sunday. MVFR will spread to pqi and hul Sunday
afternoon, and to bgr and bhb Sunday night as the next front
moves in from the west. A warm front will move into central
maine Monday morning will remain in the area through the end of
the period. Ifr conditions Monday morning through the end of the
period in low ceilings and light rain.

Marine
Near term: have used the NAM to populate the wind grids and will
not make any adjustment to model winds with wind direction out
of northeast Thursday. For waves: with winds remaining below 10
knots into this evening expect primary wave system to be south
southeast swell around 3 feet 7 seconds. With northeast wind
increasing Thursday expect northeasterly wind wind to become the
primary wave system by late in the day. Will use the nearshore
wave prediction system to populate wave grids.

Short term: winds and seas are forecasted to be above sca
criteria from Thursday evening to Friday afternoon. Winds will
subside below sca, however seas will remain above 5 ft through
most of the day Saturday.

Tides coastal flooding
High astronomical tides will occur from Thursday night through
memorial day weekend. Current predictions have water levels
getting up to right around hat levels at bar harbor and eastport
gauges. New total water level guidance keeps most areas below
minor flooding levels, but could have some minor splash over
Thursday night. Night shift will have to evaluate the need for
a coastal flood statement or not.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 2 pm Thursday to 8 pm edt Friday for
anz050>052.

Near term... Mignone dumont
short term... Norton
long term... Norton
aviation... Mignone dumont norton
marine... Mignone dumont norton
tides coastal flooding...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 22 mi48 min S 1 G 2.9 49°F 50°F1011.1 hPa
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf 26 mi74 min S 1.9 G 1.9 47°F 47°F4 ft1011.1 hPa
44033 - Buoy F0103 - West Penobscot Bay 27 mi74 min S 3.9 G 5.8 47°F 47°F2 ft1011.3 hPa
MDRM1 - Mt Desert Rock, ME 30 mi78 min 49°F 1012 hPa (+0.7)

Wind History for Bar Harbor, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bar Harbor, Hancock County-Bar Harbor Airport, ME18 mi22 minSW 410.00 miFair50°F46°F89%1012.9 hPa

Wind History from BHB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3Calm3--E5E64S10S8S9S8SW7SW4SW3SW4
1 day agoS9S8--S7S5Calm--CalmCalmE3NE3N3444S6Calm--SW10S11SW8S6SW7S4
2 days agoCalmSW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm--46S8S7S8SW9SW11SW12SW12S12S9SW12S5S9

Tide / Current Tables for Naskeag Harbor, Penobscot Bay, Maine
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Naskeag Harbor
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:54 AM EDT     -1.00 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 04:29 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:58 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:05 AM EDT     11.41 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:09 PM EDT     -0.55 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:36 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 08:03 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 10:23 PM EDT     12.80 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
8.24.91.8-0.4-1-0.12.15.28.310.511.410.896.12.90.5-0.5025.18.611.312.712.5

Tide / Current Tables for Sedgwick, Penobscot Bay, Maine
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Sedgwick
Click for Map
Wed -- 04:02 AM EDT     -1.00 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 04:29 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:58 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:10 AM EDT     11.41 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:17 PM EDT     -0.55 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:36 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 08:04 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 10:28 PM EDT     12.80 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
8.55.32.1-0.2-1-0.31.84.98.110.411.410.99.26.43.30.7-0.5-0.11.74.88.211.112.612.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Portland, ME
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.